Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread) Week 5

Weekly Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread). NFL Office Pool Cheat Sheet

Looking to dominate your office pool this season? Fifteen Footballguys.com staff members are here to help you out. Each week they will pick the winners of every NFL game, and rank their selections based on how confident they are that the team will win. The most-confident pick gets 16 points, and the least-confident gets just 1. We'll even total up everyone's picks so you can get an overall consensus on who our staff think will be the most likely winners. Each week we'll announce the weekly winners, and track the overall record for the entire season. A couple of things to note before we get to the picks:

  • Picks for this pool are straight up (no point spread considered).
  • Picks are due on Wednesday nights, and will not reflect any late-breaking news. If your league allows for last minute changes, please make adjustments to your office pool accordingly.
  • Our staffers also play in weekly picks Against The Spread, and Survivor Style 'Pick one Winner each week' formats as well. Check out the other weekly articles for more help with those type of games.

RESULTS FROM LAST WEEK

Keith Roberts put on a clinic last week and posted the highest single week total of the season, even without a full 16 game schedule. Roberts missed just four games and his highest total loss was only nine points. He finished three points ahead of Danny Tuccitto who also missed four games, but only scored 95 points due to his confidence pool weights. Well done to both of you guys.

Matchups
MIN
CIN
NYJ
DET
PHI
BUF
HOU
MIA
TB
CLE
SEA
SF
NO
BAL
KC
LAR
ATL
JAC
DAL
TEN
GB
IND
NE
CHI
OAK
ARI
LAC
NYG
PIT
DEN
Staffer
The Picks
MNF
PTS
Roberts
MIN
ATL
JAC
DAL
PHI
GB
HOU
NE
CHI
CLE
SEA
LAC
NO
BAL
KC
57
98
3
9
13
7
8
15
4
6
5
2
11
14
12
1
10
Tuccitto
LAR
ATL
JAC
DAL
PHI
GB
IND
NE
CHI
OAK
SEA
LAC
NO
PIT
KC
49
95
12
10
15
3
5
11
4
13
1
8
2
14
7
6
9
Miglio
LAR
ATL
JAC
DAL
PHI
GB
IND
NE
CHI
OAK
SEA
LAC
NO
PIT
DEN
40
90
13
10
15
3
9
14
4
7
5
2
11
12
8
6
1
Haseley
LAR
ATL
JAC
DET
PHI
GB
IND
NE
CHI
CLE
SEA
LAC
NO
PIT
KC
50
86
7
14
12
3
8
9
6
11
10
2
5
15
13
1
4
Larkin
LAR
ATL
JAC
DET
TEN
GB
IND
NE
TB
OAK
SEA
LAC
NO
PIT
DEN
57
85
8
9
7
11
2
13
6
15
5
4
12
14
10
3
1
Settle
LAR
ATL
JAC
DET
PHI
GB
HOU
NE
TB
CLE
SEA
LAC
NO
PIT
KC
52
82
3
9
15
5
12
14
1
13
2
4
11
10
8
6
7
Grant
LAR
ATL
JAC
DAL
PHI
GB
IND
NE
TB
OAK
SEA
LAC
NO
PIT
KC
56
81
12
10
13
1
11
15
4
7
5
3
2
14
8
9
6
Brimacombe
LAR
ATL
JAC
DET
PHI
GB
HOU
NE
TB
CLE
SEA
LAC
NO
PIT
KC
55
80
6
11
12
4
13
14
5
10
3
1
2
15
7
8
9
Knotts
MIN
ATL
JAC
DET
PHI
GB
IND
NE
TB
CLE
SEA
LAC
NO
PIT
KC
46
79
3
7
15
1
9
11
10
12
4
5
8
14
13
2
6
Hicks
LAR
CIN
JAC
DAL
PHI
GB
HOU
NE
TB
CLE
SEA
LAC
NYG
PIT
KC
61
78
13
1
14
2
12
3
4
11
5
10
6
15
7
8
9
Bitonti
LAR
ATL
JAC
DET
PHI
GB
IND
NE
CHI
OAK
SEA
LAC
NO
BAL
KC
61
78
14
13
12
11
10
9
8
3
4
2
7
15
6
1
5
Pasquino
LAR
CIN
JAC
DET
PHI
GB
IND
MIA
TB
CLE
SEA
LAC
NO
PIT
KC
58
77
4
2
8
10
11
14
3
1
7
5
9
15
12
6
13
Heiser
LAR
ATL
JAC
DET
PHI
GB
HOU
NE
CHI
CLE
SEA
LAC
NO
PIT
KC
56
75
15
14
13
12
11
10
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
Wimer
LAR
ATL
JAC
DET
PHI
GB
HOU
NE
CHI
CLE
SEA
LAC
NO
PIT
DEN
45
72
6
5
12
14
11
10
13
9
4
15
3
7
8
2
1
Garda
LAR
ATL
JAC
DET
PHI
GB
IND
NE
CHI
CLE
SEA
LAC
NO
PIT
KC
66
71
2
14
5
3
10
9
8
7
6
13
11
4
12
1
15
Away
MIN
CIN
NYJ
DET
PHI
BUF
HOU
MIA
TB
CLE
SEA
SF
NO
BAL
KC
Total Pts
6
3
0
74
140
0
36
1
31
63
105
0
127
2
94
Home
LAR
ATL
JAC
DAL
TEN
GB
IND
NE
CHI
OAK
ARI
LAC
NYG
PIT
DEN
Total Pts
115
135
181
16
2
171
53
132
42
19
0
182
7
60
3
Tot Conf Pts
121
138
181
90
142
171
89
133
73
82
105
182
134
62
97

