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How to Attack Your Two-Quarterback Draft - Footballguys

Strategy on Attacking Your Two-Quarterback League Draft

The diversity of leagues is one aspect that makes fantasy football so much fun. Some people like the larger leagues, while some like the smaller ones. The value of respective players varies widely with the differences in scoring and starting lineup. It is not advisable to use standard draft strategies in the non-standard leagues. This is especially true with leagues which require two quarterbacks in the starting lineup. An entirely different strategy is essential to make the most of the draft. This article will look at ten-team leagues, starting two quarterbacks, and utilizing PPR scoring. We will examine strategies specially-designed for these leagues to best attack the draft and get the most for your roster. These will help you form a new strategy for your league.

Down to basics, what are the differences I should know about the two-quarterback leagues?

a. The biggest question is how to value quarterbacks in comparison to other positions. In leagues that start two passers, even the most average quarterbacks are worth as much as good running backs and receivers. It is difficult to balance gaining studs at other positions while still addressing quarterback. A team with two strong quarterbacks has a distinct advantage. As a general rule, it is best to only draft elite players at running back or wide receiver over starting quarterbacks. So, this means you should only take the top four running backs (e.g., Todd Gurley, Le'Veon Bell, David Johnson, and Ezekiel Elliott) or the top wideouts (e.g., Antonio Brown and Odell Beckham) over the quarterback position in the first two rounds. The depth at the quarterback position will make it easier to take running backs and receivers in the early rounds. Rob Gronkowski is the lone tight end worthy of consideration early in fantasy drafts and even he is not a lock to be selected over the more mediocre of passers. The VBD (Value-Based Drafting) values below will show balance in value (VBD) between positions. In one-quarterback leagues, the position is devalued tremendously due to so many viable players at the position. In two-quarterback leagues, there is a balance between positions.

b. How do I know which quarterbacks to select? The main difference with two quarterback leagues is the increase in value with the players from QB10 to QB25. The top few quarterbacks retain good value in all leagues, but it is the ones ranked lower that need the extra analysis. The players in this range (QB10-QB25) are ranked lower because there is a question about talent, the certainty of the situation, potential lack of upside, or just lack of proven production. Fantasy players usually struggle with differentiating between the less-than-stellar options. Approximately two projected points-per-game is all that separates QB10 (Stafford) from QB25 (Trubisky). With so many alternatives, the priority should be on seeking value. While it sounds simplistic, select the players who are the most talented and most likely to be successful. Next, do not spend a pick before the seventh or eighth round on a player whose job is not secure. Since every team in your league starts two players at the position, finding options with upside and proven production is the key to gaining value.

c. How does the quarterback scarcity impact the early rounds? There will be quarterback runs. This is inevitable. In leagues which start two players at the position, owners will see the runs coming and will be desperate not to be left behind. This is all driven by positional scarcity. For this reason, it is best to take a stud quarterback, or two, early just to stay ahead of the curve. The mad rush for passers will push quality players at other positions down the draft.

When we look at the VBD values for the fantasy options, we quickly realize how starting two quarterbacks balances out the options in the early rounds. The VBD accounts for positional scarcity and available options at other positions using the Footballguys.com projections. It is amazing that in the first 30 players listed in terms of value, 3 are quarterbacks, 13 running backs, 13 wide receivers, and 1 tight end. The lack of quarterbacks indicates that there is depth at the position. But, it is highly advisable to have at least one stud quarterback. Injuries and bye weeks are inevitable. The balance is incredible in what represents the first three rounds of a fantasy draft. One-quarterback leagues are more lop-sided for the receivers.

