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Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread) Week 15

Weekly Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread). NFL Office Pool Cheat Sheet

Looking to dominate your office pool this season? Fifteen Footballguys.com staff members are here to help you out. Each week they will pick the winners of every NFL game, and rank their selections based on how confident they are that the team will win. The most-confident pick gets 16 points, and the least-confident gets just 1. We'll even total up everyone's picks so you can get an overall consensus on who our staff think will be the most likely winners. Each week we'll announce the weekly winners, and track the overall record for the entire season. A couple of things to note before we get to the picks:

  • Picks for this pool are straight up (no point spread considered).
  • Picks are due on Wednesday nights, and will not reflect any late-breaking news. If your league allows for last minute changes, please make adjustments to your office pool accordingly.
  • Our staffers also play in weekly picks Against The Spread, and Survivor Style 'Pick one Winner each week' formats as well. Check out the other weekly articles for more help with those type of games.

RESULTS FROM LAST WEEK

Another rough week for the overall leaderboard, but Keith Roberts managed to notch his third finish on top of the weekly board. Keith only missed five games in an otherwise rough week and managed his confidence points well enough to edge out Andrew Garda who also missed five games, but had two fewer points than Roberts. Well done.

Road Team
JAC
CAR
NYJ
NYG
ATL
NO
BAL
NE
IND
DEN
CIN
DET
PHI
PIT
LAR
MIN
Home Team
TEN
CLE
BUF
WAS
GB
TB
KC
MIA
HOU
SF
LAC
ARI
DAL
OAK
CHI
SEA
Staffer
The Picks
LW
Roberts
TEN
CLE
BUF
NYG
ATL
NO
KC
NE
IND
SF
LAC
DET
DAL
PIT
LAR
SEA
87
5
3
9
10
4
14
16
12
1
2
15
6
7
13
11
8
Garda
TEN
CLE
NYJ
NYG
GB
NO
KC
NE
HOU
DEN
LAC
DET
DAL
PIT
LAR
SEA
85
10
8
1
4
3
9
15
13
7
6
16
5
2
14
11
12
Tuccitto
TEN
CLE
BUF
NYG
GB
NO
KC
NE
HOU
DEN
LAC
ARI
DAL
PIT
CHI
SEA
83
7
3
8
9
1
14
13
12
11
5
16
2
6
15
4
10
Bitonti
TEN
CLE
BUF
NYG
GB
NO
KC
MIA
HOU
DEN
LAC
DET
DAL
PIT
LAR
SEA
83
7
5
3
8
6
15
14
2
13
12
11
4
1
16
9
10
Pasquino
TEN
CLE
BUF
NYG
GB
NO
KC
NE
HOU
DEN
LAC
ARI
PHI
PIT
CHI
SEA
82
11
3
2
7
4
15
13
12
9
10
16
1
6
14
5
8
Brimacombe
JAC
CLE
NYJ
NYG
GB
NO
KC
NE
IND
DEN
LAC
DET
PHI
PIT
LAR
SEA
82
3
9
2
8
12
13
11
10
7
14
15
1
6
16
5
4
Larkin
TEN
CAR
BUF
NYG
GB
NO
KC
NE
HOU
DEN
LAC
ARI
DAL
PIT
CHI
SEA
81
10
3
2
9
8
11
13
16
7
12
15
1
6
14
4
5
Knotts
TEN
CLE
BUF
NYG
GB
NO
KC
NE
HOU
SF
LAC
DET
DAL
PIT
LAR
SEA
78
8
3
9
7
6
12
16
15
13
5
14
4
2
11
10
1
Heiser
TEN
CAR
BUF
NYG
GB
NO
KC
NE
HOU
DEN
LAC
DET
PHI
PIT
LAR
SEA
76
13
12
14
10
9
16
8
6
5
11
15
4
3
7
2
1
Haseley
TEN
CAR
BUF
NYG
ATL
NO
KC
NE
HOU
DEN
LAC
ARI
DAL
PIT
LAR
SEA
76
10
5
6
9
2
15
11
12
14
4
16
1
8
13
3
7
Miglio
TEN
CLE
BUF
NYG
GB
NO
KC
NE
HOU
DEN
LAC
ARI
DAL
PIT
LAR
SEA
75
7
3
6
8
4
9
12
10
13
11
16
5
14
15
1
2
Grant
TEN
CLE
BUF
NYG
GB
NO
KC
NE
HOU
DEN
LAC
DET
DAL
PIT
LAR
SEA
72
7
1
8
5
10
12
11
14
9
13
15
2
3
16
4
6
Hicks
JAC
CLE
BUF
NYG
GB
NO
BAL
NE
HOU
DEN
LAC
DET
PHI
PIT
LAR
SEA
63
1
5
4
8
10
14
7
15
16
6
13
2
3
12
9
11
Settle
TEN
CAR
BUF
NYG
GB
NO
KC
NE
HOU
DEN
LAC
DET
DAL
PIT
LAR
MIN
62
8
7
6
5
11
10
9
15
4
15
14
3
2
13
12
1
Wimer
TEN
CAR
BUF
NYG
ATL
NO
BAL
NE
HOU
DEN
LAC
ARI
DAL
PIT
LAR
SEA
42
13
12
11
10
14
9
16
8
7
6
5
15
4
3
2
1
Away
JAC
CAR
NYJ
NYG
ATL
NO
BAL
NE
IND
DEN
CIN
DET
PHI
PIT
LAR
MIN
Total Pts
4
39
3
117
20
188
23
170
8
125
0
31
18
192
79
1
Home
TEN
CLE
BUF
WAS
GB
TB
KC
MIA
HOU
SF
LAC
ARI
DAL
OAK
CHI
SEA
Total Pts
116
43
88
0
84
0
162
2
128
7
212
25
55
0
13
86
Tot Conf Pts
120
82
91
117
104
188
185
172
136
132
212
56
73
192
92
87

