Dynasty Trade Value Chart: September - Footballguys

Long-Term Player Value for Dynasty Leagues

The dynasty trade value chart is tailored specifically to a 12-team PPR league that starts one quarterback, two running backs, three wide receivers, one tight end and a flex. It is meant to serve primarily as a guide for trades but is also a great resource during startup drafts. If the players and picks on each side of the trade offer add up to approximately the same number, the trade should be considered even. If you receive a trade offer that sends you players with a higher total number value than the players you are giving up, it is a trade offer worth strongly considering.

Quarterback

Rank
Pos
Player
2018 Value
Future Value
Total Value
1
QB
Aaron Rodgers
3.5
10.5
14
2
QB
Deshaun Watson
3
11
14
3
QB
Carson Wentz
1.5
10.5
12
4
QB
Russell Wilson
2.5
7.5
10
5
QB
Cam Newton
2
6
8
6
QB
Andrew Luck
1
6
7
7
QB
Jimmy Garoppolo
1
6
7
8
QB
Patrick Mahomes II
1
6
7
9
QB
Matthew Stafford
1
5
6
10
QB
Marcus Mariota
1
4.5
5.5
11
QB
Kirk Cousins
1
4.5
5.5
12
QB
Tom Brady
2.5
2.5
5
13
QB
Drew Brees
2
3
5
14
QB
Ben Roethlisberger
1.5
3.5
5
15
QB
Jared Goff
1
4
5
16
QB
Dak Prescott
0.5
4.5
5
17
QB
Baker Mayfield
0
5
5
18
QB
Matt Ryan
1
3.5
4.5
19
QB
Lamar Jackson
0
4.5
4.5
20
QB
Philip Rivers
1
3
4
21
QB
Mitchell Trubisky
0.5
3.5
4
22
QB
Jameis Winston
0.5
3.5
4
23
QB
Derek Carr
0.5
2.5
3
24
QB
Sam Darnold
0
3
3
25
QB
Josh Rosen
0
3
3
26
QB
Alex Smith
1
1
2
27
QB
Case Keenum
0.5
1
1.5
28
QB
Andy Dalton
0.5
1
1.5
29
QB
Blake Bortles
0.5
1
1.5
30
QB
Ryan Tannehill
0.5
1
1.5
31
QB
Josh Allen
0
1.5
1.5
32
QB
Eli Manning
0.5
0.5
1
33
QB
Tyrod Taylor
0.5
0.5
1
34
QB
Sam Bradford
0.5
0.5
1
35
QB
Joe Flacco
0.5
0.5
1
36
QB
Nick Foles
0
1
1

The value at the quarterback position is generally the most stable and the lack of any significant movement in the month of August is further proof. We see a few small moves based upon changing 2018 projections but little has moved the needle from a longer-term perspective.

Quarterback Risers

Tom Brady and Drew Brees: The closer the season gets, the more dynasty owners are reminded of the short-term value the aging quarterbacks still maintain. Brady and Brees are still showing no signs of slowing down and are amongst the top options for the 2018 season. Brees is now surrounded by much better passing-game weapons than he was last season and should return to being an elite fantasy producer.

Quarterback Fallers

Carson Wentz: Long-term, little has changed and the recovery from last season’s ACL injury seems to be going well. However, Wentz’s redraft stock has definitely fallen on the news that he will start the season on the bench. Since the top few dynasty quarterbacks are so closely bunched in terms of value, Wentz’s falling redraft stock (the 2018 portion of his dynasty value) drops him from QB1 to QB3, just below Aaron Rodgers and Deshaun Watson.

