Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread) Week 2

Weekly Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread). NFL Office Pool Cheat Sheet

Looking to dominate your office pool this season? Fifteen Footballguys.com staff members are here to help you out. Each week they will pick the winners of every NFL game, and rank their selections based on how confident they are that the team will win. The most-confident pick gets 16 points, and the least-confident gets just 1. We'll even total up everyone's picks so you can get an overall consensus on who our staff think will be the most likely winners. Each week we'll announce the weekly winners, and track the overall record for the entire season. A couple of things to note before we get to the picks:

  • Picks for this pool are straight up (no point spread considered).
  • Picks are due on Wednesday nights, and will not reflect any late-breaking news. If your league allows for last minute changes, please make adjustments to your office pool accordingly.
  • Our staffers also play in weekly picks Against The Spread, and Survivor Style 'Pick one Winner each week' formats as well. Check out the other weekly articles for more help with those type of games.

RESULTS FROM LAST WEEK

It was a rough week to say the least. However, Jeff Pasquino and Sean Settle both managed to survive the storm and finish at the top of the weekly leaderboard with 89 points. The Monday night games really saved it for Pasquino as he only lost 4 points on Detroit while Sean lost 9. Sean added 6 more to his total when the Rams won the final game of the season, but Pasquino added 12 to create the tie. The Tiebreaker for the Rams-Raiders game was 46 (33-13). Both Pasquino and Settle were over but Pasquino was just one point off with his guess of 47. Therefore he takes home the weekly crown. Settle also had 6 incorrect picks for the week compared to Pasquino's 5, and those were two of the best performances of the week for the staffers.

Staff Member
ATL
PIT
TEN
BUF
HOU
JAC
SF
TB
CIN
KC
DAL
WAS
SEA
CHI
NY
LAR
MNF
TOT
PHI
CLE
MIA
BAL
NE
NYG
MIN
NO
IND
LAC
CAR
ARI
DEN
GB
DET
OAK
TOT
PTS
Pasquino
PHI
PIT
TEN
BAL
NE
JAC
MIN
NO
CIN
LAC
CAR
WAS
DEN
GB
DET
LAR
47
89
8
11
6
15
5
13
14
16
3
10
7
1
2
9
4
12
Settle
ATL
PIT
TEN
BAL
NE
JAC
MIN
NO
CIN
LAC
CAR
WAS
DEN
GB
DET
LAR
48
89
16
1
8
5
7
10
3
2
15
11
13
14
12
4
9
6
Larkin
PHI
PIT
MIA
BAL
NE
NYG
MIN
NO
CIN
LAC
CAR
WAS
DEN
GB
DET
OAK
54
88
13
10
6
14
12
5
11
15
4
8
7
3
2
16
9
1
Knotts
ATL
PIT
TEN
BAL
NE
JAC
MIN
NO
CIN
LAC
CAR
ARI
DEN
GB
DET
LAR
44
87
4
3
5
16
15
8
14
13
1
12
7
2
6
11
10
9
Hicks
ATL
CLE
MIA
BAL
NE
JAC
MIN
NO
CIN
LAC
DAL
WAS
SEA
GB
DET
LAR
57
87
10
7
6
16
11
8
9
12
5
13
4
3
2
14
1
15
Garda
PHI
PIT
TEN
BAL
NE
JAC
MIN
NO
IND
LAC
CAR
ARI
DEN
GB
DET
LAR
45
85
9
13
12
11
1
10
15
8
6
5
7
3
2
16
4
14
Haseley
PHI
PIT
MIA
BAL
NE
JAC
MIN
NO
CIN
LAC
CAR
ARI
DEN
GB
DET
LAR
48
84
12
13
2
14
11
8
9
16
4
5
6
3
1
7
15
10
Grant
PHI
PIT
TEN
BAL
NE
JAC
MIN
NO
IND
KC
CAR
ARI
DEN
GB
DET
LAR
51
83
3
11
8
14
13
7
6
16
5
2
9
1
4
15
12
10
Brimacombe
PHI
PIT
TEN
BAL
NE
JAC
MIN
NO
IND
LAC
CAR
ARI
DEN
GB
DET
LAR
53
81
1
8
2
15
10
9
14
16
6
7
5
4
3
13
12
11
Tuccitto
PHI
PIT
TEN
BAL
NE
JAC
MIN
NO
IND
LAC
CAR
ARI
DEN
GB
DET
LAR
49
80
9
11
4
16
13
5
12
15
7
6
2
3
1
14
10
8
Miglio
PHI
PIT
MIA
BAL
NE
NYG
MIN
NO
IND
LAC
CAR
ARI
DEN
GB
DET
LAR
48
79
10
14
2
12
13
1
6
15
5
4
8
7
3
16
11
9
Roberts
PHI
PIT
TEN
BAL
NE
NYG
MIN
NO
CIN
LAC
CAR
ARI
DEN
GB
DET
LAR
50
77
8
11
4
13
9
1
12
16
3
7
6
5
2
14
15
10
Wimer
ATL
CLE
TEN
BAL
NE
JAC
MIN
NO
CIN
LAC
CAR
WAS
DEN
GB
DET
LAR
42
74
12
11
7
6
5
4
16
10
3
9
14
2
1
8
13
15
Heiser
PHI
PIT
TEN
BAL
NE
JAC
MIN
NO
IND
LAC
CAR
ARI
SEA
GB
DET
LAR
44
68
5
15
13
12
11
10
9
16
8
7
6
4
3
14
2
1
Bitonti
ATL
PIT
TEN
BAL
NE
JAC
SF
NO
IND
LAC
CAR
ARI
SEA
GB
DET
LAR
60
65
1
11
9
16
14
5
2
15
4
8
10
3
6
7
12
13
Away
ATL
PIT
TEN
BUF
HOU
JAC
SF
TB
CIN
KC
DAL
WAS
SEA
CHI
NYJ
LAR
Total Pts
43
132
78
0
0
97
2
0
38
2
4
23
11
0
0
143
Home
PHI
CLE
MIA
BAL
NE
NYG
MIN
NO
IND
LAC
CAR
ARI
DEN
GB
DET
OAK
Total Pts
78
18
16
195
150
7
150
201
41
112
107
35
39
178
139
1
Tot Conf Pts
121
150
94
195
150
104
152
201
79
114
111
58
50
178
139
144

