Strength of Schedule: DLs

An examination of the strength of schedule for defensive linemen

The advantages offered by the Ultimate Strength of Schedule (USOS) when compared to traditional SOS displays are numerous and include (but are not limited to) the following:

  • Fantasy Points Driven
    Fantasy football is all about scoring fantasy points, so USOS is based on fantasy points.
  • Removed Bias Of Schedule
    Consider the following scenario: Defense A faced the Top 16 offenses while Defense B faced the Worst 16 offenses. If both defenses allowed opposing quarterbacks to average 300 fantasy points last season, are they equally strong? Of course not; Defense A is far superior as they faced much better offenses. This bias of schedule has been removed from USOS.
  • Positional Breakdown
    If you are looking for a running back, it's much more relevant to see SOS data for running backs (rather than simply rushing data).
  • Comparison Of 2015 Schedule To 2014 Schedule
    On the surface, a team with an easy schedule at running back should see better running back stats this year. Good schedule = bigger numbers than the year before, right? It seems logical. However, sometimes it's not enough to say that a team has an easy schedule. What if they had an equally easy schedule the season before? Equal schedule = similar numbers as the year before. USOS looks at the differences in schedule from this year compared to last season. An easier set of opponents this year points to increased production. A more difficult set of opponents this season points to decreased production.

Explanation of USOS Tables

Below, you will see tables for each positions USOS. Here is a brief explanation of the make-up of these tables.

The "Team" Column

This is simply the NFL team.

The Values

Each value in the table is the expected number of fantasy points on average or on a per game basis (depending on the column).

The "2015" Column

This is the average expected fantasy points allowed by each team's opponents for this season.

The "Chng" Column

This is the amount of change between the 2015 schedule and the 2014 schedule. A positive value points to an easier SOS than last year while a negative value points to a more difficult SOS compared to last season.

The "EZ" Column

This is the number of easy opponents each team will face this season. An easy opponent is defined as one of the eight (seven during the bye weeks) worst defenses. Obviously, it is preferred to have players with as many easy games as possible.

The "TF" Column

This is the number of tough opponents each team will face this season. A tough opponent is defined as one of the eight (seven during the bye weeks) best defenses. Obviously, it is preferred to have players with as few tough games as possible.

The "1st3" Column

This is the SOS for the first three weeks of the NFL season. This value is useful to determine how players should be expected to open the season. Players with low values could easily stumble out of the gate.

The "1st5" Column

This is similar to "1st3" except that it covers the first five weeks of the NFL season (note that some teams only play four games in this time frame).

The "Byes" Column

This is the SOS covering the bye weeks. This value is useful to find a complementary player during the byes as you'll need to shuffle players in and out of your starting lineup. A player with an easy schedule during this time would be nice to have.

The "14to16" Column

This is similar to "1st3" except that it specifically covers Week 14 through Week 16.

The "15to17" Column

This is similar to "14to16" except that it specifically covers Week 15 through Week 17.

The "W1" through "W17" Columns

These values are the expected strength of each team's opponent for that particular week (W5 is Week 5, etc). This is very useful when searching for backups for your stud players. The key is to locate players with easy opponents when your star is on a bye.

The Coloring of the Values

The green values indicate that the team has one of the eight (seven during the bye weeks) best values in that column. Green was chosen because you can go ahead and take players on that team. The yellow values indicate that the team has one of the eight (seven during the bye weeks) worst values in that column. Yellow was chosen because you should use caution before selecting players from that team. (Note: a green / red combo was considered but some people are color blind between those two colors.)

  • Green is a hot team with a good schedule
  • Yellow is a cold team with a bad schedule

Ultimate Strength of Schedule - Defensive Linemen

Note that this was posted without coloring to get this on the site for free. The coloring will be added very soon.