Running Back

Rank
Pos
Player
2018 Value
Future Value
Total Value
1
RB
Todd Gurley
12.5
42.5
55
2
RB
Ezekiel Elliott
12
38
50
3
RB
Saquon Barkley
9.5
39.5
49
4
RB
David Johnson
12
36
48
5
RB
Le'Veon Bell
11.5
28.5
40
6
RB
Alvin Kamara
10
30
40
7
RB
Dalvin Cook
8.5
24.5
33
8
RB
Leonard Fournette
9
23
32
9
RB
Kareem Hunt
9
23
32
10
RB
Christian McCaffrey
8
24
32
11
RB
Melvin Gordon
9
19
28
12
RB
Joe Mixon
5
20
25
13
RB
Jordan Howard
5
17
22
14
RB
Devonta Freeman
6
14
20
15
RB
Royce Freeman
3.5
15.5
19
16
RB
Derrius Guice
0
18
18
17
RB
Kenyan Drake
5
10
15
18
RB
Sony Michel
2
13
15
19
RB
Kerryon Johnson
1.5
13.5
15
20
RB
Derrick Henry
4
10
14
21
RB
Rashaad Penny
1.5
12.5
14
22
RB
Alex Collins
4
8
12
23
RB
Tevin Coleman
2
10
12
24
RB
Nick Chubb
1
11
12
25
RB
Jerick McKinnon
0
10
10
26
RB
Jay Ajayi
3
6
9
27
RB
Mark Ingram
3
5
8
28
RB
Ronald Jones
1
7
8
29
RB
Lamar Miller
4
3
7
30
RB
Chris Carson
2
5
7
31
RB
LeSean McCoy
4
2
6
32
RB
Dion Lewis
2
4
6
33
RB
Rex Burkhead
2
4
6
34
RB
Jamaal Williams
2
4
6
35
RB
Chris Thompson
2
4
6
36
RB
Matt Breida
2
4
6
37
RB
Peyton Barber
2
4
6
38
RB
James Conner
0.5
5.5
6
39
RB
Carlos Hyde
2
3
5
40
RB
Tarik Cohen
1
4
5
41
RB
Duke Johnson
1
4
5
42
RB
Marlon Mack
1.5
3
4.5
43
RB
Marshawn Lynch
3
1
4
44
RB
Alfred Morris
2
2
4
45
RB
Aaron Jones
1
3
4
46
RB
Giovani Bernard
1
3
4
47
RB
Isaiah Crowell
1
3
4
48
RB
Corey Clement
1
3
4
49
RB
James White
1
3
4
50
RB
D'Onta Foreman
0
4
4
51
RB
Kalen Ballage
0
4
4
52
RB
Jordan Wilkins
1
2
3
53
RB
Austin Ekeler
1
2
3
54
RB
Nyheim Hines
0
3
3
55
RB
Chase Edmonds
0
3
3
56
RB
John Kelly
0
3
3
57
RB
Adrian Peterson
2
0
2
58
RB
C.J. Anderson
1
1
2
59
RB
Ty Montgomery
1
1
2
60
RB
Latavius Murray
1
1
2
61
RB
Bilal Powell
1
1
2
62
RB
Theo Riddick
0.5
0.5
1
63
RB
Kenneth Dixon
0.5
0.5
1

No position is anywhere near as volatile in terms of dynasty trade value as the running back position. Every season, we running backs go from dynasty afterthoughts to highly valued. Chris Carson, Peyton Barber, and Matt Breida aren’t quite there yet but might be on that trajectory. On the other end of the spectrum, we also see players who looked to have prime opportunities to emerge as lead backs fail to take advantage and never get the same chance again.

Running Back Risers

Christian McCaffrey: The jump in terms of positional rankings wasn’t massive — he leap-frogged past Joe Mixon up to RB10 — but in terms of trade value, McCaffrey saw a huge spike in the last month. McCaffrey received 89% of the snaps with the Panthers first-team offense in the preseason, making the idea of his operating as a true workhorse back much easier to believe. He is now right there in the top tier of second-year backs with a dynasty trade value equivalent to Dalvin Cook, Leonard Fournette, and Kareem Hunt.

David Johnson: Johnson’s brief appearances in preseason action were a reminder of how special he is as a talent. Plus, with the injuries along the Cowboys offensive line potentially slowing Ezekiel Elliott and some uncertainty surrounding Le’Veon Bell, there is now a strong case that Johnson is right there alongside Todd Gurley in terms of having the most short-term value in fantasy football. He belongs in the elite tier of players worthy of selection in the first handful of picks in a dynasty startup draft.

