Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread) Week 7

Weekly Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread). NFL Office Pool Cheat Sheet

Looking to dominate your office pool this season? Fifteen Footballguys.com staff members are here to help you out. Each week they will pick the winners of every NFL game, and rank their selections based on how confident they are that the team will win. The most-confident pick gets 16 points, and the least-confident gets just 1. We'll even total up everyone's picks so you can get an overall consensus on who our staff think will be the most likely winners. Each week we'll announce the weekly winners, and track the overall record for the entire season. A couple of things to note before we get to the picks:

  • Picks for this pool are straight up (no point spread considered).
  • Picks are due on Wednesday nights, and will not reflect any late-breaking news. If your league allows for last minute changes, please make adjustments to your office pool accordingly.
  • Our staffers also play in weekly picks Against The Spread, and Survivor Style 'Pick one Winner each week' formats as well. Check out the other weekly articles for more help with those type of games.

RESULTS FROM LAST WEEK

Record scores from the top of the leaderboard as a couple of the staff crack 100 for the first time this season. Danny Tuccitto only missed the Panthers and the Bengals this week, posting an impressive 104 points out of a possible 120. However, despite missing both of those games and the Colts, our overall leader Dave Larkin finished with 106 points for the week. Pretty impressive given some of the upsets that happened this week.

Road Team
PHI
LAC
BUF
CAR
CHI
PIT
SEA
IND
ARI
TB
LAR
BAL
JAC
KC
SF
Home Team
NYG
CLE
HOU
WAS
MIA
CIN
OAK
NYJ
MIN
ATL
DEN
TEN
DAL
NE
GB
Staffer
The Picks
MNF
LW
Larkin
PHI
LAC
HOU
CAR
MIA
CIN
SEA
IND
MIN
ATL
LAR
BAL
DAL
NE
GB
48
106
10
12
13
7
5
3
6
4
15
11
9
2
1
8
14
Tuccitto
PHI
LAC
HOU
CAR
MIA
CIN
SEA
NYJ
MIN
ATL
LAR
BAL
DAL
NE
GB
49
104
8
1
9
13
4
3
5
14
12
15
10
2
6
7
11
Settle
PHI
LAC
HOU
CAR
CHI
PIT
SEA
NYJ
MIN
ATL
LAR
BAL
JAC
NE
GB
45
99
11
10
12
8
9
1
7
6
13
5
14
3
4
2
15
Knotts
NYG
CLE
HOU
WAS
MIA
CIN
SEA
IND
MIN
ATL
LAR
BAL
DAL
NE
GB
48
95
10
6
15
5
7
8
9
1
14
11
13
4
3
2
12
Miglio
PHI
CLE
HOU
WAS
MIA
CIN
SEA
NYJ
MIN
ATL
LAR
TEN
JAC
NE
GB
49
94
14
9
8
4
2
6
11
5
15
3
13
1
10
7
12
Haseley
PHI
CLE
HOU
CAR
CHI
CIN
SEA
NYJ
MIN
ATL
LAR
BAL
JAC
NE
GB
46
93
11
8
9
5
10
3
2
12
15
6
14
4
1
7
13
Hicks
PHI
CLE
HOU
WAS
CHI
CIN
OAK
NYJ
MIN
TB
LAR
BAL
JAC
NE
GB
58
92
10
6
13
3
4
8
2
5
14
1
12
11
7
9
15
Brimacombe
PHI
LAC
HOU
CAR
CHI
PIT
OAK
IND
MIN
ATL
LAR
BAL
JAC
NE
GB
50
91
8
4
13
5
10
3
1
2
14
9
12
6
11
7
15
Roberts
NYG
LAC
HOU
CAR
CHI
PIT
SEA
NYJ
MIN
ATL
LAR
TEN
JAC
KC
GB
46
89
3
5
12
10
9
4
11
8
14
7
15
1
6
2
13
Garda
PHI
LAC
HOU
CAR
CHI
CIN
SEA
NYJ
MIN
ATL
LAR
BAL
JAC
NE
GB
50
89
12
11
8
9
5
7
2
6
13
3
14
1
10
4
15
Pasquino
PHI
LAC
HOU
CAR
CHI
CIN
SEA
NYJ
MIN
ATL
LAR
BAL
JAC
KC
GB
43
85
3
8
14
12
10
5
9
13
15
7
11
1
6
2
4
Grant
PHI
LAC
HOU
CAR
CHI
CIN
SEA
NYJ
MIN
ATL
LAR
TEN
JAC
KC
GB
48
85
2
8
15
10
7
5
6
4
13
11
14
3
9
1
12
Heiser
PHI
LAC
HOU
CAR
CHI
CIN
SEA
IND
MIN
ATL
LAR
BAL
JAC
KC
GB
48
80
13
3
12
11
10
9
8
7
6
5
14
4
2
1
15
Bitonti
NYG
LAC
HOU
CAR
CHI
PIT
SEA
NYJ
MIN
ATL
LAR
TEN
JAC
NE
GB
52
78
2
4
8
12
11
5
6
10
9
7
15
3
14
1
13
Wimer
PHI
LAC
HOU
CAR
CHI
CIN
OAK
NYJ
MIN
ATL
LAR
TEN
JAC
NE
GB
52
74
5
4
12
11
15
3
2
10
13
1
9
8
7
6
14
Away
PHI
LAC
BUF
CAR
CHI
PIT
SEA
IND
ARI
TB
LAR
BAL
JAC
KC
SF
Total Pts
107
70
0
113
100
13
82
14
0
1
189
38
87
6
0
Home
NYG
CLE
HOU
WAS
MIA
CIN
OAK
NYJ
MIN
ATL
DEN
TEN
DAL
NE
GB
Total Pts
15
29
173
12
18
60
5
93
195
101
0
16
10
60
193
Tot Conf Pts
122
99
173
125
118
73
87
107
195
102
189
54
97
66
193

