Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread) Week 14

Weekly Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread). NFL Office Pool Cheat Sheet

Looking to dominate your office pool this season? Fifteen Footballguys.com staff members are here to help you out. Each week they will pick the winners of every NFL game, and rank their selections based on how confident they are that the team will win. The most-confident pick gets 16 points, and the least-confident gets just 1. We'll even total up everyone's picks so you can get an overall consensus on who our staff think will be the most likely winners. Each week we'll announce the weekly winners, and track the overall record for the entire season. A couple of things to note before we get to the picks:

  • Picks for this pool are straight up (no point spread considered).
  • Picks are due on Wednesday nights, and will not reflect any late-breaking news. If your league allows for last minute changes, please make adjustments to your office pool accordingly.
  • Our staffers also play in weekly picks Against The Spread, and Survivor Style 'Pick one Winner each week' formats as well. Check out the other weekly articles for more help with those type of games.

RESULTS FROM LAST WEEK

Sometimes it's good to go against the grain. Andy Hicks notched his first weekly win last week with an impressive 97 point performance in a week of big upsets. Andy was the only staffer to pick the Cowboys to upset the Saints on Thursday, and he and Miglio were the only two people to back Jacksonville over the Colts. Hicks and Larkin tied for most correct picks with 11, but Hicks had better confidence point management. Well done.

Road Team
NO
IND
CLE
BUF
ARI
CAR
BAL
CHI
DEN
LAR
NYJ
KC
SF
MIN
LAC
WAS
Home Team
DAL
JAC
HOU
MIA
GB
TB
ATL
NYG
CIN
DET
TEN
OAK
SEA
NE
PIT
PHI
Staffer
The Picks
MNF
LW
Hicks
DAL
JAC
HOU
BUF
GB
CAR
BAL
CHI
DEN
LAR
TEN
KC
SEA
NE
PIT
PHI
61
97
5
6
4
7
13
3
8
2
9
10
1
11
16
12
14
15
Tuccitto
NO
IND
HOU
MIA
GB
CAR
BAL
CHI
DEN
LAR
TEN
KC
SEA
NE
PIT
PHI
49
92
4
9
12
3
14
2
1
5
8
13
7
16
15
6
10
11
Larkin
NO
IND
HOU
MIA
GB
CAR
BAL
CHI
DEN
LAR
TEN
KC
SEA
NE
LAC
PHI
37
92
12
10
8
3
14
6
4
2
5
16
7
15
13
9
1
11
Grant
NO
IND
HOU
MIA
GB
CAR
BAL
CHI
DEN
LAR
TEN
KC
SEA
NE
PIT
PHI
45
90
13
4
10
8
12
6
1
9
5
16
11
15
14
7
2
3
Haseley
NO
JAC
HOU
MIA
GB
CAR
ATL
CHI
DEN
LAR
TEN
KC
SEA
NE
PIT
PHI
43
89
13
1
10
2
12
3
6
8
7
15
11
16
14
9
5
4
Bitonti
NO
IND
HOU
MIA
GB
CAR
ATL
CHI
DEN
LAR
TEN
KC
SEA
NE
PIT
PHI
58
89
9
10
8
4
11
5
2
7
16
15
14
13
12
6
3
1
Brimacombe
NO
IND
HOU
MIA
GB
CAR
BAL
CHI
DEN
LAR
TEN
KC
SEA
NE
PIT
PHI
47
86
14
1
7
8
16
6
2
9
3
13
12
15
11
10
4
5
Miglio
NO
JAC
HOU
MIA
GB
CAR
ATL
CHI
DEN
LAR
TEN
KC
SEA
NE
PIT
PHI
51
84
14
1
13
10
11
5
2
8
3
15
4
16
7
9
12
6
Pasquino
NO
IND
HOU
BUF
GB
CAR
BAL
CHI
DEN
LAR
TEN
KC
SEA
NE
PIT
PHI
47
83
11
9
7
1
16
5
2
8
6
14
12
15
13
4
3
10
Settle
NO
IND
HOU
MIA
GB
CAR
ATL
CHI
DEN
LAR
TEN
KC
SEA
NE
PIT
PHI
44
82
11
2
12
9
16
10
3
7
6
14
8
15
13
1
5
4
Knotts
NO
IND
HOU
MIA
GB
CAR
ATL
CHI
DEN
LAR
TEN
KC
SEA
NE
LAC
PHI
45
81
7
15
14
10
12
11
1
9
3
13
8
16
6
5
2
4
Heiser
NO
IND
HOU
MIA
GB
CAR
ATL
CHI
DEN
LAR
TEN
KC
SEA
NE
PIT
PHI
44
80
7
14
12
11
10
8
6
9
5
15
4
16
13
3
2
1
Roberts
NO
IND
HOU
MIA
GB
CAR
ATL
NYG
CIN
LAR
TEN
KC
SEA
MIN
PIT
PHI
44
80
14
12
9
8
10
6
4
1
2
15
13
16
11
3
5
7
Garda
NO
IND
HOU
MIA
GB
CAR
BAL
CHI
DEN
LAR
TEN
KC
SEA
NE
PIT
PHI
45
79
10
9
8
7
14
12
5
11
4
15
2
16
13
3
1
6
Wimer
NO
IND
HOU
MIA
GB
CAR
BAL
CHI
DEN
LAR
TEN
KC
SEA
MIN
LAC
PHI
42
71
14
7
13
6
12
5
4
11
3
10
9
8
2
16
15
1
Away
NO
IND
CLE
BUF
ARI
CAR
BAL
CHI
DEN
LAR
NYJ
KC
SF
MIN
LAC
WAS
Total Pts
153
102
0
8
0
93
27
105
83
209
0
219
0
19
18
0
Home
DAL
JAC
HOU
MIA
GB
TB
ATL
NYG
CIN
DET
TEN
OAK
SEA
NE
PIT
PHI
Total Pts
5
8
147
89
193
0
24
1
2
0
123
0
173
84
66
89
Tot Conf Pts
158
110
147
97
193
93
51
106
85
209
123
219
173
103
84
89