Team
2015
Chng
EZ
TF
1st3
1st5
Byes
14to16
15to17
Arizona
23.8
10.9%
6
2
23.0
23.9
24.1
21.5
21.9
Atlanta
24.2
9.0%
5
1
22.2
23.1
24.6
25.2
24.4
Baltimore
23.5
4.4%
4
3
21.5
21.9
23.3
25.0
24.3
Buffalo
24.0
-2.8%
4
3
22.8
23.7
24.8
22.9
25.1
Carolina
23.2
-2.2%
5
5
23.4
24.1
23.5
21.6
23.9
Chicago
23.2
2.1%
6
5
21.2
22.1
22.6
26.5
24.8
Cincinnati
22.8
-3.5%
4
5
20.9
22.9
24.1
22.3
21.5
Cleveland
23.3
2.1%
4
4
24.5
22.9
21.8
25.9
25.0
Dallas
24.0
6.9%
6
4
21.9
21.4
23.8
24.5
27.6
Denver
22.2
1.8%
0
5
22.8
23.1
22.2
23.1
22.6
Detroit
22.4
-2.8%
4
5
21.4
21.9
22.3
25.3
23.0
Green Bay
23.0
6.1%
2
4
24.5
25.5
23.3
20.2
21.9
Houston
24.5
7.3%
5
2
25.5
24.0
24.2
22.6
25.0
Indianapolis
23.7
1.7%
5
3
26.6
25.6
22.3
24.4
23.8
Jacksonville
23.3
-3.7%
3
4
23.0
23.9
24.1
21.8
21.1
Kansas City
21.7
-9.3%
2
6
19.4
20.9
22.9
21.0
21.4
Miami
23.8
-0.3%
6
6
27.3
27.3
23.6
23.2
21.2
Minnesota
22.1
-8.1%
3
6
22.8
21.7
22.0
21.8
21.7
New England
24.5
10.9%
6
2
25.8
24.5
24.5
24.5
25.7
New Orleans
23.3
1.6%
4
4
23.2
22.1
23.0
25.1
22.9
NY Giants
23.8
-0.9%
6
4
22.6
24.2
23.7
25.0
23.6
NY Jets
23.7
-3.4%
4
3
22.1
22.8
24.4
21.5
22.6
Oakland
22.4
-1.3%
1
6
22.3
21.4
22.9
19.0
21.4
Philadelphia
23.7
5.3%
5
5
22.5
23.4
24.2
24.6
23.8
Pittsburgh
22.6
-2.5%
3
6
24.4
22.9
22.5
21.2
20.3
San Diego
22.5
0.9%
1
3
24.1
23.4
22.4
24.1
21.7
San Francisco
23.1
-2.6%
4
5
22.3
22.2
23.0
22.9
25.1
Seattle
23.0
-6.1%
2
5
22.7
23.0
23.1
23.6
22.9
St. Louis
23.3
-6.4%
6
3
25.7
22.8
22.1
25.1
26.2
Tampa Bay
23.3
-4.1%
3
3
22.7
23.8
23.6
23.9
24.7
Tennessee
23.7
0.3%
5
2
24.0
25.0
23.6
22.8
21.6
Washington
23.4
-4.8%
4
4
26.3
23.9
23.2
23.3
23.0
Average
23.3
0.0%
4
4
23.3
23.3
23.3
23.3
23.3