As mentioned above, the Panthers and Bengals both lost this week, costing the staff 173 points on those two games alone. Add in the Chicago and Jacksonville losses, and a total of 360 confidence points were lost on just 4 games.

OVERALL RANKINGS

Larkin recorded his second weekly victory and extended his lead in the overall contest to 17 points. Tuccitto moved into second place, passing Brimacombe because he only scored 91 points this week. As we start to head into the bye weeks where four teams are off each week, it's going to be harder and harder to make big moves in the overall contest.

Staff Member
Wk01
Wk02
Wk03
Wk04
Wk05
Wk06
Wk07
Wk08
Wk09
Wk10
Wk11
Wk12
Wk13
Wk14
Wk15
Wk16
Wk17
Total
Larkin
88
80
84
85
98
106
541
Tuccitto
80
91
76
95
78
104
524
Brimacombe
81
97
75
80
98
91
522
Miglio
79
88
64
90
92
94
507
Haseley
84
79
74
86
79
93
495
Roberts
77
73
63
98
94
89
494
Hicks
87
75
62
78
93
92
487
Knotts
87
81
68
79
75
95
485
Pasquino
89
83
59
77
86
85
479
Heiser
68
96
71
75
73
80
463
Grant
83
70
54
81
90
85
463
Garda
85
53
70
71
89
89
457
Bitonti
65
75
69
78
90
78
455
Settle
89
44
63
82
66
99
443
Wimer
74
78
62
72
72
74
432

THIS WEEK'S PICKS

Here are the picks for this week.

