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Late Round Tight Ends - Footballguys

How to find some late-round TEs with big fantasy upside

When it comes to picking out NFL tight ends for fantasy purposes, it does not take much to figure out who the top candidates are this season. If you are looking for some late value picks, however, you have come to the right place. What I want to find for all of us here are tight ends that should be getting several targets a game. With five or more balls headed their way each week, they should be able to haul in at least three on average and have a shot at 40-50 yards a week and possibly a touchdown. That may not sound like much, but that works out to be 48 catches and 640-800 yards a year, which would put any TE right near the Top 12 last season (provided he scored a few times). Not bad at all.

So what's the plan? I have looked at several different ways to pick up some valuable tight ends later in fantasy drafts before, but this time I am going to get a bit more scientific. Here I will take a look at an overall ADP list and pick out three different types of teams. Oddly enough, I care more about the wide receivers on a given team than about the tight ends. The reasoning is pretty simple - if the quarterback on a given team has limited options, the ball has to go somewhere. What better option than a big guy over the middle?

I broke the 32 NFL teams down and kept the ones that fit into three basic categories:

  1. Teams with no WRs in the Top 50 ADP List
  2. Teams with only 1 WR in the Top 30 ADP List
  3. Teams with 1-2 WRs in the Top 50 ADP List but none in the Top 30

Here are the results:


This may be surprising to some, but there are usually a few teams each year with absolutely terrible wide receiver options. This season has one, but it should not come as a surprise. No, this time I am not talking about Cleveland, but it is a team that thinks about defense and running the ball first and foremost. The team made the playoffs last year and did not change their quarterback, and they lost a former top-notch starter from their ranks. Yes, you guessed it - the Jacksonville Jaguars. With no Allen Robinson or Allen Hurns, Marqise Lee (ADP of WR51) leads a lackluster group including Keelan Cole, Dede Westbrook (my personal favorite) and even lesser known options. That screams value for the tight end spot, which belongs this year to Austin Seferian-Jenkins. His ADP has him at TE16, but Blake Bortles only threw at his tight ends 79 times last year. Seferian-Jenkins finished 2017 as TE27 with a 50-357-3 line on about the same number of targets (74) as a New York Jet. I think we can do better than this.

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