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For The Win: Divisional Round Weekend - Footballguys

NFL Picks Against the Las Vegas Lines

Last weekend provided plenty of entertaining NFL action, highlighted at the close of the Eagles-Bears game with “The Double-Doink Heard ‘Round the World”. Only one game was a snoozer, with Houston struggling to compete with an underrated Indianapolis team. Aside from that matchup, all the contests were one-score games with drama into the final minute of each one, providing fans with excitement all weekend. The Picks of the Week fared well (2-1-1), as did the game picks outright (same record, 2-1-1), but the Texans’ inability to score points cost the Weekly Plays (6.15-11). Turning the page, we now have the best four franchises coming off a bye week and hosting teams that had to fight hard to just get to this coming Saturday and Sunday. Only twice since 1990 has neither a number one-seeded team nor a number two-seeded team hosted a conference championship game (in the 2006 AFC Championship the #3 seeded Indianapolis Colts hosted the #4 seeded New England Patriots with the Colts winning 38–34 and the 2008 NFC Championship the #4 seeded Arizona Cardinals hosting the #6 seeded Philadelphia Eagles with the Cardinals winning 32–25). As was the case last week, we have teasers as the favorite way to play, and even with larger point spreads (all games are 4.5 point to 8.5 point lines), value can be found. Last week we pointed out the fabulous “Wong Teaser” approach. Simply put, if you can get both “3” and “7” in your teaser, do it. Let’s cover each game and illustrate how to exploit those numbers. Here we go:

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