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Looking to dominate your office pool this season? Fifteen Footballguys.com staff members are here to help you out. Each week they will pick the winners of every NFL game, and rank their selections based on how confident they are that the team will win. The most-confident pick gets 16 points, and the least-confident gets just 1. We'll even total up everyone's picks so you can get an overall consensus on who our staff think will be the most likely winners. Each week we'll announce the weekly winners, and track the overall record for the entire season. A couple of things to note before we get to the picks:
- Picks for this pool are straight up (no point spread considered).
- Picks are due on Wednesday nights, and will not reflect any late-breaking news. If your league allows for last minute changes, please make adjustments to your office pool accordingly.
- Our staffers also play in weekly picks Against The Spread, and Survivor Style 'Pick one Winner each week' formats as well. Check out the other weekly articles for more help with those type of games.
RESULTS FROM LAST WEEK
What a crazy week. Tons of Upsets. Unlikely division leaders. Losing streaks broken. Best of all - Victory Fridges and free beer! Dave Larkin survived the insanity and managed to post a decent score of 84 compared to the rest of the field. Both he and Danny Tuccitto only missed five games but Tuccitto was eight points behind Larkin due to his team weights. Despite losing his top two picks, Larkin did pretty well. That's a reflection of how bad the week was - you can lose your top two picks and still win the whole thing by a lot if you manage the rest of your board correctly.
Staff Member
|
NYJ
|
SF
|
DEN
|
NYG
|
OAK
|
GB
|
IND
|
CIN
|
TEN
|
NO
|
BUF
|
LAC
|
DAL
|
CHI
|
NE
|
PIT
|
MNF
|
TOT
|
|
CLE
|
KC
|
BAL
|
HOU
|
MIA
|
WAS
|
PHI
|
CAR
|
JAC
|
ATL
|
MIN
|
LAR
|
SEA
|
ARI
|
DET
|
TB
|
TOT
|
PTS
|
Larkin
|
CLE
|
KC
|
BAL
|
NYG
|
MIA
|
GB
|
PHI
|
CAR
|
JAC
|
ATL
|
MIN
|
LAR
|
SEA
|
CHI
|
NE
|
PIT
|
53
|
84
|
|
6
|
10
|
9
|
2
|
8
|
7
|
14
|
5
|
15
|
3
|
16
|
4
|
13
|
12
|
11
|
1
|
|
|
Tuccitto
|
NYJ
|
KC
|
BAL
|
NYG
|
MIA
|
WAS
|
PHI
|
CIN
|
JAC
|
ATL
|
MIN
|
LAR
|
DAL
|
CHI
|
NE
|
TB
|
49
|
76
|
|
2
|
14
|
9
|
3
|
12
|
4
|
16
|
1
|
13
|
11
|
15
|
8
|
5
|
10
|
7
|
6
|
|
|
Brimacombe
|
CLE
|
KC
|
BAL
|
HOU
|
MIA
|
GB
|
PHI
|
CAR
|
JAC
|
ATL
|
MIN
|
LAR
|
SEA