Jordan Howard: The hype around Tarik Cohen has died down significantly. In reality, Howard is poised to handle nearly all of the running back snaps for the Bears. Chicago has a chance to make a major leap offensively and the defense could also take a quantum leap forward, which would help provide game scripts favorable to Howard. With all the focus on finding the next big thing, it is easy to forget Howard is still just 23-years old himself.

Royce Freeman: In a brutal month for nearly all of the rookie running backs, Freeman was the lone exception. He looks likely to be the top option immediately for Denver. Freeman’s value will ultimately hinge on how many touches Devontae Booker or Phillip Lindsay will take away and whether he can emerge as a true three-down back.

Kenyan Drake: Drake looked fantastic in the preseason and recent comments from Adam Gase about the desire to feature Drake heavily, have caused his redraft value to creep up. In high stakes drafts, it is now common to see Drake go off the board as one of the first picks in the third round. The rise in short-term value also bumps Drake’s dynasty stock. Plus, he is only 24-years old and may have some real staying power as a lead back if he can just stay healthy.

Alex Collins: Like Drake, Collins seemingly cemented his workhorse role in August. Kenneth Dixon never really challenged and there appear few obstacles in the way of Collins having another strong fantasy season. The biggest question is whether Collins is talented enough to be an undisputed franchise back over the longer term or if Baltimore will be looking to add competition in the early rounds of an upcoming draft. Still 23-years old, Collins has the chance to make the RB1 position in Baltimore his for a long time.

Peyton Barber and Chris Carson: The two young veterans were able to parlay strong play in August into firmer locks on the starting jobs in Tampa Bay and Seattle, respectively. Just last season we saw Kenyan Drake and Alex Collins go from dynasty waiver wires to having serious dynasty value. Barber and Carson look to be the best bets to make similar emergences this season. Carson changed his body in the offseason and has been fantastic in camp. Barber has easily outplayed the competition and looks to have a firm grasp on the starting job.

Matt Breida and Alfred Morris: The injury to Jerick McKinnon gives Breida and Morris a prime opportunity to compete for the lead role in what could be one of the league’s most productive rushing offenses. Even before the McKinnon injury, the value of Breida and Morris was creeping up as the duo was reportedly out-performing McKinnon in camp. Of the two, Breida is most interesting because he has elite athleticism and is only 23-years old.

Running Back Fallers

Ronald Jones: Aside from Royce Freeman, it was a tough month for rookie running backs in general. Injuries have slowed the three first-round running backs (Saquon Barkley, Sony Michel, and Rashaad Penny) and ended the season of Derrius Guice, who seemed to be emerging as the clear RB2 in the class. Nick Chubb and Kerryon Johnson have stayed healthy but haven’t been able to make big moves up the depth chart yet. However, none of the rookie backs has seen his value plummet as much as Jones. To say Jones has struggled to prove his chops as a receiver is an understatement. Based upon what we’ve seen in the preseason, it would be a shock if Jones is ever able to carve out much of a role as a pass catcher. We are left with an undersized two-down back and it is hard to imagine a one-dimensional player with his physical dimensions ever being a true impact fantasy producer.

Jerick McKinnon: The season-ending ACL injury is a massive blow to McKinnon’s dynasty value. For non-elite running backs, the window to seize a lead role is never a large one. The stars have to align just right and things looked to be shaping up perfectly for McKinnon in San Francisco. Even assuming a successful recovery, the window may never be fully open for McKinnon again. Matt Breida or Alfred Morris could take the starting job and run with it. Or the 49ers could add an early-round running back to the mix in 2018.