There were several big upsets this week, with New Orleans, Indianapolis, Green Bay, Chicago, and Carolina all costing the board more than 90 points each. With 136 points possible, upsets of heavy favorites are going to have a big impact.

OVERALL RANKINGS

Larkin extended his lead to 28 points this week, and Pasquino slid back into 4th place with a solid performance from Tuccitto.

Staff Member
Wk01
Wk02
Wk03
Wk04
Wk05
Wk06
Wk07
Wk08
Wk09
Wk10
Wk11
Wk12
Wk13
Wk14
Wk15
Wk16
Wk17
Total
Larkin
88
80
84
85
98
106
72
97
73
64
45
110
92
1094
Brimacombe
81
97
75
80
98
91
85
88
75
67
46
97
86
1066
Tuccitto
80
91
76
95
78
104
61
98
64
68
55
100
92
1062
Pasquino
89
83
59
77
86
85
91
96
77
74
47
114
83
1061
Haseley
84
79
74
86
79
93
84
96
59
67
58
107
89
1055
Miglio
79
88
64
90
92
94
76
93
67
73
51
97
84
1048
Roberts
77
73
63
98
94
89
83
99
76
63
43
104
80
1042
Grant
83
70
54
81
90
85
80
95
72
73
51
92
90
1016
Heiser
68
96
71
75
73
80
88
93
72
69
49
95
80
1009
Hicks
87
75
62
78
93
92
62
89
60
83
32
92
97
1002
Knotts
87
81
68
79
75
95
80
86
72
60
34
103
81
1001
Bitonti
65
75
69
78
90
78
82
91
69
68
50
97
89
1001
Settle
89
44
63
82
66
99
95
95
82
65
37
95
82
994
Garda
85
53
70
71
89
89
89
93
75
71
40
86
79
990
Wimer
74
78
62
72
72
74
49
85
60
89
33
109
71
928

THIS WEEK'S PICKS

Here are the picks for this week.

