Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread) Week 8

Weekly Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread). NFL Office Pool Cheat Sheet

Looking to dominate your office pool this season? Fifteen Footballguys.com staff members are here to help you out. Each week they will pick the winners of every NFL game, and rank their selections based on how confident they are that the team will win. The most-confident pick gets 16 points, and the least-confident gets just 1. We'll even total up everyone's picks so you can get an overall consensus on who our staff think will be the most likely winners. Each week we'll announce the weekly winners, and track the overall record for the entire season. A couple of things to note before we get to the picks:

  • Picks for this pool are straight up (no point spread considered).
  • Picks are due on Wednesday nights, and will not reflect any late-breaking news. If your league allows for last minute changes, please make adjustments to your office pool accordingly.
  • Our staffers also play in weekly picks Against The Spread, and Survivor Style 'Pick one Winner each week' formats as well. Check out the other weekly articles for more help with those type of games.

RESULTS FROM LAST WEEK

Fewer games means lower possible points but that didn't stop Sean Settle from posting an impressive 95 points to give him his first weekly victory. Settle only missed two games - Jacksonville and Philadelphia and he only lost 10 points between the two of them. Very impressive performance.

Road Team
DEN
TEN
MIN
CAR
HOU
CLE
DET
NE
BUF
NO
LAR
DAL
CIN
NYG
Home Team
ARI
LAC
NYJ
PHI
JAC
TB
MIA
CHI
IND
BAL
SF
WAS
KC
ATL
Staffer
The Picks
MNF
Points
Settle
DEN
LAC
MIN
PHI
JAC
TB
DET
NE
IND
NO
LAR
WAS
KC
ATL
52
95
13
12
8
3
7
2
1
11
4
6
14
5
9
10
Pasquino
DEN
LAC
MIN
PHI
HOU
TB
DET
CHI
IND
BAL
LAR
DAL
KC
ATL
57
91
6
13
9
3
1
10
7
2
12
4
14
5
8
11
Garda
DEN
LAC
MIN
PHI
JAC
CLE
DET
NE
IND
NO
LAR
WAS
KC
ATL
50
89
11
12
9
10
4
2
3
8
5
7
14
1
13
6
Heiser
DEN
LAC
MIN
PHI
JAC
TB
DET
NE
IND
BAL
LAR
DAL
KC
ATL
64
88
3
12
11
4
10
6
8
7
5
2
14
1
9
13
Brimacombe
ARI
LAC
MIN
PHI
JAC
TB
DET
NE
IND
NO
LAR
WAS
KC
ATL
60
85
1
14
2
10
9
3
7
8
12
4
13
6
11
5
Haseley
ARI
LAC
MIN
PHI
JAC
TB
MIA
NE
IND
BAL
LAR
WAS
KC
ATL
51
84
1
10
7
9
5
11
4
8
6
2
12
3
13
14
Roberts
ARI
LAC
MIN
PHI
JAC
TB
MIA
NE
IND
BAL
LAR
WAS
KC
ATL
46
83
2
13
9
8
6
7
5
10
4
1
14
3
12
11
Bitonti
DEN
LAC
MIN
PHI
JAC
TB
MIA
NE
IND
BAL
LAR
WAS
KC
ATL
49
82
1
10
7
11
6
5
4
9
14
2
13
3
8
12
Grant
DEN
LAC
MIN
PHI
JAC
CLE
MIA
NE
IND
BAL
LAR
WAS
KC
ATL
56
80
11
12
9
7
6
4
5
2
8
3
14
1
13
10
Knotts
DEN
LAC
MIN
PHI
JAC
CLE
MIA
NE
IND
NO
LAR
WAS
KC
ATL
44
80
1
14
13
12
6
5
2
11
10
4
9
3
8
7
Miglio
ARI
LAC
MIN
PHI
JAC
TB
MIA
NE
IND
BAL
SF
WAS
KC
ATL
51
76
3
12
9
11
7
8
5
10
6
2
1
4
13
14
Larkin
ARI
LAC
MIN
PHI
JAC
TB
DET
CHI
IND
BAL
LAR
DAL
KC
ATL
45
72
7
13
8
9
10
3
5
4
12
2
11
1
6
14
Hicks
ARI
LAC
MIN
PHI
JAC
CLE
DET
NE
IND
BAL
LAR
DAL
KC
ATL
65
62
8
13
9
14
11
2
7
6
4
3
12
5
10
1
Tuccitto
ARI
LAC
NYJ
PHI
JAC
TB
MIA
CHI
IND
BAL
LAR
WAS
KC
ATL
49
61
4
8
3
6
13
12
5
2
9
11
10
1
7
14
Wimer
DEN
LAC
MIN
PHI
JAC
CLE
MIA
CHI
IND
NO
LAR
WAS
CIN
ATL
42
49
10
9
8
7
6
13
5
14
12
4
3
2
11
1
Away
DEN
TEN
MIN
CAR
HOU
CLE
DET
NE
BUF
NO
LAR
DAL
CIN
NYG
Total Pts
56
0
118
0
1
26
38
90
0
25
167
12
11
0
Home
ARI
LAC
NYJ
PHI
JAC
TB
MIA
CHI
IND
BAL
SF
WAS
KC
ATL
Total Pts
26
177
3
124
106
67
35
22
123
32
1
32
140
143
Tot Conf Pts
82
177
121
124
107
93
73
112
123
57
168
44
151
143

