Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread) Week 9

Weekly Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread). NFL Office Pool Cheat Sheet

Looking to dominate your office pool this season? Fifteen Footballguys.com staff members are here to help you out. Each week they will pick the winners of every NFL game, and rank their selections based on how confident they are that the team will win. The most-confident pick gets 16 points, and the least-confident gets just 1. We'll even total up everyone's picks so you can get an overall consensus on who our staff think will be the most likely winners. Each week we'll announce the weekly winners, and track the overall record for the entire season. A couple of things to note before we get to the picks:

  • Picks for this pool are straight up (no point spread considered).
  • Picks are due on Wednesday nights, and will not reflect any late-breaking news. If your league allows for last minute changes, please make adjustments to your office pool accordingly.
  • Our staffers also play in weekly picks Against The Spread, and Survivor Style 'Pick one Winner each week' formats as well. Check out the other weekly articles for more help with those type of games.

RESULTS FROM LAST WEEK

Given the fact that we had four teams on a bye last week, the scores were pretty high. Keith Roberts notched his first weekly victory by posting an impressive 99 points and missing only two games. Contrast that with Mark Wimer - who finished last in the weekly standings. Mark also missed just two games, but his confidence weights on those games were much higher than Keith's. It was a crazy week for sure.

Road Team
MIA
PHI
SEA
TB
WAS
NYJ
BAL
CLE
DEN
IND
GB
SF
NO
NE
Home Team
HOU
JAC
DET
CIN
NYG
CHI
CAR
PIT
KC
OAK
LAR
ARI
MIN
BUF
Staffer
The Picks
MNF
TOT
Roberts
HOU
PHI
DET
CIN
WAS
CHI
BAL
PIT
KC
IND
LAR
ARI
NO
NE
42
99
9
7
5
8
3
10
1
12
13
6
11
2
4
14
Tuccitto
HOU
PHI
DET
CIN
WAS
CHI
CAR
PIT
KC
IND
LAR
ARI
MIN
NE
49
98
8
7
4
9
6
10
1
14
12
2
13
5
3
11
Larkin
HOU
PHI
SEA
CIN
WAS
CHI
CAR
PIT
KC
OAK
LAR
SF
MIN
NE
41
97
10
11
2
7
6
8
5
12
13
3
9
4
1
14
Haseley
HOU
PHI
DET
CIN
WAS
CHI
CAR
PIT
KC
OAK
LAR
ARI
MIN
NE
42
96
11
8
3
9
6
7
4
10
12
1
14
2
5
13
Pasquino
HOU
PHI
DET
CIN
WAS
CHI
BAL
PIT
KC
IND
LAR
ARI
MIN
NE
47
96
10
6
4
8
7
9
2
13
12
5
11
1
3
14
Settle
HOU
PHI
DET
CIN
WAS
CHI
CAR
PIT
KC
IND
LAR
SF
MIN
NE
52
95
9
8
7
10
5
6
4
12
11
3
13
2
1
14
Grant
HOU
PHI
DET
CIN
WAS
CHI
CAR
PIT
KC
IND
LAR
SF
MIN
NE
48
95
12
7
6
8
5
9
2
10
11
4
13
3
1
14
Heiser
HOU
PHI
DET
CIN
WAS
CHI
CAR
PIT
KC
IND
LAR
SF
MIN
NE
56
93
11
10
9
8
7
6
5
4
13
3
12
2
1
14
Miglio
HOU
PHI
DET
CIN
NYG
CHI
CAR
PIT
KC
OAK
LAR
ARI
MIN
NE
52
93
12
8
6
9
2
7
5
11
13
1
10
4
3
14
Garda
HOU
PHI
DET
CIN
WAS
CHI
CAR
PIT
KC
IND
LAR
SF
MIN
NE
50
93
11
10
9
8
7
12
6
5
13
4
3
2
1
14
Bitonti
HOU
PHI
DET
CIN
WAS
CHI
BAL
PIT
KC
IND
LAR
SF
MIN
NE
45
91
9
4
6
7
8
14
5
13
12
3
10
2
1
11
Hicks
HOU
JAC
SEA
CIN
WAS
CHI
BAL
PIT
KC
IND
LAR
SF
NO
NE
50
89
3
2
4
7
5
10
6
1
13
9
12
8
11
14
Brimacombe
HOU
PHI
DET
CIN
NYG
CHI
CAR
PIT
KC
OAK
LAR
ARI
MIN
NE
49
88
11
6
7
8
5
10
4
9
13
3
12
1
2
14
Knotts
HOU
JAC
DET
CIN
WAS
CHI
BAL
PIT
KC
IND
LAR
SF
MIN
NE
47
86
11
1
6
9
2
10
3
12
8
7
13
4
5
14
Wimer
HOU
PHI
DET
CIN
WAS
CHI
CAR
PIT
KC
IND
LAR
ARI
MIN
NE
85
11
9
8
10
7
13
6
5
4
3
2
1
12
14
Away
MIA
PHI
SEA
TB
WAS
NYJ
BAL
CLE
DEN
IND
GB
SF
NO
NE
Total Pts
0
101
6
0
74
0
17
0
0
49
0
27
15
203
Home
HOU
JAC
DET
CIN
NYG
CHI
CAR
PIT
KC
OAK
LAR
ARI
MIN
BUF
Total Pts
148
3
80
125
7
141
42
143
173
8
158
16
39
0
Tot Conf Pts
148
104
86
125
81
141
59
143
173
57
158
43
54
203