|
CHI
|
NE
|
PIT
|
53
|
75
|
|
3
|
4
|
12
|
13
|
5
|
2
|
11
|
10
|
14
|
9
|
16
|
8
|
6
|
15
|
7
|
1
|
|
|
Haseley
|
NYJ
|
KC
|
BAL
|
HOU
|
MIA
|
GB
|
PHI
|
CAR
|
JAC
|
ATL
|
MIN
|
LAR
|
SEA
|
CHI
|
NE
|
TB
|
55
|
74
|
|
1
|
12
|
10
|
2
|
3
|
4
|
11
|
8
|
13
|
7
|
15
|
16
|
5
|
9
|
14
|
6
|
|
|
Heiser
|
CLE
|
KC
|
BAL
|
HOU
|
MIA
|
GB
|
PHI
|
CIN
|
JAC
|
ATL
|
MIN
|
LAR
|
SEA
|
CHI
|
NE
|
TB
|
58
|
71
|
|
14
|
15
|
13
|
12
|
11
|
10
|
9
|
7
|
6
|
5
|
16
|
4
|
3
|
2
|
8
|
1
|
|
|
Garda
|
NYJ
|
KC
|
BAL
|
HOU
|
MIA
|
GB
|
PHI
|
CAR
|
JAC
|
ATL
|
MIN
|
LAR
|
SEA
|
CHI
|
NE
|
PIT
|
55
|
70
|
|
1
|
14
|
8
|
9
|
7
|
11
|
6
|
5
|
13
|
4
|
16
|
10
|
2
|
15
|
12
|
3
|
|
|
Bitonti
|
CLE
|
KC
|
BAL
|
HOU
|
MIA
|
GB
|
PHI
|
CIN
|
JAC
|
ATL
|
MIN
|
LAR
|
SEA
|
CHI
|
NE
|
TB
|
56
|
69
|
|
11
|
10
|
9
|
8
|
7
|
6
|
2
|
1
|
16
|
4
|
15
|
14
|
3
|
13
|
12
|
5
|
|
|
Knotts
|
CLE
|
KC
|
BAL
|
HOU
|
OAK
|
GB
|
PHI
|
CAR
|
JAC
|
ATL
|
MIN
|
LAR
|
DAL
|
CHI
|
NE
|
PIT
|
50
|
68
|
|
9
|
10
|
6
|
8
|
1
|
11
|
15
|
7
|
12
|
5
|
16
|
14
|
2
|
3
|
13
|
4
|
|
|
Miglio
|
CLE
|
KC
|
BAL
|
HOU
|
MIA
|
GB
|
PHI
|
CAR
|
JAC
|
ATL
|
MIN
|
LAR
|
SEA
|
CHI
|
NE
|
TB
|
56
|
64
|
|
7
|
15
|
3
|
11
|
8
|
9
|
10
|
2
|
14
|
5
|
16
|
12
|
1
|
6
|
13
|
4
|
|
|
Roberts
|
CLE
|
KC
|
BAL
|
HOU
|
MIA
|
GB
|
PHI
|
CIN
|
JAC
|
ATL
|
MIN
|
LAR
|
DAL
|
CHI
|
NE
|
TB
|
58
|
63
|
|
4
|
11
|
5
|
10
|
7
|
8
|
14
|
1
|
15
|
3
|
16
|
9
|
6
|
13
|
12
|
2
|
|
|
Settle
|
CLE
|
KC
|
DEN
|
HOU
|
MIA
|
GB
|
PHI
|
CAR
|
JAC
|
ATL
|
MIN
|
LAR
|
SEA
|
CHI
|
NE
|
TB
|
70
|
63
|
|
4
|
11
|
6
|
7
|
3
|
12
|
13
|
10
|
15
|
2
|
16
|
9
|
5
|
8
|
14
|
1
|
|
|
Wimer
|
CLE
|
KC
|
BAL
|
HOU
|
OAK
|
GB
|
PHI
|
CIN
|
JAC
|
NO
|
MIN
|
LAR
|
DAL
|
CHI
|
DET
|
TB
|
77
|
62
|
|
6
|
9
|
5
|
4
|
3
|
8
|
2
|
16
|
14
|
1
|
12
|
13
|
7
|
11
|
15
|
10
|
|
|
Hicks
|
CLE
|
KC
|
BAL
|
HOU
|
OAK
|
GB
|
PHI
|
CIN
|
JAC
|
ATL
|
MIN
|
LAR
|
DAL
|
CHI
|
NE
|
TB
|
59
|
62
|
|
12
|
11
|
13
|
10
|
9
|
1
|
8
|
3
|
15
|
2
|
16
|
14
|
5
|
4
|
6
|
7
|
|
|
Pasquino
|
CLE
|
KC
|
BAL
|
HOU
|
OAK
|
GB
|
PHI
|
CIN
|
JAC
|
ATL
|
MIN
|
LAR
|
SEA
|
CHI
|
NE
|
TB
|
54
|
59
|
|
7
|
13
|
1
|
14
|
4
|
10
|
12
|
3
|
15
|
5
|
16
|
11
|
6
|
9
|
8
|
2
|
|
|
Grant
|
CLE
|
KC
|
BAL
|
HOU
|
MIA
|
GB
|
PHI
|
CIN
|
JAC
|
ATL
|
MIN
|
LAR
|
DAL
|
CHI
|
NE
|
TB
|
54
|
57
|
|
2
|
14
|
8
|
9
|
7
|
10
|
12
|
6
|
13
|
4
|
16
|
11
|
1
|
3
|
15
|
5
|
|
|
Away
|
NYJ
|
SF
|
DEN
|
NYG
|
OAK
|
GB
|
IND
|
CIN
|
