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Fantasy Football Mock Draft Journey Part 1: Landscape Assessment - Footballguys

Assessing the early landscape of 2018 fantasy football mock drafts

My process for developing an action plan for fantasy football drafts begins in the weeks following the NFL Draft. Depth charts have settled with the rookie additions. Average Draft Position (ADP) is still in flux but stabilizing by the day with a growing sample size. My first mock draft of the season I do not consult ADP or go into the draft with a plan of action. The goal is to feel out each position along the way and 'observe and report' the findings here. With the preamble out of the way, here are the results from this 12-team PPR mock draft:

*Mid-round (1.06) draft position*


I figured there was be a block of a few running backs at the top of the draft. My first decision was how low on the running back board to go before siding with a receiver like DeAndre Hopkins or Antonio Brown. As the picks began to roll in, I decided I would go receiver over Alvin Kamara and Saquon Barkley of note. The draft broke my direction, however, as it went Todd Gurley, Le'Veon Bell, Ezekiel Elliott, Alvin Kamara, and DeAndre Hopkins in the Top 5. Selecting David Johnson was a run to the podium no-brainer. I assumed he would go in the Top 5, leaving wide receiver and/or Alvin Kamara as realistic options. 

My first thought as Round 1 continued was taking running back is optimal in Round 1 as the landscape in Rounds 2-3 are dicier at running back than wide receiver.


My assumption from Round 1 was correct as the following running backs left the board by my 2.07 selection:

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