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Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread) Week 6

Weekly Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread). NFL Office Pool Cheat Sheet

Looking to dominate your office pool this season? Fifteen Footballguys.com staff members are here to help you out. Each week they will pick the winners of every NFL game, and rank their selections based on how confident they are that the team will win. The most-confident pick gets 16 points, and the least-confident gets just 1. We'll even total up everyone's picks so you can get an overall consensus on who our staff think will be the most likely winners. Each week we'll announce the weekly winners, and track the overall record for the entire season. A couple of things to note before we get to the picks:

  • Picks for this pool are straight up (no point spread considered).
  • Picks are due on Wednesday nights, and will not reflect any late-breaking news. If your league allows for last minute changes, please make adjustments to your office pool accordingly.
  • Our staffers also play in weekly picks Against The Spread, and Survivor Style 'Pick one Winner each week' formats as well. Check out the other weekly articles for more help with those type of games.

RESULTS FROM LAST WEEK

Well, the scores were a little better last week with seven staffers scoring more than 90 points. Dave Larkin had the best scorecard this week, only missing three games and scoring 98 points. However, James Brimacombe had better confidence point balancing and also scored 98 points despite missing four games instead of three. When it came to the tie-breaker, the Monday night game was a blowout and the final score was New Orleans 43 - Washington 19 for a combined total of 62 points. Brimacombe's guess of 55 was closer than Larkin's guess of 51 so Brimacombe took home his second victory of the season. Well done guys.

Road Team
IND
TEN
NYG
MIA
JAC
ATL
DEN
GB
BAL
OAK
LAR
ARI
MIN
DAL
WAS
Home Team
NE
BUF
CAR
CIN
KC
PIT
NYJ
DET
CLE
LAC
SEA
SF
PHI
HOU
NO
Staffer
The Picks
MNF
LW
Brimacombe
NE
TEN
CAR
CIN
KC
PIT
DEN
DET
CLE
LAC
LAR
SF
PHI
HOU
NO
55
98
15
4
11
14
6
5
7
3
2
13
12
10
1
9
8
Larkin
NE
BUF
CAR
CIN
KC
PIT
NYJ
GB
BAL
LAC
LAR
SF
MIN
HOU
NO
51
98
15
1
14
12
11
10
2
8
9
6
7
5
3
4
13
Roberts
NE
TEN
CAR
CIN
KC
ATL
DEN
DET
BAL
LAC
LAR
ARI
PHI
HOU
NO
94
13
8
14
12
9
3
6
1
5
10
15
2
4
7
11
Hicks
NE
BUF
CAR
CIN
JAC
PIT
NYJ
GB
CLE
LAC
LAR
ARI
MIN
DAL
NO
93
15
1
2
10
9
8
3
7
4
14
13
6
5
11
12
Miglio
NE
TEN
CAR
CIN
KC
PIT
DEN
DET
CLE
LAC
LAR
SF
PHI
HOU
NO
92
15
11
13
9
10
4
6
1
2
5
12
8
3
7
14
Grant
NE
TEN
CAR
CIN
KC
PIT
DEN
GB
BAL
LAC
LAR
ARI
PHI
DAL
NO
90
15
11
13
14
8
7
3
5
4
12
10
2
6
1
9
Bitonti
NE
TEN
CAR
CIN
KC
PIT
NYJ
GB
BAL
LAC
LAR
SF
MIN
HOU
NO
90
15
10
14
13
6
7
1
9
8
11
4
3
2
5
12
Garda
NE
TEN
CAR
CIN
KC
ATL
DEN
GB
CLE
LAC
LAR
ARI
PHI
HOU
NO
89
12
11
10
9
8
7
6
5
4
13
15
3
2
1
14
Pasquino
NE
TEN
CAR
CIN
KC
PIT
DEN
GB
BAL
LAC
LAR
SF
PHI
HOU
NO
86
15
10
14
9
8
6
5
2
12
11
13
4
1
3
7
Haseley
NE
TEN
CAR
CIN
KC
ATL
NYJ
DET
BAL
LAC
LAR
SF
PHI
DAL
NO
79
15
5
14
13
7
2
1
6
12
3
11
8
10
4
9
Tuccitto
NE
TEN
CAR
CIN
KC
PIT
NYJ
DET
BAL
LAC
LAR
SF
PHI
DAL
NO
78
14
6
15
4
9
3
2
7
11
13
1
8
12
5
10
Knotts
IND
TEN
CAR
CIN
KC
ATL
DEN
DET
BAL
LAC
LAR
ARI
MIN
DAL
NO
75
15
8
11
10
2
1
9
4
5
13
12
6
3
7
14
Heiser
NE
TEN
CAR
CIN
KC
ATL
DEN
GB
BAL
LAC
LAR
SF
MIN
HOU
NO
73
14
13
12
11
10
7
9
8
6
5
15
4
3
2
1
Wimer
NE
BUF
CAR
CIN
JAC
ATL
DEN
GB
BAL
LAC
LAR
SF
MIN
HOU
NO
72
6
5
14
10
13
12
4
3
9
11
15
7
2
1
8
Settle
NE
TEN
CAR
CIN
JAC
ATL
DEN
GB
BAL
LAC
LAR
SF
PHI
HOU
NO
66
15
14
13
12
1
2
11
3
10
8
9
7
6
5
4
Away
IND
TEN
NYG
MIA
JAC
ATL
DEN
GB
BAL
OAK
LAR
ARI
MIN
DAL
WAS
Total Pts
15
111
0
0
23
34
66
50
91
0
164
19
18
28
0
Home
NE
BUF
CAR
CIN
KC
PIT
NYJ
DET
CLE
LAC
SEA
SF
PHI
HOU
NO
Total Pts
194
7
184
162
94
50
9
22
12
148
0
64
45
44
146
Tot Conf Pts
209
118
184
162
117
84
75
72
103
148
164
83
63
72
146