TEN
|
NO
|
BUF
|
LAC
|
DAL
|
CHI
|
NE
|
PIT
|
|
|
Total Pts
|
4
|
0
|
6
|
5
|
17
|
109
|
0
|
38
|
0
|
1
|
0
|
0
|
26
|
133
|
152
|
9
|
|
|
Home
|
CLE
|
KC
|
BAL
|
HOU
|
MIA
|
WAS
|
PHI
|
CAR
|
JAC
|
ATL
|
MIN
|
LAR
|
SEA
|
ARI
|
DET
|
TB
|
|
|
Total Pts
|
85
|
173
|
111
|
117
|
78
|
4
|
155
|
47
|
203
|
69
|
233
|
157
|
44
|
0
|
15
|
31
|
|
|
Tot Conf Pts
|
89
|
173
|
117
|
122
|
95
|
113
|
155
|
85
|
203
|
70
|
233
|
157
|
70
|
133
|
167
|
9
|
|
|
That's a lot of red picks. 814 total confidence points were lost when heavy favorites Minnesota, Jacksonville, Houston, New England, and Green Bay all lost their respective contests. Atlanta took down another 69 with only Mark Wimer picking the Saints to upset his Falcons. It was a rough week for everyone.
OVERALL RANKINGS
Larkin's big win vaulted him into second place, just a single point behind the leader Brimacombe. Tuccitto held on to third as Pasquino tumbled out of the top five with his second-to-last place finish this week.
Staff Member
|
Wk01
|
Wk02
|
Wk03
|
Wk04
|
Wk05
|
Wk06
|
Wk07
|
Wk08
|
Wk09
|
Wk10
|
Wk11
|
Wk12
|
Wk13
|
Wk14
|
Wk15
|
Wk16
|
Wk17
|
Total
|
Brimacombe
|
81
|
97
|
75
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
253
|
Larkin
|
88
|
80
|
84
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
252
|
Tuccitto
|
80
|
91
|
76
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
247
|
Haseley
|
84
|
79
|
74
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
237
|
Knotts
|
87
|
81
|
68
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
236
|
Heiser
|
68
|
96
|
71
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
235
|
Pasquino
|
89
|
83
|
59
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
231
|
Miglio
|
79
|
88
|
64
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
231
|
Hicks
|
87
|
75
|
62
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
224
|
Wimer
|
74
|
78
|
62
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
214
|
Roberts
|
77
|
73
|
63
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
213
|
Bitonti
|
65
|
75
|
69
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
209
|
Garda
|
85
|
53
|
70
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
208
|
Grant
|
83
|
70
|
54
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
207
|
Settle
|
89
|
44
|
63
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
196
|
THIS WEEK'S PICKS
Here are the picks for this week.