Detroit and Minnesota were the biggest upsets of the week from the confidence point allocation, but it only cost the board 119 points. Overall, a pretty solid week for everyone.

OVERALL RANKINGS

Larkin extended his lead to 15 points as Brimacombe had a weaker performance this week. Tuccitto actually gained a point on Larkin, but still remains in third place, 27 points out of the top slot.

Staff Member
Wk01
Wk02
Wk03
Wk04
Wk05
Wk06
Wk07
Wk08
Wk09
Wk10
Wk11
Wk12
Wk13
Wk14
Wk15
Wk16
Wk17
Total
Larkin
88
80
84
85
98
106
72
97
710
Brimacombe
81
97
75
80
98
91
85
88
695
Tuccitto
80
91
76
95
78
104
61
98
683
Miglio
79
88
64
90
92
94
76
93
676
Roberts
77
73
63
98
94
89
83
99
676
Haseley
84
79
74
86
79
93
84
96
675
Pasquino
89
83
59
77
86
85
91
96
666
Knotts
87
81
68
79
75
95
80
86
651
Heiser
68
96
71
75
73
80
88
93
644
Garda
85
53
70
71
89
89
89
93
639
Hicks
87
75
62
78
93
92
62
89
638
Grant
83
70
54
81
90
85
80
95
638
Settle
89
44
63
82
66
99
95
95
633
Bitonti
65
75
69
78
90
78
82
91
628
Wimer
74
78
62
72
72
74
49
85
566

THIS WEEK'S PICKS

Here are the picks for this week.