Taking the home team was the way to go this week, and 12 of the 15 games this week favored the home crowd. Two of the three losses were San Francisco and Philadelphia, both teams that were slightly favored to win their respective games. Add in the Tennessee, Denver and Baltimore upsets, and that resulted in a total of 377 confidence points that were lost for the entire staff.

OVERALL RANKINGS

Larkin returned to the top spot, despite losing the weekly contest due to the tie-breaker. He and Brimacombe are #1 and #2 with a slight lead on the rest of the pack.

Staff Member
Wk01
Wk02
Wk03
Wk04
Wk05
Wk06
Wk07
Wk08
Wk09
Wk10
Wk11
Wk12
Wk13
Wk14
Wk15
Wk16
Wk17
Total
Larkin
88
80
84
85
98
435
Brimacombe
81
97
75
80
98
431
Tuccitto
80
91
76
95
78
420
Miglio
79
88
64
90
92
413
Roberts
77
73
63
98
94
405
Haseley
84
79
74
86
79
402
Hicks
87
75
62
78
93
395
Pasquino
89
83
59
77
86
394
Knotts
87
81
68
79
75
390
Heiser
68
96
71
75
73
383
Grant
83
70
54
81
90
378
Bitonti
65
75
69
78
90
377
Garda
85
53
70
71
89
368
Wimer
74
78
62
72
72
358
Settle
89
44
63
82
66
344

THIS WEEK'S PICKS

Here are the picks for this week.