Staff Member
|
MIN
|
CIN
|
NYJ
|
DET
|
PHI
|
BUF
|
HOU
|
MIA
|
TB
|
CLE
|
SEA
|
SF
|
NO
|
BAL
|
KC
|
MNF
|
|
LAR
|
ATL
|
JAC
|
DAL
|
TEN
|
GB
|
IND
|
NE
|
CHI
|
OAK
|
ARI
|
LAC
|
NYG
|
PIT
|
DEN
|
TOT
|
Miglio
|
LAR
|
ATL
|
JAC
|
DAL
|
PHI
|
GB
|
IND
|
NE
|
CHI
|
OAK
|
SEA
|
LAC
|
NO
|
PIT
|
DEN
|
40
|
|
13
|
10
|
15
|
3
|
9
|
14
|
4
|
7
|
5
|
2
|
11
|
12
|
8
|
6
|
1
|
|
Garda
|
LAR
|
ATL
|
JAC
|
DET
|
PHI
|
GB
|
IND
|
NE
|
CHI
|
CLE
|
SEA
|
LAC
|
NO
|
PIT
|
KC
|
66
|
|
2
|
14
|
5
|
3
|
10
|
9
|
8
|
7
|
6
|
13
|
11
|
4
|
12
|
1
|
15
|
|
Hicks
|
LAR
|
CIN
|
JAC
|
DAL
|
PHI
|
GB
|
HOU
|
NE
|
TB
|
CLE
|
SEA
|
LAC
|
NYG
|
PIT
|
KC
|
61
|
|
13
|
1
|
14
|
2
|
12
|
3
|
4
|
11
|
5
|
10
|
6
|
15
|
7
|
8
|
9
|
|
Heiser
|
LAR
|
ATL
|
JAC
|
DET
|
PHI
|
GB
|
HOU
|
NE
|
CHI
|
CLE
|
SEA
|
LAC
|
NO
|
PIT
|
KC
|
56
|
|
15
|
14
|
13
|
12
|
11
|
10
|
9
|
8
|
7
|
6
|
5
|
4
|
3
|
2
|
1
|
|
Tuccitto
|
LAR
|
ATL
|
JAC
|
DAL
|
PHI
|
GB
|
IND
|
NE
|
CHI
|
OAK
|
SEA
|
LAC
|
NO
|
PIT
|
KC
|
49
|
|
12
|
10
|
15
|
3
|
5
|
11
|
4
|
13
|
1
|
8
|
2
|
14
|
7
|
6
|
9
|
|
Larkin
|
LAR
|
ATL
|
JAC
|
DET
|
TEN
|
GB
|
IND
|
NE
|
TB
|
OAK
|
SEA
|
LAC
|
NO
|
PIT
|
DEN
|
57
|
|
8
|
9
|
7
|
11
|
2
|
13
|
6
|
15
|
5
|
4
|
12
|
14
|
10
|
3
|
1
|
|
Knotts
|
MIN
|
ATL
|
JAC
|
DET
|
PHI
|
GB
|
IND
|
NE
|
TB
|
CLE
|
SEA
|
LAC
|
NO
|
PIT
|
KC
|
46
|
|
3
|
7
|
15
|
1
|
9
|
11
|
10
|
12
|
4
|
5
|
8
|
14
|
13
|
2
|
6
|
|
Brimacombe
|
LAR
|
ATL
|
JAC
|
DET
|
PHI
|
GB
|
HOU
|
NE
|
TB
|
CLE
|
SEA
|
LAC
|
NO
|
PIT
|
KC
|
55
|
|
6
|
11
|
12
|
4
|
13
|
14
|
5
|
10
|
3
|
1
|
2
|
15
|
7
|
8
|
9
|
|
Haseley
|
LAR
|
ATL
|
JAC
|
DET
|
PHI
|
GB
|
IND
|
NE
|
CHI
|
CLE
|
SEA
|
LAC
|
NO
|
PIT
|
KC
|
50
|
|
7
|
14
|
12
|
3
|
8
|
9
|
6
|
11
|
10
|
2
|
5
|
15
|
13
|
1
|
4
|
|
Pasquino
|
LAR
|
CIN
|
JAC
|
DET
|
PHI
|
GB
|
IND
|
MIA
|
TB
|
CLE
|
SEA
|
LAC
|
NO
|
PIT
|
KC
|
58
|
|
4
|
2
|
8
|
10
|
11
|
14
|
3
|
1
|
7
|
5
|
9
|
15
|
12
|
6
|
13
|
|
Roberts
|
MIN
|
ATL
|
JAC
|
DAL
|
PHI
|
GB
|
HOU
|
NE
|
CHI
|
CLE
|
SEA
|
LAC
|
NO
|
BAL
|
KC
|
57
|
|
3
|
9
|
13
|
7
|
8
|
15
|
4
|
6
|
5
|
2
|
11
|
14
|
12
|
1
|
10
|
|
Wimer
|
LAR
|
ATL
|
JAC
|
DET
|
PHI
|
GB
|
HOU
|
NE
|
CHI
|
CLE
|
SEA
|
LAC
|
NO
|
PIT
|
DEN
|
45
|
|
6
|
5
|
12
|
14
|
11
|
10
|
13
|
9
|
4
|
15
|
3
|
7
|
8
|
2
|
1
|
|
Bitonti
|
LAR
|
ATL
|
JAC
|
DET
|
PHI
|
GB
|
IND
|
NE
|
CHI
|
OAK
|
SEA
|
LAC
|
NO
|
BAL
|
KC
|
61
|
|
14
|
13
|
12
|
11
|
10
|
9
|
8
|
3
|
4
|
2
|
7
|
15
|
6
|
1
|
5
|
|
Settle
|
LAR
|
ATL
|
JAC
|
DET
|
PHI
|
GB
|
HOU
|
NE
|
TB
|
CLE
|
SEA
|
LAC
|
NO
|
PIT
|
KC
|
52
|
|
3
|
9
|
15
|
5
|
12
|
14
|
1
|
13
|
2
|
4
|
11
|
10
|
8
|
6
|
7
|
|
Grant
|
LAR
|
ATL
|
JAC
|
DAL
|
PHI
|
GB
|
IND
|
NE
|
TB
|
OAK
|
SEA
