Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread) Week 1

Weekly Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread). NFL Office Pool Cheat Sheet

Looking to dominate your office pool this season? Fifteen Footballguys.com staff members are here to help you out. Each week they will pick the winners of every NFL game, and rank their selections based on how confident they are that the team will win. The most-confident pick gets 16 points, and the least-confident gets just 1. We'll even total up everyone's picks so you can get an overall consensus on who our staff think will be the most likely winners. Each week we'll announce the weekly winners, and track the overall record for the entire season. A couple of things to note before we get to the picks:

  • Picks for this pool are straight up (no point spread considered).
  • Picks are due on Wednesday nights, and will not reflect any late-breaking news. If your league allows for last minute changes, please make adjustments to your office pool accordingly.
  • Our staffers also play in weekly picks Against The Spread, and Survivor Style 'Pick one Winner each week' formats as well. Check out the other weekly articles for more help with those type of games.

THIS WEEK'S PICKS

Here are the picks for this week:

Staffer
ATL
PIT
TEN
BUF
HOU
JAC
SF
TB
CIN
KC
DAL
WAS
SEA
CHI
NYJ
LAR
MNF
PHI
CLE
MIA
BAL
NE
NYG
MIN
NO
IND
LAC
CAR
ARI
DEN
GB
DET
OAK
TOT
Miglio
PHI
PIT
MIA
BAL
NE
NYG
MIN
NO
IND
LAC
CAR
ARI
DEN
GB
DET
LAR
48
10
14
2
12
13
1
6
15
5
4
8
7
3
16
11
9
Garda
PHI
PIT
TEN
BAL
NE
JAC
MIN
NO
IND
LAC
CAR
ARI
DEN
GB
DET
LAR
45
9
13
12
11
1
10
15
8
6
5
7
3
2
16
4
14
Hicks
ATL
CLE
MIA
BAL
NE
JAC
MIN
NO
CIN
LAC
DAL
WAS
SEA
GB
DET
LAR
57
10
7
6
16
11
8
9
12
5
13
4
3
2
14
1
15
Heiser
PHI
PIT
TEN
BAL
NE
JAC
MIN
NO
IND
LAC
CAR
ARI
SEA
GB
DET
LAR
44
5
15
13
12
11
10
9
16
8
7
6
4
3
14
2
1
Tuccitto
PHI
PIT
TEN
BAL
NE
JAC
MIN
NO
IND
LAC
CAR
ARI
DEN
GB
DET
LAR
49
9
11
4
16
13
5
12
15
7
6
2
3
1
14
10
8
Larkin
PHI
PIT
MIA
BAL
NE
NYG
MIN
NO
CIN
LAC
CAR
WAS
DEN
GB
DET
OAK
54
13
10
6
14
12
5
11
15
4
8
7
3
2
16
9
1
Knotts
ATL
PIT
TEN
BAL
NE
JAC
MIN
NO
CIN
LAC
CAR
ARI
DEN
GB
DET
LAR
44
4
3
5
16
15
8
14
13
1
12
7
2
6
11
10
9
Brimacombe
PHI
PIT
TEN
BAL
NE
JAC
MIN
NO
IND
LAC
CAR
ARI
DEN
GB
DET
LAR
53
1
8
2
15
10
9
14
16
6
7
5
4
3
13
12
11
Haseley
PHI
PIT
MIA
BAL
NE
JAC
MIN
NO
CIN
LAC
CAR
ARI
DEN
GB
DET
LAR
48
12
13
2
14
11
8
9
16
4
5
6
3
1
7
15
10
Pasquino
PHI
PIT
TEN
BAL
NE
JAC
MIN
NO
CIN
LAC
CAR
WAS
DEN
GB
DET
LAR
47
8
11
6
15
5
13
14
16
3
10
7
1
2
9
4
12
Roberts
PHI
PIT
TEN
BAL
NE
NYG
MIN
NO
CIN
LAC
CAR
ARI
DEN
GB
DET
LAR
50
8
11
4
13
9
1
12
16
3
7
6
5
2
14
15
10
Wimer
ATL
CLE
TEN
BAL
NE
JAC
MIN
NO
CIN
LAC
CAR
WAS
DEN
GB
DET
LAR
42
12
11
7
6
5
4
16
10
3
9
14
2
1
8
13
15
Bitonti
ATL
PIT
TEN
BAL
NE
JAC
SF
NO
IND
LAC
CAR
ARI
SEA
GB
DET
LAR
60
1
11
9
16
14
5
2
15
4
8
10
3
6
7
12
13
Settle
ATL
PIT
TEN
BAL
NE
JAC
MIN
NO
CIN
LAC
CAR
WAS
DEN
GB
DET
LAR
48
16
1
8
5
7
10
3
2
15
11
13
14
12
4
9
6
Grant
PHI
PIT
TEN
BAL
NE
JAC
MIN
NO
IND
KC
CAR
ARI
DEN
GB
DET
LAR
51
3
11
8
14
13
7
6
16
5
2
9
1
4
15
12
10
Away
ATL
PIT
TEN
BUF
HOU
JAC
SF
TB
CIN
KC
DAL
WAS
SEA
CHI
NYJ
LAR
Total Pts
43
132
78
0
0
97
2
0
38
2
4
23
11
0
0
143
Home
PHI
CLE
MIA
BAL
NE
NYG
MIN
NO
IND
LAC
CAR
ARI
DEN
GB
DET
OAK
Total Pts
78
18
16
195
150
7
150
201
41
112
107
35
39
178
139
1
Tot Conf Pts
121
150
94
195
150
104
152
201
79
114
111
58
50
178
139
144

Note: Tot Conf Pts reflects the total confidence points that were placed on both teams. A higher total (E.G. 201 for the Saints this week) indicates that the staff is very confident in the outcome of this game. A lower total (E.G. 50 for SEA-DEN) indicates that the staff is less confident in the game as a whole, and the majority of the staff did not risk a lot of points on this game either way.

HEAVY FAVORITES

This week has a surprising number of heavy favorites. The first week of the season is always tough and you don't really have a sense of how strong a team really is. That being said, there are a decent number of teams who were heavy favorites from the staff, and they should all be near the top of your weekly board. Baltimore, New England, New Orleans, Green Bay, and Detroit are all unanimous choices by all 15 of our staffers. Jacksonville, Minnesota, Carolina and both teams from LA are also heavily favored by most of the staff to win this week.

DUAL SUPPORT

Denver and Arizona are both favored to win, but the total number of confidence points on both games is less than 60, meaning the staff generally feel less confident in the team that they picked. The Bengals and Colts have the closest game of the week, with Indianapolis getting a slight edge for being at home. Tonight's game favors the Eagles this week, but the Falcons have their share of support as well. It should be an interesting start to the season.

ODDS AND ENDS

With a full 16 game slate this week, having a perfect score will give you 136 total points. As we move through the season, the maximum total will drop significantly based on the number of teams that are on a bye.

As an additional reminder - these picks and confidence points were made on Wednesday night so that this article may come out well before the Thursday opener. As of the time this is published, Le'Veon Bell is still missing from training camp, Carson Wentz and DeVante Parker have not been cleared to play, and Kenyan Drake and Frank Gore are listed as co-starters for the Dolphins. If your league allows you to change your picks right up until each NFL game starts, make sure to check the latest news before making your final selections.

Good luck this weekend!