Jacksonville and Philadelphia took down almost everyone on the board this week, with Jeff Pasquino being the only guy to risk a single confidence point on Houston. Baltimore and Miami also hurt the board a bit, but both of those games were very low in total confidence points, leading to minimal impact.

OVERALL RANKINGS

Larkin remains at the top of the overall leaderboard, but his lead has shrunk to just six total points. Tuccitto had a rough week and he dropped to third behind another solid, consistent performance from Brimacombe.

Staff Member
Wk01
Wk02
Wk03
Wk04
Wk05
Wk06
Wk07
Wk08
Wk09
Wk10
Wk11
Wk12
Wk13
Wk14
Wk15
Wk16
Wk17
Total
Larkin
88
80
84
85
98
106
72
613
Brimacombe
81
97
75
80
98
91
85
607
Tuccitto
80
91
76
95
78
104
61
585
Miglio
79
88
64
90
92
94
76
583
Haseley
84
79
74
86
79
93
84
579
Roberts
77
73
63
98
94
89
83
577
Pasquino
89
83
59
77
86
85
91
570
Knotts
87
81
68
79
75
95
80
565
Heiser
68
96
71
75
73
80
88
551
Hicks
87
75
62
78
93
92
62
549
Garda
85
53
70
71
89
89
89
546
Grant
83
70
54
81
90
85
80
543
Settle
89
44
63
82
66
99
95
538
Bitonti
65
75
69
78
90
78
82
537
Wimer
74
78
62
72
72
74
49
481

THIS WEEK'S PICKS

Here are the picks for this week.