In a contest with no spread, when there is a tie like Pittsburgh and Cleveland, then there is no winner and everyone takes a loss for that game.Adding to the suffering, consensus winning choices like New Orleans and Detroit took down everyone in the board when they were upset by Tampa Bay and the Jets. Those three games took down almost 500 confidence points for the overall leaderboard. The Titans, Chargers and Cardinals were also teams that were favorites of the staff, but were upset and cost people a lot of confidence points.

OVERALL RANKINGS

We'll use this table to track everyone's progress over the course of the season. Pasquino and Settle jump out to the early lead after the first week.

Staff Member
W01
W02
W03
W04
W05
W06
W07
W08
W09
W10
W11
W12
W13
W14
W15
W16
W17
Total
Pasquino
89
89
Settle
89
89
Larkin
88
88
Hicks
87
87
Knotts
87
87
Garda
85
85
Haseley
84
84
Grant
83
83
Brimacombe
81
81
Tuccitto
80
80
Miglio
79
79
Roberts
77
77
Wimer
74
74
Heiser
68
68
Bitonti
65
65

THIS WEEK'S PICKS

Here are the picks for this week.

Staff Member
BAL
HOU
KC
PHI
LAC
CAR
IND
CLE
MIN
MIA
DET
ARI
OAK
NE
NYG
SEA
MNF
CIN
TEN
PIT
TB
BUF
ATL
WAS
NO
GB
NYJ
SF
LAR
DEN
JAC
DAL
CHI
TOT
Miglio
CIN
TEN
PIT
PHI
LAC
ATL
WAS
NO
GB
NYJ
SF
LAR
DEN
JAC
DAL
CHI
47
4
2
8
14
13
7
11
12
6
9
15
16
10
1
3
5
Garda
BAL
HOU
PIT
PHI
LAC
CAR
WAS
NO
MIN
NYJ
SF
LAR
DEN
NE
NYG
CHI
45
14
13
12
11
15
10
9
8
6
5
7
16
3
2
1
4
Hicks
CIN
HOU
KC
PHI
LAC
ATL
WAS
CLE
MIN
NYJ
SF
LAR
OAK
JAC
DAL
SEA
41
1
9
2
8
15
10
11
5
12
6
13
16
3
14
4
7
Heiser
n/a
Tuccitto
CIN
HOU
KC
TB
LAC
CAR
IND
NO
MIN
NYJ
SF
LAR
DEN
JAC
NYG
SEA
49
8
11
1
4
14
3
2
15
9
10
12
16
13
6
7
5
Larkin
BAL
HOU
PIT
PHI
LAC
ATL
WAS
NO
MIN
NYJ
SF
LAR
DEN
NE
DAL
SEA
46
5
9
6
4
14
12
13
15
3
8
11
16
10
7
2
1
Knotts
CIN
HOU
PIT
PHI
LAC
ATL
WAS
NO
MIN
NYJ
SF
LAR
DEN
NE
NYG
SEA
44
1
8
2
9
12
10
11
14
7
6
16
15
13
3
4
5
Brimacombe
CIN
HOU
PIT
PHI
LAC
ATL
IND
NO
MIN
MIA
SF
LAR
DEN
JAC
NYG
SEA
44
8
1
9
13
16
10
4
15
7
2
11
14
12
5
6
3
Haseley
CIN
TEN
PIT
PHI
LAC
CAR
WAS
NO
MIN
NYJ
SF
LAR
DEN
NE
DAL
SEA
41
9
14
13
10
15
3
6
12
5
11
7
16
2
8
4
1
Pasquino
BAL
HOU
KC
PHI
LAC
ATL
WAS
NO
MIN
NYJ
SF
LAR
DEN
NE
NYG
CHI
45
11
12
6
7
10
8
9
15
4
5
14
16
13
3
2
1
Roberts
BAL
HOU
PIT
TB
LAC
CAR
WAS
NO
MIN
NYJ
SF
LAR
DEN
NE
NYG