Upsets by Miami and Oakland really took down a lot of points this week. Indianapolis, San Francisco and Chicago all did damage as well.

OVERALL RANKINGS

Brimacombe gained just a point on Larkin this week, showing just how tough it is to make a significant move at this point in the season. Tuccitto and Pasquino are still hanging on, but with just three weeks to go, they need to do more than keep pace like they did last week.

Staff Member
Wk01
Wk02
Wk03
Wk04
Wk05
Wk06
Wk07
Wk08
Wk09
Wk10
Wk11
Wk12
Wk13
Wk14
Wk15
Wk16
Wk17
Total
Larkin
88
80
84
85
98
106
72
97
73
64
45
110
92
81
1175
Brimacombe
81
97
75
80
98
91
85
88
75
67
46
97
86
82
1148
Tuccitto
80
91
76
95
78
104
61
98
64
68
55
100
92
83
1145
Pasquino
89
83
59
77
86
85
91
96
77
74
47
114
83
82
1143
Haseley
84
79
74
86
79
93
84
96
59
67
58
107
89
76
1131
Roberts
77
73
63
98
94
89
83
99
76
63
43
104
80
87
1129
Miglio
79
88
64
90
92
94
76
93
67
73
51
97
84
75
1123
Grant
83
70
54
81
90
85
80
95
72
73
51
92
90
72
1088
Heiser
68
96
71
75
73
80
88
93
72
69
49
95
80
76
1085
Bitonti
65
75
69
78
90
78
82
91
69
68
50
97
89
83
1084
Knotts
87
81
68
79
75
95
80
86
72
60
34
103
81
78
1079
Garda
85
53
70
71
89
89
89
93
75
71
40
86
79
85
1075
Hicks
87
75
62
78
93
92
62
89
60
83
32
92
97
63
1065
Settle
89
44
63
82
66
99
95
95
82
65
37
95
82
62
1056
Wimer
74
78
62
72
72
74
49
85
60
89
33
109
71
42
970

THIS WEEK'S PICKS

Here are the picks for this week.