Road Team
MIA
PHI
SEA
TB
WAS
NYJ
BAL
CLE
DEN
IND
GB
SF
NO
NE
Home Team
HOU
JAC
DET
CIN
NYG
CHI
CAR
PIT
KC
OAK
LAR
ARI
MIN
BUF
Staffer
The Picks
MNF
Miglio
HOU
PHI
DET
CIN
NYG
CHI
CAR
PIT
KC
OAK
LAR
ARI
MIN
NE
52
12
8
6
9
2
7
5
11
13
1
10
4
3
14
Garda
HOU
PHI
DET
CIN
WAS
CHI
CAR
PIT
KC
IND
LAR
SF
MIN
NE
50
11
10
9
8
7
12
6
5
13
4
3
2
1
14
Hicks
HOU
JAC
SEA
CIN
WAS
CHI
BAL
PIT
KC
IND
LAR
SF
NO
NE
50
3
2
4
7
5
10
6
1
13
9
12
8
11
14
Heiser
HOU
PHI
DET
CIN
WAS
CHI
CAR
PIT
KC
IND
LAR
SF
MIN
NE
56
11
10
9
8
7
6
5
4
13
3
12
2
1
14
Tuccitto
HOU
PHI
DET
CIN
WAS
CHI
CAR
PIT
KC
IND
LAR
ARI
MIN
NE
49
8
7
4
9
6
10
1
14
12
2
13
5
3
11
Larkin
HOU
PHI
SEA
CIN
WAS
CHI
CAR
PIT
KC
OAK
LAR
SF
MIN
NE
41
10
11
2
7
6
8
5
12
13
3
9
4
1
14
Knotts
HOU
JAC
DET
WAS
CHI
BAL
PIT
KC
IND
LAR
SF
MIN
NE
47
11
1
6
9
2
10
3
12
8
7
13
4
5
14
Brimacombe
HOU
PHI
DET
CIN
NYG
CHI
CAR
PIT
KC
OAK
LAR
ARI
MIN
NE
49
11
6
7
8
5
10
4
9
13
3
12
1
2
14
Haseley
HOU
PHI
DET
CIN
WAS
CHI
CAR
PIT
KC
OAK
LAR
ARI
MIN
NE
42
11
8
3
9
6
7
4
10
12
1
14
2
5
13
Pasquino
HOU
PHI
DET
CIN
WAS
CHI
BAL
PIT
KC
IND
LAR
ARI
MIN
NE
47
10
6
4
8
7
9
2
13
12
5
11
1
3
14
Roberts
HOU
PHI
DET
CIN
WAS
CHI
BAL
PIT
KC
IND
LAR
ARI
NO
NE
42
9
7
5
8
3
10
1
12
13
6
11
2
4
14
Wimer
HOU
PHI
DET
CIN
WAS
CHI
CAR
PIT
KC
IND
LAR
ARI
MIN
NE
41
11
9
8
10
7
13
6
5
4
3
2
1
12
14
Bitonti
HOU
PHI
DET
CIN
WAS
CHI
BAL
PIT
KC
IND
LAR
SF
MIN
NE
45
9
4
6
7
8
14
5
13
12
3
10
2
1
11
Settle
HOU
PHI
DET
CIN
WAS
CHI
CAR
PIT
KC
IND
LAR
SF
MIN
NE
52
9
8
7
10
5
6
4
12
11
3
13
2
1
14
Grant
HOU
PHI
DET
CIN
WAS
CHI
CAR
PIT
KC
IND
LAR
SF
MIN
NE
48
12
7
6
8
5
9
2
10
11
4
13
3
1
14
Away
MIA
PHI
SEA
TB
WAS
NYJ
BAL
CLE
DEN
IND
GB
SF
NO
NE
Total Pts
0
101
6
0
74
0
17
0
0
49
0
27
15
203
Home
HOU
JAC
DET
CIN
NYG
CHI
CAR
PIT
KC
OAK
LAR
ARI
MIN
BUF
Total Pts
148
3
80
116
7
141
42
143
173
8
158
16
39
0
Tot Conf Pts
148
104
86
116
81
141
59
143
173
57
158
43
54
203

HEAVY FAVORITES

A lot of big lines from Vegas this week lead to a lot of heavy favorites. The Texans, Bengals, Bears, Steelers, Chiefs, Rams and Patriots are all unanimous picks by the staff. If you're in a confidence pool, all of these teams should be near the top of your board. Philadelphia, Washington, Detroit, and Indianapolis were also heavy favorites with just a couple of points being allocated to their opponents. With so much consensus with the picks, it's going to be difficult for anyone to move this week in the overall contest.

DUAL SUPPORT

After their big come from behind win last week, Carolina is a slight favorite over Baltimore but the Ravens have played very tough on the road and that has several people picking them to win. The Vikings are a home favorite as the Saints come to town, but New Orleans is running hot and several of the staff pick them to come in and upset Minnesota. The Least confident pick of the week is San Francisco at Arizona with less than three confidence points per staffer riding on the outcome and the 49ers a slight favorite.

ODDS AND ENDS

After seven weeks of football, the top two overall leaders are separated by less than 1 confidence point per week. This shows why it's not important to win every week, but it is critical to have a consistent, strong performance week after week. By the end of the season, don't be surprised if Larkin and Brimacombe are separated by just a couple of games in week 17.

Four teams are on a bye this week, dropping the maximum possible score to just 105 confidence points.

Good luck this weekend!