Road Team
OAK
ATL
KC
DET
CHI
PIT
TB
NYJ
HOU
LAC
LAR
GB
TEN
Home Team
SF
WAS
CLE
MIN
BUF
BAL
CAR
MIA
DEN
SEA
NO
NE
DAL
Staffer
The Picks
MNF
Miglio
SF
WAS
KC
MIN
CHI
BAL
CAR
MIA
DEN
SEA
NO
NE
DAL
45
6
7
13
12
9
4
10
5
3
2
1
11
8
Garda
SF
WAS
KC
MIN
CHI
PIT
CAR
MIA
HOU
LAC
NO
NE
DAL
45
8
7
13
6
10
5
12
4
11
3
2
1
9
Hicks
SF
WAS
KC
MIN
CHI
BAL
CAR
MIA
HOU
LAC
LAR
NE
DAL
44
6
8
13
12
11
4
1
2
3
7
9
5
10
Heiser
OAK
ATL
KC
MIN
CHI
PIT
CAR
MIA
HOU
LAC
LAR
NE
DAL
46
10
9
13
11
12
6
5
4
2
3
8
7
1
Tuccitto
SF
WAS
KC
MIN
CHI
BAL
CAR
MIA
DEN
SEA
NO
NE
DAL
49
4
8
11
5
10
3
12
2
1
9
7
13
6
Larkin
SF
WAS
KC
MIN
CHI
BAL
CAR
MIA
DEN
LAC
NO
NE
DAL
40
6
5
13
7
12
2
11
9
3
1
4
10
8
Knotts
OAK
WAS
KC
MIN
CHI
BAL
CAR
MIA
HOU
LAC
LAR
NE
DAL
47
4
5
13
9
12
3
11
10
8
2
1
7
6
Brimacombe
OAK
ATL
KC
MIN
CHI
PIT
CAR
NYJ
HOU
LAC
LAR
NE
DAL
47
3
9
13
10
11
4
12
5
8
6
7
2
1
Haseley
SF
WAS
KC
MIN
CHI
BAL
CAR
NYJ
HOU
SEA
NO
NE
DAL
43
3
7
13
11
10
2
12
6
5
9
1
4
8
Pasquino
OAK
ATL
KC
MIN
CHI
BAL
CAR
NYJ
HOU
LAC
LAR
NE
TEN
43
1
4
12
10
13
2
11
8
6
5
3
9
7
Roberts
OAK
ATL
KC
MIN
CHI
BAL
CAR
MIA
HOU
LAC
LAR
NE
DAL
42
2
4
13
12
11
1
10
6
8
5
3
7
9
Wimer
SF
WAS
KC
DET
CHI
BAL
CAR
MIA
HOU
LAC
NO
NE
DAL
48
6
5
10
13
9
12
8
4
11
7
3
2
1
Bitonti
SF
WAS
KC
MIN
CHI
PIT
CAR
NYJ
HOU
SEA
NO
NE
DAL
48
3
7
12
9
13
5
11
1
6
4
2
8
10
Settle
OAK
ATL
KC
MIN
CHI
PIT
CAR
MIA
HOU
LAC
NO
NE
DAL
48
4
9
13
10
11
3
12
7
6
2
1
8
5
Grant
SF
WAS
KC
MIN
CHI
PIT
CAR
MIA
HOU
LAC
LAR
NE
DAL
46
6
7
13
9
10
2
11
5
1
3
4
12
8
Away
OAK
ATL
KC
DET
CHI
PIT
TB
NYJ
HOU
LAC
LAR
GB
TEN
Total Pts
24
35
188
13
164
25
0
20
75
44
35
0
7
Home
SF
WAS
CLE
MIN
BUF
BAL
CAR
MIA
DEN
SEA
NO
NE
DAL
Total Pts
48
66
0
133
0
33
149
58
7
24
21
106
90
Tot Conf Pts
72
101
188
146
164
58
149
78
82
68
56
106
97

HEAVY FAVORITES

This is a tough week from a confidence pool/pick'em prospective. The mix of heavy favorites is pretty normal - with Kansas City, Chicago, Carolina, and New England all being unanimous choices from the leaderboard. Houston and Dallas are also very strong favorites in their respective contests. But due to so many teams on a bye, even unanimous choices don't carry their usual weights.

DUAL SUPPORT

This week there are plenty of 'closer' games, where there may be a clear favorite, but the underdog also has a fair amount of support, and you should approach these games with caution. San Francisco kicks off the tonight as the favorite, but Oakland still has about a third of the total confidence points for the game. Washington is favored in their game against the Falcons, but Atlanta also has about a third of the total points. The Baltimore/Pittsburgh and Rams/Saints games were the toughest to call this week with only 58 and 56 total confidence points allocated for each contest respectively.

ODDS AND ENDS

Six teams are on a bye week so the maximum possible score drops down to just 91 points this week. It's going to be much harder to make any strong moves with so many points missing from the pool.

Good luck this weekend!