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Critical Tier Drops: Quarterbacks - Footballguys

Identifying the key value drop off points among 2018 quarterbacks

Each fantasy football season the landscape of the skill positions change. One year offers more depth, while another turns into a studs and duds feel with the available player pool. Dissecting key drop off points in a position's average draft position (ADP) is critical to maximizing draft day value. Here are the key pivot points for 2018 at quarterback:

The big four

While drafting a quarterback early in 2018 is less preferred than most years considering the historical depth of the position, there are four strong options at the position. Within the Top 5 of positional ADP, Deshaun Watson stands out as an avoid player. His historic touchdown rate, partial season success, plus returning from an injury likely to limit is rushing upside this season all point to a clear overvaluation at QB2 of ADP.

Surrounding Watson, however, is a sturdy quartet of Aaron Rodgers, Tom Brady, Russell Wilson, and Cam Newton. All have long-term success finishing near the top of the position and Newton, the most suspect passer of the group, has his best collection of weapons to-date with Torrey Smith and D.J. Moore added this offseason plus Greg Olsen (and 2017 Round 2 pick Curtis Samuel) returning from injury.

Beyond this cluster, there are more questions, like Carson Wentz returning from a knee injury and likely limited in his play-making and rushing acumen and Andrew Luck returning from a long layoff and will Drew Brees' volume return?

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