Wide Receiver

Rank
Pos
Player
2018 Value
Future Value
Total Value
1
WR
DeAndre Hopkins
9
39
48
2
WR
Odell Beckham Jr
8.5
39.5
48
3
WR
Antonio Brown
10.5
27.5
38
4
WR
Michael Thomas
8
26
34
5
WR
Keenan Allen
8
26
34
6
WR
Davante Adams
7.5
24
32
7
WR
Julio Jones
8.5
21.5
30
8
WR
Mike Evans
6
24
30
9
WR
Tyreek Hill
6
22
28
10
WR
Stefon Diggs
5
20
25
11
WR
A.J. Green
7
17
24
12
WR
Amari Cooper
4
20
24
13
WR
Corey Davis
3
19
22
14
WR
T.Y. Hilton
5
15
20
15
WR
Jarvis Landry
4
16
20
16
WR
Brandin Cooks
3
15
18
17
WR
JuJu Smith-Schuster
3
15
18
18
WR
Allen Robinson
3
14
17
19
WR
Adam Thielen
4
11
15
20
WR
Josh Gordon
3
8
11
21
WR
Sammy Watkins
2
9
11
22
WR
Doug Baldwin
4
6
10
23
WR
Marvin Jones
3
7
10
24
WR
Cooper Kupp
2.5
7.5
10
25
WR
Alshon Jeffery
2
8
10
26
WR
Will Fuller
2
8
10
27
WR
Anthony Miller
1
9
10
28
WR
Courtland Sutton
1
9
10
29
WR
Golden Tate
3
6
9
30
WR
Marquise Goodwin
3
6
9
31
WR
Devin Funchess
2
7
9
32
WR
Nelson Agholor
2
7
9
33
WR
Kenny Golladay
1
8
9
34
WR
Michael Gallup
1
8
9
35
WR
John Ross
1
8
9
36
WR
Calvin Ridley
0.5
8.5
9
37
WR
D.J. Moore
0.5
8.5
9
38
WR
Demaryius Thomas
3
5
8
39
WR
Robby Anderson
2
6
8
40
WR
Jamison Crowder
2
6
8
41
WR
Mike Williams
1
7
8
42
WR
Chris Godwin
1
7
8
43
WR
Christian Kirk
0.5
7.5
8
44
WR
Chris Hogan
3
4
7
45
WR
Robert Woods
2
5
7
46
WR
TreQuan Smith
0
7
7
47
WR
James Washington
0
7
7
48
WR
Larry Fitzgerald
4
2
6
49
WR
Emmanuel Sanders
3
3
6
50
WR
Randall Cobb
2
4
6
51
WR
Sterling Shepard
1
5
6
52
WR
Dante Pettis
1
5
6
53
WR
Tyler Lockett
1
5
6
54
WR
Julian Edelman
2
3
5
55
WR
DeVante Parker
1
4
5
56
WR
Kelvin Benjamin
1
4
5
57
WR
Michael Crabtree
2
2
4
58
WR
Josh Doctson
1
3
4
59
WR
Cam Meredith
1
3
4
60
WR
Kenny Stills
1
3
4
61
WR
D.J. Chark
0
4
4
62
WR
Pierre Garcon
1.5
1.5
3
63
WR
Paul Richardson
1
2
3
64
WR
Donte Moncrief
1
2
3
65
WR
Deon Cain
0
3
3
66
WR
Taywan Taylor
0
3
3
67
WR
Keke Coutee
0
3
3
68
WR
Antonio Callaway
0
3
3
69
WR
Dede Westbrook
1
1
2
70
WR
Jordy Nelson
1
0
1
71
WR
Marqise Lee
0
1
1
72
WR
Martavis Bryant
0
1
1
73
WR
Dez Bryant
0
1
1
74
WR
DaeSean Hamilton
0
1
1

The biggest dynasty news at the wide receiver position in August was the continued emergence of a large group of young wide receivers. The much-maligned 2017 rookie class has a number of players showing the potential for breakout sophomore seasons. The rookie class is also exceeding expectations early with the 2nd and 3rd round draft picks emerging quickly as key contributors.

Wide Receiver Risers

Tyreek Hill: When the Chiefs made Sammy Watkins one of the highest-paid receivers in the league, it was expected Hill would see a decrease in targets. However, the preseason actually pointed toward the opposite being true. Patrick Mahomes has looked to Hill early and often and Hill looks like the obvious top dog in what could be one of the league’s most explosive offenses. It is now reasonable to expect another huge fantasy season from Hill, which would likely vault him up into the elite tier at the position.