|
LAC
|
NO
|
PIT
|
KC
|
56
|
|
12
|
10
|
13
|
1
|
11
|
15
|
4
|
7
|
5
|
3
|
2
|
14
|
8
|
9
|
6
|
|
Away
|
MIN
|
CIN
|
NYJ
|
DET
|
PHI
|
BUF
|
HOU
|
MIA
|
TB
|
CLE
|
SEA
|
SF
|
NO
|
BAL
|
KC
|
|
Total Pts
|
6
|
3
|
0
|
74
|
140
|
0
|
36
|
1
|
31
|
63
|
105
|
0
|
127
|
2
|
94
|
|
Home
|
LAR
|
ATL
|
JAC
|
DAL
|
TEN
|
GB
|
IND
|
NE
|
CHI
|
OAK
|
ARI
|
LAC
|
NYG
|
PIT
|
DEN
|
|
Total Pts
|
115
|
135
|
181
|
16
|
2
|
171
|
53
|
132
|
42
|
19
|
0
|
182
|
7
|
60
|
3
|
|
Tot Conf Pts
|
121
|
138
|
181
|
90
|
142
|
171
|
89
|
133
|
73
|
82
|
105
|
182
|
134
|
62
|
97
|
|
HEAVY FAVORITES
This week, we have another opportunity to see who can manage their risk the best. With so many heavy favorites, any type of upset will take down a vast majority of the board. Despite Buffalo's big win last week, everyone on the board chose Green Bay to beat them at home. Other unanimous picks include the Jaguars, Seahawks, and Chargers. Other teams with high expectations to win include the Rams tonight, Atlanta, Philadelphia, New England, New Orleans, Pittsburgh and KC on Monday Night. It's worth noting that Pittsburgh did not receive a ton of confidence points, but only two staffers bet against them this week and each only wagered a single confidence point on the Ravens. This game has the lowest total confidence points in play.
DUAL SUPPORT
Not much here this week with many contests having a clear favorite. Tampa Bay on the road after the Monday night game against Chicago is the toughest pick of the week with the Bears receiving just 11 more confidence points than the Bucs and the overall game only receiving 73 total points. Indianapolis has a slight edge over the visiting Texans, but the game itself has only 89 total points, indicating a tougher match that could go either way. Cleveland looks to make it two in a row against the Raiders this week, and they have a majority of the staff supporting their efforts. But five of the staff expect the Raiders to restart the losing streak so this game lands in the Dual Support area.
ODDS AND ENDS
With Carolina and Washington on a bye this week, we start the toughest part of the season. Ratings now go from 15 to 1, and it becomes harder to move up or down on the overall leaderboard because there are fewer points in play each week. A perfect score will get you 120 points this week compared to the 'normal' 136. Given how most of the staff are picking the same winners in each game, the weights assigned to each become even more important. Take some extra time this week if your office pool allows you to weight your picks and make sure to move the risker picks down a few notches.
Good luck this weekend!