Projecting the Pros on DraftKings: Week 8

A guide to playing roster percentages like the pros.

NOTE: The pro projections below are first posted on Thursday, then updated on Saturday afternoon. On Thursday, commentary will be limited to early impressions. A more-detailed discussion of specific players will be added on Saturday afternoon.

Welcome back for Week 8 of Footballguys' new feature that uses a statistical model to project the roster percentages of "professional" tournament players on Draftkings. If you're curious about the full methodological details of the model, click here. The most important detail to keep in mind, however, is that the "professionals" in question were identified using a clustering algorithm and can be characterized by the following statement: Compared to the rest of the population, these 205 pros play more, they win more, and they do both consistently.


Below is the table for quarterbacks. In this and all subsequent tables, "Overall" is Steve Buzzard's projection of roster percentage. "Pros" is the model's projection of roster percentage for Draftkings pros only.

Quarterback Team Salary Overall Pros
Jared Goff LAR 6000 11.8% 14.5%
Patrick Mahomes II KC 7000 14.2% 13.5%
Ben Roethlisberger PIT 6100 10.9% 10.6%
Aaron Rodgers GB 6400 10.2% 10.5%
Andy Dalton CIN 6200 8.1% 7.0%
Jameis Winston TB 6000 7.0% 5.0%
Andrew Luck IND 6300 6.5% 4.7%
Matthew Stafford DET 5600 3.6% 3.9%
Derek Carr OAK 5200 2.6% 3.7%
Mitchell Trubisky CHI 6100 4.7% 3.7%
Case Keenum DEN 5100 3.7% 3.2%
Joe Flacco BAL 5300 1.8% 3.0%
Russell Wilson SEA 5900 3.0% 2.7%
Eli Manning NYG 4900 1.3% 2.6%
Cam Newton CAR 5800 2.4% 2.5%
Alex Smith WAS 5000 2.0% 2.3%
C.J. Beathard SF 4900 1.6% 2.2%
Josh Rosen ARI 4800 1.2% 2.0%
Sam Darnold NYJ 4500 1.2% 1.6%
Baker Mayfield CLE 5700 2.1% 0.8%

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