Jarvis Landry: Many in the dynasty community overreacted to Landry’s trade to Cleveland, assuming a major decrease in targets. However, August has made clear that Landry is again likely to be a target hog with a solid chance of maintaining his career average of 100 catches per season. Baker Mayfield looks like the real deal, which also boosts Landry’s stock since he is locked up long-term in Cleveland.

Corey Davis, John Ross, Chris Godwin, and Kenny Golladay: With the exception of JuJu Smith-Schuster and Cooper Kupp, the 2017 wide receiver class disappointed last year. However, we saw in August the reason why the dynasty community was so excited about many of these young pass catchers. Davis looks like a potential breakout candidate and is someone who costs a fortune to trade for right now. Ross has been one of the breakout stars of the preseason. Godwin has been arguably the best receiver in camp for the Buccaneers and Golladay has been so good he may be making Golden Tate expendable.

Courtland Sutton, Michael Gallup, Anthony Miller, TreQuan Smith, James Washington, and Donte Pettis: The rookie wide receivers spent all spring and summer in the shadow of the rookie running backs, but it has been the receivers who have shined much more brightly over the past month. Sutton, Gallup, Washington, and Miller have each locked down starting roles in three wide receiver sets. Pettis and Smith have not emerged to the same extent but have shown signs an ascent up the depth chart is imminent and are well-positioned for long-term dynasty value in top offenses.

Wide Receiver Fallers

Martavis Bryant: Bryant is droppable in shallower dynasty leagues. Not only is he facing yet another long-term extension, but his upside if he ever is able to make a term is questionable as well. Bryant was having a tough camp on the field and the Raiders decision to cut him instead of retaining his rights is telling.

Marqise Lee: Early indications are Lee’s knee injury is severe enough that a full recovery is anything but guaranteed. Even if he does make a successful recovery, if Lee comes back even a half step slower it is hard to see him regaining much fantasy value in a suddenly crowded Jacksonville receiving room.

Tight End

Rank
Pos
Player
2018 Value
Future Value
Total Value
1
TE
Rob Gronkowski
6
14
20
2
TE
Travis Kelce
5
15
20
3
TE
Zach Ertz
4
11
15
4
TE
Evan Engram
2
10
12
5
TE
Trey Burton
2
6
8
6
TE
Hunter Henry
0
8
8
7
TE
David Njoku
1
6
7
8
TE
Mike Gesicki
0
7
7
9
TE
Jimmy Graham
3
3
6
10
TE
Jordan Reed
2
4
6
11
TE
Kyle Rudolph
2
4
6
12
TE
Greg Olsen
2.5
2.5
5
13
TE
Delanie Walker
2
3
5
14
TE
O.J. Howard
1
4
5
15
TE
Dallas Goedert
0
5
5
16
TE
Tyler Eifert
1
3
4
17
TE
George Kittle
1
3
4
18
TE
Jack Doyle
1
3
4
19
TE
Austin Hooper
1
3
4
20
TE
Austin Seferian-Jenkins
1
2
3
21
TE
Eric Ebron
1
2
3
22
TE
Hayden Hurst
0
3
3
23
TE
Cameron Brate
1
1
2
24
TE
Jonnu Smith
0
2
2
25
TE
Gerald Everett
0
2
2
26
TE
Charles Clay
1
0
1
27
TE
Mark Andrews
0
1
1
28
TE
Jordan Akins
0
1
1
29
TE
Chris Herndon
0
1
1
30
TE
Adam Shaheen
0
1
1

Tight end, like quarterback, has seen little real change in the last month. The biggest news is that the rookie class looks more ready to make an early impact than expected. We didn’t see any significant fallers over the last month.

Tight End Risers

Trey Burton: Burton made a huge leap up the dynasty trade value chart after landing in Chicago and continues to ascend. The injury to Adam Shaheen combined with Burton’s standout play in the preseason combine to make him an exciting option in the short-term. He also looks locked into a key role long-term in an emerging young offense.

Mike Gesicki and Dallas Goedert: It generally takes tight ends a couple years to really make an impact. Gesicki and Goedert are bucking that trend. Gesicki has won the starting job in Miami and has many believing he will lead the team in receiving touchdowns as a rookie. Goedert has been so impressive in the preseason, he has forced his way into what should be a significant role right away.