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For The Win: Week 6 - Footballguys

NFL Picks Against the Las Vegas Lines

Here we are again this year, back for more NFL picks. Just like last season, this article will still be picking all of the NFL games each week, but will also try and help some of you with some confidence and rankings of the selections - which also may assist those of you with Las Vegas trips. Games are rated based on preference for both the point spread and other angles (such as point totals, or Over/Unders) with 1-3 "Stars", which basically highlight the best bets for the week. Those games which have zero stars are not preferred one way or the other, but will still be covered, discussed and a winner will be predicted to help those trying to get some advice for their weekly office pools or other contests that they may be participating in either this week or this season.

Last week was very, very interesting. Overall it was a mediocre result (6-8-1 for the week) and the Picks of the Week went only 2-4, but the Best Bets had a spectacular result as all the teasers hit. That’s right – from the 3-teamer all the way to the 9-team teaser all connected, with just the final (ninth) pick pushing for a tie (that makes the teaser reduce to an 8-teamer win). Even with my For the Win Special Edition hedge bet of 6.5 stars on Washington’s Money Line, the results of 60.3-12.5 speak for themselves at an 80+% win rate. This is why focusing on a few key games truly matters, and intelligent wagering can pay off in the long run. All it takes is 1-2 weeks like this all season to make it a fantastic year. Of course, Week 6 is brand new and none of that matters, so just remain humble and plug away. Let’s get started.

Note that the lines and Over/Unders are taken from VegasInsider.com.

BYE WEEKS: Detroit, New Orleans

TEAMS RETURNING FROM A BYE: Chicago, Tampa Bay

(Thursday) PHILADELPHIA (-3) at NEW YORK GIANTS (Over/Under 44 to 44.5)
The Eagles may be 2-3, but they are “in the thick of it” for the NFC East – or, more accurately, the NFC Least with no team possessing a winning record. Philadelphia will be shorthanded on a short week as Jay Ajayi is now out for the year (ACL) so most of the work will rest on Carson Wentz’ shoulders. The Giants lost a heartbreaker in Carolina on a last-second 63-yard field goal by Graham Gano. This game will be a heated matchup between divisional rivals, but Philadelphia has the better defense and the better quarterback. PICK: Eagles

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