Atlanta and Philadelphia were the biggest upsets of the week, taking down 275 confidence points between the two of them. Detroit, Cleveland, and Pittsburgh were also strong favorites in their respective contests, and their losses cost the staff another 197 points for all three games.

OVERALL RANKINGS

Tuccitto's big week allowed him to climb into the driver's seat for the overall leaderboard. He's in a unique position of leading the overall contest despite never having won a specific week. This is not as uncommon as you might think as it takes consistent solid performance to win the overall board, but that doesn't always translate into weekly victory.

Staff Member
Wk01
Wk02
Wk03
Wk04
Wk05
Wk06
Wk07
Wk08
Wk09
Wk10
Wk11
Wk12
Wk13
Wk14
Wk15
Wk16
Wk17
Total
Tuccitto
80
91
76
95
342
Larkin
88
80
84
85
337
Brimacombe
81
97
75
80
333
Haseley
84
79
74
86
323
Miglio
79
88
64
90
321
Knotts
87
81
68
79
315
Roberts
77
73
63
98
311
Heiser
68
96
71
75
310
Pasquino
89
83
59
77
308
Hicks
87
75
62
78
302
Grant
83
70
54
81
288
Bitonti
65
75
69
78
287
Wimer
74
78
62
72
286
Garda
85
53
70
71
279
Settle
89
44
63
82
278

THIS WEEK'S PICKS

Here are the picks for this week.