Road Team
LAC
HOU
CLE
WAS
OAK
ARI
TEN
MIA
DAL
GB
TB
DET
SEA
NE
PHI
NO
Home Team
KC
NYJ
DEN
JAC
CIN
ATL
NYG
MIN
IND
CHI
BAL
BUF
SF
PIT
LAR
CAR
Staffer
The Picks
MNF
Miglio
KC
HOU
DEN
JAC
CIN
ATL
NYG
MIN
IND
CHI
BAL
BUF
SEA
PIT
LAR
CAR
53
14
15
12
8
5
10
6
11
2
7
13
4
9
3
16
1
Garda
KC
HOU
DEN
JAC
CIN
ATL
NYG
MIN
DAL
CHI
BAL
DET
SEA
NE
LAR
NO
60
5
6
8
2
9
10
4
11
12
7
14
1
15
3
16
13
Hicks
LAC
HOU
CLE
JAC
CIN
ATL
NYG
MIN
DAL
CHI
BAL
BUF
SEA
PIT
LAR
NO
47
1
4
7
16
2
3
11
14
5
12
15
6
13
8
9
10
Heiser
KC
HOU
CLE
JAC
OAK
ATL
NYG
MIN
IND
CHI
BAL
BUF
SEA
PIT
LAR
NO
56
16
15
13
12
11
10
9
8
7
6
4
3
2
1
14
5
Tuccitto
KC
HOU
DEN
JAC
CIN
ATL
TEN
MIN
IND
CHI
BAL
DET
SEA
PIT
LAR
NO
49
9
5
7
8
10
13
3
12
1
15
14
2
11
4
16
6
Larkin
KC
HOU
CLE
JAC
CIN
ATL
TEN
MIN
IND
CHI
BAL
BUF
SEA
NE
LAR
CAR
51
11
9
6
14
12
13
5
10
2
4
16
7
8
3
15
1
Knotts
LAC
HOU
CLE
JAC
CIN
ATL
NYG
MIN
DAL
CHI
BAL
BUF
SEA
NE
LAR
NO
46
7
16
6
4
5
15
8
14
1
13
12
2
11
3
10
9
Brimacombe
LAC
HOU
CLE
JAC
CIN
ATL
TEN
MIA
IND
GB
BAL
BUF
SEA
PIT
PHI
NO
50
5
12
6
13
7
11
8
4
10
2
14
9
15
3
1
16
Haseley
KC
HOU
DEN
JAC
CIN
ATL
NYG
MIN
DAL
CHI
BAL
BUF
SEA
NE
LAR
NO
50
12
11
14
9
6
13
2
7
4
5
8
1
10
3
15
16
Pasquino
LAC
HOU
DEN
JAC
CIN
ATL
TEN
MIN
IND
CHI
BAL
BUF
SEA
NE
LAR
NO
51
4
9
8
14
10
13
5
12
2
11
15
1
7
3
16
6
Roberts
KC
HOU
CLE
JAC
OAK
ATL
TEN
MIN
DAL
CHI
BAL
BUF
SEA
NE
LAR
CAR
49
9
14
3
11
2
13
8
7
6
10
12
5
15
4
16
1
Wimer
LAC
HOU
DEN
JAC
OAK
ATL
NYG
MIN
IND
CHI
BAL
BUF
SEA
PIT
LAR
NO
70
16
8
7
6
13
9
5
10
14
11
4
12
3
15
2
1
Bitonti
KC
HOU
DEN
JAC
CIN
ATL
NYG
MIN
DAL
CHI
BAL
BUF
SEA
NE
LAR
NO
53
8
12
2
11
10
16
3
5
6
9
14
1
15
4
13
7
Settle
KC
HOU
DEN
JAC
CIN
ATL
NYG
MIN
DAL
CHI
BAL
BUF
SEA
NE
LAR
NO
48
9
12
10
11
8
7
1
13
6
14
15
3
5
4
16
2
Grant
KC
HOU
DEN
JAC
OAK
ATL
TEN
MIN
DAL
CHI
BAL
DET
SEA
NE
LAR
NO
49
7
10
2
11
3
14
4
16
5
6
13
1
9
15
8
12
Away
LAC
HOU
CLE
WAS
OAK
ARI
TEN
MIA
DAL
GB
TB
DET
SEA
NE
PHI
NO
Total Pts
33
158
41
0
29
0
33
4
45
2
0
4
148
42
1
103
Home
KC
NYJ
DEN
JAC
CIN
ATL
NYG
MIN
IND
CHI
BAL
BUF
SF
PIT
LAR
CAR
Total Pts
100
0
70
150
84
170
49
150
38
130
183
54
0
34
182
3
Tot Conf Pts
133
158
111
150
113
170
82
154
83
132
183
58
148
76
183
106

HEAVY FAVORITES

Houston, Jacksonville, Atlanta, Baltimore, and Seattle were all unanimous choices by the staff this week. Minnesota, Chicago, the Rams, and Saints were all heavy favorites as well. Buffalo was the heavy favorite to win the game by the staff, but the game itself has the lowest total confidence points of any game, indicating that while they staff likes Buffalo, an upset wouldn't surprise anyone either.

DUAL SUPPORT

Pittsburgh may have the home field advantage, but the Patriots have a slight edge in confidence points this week. The same could be said for Dallas at Indianapolis. The Giants are a slight favorite at home against the Titans, but 82 total confidence points show that the staff could go either way on this one as well.

Good luck this weekend!