Road Team
JAC
CAR
NYJ
NYG
ATL
NO
BAL
NE
IND
DEN
CIN
DET
PHI
PIT
LAR
MIN
Home Team
TEN
CLE
BUF
WAS
GB
TB
KC
MIA
HOU
SF
LAC
ARI
DAL
OAK
CHI
SEA
Staffer
The Picks
MNF
Miglio
TEN
CLE
BUF
NYG
GB
NO
KC
NE
HOU
DEN
LAC
ARI
DAL
PIT
LAR
SEA
47
7
3
6
8
4
9
12
10
13
11
16
5
14
15
1
2
Garda
TEN
CLE
NYJ
NYG
GB
NO
KC
NE
HOU
DEN
LAC
DET
DAL
PIT
LAR
SEA
50
10
8
1
4
3
9
15
13
7
6
16
5
2
14
11
12
Hicks
JAC
CLE
BUF
NYG
GB
NO
BAL
NE
HOU
DEN
LAC
DET
PHI
PIT
LAR
SEA
46
1
5
4
8
10
14
7
15
16
6
13
2
3
12
9
11
Heiser
TEN
CAR
BUF
NYG
GB
NO
KC
NE
HOU
DEN
LAC
DET
PHI
PIT
LAR
SEA
44
13
12
14
10
9
16
8
6
5
11
15
4
3
7
2
1
Tuccitto
TEN
CLE
BUF
NYG
GB
NO
KC
NE
HOU
DEN
LAC
ARI
DAL
PIT
CHI
SEA
49
7
3
8
9
1
14
13
12
11
5
16
2
6
15
4
10
Larkin
TEN
CAR
BUF
NYG
GB
NO
KC
NE
HOU
DEN
LAC
ARI
DAL
PIT
CHI
SEA
47
10
3
2
9
8
11
13
16
7
12
15
1
6
14
4
5
Knotts
TEN
CLE
BUF
NYG
GB
NO
KC
NE
HOU
SF
LAC
DET
DAL
PIT
LAR
SEA
48
8
3
9
7
6
12
16
15
13
5
14
4
2
11
10
1
Brimacombe
JAC
CLE
NYJ
NYG
GB
NO
KC
NE
IND
DEN
LAC
DET
PHI
PIT
LAR
SEA
43
3
9
2
8
12
13
11
10
7
14
15
1
6
16
5
4
Haseley
TEN
CAR
BUF
NYG
ATL
NO
KC
NE
HOU
DEN
LAC
ARI
DAL
PIT
LAR
SEA
43
10
5
6
9
2
15
11
12
14
4
16
1
8
13
3
7
Pasquino
TEN
CLE
BUF
NYG
GB
NO
KC
NE
HOU
DEN
LAC
ARI
PHI
PIT
CHI
SEA
47
11
3
2
7
4
15
13
12
9
10
16
1
6
14
5
8
Roberts
TEN
CLE
BUF
NYG
ATL
NO
KC
NE
IND
SF
LAC
DET
DAL
PIT
LAR
SEA
46
5
3
9
10
4
14
16
12
1
2
15
6
7
13
11
8
Wimer
TEN
CAR
BUF
NYG
ATL
NO
BAL
NE
HOU
DEN
LAC
ARI
DAL
PIT
LAR
SEA
48
13
12
11
10
14
9
16
8
7
6
5
15
4
3
2
1
Bitonti
TEN
CLE
BUF
NYG
GB
NO
KC
MIA
HOU
DEN
LAC
DET
DAL
PIT
LAR
SEA
49
7
5
3
8
6
15
14
2
13
12
11
4
1
16
9
10
Settle
TEN
CAR
BUF
NYG
GB
NO
KC
NE
HOU
DEN
LAC
DET
DAL
PIT
LAR
MIN
50
8
7
6
5
11
10
9
15
4
15
14
3
2
13
12
1
Grant
TEN
CLE
BUF
NYG
GB
NO
KC
NE
HOU
DEN
LAC
DET
DAL
PIT
LAR
SEA
46
7
1
8
5
10
12
11
14
9
13
15
2
3
16
4
6
Away
JAC
CAR
NYJ
NYG
ATL
NO
BAL
NE
IND
DEN
CIN
DET
PHI
PIT
LAR
MIN
Total Pts
4
39
3
117
20
188
23
170
8
125
0
31
18
192
79
1
Home
TEN
CLE
BUF
WAS
GB
TB
KC
MIA
HOU
SF
LAC
ARI
DAL
OAK
CHI
SEA
Total Pts
116
43
88
0
84
0
162
2
128
7
212
25
55
0
13
86
Tot Conf Pts
120
82
91
117
104
188
185
172
136
132
212
56
73
192
92
87

HEAVY FAVORITES

The Giants, Saints, Chargers, and Steelers are all unanimous choices this week by the staff. Tennessee, Buffalo, New England, Indianapolis, Denver and Seattle are all heavy favorites as well.

DUAL SUPPORT

Carolina at Cleveland is the closest game to call this week, with the Browns being a slight favorite to win at home. Detroit is a slight favorite on the road in Arizona, but that game has just 56 total confidence points, making it the lowest confidence game of the week.

Good luck this weekend!