Matchups
IND
TEN
NYG
MIA
JAC
ATL
DEN
GB
BAL
OAK
LAR
ARI
MIN
DAL
WAS
NE
BUF
CAR
CIN
KC
PIT
NYJ
DET
CLE
LAC
SEA
SF
PHI
HOU
NO
Staffer
The Picks
MNF
Miglio
NE
TEN
CAR
CIN
KC
PIT
DEN
DET
CLE
LAC
LAR
SF
PHI
HOU
NO
51
15
11
13
9
10
4
6
1
2
5
12
8
3
7
14
Garda
NE
TEN
CAR
CIN
KC
ATL
DEN
GB
CLE
LAC
LAR
ARI
PHI
HOU
NO
65
12
11
10
9
8
7
6
5
4
13
15
3
2
1
14
Hicks
NE
BUF
CAR
CIN
JAC
PIT
NYJ
GB
CLE
LAC
LAR
ARI
MIN
DAL
NO
54
15
1
2
10
9
8
3
7
4
14
13
6
5
11
12
Heiser
NE
TEN
CAR
CIN
KC
ATL
DEN
GB
BAL
LAC
LAR
SF
MIN
HOU
NO
56
14
13
12
11
10
7
9
8
6
5
15
4
3
2
1
Tuccitto
NE
TEN
CAR
CIN
KC
PIT
NYJ
DET
BAL
LAC
LAR
SF
PHI
DAL
NO
52
14
6
15
4
9
3
2
7
11
13
1
8
12
5
10
Larkin
NE
BUF
CAR
CIN
KC
PIT
NYJ
GB
BAL
LAC
LAR
SF
MIN
HOU
NO
51
15
1
14
12
11
10
2
8
9
6
7
5
3
4
13
Knotts
IND
TEN
CAR
CIN
KC
ATL
DEN
DET
BAL
LAC
LAR
ARI
MIN
DAL
NO
45
15
8
11
10
2
1
9
4
5
13
12
6
3
7
14
Brimacombe
NE
TEN
CAR
CIN
KC
PIT
DEN
DET
CLE
LAC
LAR
SF
PHI
HOU
NO
55
15
4
11
14
6
5
7
3
2
13
12
10
1
9
8
Haseley
NE
TEN
CAR
CIN
KC
ATL
NYJ
DET
BAL
LAC
LAR
SF
PHI
DAL
NO
48
15
5
14
13
7
2
1
6
12
3
11
8
10
4
9
Pasquino
NE
TEN
CAR
CIN
KC
PIT
DEN
GB
BAL
LAC
LAR
SF
PHI
HOU
NO
54
15
10
14
9
8
6
5
2
12
11
13
4
1
3
7
Roberts
NE
TEN
CAR
CIN
KC
ATL
DEN
DET
BAL
LAC
LAR
ARI
PHI
HOU
NO
49
13
8
14
12
9
3
6
1
5
10
15
2
4
7
11
Wimer
NE
BUF
CAR
CIN
JAC
ATL
DEN
GB
BAL
LAC
LAR
SF
MIN
HOU
NO
69
6
5
14
10
13
12
4
3
9
11
15
7
2
1
8
Bitonti
NE
TEN
CAR
CIN
KC
PIT
NYJ
GB
BAL
LAC
LAR
SF
MIN
HOU
NO
55
15
10
14
13
6
7
1
9
8
11
4
3
2
5
12
Settle
NE
TEN
CAR
CIN
JAC
ATL
DEN
GB
BAL
LAC
LAR
SF
PHI
HOU
NO
55
15
14
13
12
1
2
11
3
10
8
9
7
6
5
4
Grant
NE
TEN
CAR
CIN
KC
PIT
DEN
GB
BAL
LAC
LAR
ARI
PHI
DAL
NO
54
15
11
13
14
8
7
3
5
4
12
10
2
6
1
9
Away
IND
TEN
NYG
MIA
JAC
ATL
DEN
GB
BAL
OAK
LAR
ARI
MIN
DAL
WAS
Total Pts
15
111
0
0
23
34
66
50
91
0
164
19
18
28
0
Home
NE
BUF
CAR
CIN
KC
PIT
NYJ
DET
CLE
LAC
SEA
SF
PHI
HOU
NO
Total Pts
194
7
184
162
94
50
9
22
12
148
0
64
45
44
146
Tot Conf Pts
209
118
184
162
117
84
75
72
103
148
164
83
63
72
146

HEAVY FAVORITES

Carolina, Cincinnati, Seattle and the Chargers all top the charts this week with everyone on staff picking them to win. Other strong favorites include New England going tonight, Tennessee, and Denver. All of these teams have a significant portion of the staff betting points on them this week.

DUAL SUPPORT

Minnesota at Philadelphia is the weakest confidence pick this week, given the fact that both teams have been extremely vulnerable at times. The Eagles are a slight favorite at home though. Green Bay is a decent favorite over the home Lions, but the board is not very confident with either pick. Dallas at Houston is this week's closest game with just 72 overall confidence points and the Texans have about twice as many confidence points as the Cowboys do for this game. Atlanta at Pittsburgh is also a close game with the Steelers having a slight edge at home. Be careful when picking any of these games this week.

ODDS AND ENDS

Still only two teams on a bye this week so 120 is the top possible score.

Good luck this weekend!