CHI
48
9
11
3
1
16
5
12
14
4
10
13
15
6
7
2
8
Wimer
BAL
HOU
PIT
PHI
LAC
ATL
WAS
NO
GB
NYJ
SF
LAR
DEN
JAC
NYG
CHI
35
7
14
6
13
12
5
4
11
10
3
9
16
2
8
1
15
Bitonti
BAL
HOU
PIT
PHI
LAC
ATL
WAS
NO
MIN
NYJ
SF
LAR
DEN
NE
NYG
CHI
61
3
14
1
13
12
11
9
10
2
8
7
16
15
6
5
4
Settle
BAL
HOU
KC
PHI
LAC
CAR
WAS
NO
MIN
NYJ
SF
LAR
DEN
NE
NYG
SEA
48
10
2
16
6
1
14
5
3
9
13
12
4
8
11
15
7
Grant
BAL
HOU
PIT
PHI
LAC
ATL
WAS
NO
MIN
MIA
SF
LAR
DEN
NE
DAL
SEA
45
2
12
8
13
11
10
15
14
6
1
4
16
9
7
5
3
Away
BAL
HOU
KC
PHI
LAC
CAR
IND
CLE
MIN
MIA
DET
ARI
OAK
NE
NYG
SEA
Total Pts
61
116
25
121
176
35
6
5
74
3
0
0
3
54
43
32
Home
CIN
TEN
PIT
TB
BUF
ATL
WAS
NO
GB
NYJ
SF
LAR
DEN
JAC
DAL
CHI
Total Pts
31
16
68
5
0
83
115
158
16
94
151
208
116
34
18
37
Tot Conf Pts
92
132
93
126
176
118
121
163
90
97
151
208
119
88
61
69

HEAVY FAVORITES

Last week was not good for the heavy favorites, but hopefully, things have settled down and we have a better handle on how good each team is going to be. This week we only have three consensus picks: the Chargers, the Rams and the 49ers. Other teams that are heavily favored to win include Philadelphia, Washington, New Orleans (although much less confident than last week), New York Jets and Denver. Although the Titans and Packers do have several people on staff who support them, in general, a vast majority of our board has them losing this week.

DUAL SUPPORT

This week's games have their fair share of landmines as well. Tonight's game tilts in Baltimore's favor, but the Bengals do have their share of people picking them to win as well. Pittsburgh and Atlanta are favored to win, but a good chunk of the staff have picked the Chiefs and the Panthers to pull off the upset. The two least confident games are the Sunday and Monday Night matchups. The Giants are the staff favorite to beat the Cowboys in their home opener, but the 61 total confidence points on the game is the lowest for all 16 games this weekend. Monday night, the Bears have a slight edge on the visiting Seahawks, but the 37-32 weighting has it as the closest / toughest game to call for the week.

ODDS AND ENDS

Bear Heiser missed the cut-off before this article needed to be submitted so his picks will be included in the results next week.

Good luck this weekend!