Here are the league variables:

  • 10 teams
  • 16 roster spots
  • PPR scoring

And here are the starting requirements:

  • 2 Quarterback
  • 2 Running Backs
  • 3 Wide Receivers
  • 1 Tight End
  • 1 Flex (RB, WR, or TE)
  • 1 Kicker
  • 1 Team Defense

Below are the Top 50 players according to the VBD values:

Rank
Pos
PosRank
Player
Team/Bye
FanPoints
VBD
1
RB
1
LAR/12
326.3
175
2
RB
2
Dal/8
304.8
153
3
RB
3
Le'Veon Bell
Pit/7
300.8
149
4
RB
4
Alvin Kamara
NO/6
294.7
143
5
RB
5
Ari/9
290.2
138
6
WR
1
Pit/7
282.7
121
7
WR
2
DeAndre Hopkins
Hou/10
275.6
114
8
RB
6
Melvin Gordon
LAC/8
256.0
104
9
RB
7
Leonard Fournette
Jac/9
253.8
102
10
RB
8
Kareem Hunt
KC/12
243.1
91
11
WR
3
Odell Beckham Jr
NYG/9
245.6
84
12
RB
9
Dalvin Cook
Min/10
235.3
84
13
WR
4
Keenan Allen
LAC/8
241.6
80
14
RB
10
Saquon Barkley
NYG/9
231.2
79
15
WR
5
Julio Jones
Atl/8
239.9
78
16
RB
11
Christian McCaffrey
Car/4
228.5
77
17
RB
12
Devonta Freeman
Atl/8
220.2
68
18
WR
6
Michael Thomas
NO/6
230.0
68
19
RB
13
Jerick McKinnon
SF/11
216.0
64
20
QB
1
Aaron Rodgers
GB/7
329.5
61
21
TE
1
NE/11
216.9
58
22
WR
7
A.J. Green
Cin/9
218.1
56
23
WR
8
Davante Adams
GB/7
215.2
53
24
WR
9
Mike Evans
TB/5
215.1
53
25
WR
10
Adam Thielen
Min/10
213.4
52
26
WR
11
Larry Fitzgerald
Ari/9
212.4
51
27
WR
12
T.Y. Hilton
Ind/9
207.7
46
28
QB
2
Russell Wilson
Sea/7
313.5
45
29
QB
3
Deshaun Watson
Hou/10
312.6
44
30
WR
13
Tyreek Hill
KC/12
203.6
42
31
QB
4
Tom Brady
NE/11
310.1
42
32
QB
5
Cam Newton
Car/4
309.4
41
33
TE
2
KC/12
197.9
39
34
WR
14
Stefon Diggs
Min/10
195.2
33
35
QB
6
Drew Brees
NO/6
301.5
33
36
RB
14
Jordan Howard
Chi/5
183.9
32
37
WR
15
Demaryius Thomas
Den/10
192.6
31
38
WR
16
Brandin Cooks
LAR/12
191.0
29
39
RB
15
Joe Mixon
Cin/9
180.9
29
40
WR
17
Amari Cooper
Oak/7
190.8
29
41
WR
18
Golden Tate
Det/6
190.8
29
42
RB
16
Kenyan Drake
Mia/11
179.9
28
43
QB
7
Jimmy Garoppolo
SF/11
294.9
26
44
WR
19
Michael Crabtree
Bal/10
187.6
26
45
QB
8
Kirk Cousins
Min/10
294.2
26
46
QB
9
Alex Smith
Was/4
293.8
25
47
WR
20
Doug Baldwin
Sea/7
186.7
25
48
QB
10
Matthew Stafford
Det/6
293.0
24
49
QB
11
Carson Wentz
Phi/9
292.7
24
50
RB
17
Derrick Henry
Ten/8
175.8
24

It is interesting how the positions are fairly balanced, even with being a two-quarterback league. This represents the initial five rounds of a draft. As far as draft strategy, the values indicate a push to get as many of the top quarterbacks as possible and add running backs early in the draft before they become scarce. How does it change for the players 51-90? The 90 players represent the first half of the draft.

