Greetings and welcome to Week 15! What follows is a weekly strategy guide covering the main slate of FanDuel guaranteed prize pools (GPPs). It will be available every Friday from now until the Super Bowl.
Thoughts on Chalk
Even though creating roster uniqueness has long been the default strategy for GPPs, there’s a reason why certain players hold the confidence of the public. Remember that fading a player simply because he’s popular checks in as one of the worst processes. You wouldn’t build a lineup full of chalk; nor should you ignore a great situation in the name of contrarianism. With that said, this section will be dedicated to finding reasons why you might consider fading the players listed below. Keep in mind that all of these players are expected to have big games, so outright fades are never recommended, and be sure to check out Steve Buzzard’s percent rostered projections.
QB: Andrew Luck - $8,100
Despite a challenging matchup, Luck tops our projected exposure percentages among quarterbacks. He’ll face a defense that has played incredible football down the stretch, effectively bailing out their shaky, mistake-prone offense numerous times. From a fantasy standpoint, the Cowboys have been strong, but not totally dominant, against quarterbacks. They’ve allowed 18.5 FanDuel points per game since Week 8, which puts them in about the middle of the pack. But Carson Wentz managed three scores last week, Colt McCoy managed two in Week 12 plus 268 yards, and back in Week 10, Wentz draped 360 yards and two scores on them while tossing one interception. They shut down both Drew Brees and Matt Ryan, but that’s not enough to scare us off.
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