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Dynasty Rankings Movement, Week 16 - Footballguys

Footballguys staff rankings and the reasoning behind the movement

Each week, Footballguys staff members will share the big movers in their respective Dynasty Rankings. Since the contributors will rotate, please check in weekly. The focus of this article will be on the “why” more than the movement itself. Dynasty Rankings are fluid and we hope that sharing the rationale will help you in your quest to create dynasties with all your teams. The diversity of rankings will result in a variety of opinions weekly.

Quarterbacks

Parsons

Nick Mullens - Mullens has earned quite a bit of money in his spot starter time this season. He likely goes back to reserve status in 2019 but is one of the higher upside options on the NFL landscape and could be on the Case Keenum path to seeing more time as a starter down the line. Mullens is one of the rare 'hits' for Superflex dynasty owners taking a shot on a relative unknown seeing starting reps in-season and developing into a solid rostered asset.

Matthew Stafford - While his dynasty stock is waning through a tough season, Stafford is a clear buy recommendation in the offseason as he sags outside the top-18 or so quarterbacks. Stafford lost Golden Tate (trade), Marvin Jones Jr (injury) and Kerryon Johnson (injury) for chunks of the season and Detroit had minimal tight end presence all year. Detroit's offensive line and run game is improved from 2017 as a positive from this season and Stafford is a prime bounce-back candidate for 2019.

Wood

Baker Mayfield - Mayfield has been steady and in control, and the Browns are on the precipice of an 8-8 season. I haven't seen enough to think Mayfield is going to be an elite fantasy asset, but he's done enough to think he'll be the starter in Cleveland for years to come. The upside is too enticing to not move him into the QB1 fringes.

Mitchell Trubisky - Don't look now but the Matt Nagy experiment is a smashing success. The Bears are fifth in scoring, and the second-year quarterback is getting plenty of opportunities to throw the ball. He's got an enticing cadre of receiving and tight ends, and an offensive line that looks solid after struggling under prior coaches. The arrow is pointing up.

Josh Allen - Allen's lack of accuracy remains a concern longer term, but Allen is turning into the fantasy player Lamar Jackson was supposed to be (but isn't). Allen is running for 100 yards like it's commonplace, but not at the expense of throwing aggressively downfield. He's turned receivers like Jones and Foster into fantasy relevant pieces, which makes you wonder what Allen can do in a season or two once the supporting cast gets upgraded.

Alex Smith - Smith wasn't lighting the world on fire, but he was a steady presence and could be counted on for a high floor and low-end QB1 value in certain matchups. But, the gruesome leg injury leaves Smith's career in jeopardy.

Josh Rosen - Rosen was my favorite of the rookie quarterbacks coming into the season, and that's looking like faulty analysis with a few games to go. While you can't write Rosen off completely (remember how bad Jared Goff looked under Jeff Fisher), his demeanor and poor decision-making leave little to get excited about even with a changing of the coaching guard.

Aaron Rodgers - Rodgers falls from the No. 2 spot, but not far. If you can trade him to someone who still views Rodgers as the best quarterback in the NFL, do so right now. Father time is undefeated and not every quarterback can play at an MVP level into their late 30s, early 40s. We've watched Drew Brees and Tom Brady and mistakenly viewed that as the norm. Both of those quarterbacks benefit from a stable, proven, and elite supporting cast whereas Rodgers is looking at a coaching overhaul and questions up and down the roster.

Grant

Sam Darnold – Houston’s big win over the Jets and New England’s loss to Pittsburgh allowed the Texans to move into the bye week slot. This completely overshadowed the fact that the Jets put up a heck of a fight against the Texans and Sam Darnold had an impressive week for a rookie quarterback against one of the better defenses in the league. Darnold posted an impressive 253 yards passing, two passing touchdowns and added in another 35 yards rushing. He ran a decent two-minute offense that led to a passing touchdown to end the first half and opened the second half by marching the Jets down the field for another passing score. The Jets still have a long way to go, but Darnold is clearly their quarterback of the future and he has shown a couple decent games this season, giving dynasty owners hope for next year and beyond.

Josh Rosen – When the coaching staff made the decision to pull Rosen in place of Mike Glennon, that should be cause for alarm to any Rosen owner in dynasty leagues. The Cardinals were quick to re-name him the starter for next week against the Rams, but this should be a huge warning flag that Rosen’s future with the Cardinals is in question. The Cardinals had high hopes for Rosen as the starter, but he has done nothing but disappoint this season. Arizona has the distinction as being the worst offense in the league, and they have both David Johnson and Larry Fitzgerald. Rosen probably wasn’t on your radar but being replaced by Mike Glennon essentially shows how little confidence Arizona has in him for the future. Even in Superflex leagues where you can start two quarterbacks, Rosen shouldn’t be on your roster.

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