Rank
Pos
PosRank
Player
Team/Bye
FanPoints
VBD
51
RB
18
Alex Collins
Bal/10
173.6
22
52
WR
21
Allen Robinson
Chi/5
183.6
22
53
QB
12
Ben Roethlisberger
Pit/7
290.2
22
54
WR
22
JuJu Smith-Schuster
Pit/7
183.4
22
55
RB
19
Lamar Miller
Hou/10
172.5
21
56
WR
23
Jarvis Landry
Cle/11
181.5
20
57
QB
13
Andrew Luck
Ind/9
288.1
20
58
TE
3
Zach Ertz
Phi/9
177.2
18
59
QB
14
Jared Goff
LAR/12
285.9
17
60
WR
24
Marvin Jones
Det/6
178.5
17
61
QB
15
Dak Prescott
Dal/8
284.6
16
62
QB
16
Matt Ryan
Atl/8
284.4
16
63
WR
25
Alshon Jeffery
Phi/9
177.0
15
64
QB
17
Philip Rivers
LAC/8
283.2
15
65
QB
18
Patrick Mahomes II
KC/12
282.1
14
66
WR
26
Was/4
173.4
12
67
RB
20
Jay Ajayi
Phi/9
160.0
8
68
RB
21
Derrius Guice
Was/4
159.5
8
69
PK
1
Stephen Gostkowski
NE/11
156.8
8
70
RB
22
Isaiah Crowell
NYJ/11
158.9
7
71
WR
27
Devin Funchess
Car/4
168.1
6
72
WR
28
SF/11
168.0
6
73
RB
23
Rex Burkhead
NE/11
157.9
6
74
DEF
1
Jacksonville
Jac/9
155.6
5
75
WR
29
Emmanuel Sanders
Den/10
165.8
4
76
QB
19
Tyrod Taylor
Cle/11
272.1
4
77
RB
24
Tevin Coleman
Atl/8
154.7
3
78
RB
25
Dion Lewis
Ten/8
154.2
2
79
WR
30
Robby Anderson
NYJ/11
163.7
2
80
TE
4
Greg Olsen
Car/4
159.9
1
81
RB
26
Chris Thompson
Was/4
152.7
1
82
WR
31
NE/11
162.6
1
83
RB
27
Carlos Hyde
Cle/11
152.2
0
84
RB
28
Jamaal Williams
GB/7
151.9
0
85
DEF
2
Minnesota
Min/10
149.9
0
86
RB
29
Marlon Mack
Ind/9
151.7
0
87
TE
5
Jimmy Graham
GB/7
158.8
0
88
WR
32
KC/12
161.8
0
89
RB
30
Ronald Jones II
TB/5
151.7
0
90
QB
20
Marcus Mariota
Ten/8
268.4
0

The wide receivers and running backs are still balanced. With 20 quarterbacks off the board, it means that most teams are assumed to have drafted two already at the position. This mad rush of passers has pushed very good backs and receivers into extreme value situations. Check out the last two receivers in the list - Chris Hogan and Sammy Watkins. Each is a steal this late. The stellar options available in the middle of the draft show why it is best to gobble up quarterbacks and running backs early and hammer the wide receiver position in the middle rounds.

After running a few mocks, it became obvious that getting at least one, and possibly two, top players at the quarterback position is essential. There is no way to win your league if you are starting Eli Manning and Joe Flacco at the quarterback position. A team having two of the top seven fantasy options has a monstrous advantage. A shortage is quickly created. The wide receiver position is the opposite. The are several very good options available at wide receiver (like Jamison Crowder and Marquise Goodwin, among others) in the middle of the draft.

In the first five rounds, it would be best to have two quarterbacks, two running backs, and either another back or one wide receiver. The production certainty and VBD values drop off considerably after Roethlisberger (QB12) and there is no way the fantasy teams with the lesser pair of passers can compete with a Brady/Brees combination, for example.

In two-quarterback leagues, the tight end position becomes less valuable relative to the quarterback and running back positions. It is odd to see the studly Rob Gronkowski listed at player 21 overall and TE2 Travis Kelce at 33. Savvy owners should wait until the sixth round, or later, to address the position. There are more than ten quality tight ends, so you can afford to wait.

In summary, load up on ball carriers and passers early in the draft and only address wide receiver and tight after the talent falls off at the two primary positions.

Feel free to (email me) with feedback. Also, I am on Twitter (www.Twitter.com/JeffTefertiller), LinkedIn, and Google+, so you can ask me questions on one of these as well.