Road Team
DEN
TEN
MIN
CAR
HOU
CLE
DET
NE
BUF
NO
LAR
DAL
CIN
NYG
Home Team
ARI
LAC
NYJ
PHI
JAC
TB
MIA
CHI
IND
BAL
SF
WAS
KC
ATL
Staffer
The Picks
MNF
LW
Miglio
ARI
LAC
MIN
PHI
JAC
TB
MIA
NE
IND
BAL
SF
WAS
KC
ATL
51
105
3
12
9
11
7
8
5
10
6
2
1
4
13
14
Garda
DEN
LAC
MIN
PHI
JAC
CLE
DET
NE
IND
NO
LAR
WAS
KC
ATL
50
105
11
12
9
10
4
2
3
8
5
7
14
1
13
6
Hicks
ARI
LAC
MIN
PHI
JAC
CLE
DET
NE
IND
BAL
LAR
DAL
KC
ATL
65
105
8
13
9
14
11
2
7
6
4
3
12
5
10
1
Heiser
DEN
LAC
MIN
PHI
JAC
TB
DET
NE
IND
BAL
LAR
DAL
KC
ATL
64
105
3
12
11
4
10
6
8
7
5
2
14
1
9
13
Tuccitto
ARI
LAC
NYJ
PHI
JAC
TB
MIA
CHI
IND
BAL
LAR
WAS
KC
ATL
49
105
4
8
3
6
13
12
5
2
9
11
10
1
7
14
Larkin
ARI
LAC
MIN
PHI
JAC
TB
DET
CHI
IND
BAL
LAR
DAL
KC
ATL
45
105
7
13
8
9
10
3
5
4
12
2
11
1
6
14
Knotts
DEN
LAC
MIN
PHI
JAC
CLE
MIA
NE
IND
NO
LAR
WAS
KC
ATL
44
105
1
14
13
12
6
5
2
11
10
4
9
3
8
7
Brimacombe
ARI
LAC
MIN
PHI
JAC
TB
DET
NE
IND
NO
LAR
WAS
KC
ATL
60
105
1
14
2
10
9
3
7
8
12
4
13
6
11
5
Haseley
ARI
LAC
MIN
PHI
JAC
TB
MIA
NE
IND
BAL
LAR
WAS
KC
ATL
51
105
1
10
7
9
5
11
4
8
6
2
12
3
13
14
Pasquino
DEN
LAC
MIN
PHI
HOU
TB
DET
CHI
IND
BAL
LAR
DAL
KC
ATL
57
105
6
13
9
3
1
10
7
2
12
4
14
5
8
11
Roberts
ARI
LAC
MIN
PHI
JAC
TB
MIA
NE
IND
BAL
LAR
WAS
KC
ATL
46
105
2
13
9
8
6
7
5
10
4
1
14
3
12
11
Wimer
DEN
LAC
MIN
PHI
JAC
CLE
MIA
CHI
IND
NO
LAR
WAS
CIN
ATL
42
105
10
9
8
7
6
13
5
14
12
4
3
2
11
1
Bitonti
DEN
LAC
MIN
PHI
JAC
TB
MIA
NE
IND
BAL
LAR
WAS
KC
ATL
49
105
1
10
7
11
6
5
4
9
14
2
13
3
8
12
Settle
DEN
LAC
MIN
PHI
JAC
TB
DET
NE
IND
NO
LAR
WAS
KC
ATL
52
105
13
12
8
3
7
2
1
11
4
6
14
5
9
10
Grant
DEN
LAC
MIN
PHI
JAC
CLE
MIA
NE
IND
BAL
LAR
WAS
KC
ATL
56
105
11
12
9
7
6
4
5
2
8
3
14
1
13
10
Away
DEN
TEN
MIN
CAR
HOU
CLE
DET
NE
BUF
NO
LAR
DAL
CIN
NYG
Total Pts
56
0
118
0
1
26
38
90
0
25
167
12
11
0
Home
ARI
LAC
NYJ
PHI
JAC
TB
MIA
CHI
IND
BAL
SF
WAS
KC
ATL
Total Pts
26
177
3
124
106
67
35
22
123
32
1
32
140
143
Tot Conf Pts
82
177
121
124
107
93
73
112
123
57
168
44
151
143

HEAVY FAVORITES

This week we only had four unanimous selections by the entire staff. The Chargers, Eagles, Colts, and Falcons were all picked to win by everyone in this weeks' contest. The Vikings, Jaguars, and Rams were also picked by a majority of the board, giving us seven teams out of 14 games that are heavy favorites.

DUAL SUPPORT

Detroit returns from their bye week and heads to Miami where the Bears dropped a tough loss under the same circumstances the week before. As Brock Osweiler will be under center for the Dolphins again, the staff had a hard time with this game - picking the Lions as a slight favorite: 38 to 35. Dallas travels to Washington in a hated division matchup of two teams that blow hot and cold this season. Washington has slightly more support than Dallas does this week, but the entire game had just 44 total confidence points wagered on it - this week's lowest match. New Orleans returns from a bye to face a Baltimore defense that set a franchise record for sacks in a single game against Tennessee last week. Teams returning from a bye are 1-3 so far, with Carolina narrowly winning their game on a 60+ yard field goal as time expired. The Saints and the Lions will try to reverse that trend, but the staff clearly don't trust either team.

ODDS AND ENDS

Four teams are on a bye this week, dropping the maximum possible score to just 105 confidence points.

Good luck this weekend!