Road Team
PHI
LAC
BUF
CAR
CHI
PIT
SEA
IND
ARI
TB
LAR
BAL
JAC
KC
SF
Home Team
NYG
CLE
HOU
WAS
MIA
CIN
OAK
NYJ
MIN
ATL
DEN
TEN
DAL
NE
GB
Staffer
The Picks
MNF
Miglio
PHI
CLE
HOU
WAS
MIA
CIN
SEA
NYJ
MIN
ATL
LAR
TEN
JAC
NE
GB
49
14
9
8
4
2
6
11
5
15
3
13
1
10
7
12
Garda
PHI
LAC
HOU
CAR
CHI
CIN
SEA
NYJ
MIN
ATL
LAR
BAL
JAC
NE
GB
50
12
11
8
9
5
7
2
6
13
3
14
1
10
4
15
Hicks
PHI
CLE
HOU
WAS
CHI
CIN
OAK
NYJ
MIN
TB
LAR
BAL
JAC
NE
GB
58
10
6
13
3
4
8
2
5
14
1
12
11
7
9
15
Heiser
PHI
LAC
HOU
CAR
CHI
CIN
SEA
IND
MIN
ATL
LAR
BAL
JAC
KC
GB
48
13
3
12
11
10
9
8
7
6
5
14
4
2
1
15
Tuccitto
PHI
LAC
HOU
CAR
MIA
CIN
SEA
NYJ
MIN
ATL
LAR
BAL
DAL
NE
GB
49
8
1
9
13
4
3
5
14
12
15
10
2
6
7
11
Larkin
PHI
LAC
HOU
CAR
MIA
CIN
SEA
IND
MIN
ATL
LAR
BAL
DAL
NE
GB
48
10
12
13
7
5
3
6
4
15
11
9
2
1
8
14
Knotts
NYG
CLE
HOU
WAS
MIA
CIN
SEA
IND
MIN
ATL
LAR
BAL
DAL
NE
GB
48
10
6
15
5
7
8
9
1
14
11
13
4
3
2
12
Brimacombe
PHI
LAC
HOU
CAR
CHI
PIT
OAK
IND
MIN
ATL
LAR
BAL
JAC
NE
GB
50
8
4
13
5
10
3
1
2
14
9
12
6
11
7
15
Haseley
PHI
CLE
HOU
CAR
CHI
CIN
SEA
NYJ
MIN
ATL
LAR
BAL
JAC
NE
GB
46
11
8
9
5
10
3
2
12
15
6
14
4
1
7
13
Pasquino
PHI
LAC
HOU
CAR
CHI
CIN
SEA
NYJ
MIN
ATL
LAR
BAL
JAC
KC
GB
43
3
8
14
12
10
5
9
13
15
7
11
1
6
2
4
Roberts
NYG
LAC
HOU
CAR
CHI
PIT
SEA
NYJ
MIN
ATL
LAR
TEN
JAC
KC
GB
46
3
5
12
10
9
4
11
8
14
7
15
1
6
2
13
Wimer
PHI
LAC
HOU
CAR
CHI
CIN
OAK
NYJ
MIN
ATL
LAR
TEN
JAC
NE
GB
52
5
4
12
11
15
3
2
10
13
1
9
8
7
6
14
Bitonti
NYG
LAC
HOU
CAR
CHI
PIT
SEA
NYJ
MIN
ATL
LAR
TEN
JAC
NE
GB
52
2
4
8
12
11
5
6
10
9
7
15
3
14
1
13
Settle
PHI
LAC
HOU
CAR
CHI
PIT
SEA
NYJ
MIN
ATL
LAR
BAL
JAC
NE
GB
45
11
10
12
8
9
1
7
6
13
5
14
3
4
2
15
Grant
PHI
LAC
HOU
CAR
CHI
CIN
SEA
NYJ
MIN
ATL
LAR
TEN
JAC
KC
GB
48
2
8
15
10
7
5
6
4
13
11
14
3
9
1
12
Away
PHI
LAC
BUF
CAR
CHI
PIT
SEA
IND
ARI
TB
LAR
BAL
JAC
KC
SF
Total Pts
107
70
0
113
100
13
82
14
0
1
189
38
87
6
0
Home
NYG
CLE
HOU
WAS
MIA
CIN
OAK
NYJ
MIN
ATL
DEN
TEN
DAL
NE
GB
Total Pts
15
29
173
12
18
60
5
93
195
101
0
16
10
60
193
Tot Conf Pts
122
99
173
125
118
73
87
107
195
102
189
54
97
66
193

HEAVY FAVORITES

Only a couple teams were unanimous picks this week: Houston, Minnesota, the Rams and Green Bay on Monday night. However, none of those teams received more than 195 confidence points total, reflecting the uncertainty that dominates the league this season so far. Atlanta was pretty close to unanimous, with only Andy Hicks putting a point on Tampa Bay as they return from a bye week. The New England Patriots are a heavy home favorite this week, but the game itself has the second lowest total confidence points with just 66. Kansas City is on fire right now, so be careful if you're picking the Patriots to win this week. Seattle also received a lot of support as they face the Raiders in London this weekend.

DUAL SUPPORT

Baltimore at Tennessee is the least confident game this week with only 54 total confidence points on the game that should be a low-scoring slugfest. The Ravens are a decent favorite, but the Titans also have their support. The Bengals are also a favorite to win against the visiting Steelers, but this game also has well under 100 total confidence points. Cleveland also has a little support against the favored Chargers as they travel from west to east to face the Browns who are on a winning streak at home.

ODDS AND ENDS

Two teams on a bye again this week so 120 is the top possible score.

Good luck this weekend!