Week-By-Week Look

Team
W1
W2
W3
W4
W5
W6
W7
W8
W9
Arizona
22.0
21.4
25.5
28.3
22.3
22.9
20.6
21.9
-
Atlanta
20.7
25.4
20.4
21.6
27.5
22.0
24.6
26.5
25.5
Baltimore
18.4
21.7
24.6
22.9
21.9
25.5
18.6
20.4
-
Buffalo
23.8
19.4
25.1
25.4
24.6
24.6
26.6
-
25.1
Carolina
26.6
21.6
22.0
26.5
-
26.6
20.7
23.8
18.4
Chicago
18.4
18.6
26.6
21.7
25.5
22.3
-
25.5
20.4
Cincinnati
21.7
20.4
20.6
25.5
26.6
27.9
-
22.9
21.9
Cleveland
27.3
24.6
21.7
20.4
20.6
18.4
28.3
18.6
24.6
Dallas
25.4
20.7
19.8
22.0
19.4
-
25.4
26.6
20.7
Denver
20.6
25.5
22.3
25.5
21.7
21.9
-
18.4
23.8
Detroit
20.4
25.5
18.4
26.6
18.6
21.4
25.5
25.5
-
Green Bay
21.4
26.6
25.5
25.5
28.3
20.4
-
18.4
24.5
Houston
25.5
24.5
26.5
19.8
23.8
26.6
25.1
24.6
-
Indianapolis
27.9
27.3
24.6
26.6
21.6
19.4
22.0
24.5
18.4
Jacksonville
24.5
25.1
19.4
23.8
26.5
21.6
27.9
-
27.3
Kansas City
21.6
18.4
18.4
24.6
21.4
25.5
22.9
22.3
-
Miami
27.5
26.6
27.9
27.3
-
24.6
21.6
19.4
27.9
Minnesota
25.5
22.3
20.4
18.4
-
25.5
22.3
21.4
28.3
New England
22.9
27.9
26.6
-
20.4
23.8
27.3
25.1
27.5
New Orleans
18.6
26.5
24.5
20.4
20.7
19.8
23.8
25.4
24.6
NY Giants
20.4
19.8
27.5
27.9
25.5
20.7
20.4
22.0
26.5
NY Jets
21.9
23.8
20.7
25.1
-
27.5
19.4
21.7
26.6
Oakland
24.6
20.6
21.9
21.4
18.4
-
20.4
27.3
22.9
Philadelphia
19.8
20.4
27.3
27.5
22.0
25.4
24.5
-
20.4
Pittsburgh
19.4
25.5
28.3
20.6
20.4
18.6
25.5
24.6
21.7
San Diego
22.3
24.6
25.5
21.9
22.9
18.4
21.7
20.6
21.4
San Francisco
25.5
22.9
18.6
18.4
25.4
20.6
26.6
28.3
19.8
Seattle
28.3
18.4
21.4
22.3
24.6
24.5
25.5
20.4
-
St. Louis
26.6
27.5
22.9
18.6
18.4
-
21.9
25.5
25.5
Tampa Bay
24.6
22.0
21.6
24.5
26.6
-
27.5
19.8
25.4
Tennessee
26.5
21.9
23.8
-
27.9
25.1
19.8
21.6
22.0
Washington
25.1
28.3
25.4
20.7
19.8
27.3
26.5
-
19.4
Average
23.3
23.3
23.3
23.4
23.0
23.2
23.7
23.0
23.5

 

Team
W10
W11
W12
W13
W14
W15
W16
W17
Arizona
26.6
24.6
25.5
28.3
25.5
20.7
18.4
26.6
Atlanta
-
23.8
25.5
26.5
24.5
26.6
24.5
22.0
Baltimore
26.6
28.3
21.9
25.1
26.6
25.5
22.9
24.6
Buffalo
27.3
19.4
25.5
21.6
20.7
27.5
20.4
27.3
Carolina
24.6
27.5
20.4
22.0
19.8
25.4
19.8
26.5
Chicago
28.3
18.4
18.4
25.5
27.5
25.5
26.5
22.3
Cincinnati
21.6
18.6
28.3
21.9
22.9
25.5
18.4
20.6
Cleveland
22.9
-
20.6
24.6
25.5
26.6
25.5
22.9
Dallas
26.5
25.1
24.5
27.5
18.4
27.3
27.9
27.5
Denver
25.5
21.4
19.4
20.4
21.7
22.9
24.6
20.4
Detroit
18.4
21.7
20.7
18.4
28.3
22.0
25.5
21.4
Green Bay
22.3
25.5
21.4
22.3
20.4
21.7
18.6
25.5
Houston
24.6
27.3
22.0
27.9
19.4
23.8
24.6
26.6
Indianapolis
-
19.8
26.5
22.9
26.6
21.6
25.1
24.6
Jacksonville
20.6
24.6
20.4
24.6
23.8
19.8
22.0
21.6
Kansas City
18.4
20.4
27.9
21.7
20.4
20.6
21.9
21.7
Miami
20.7
20.4
27.3
20.6
25.4
20.4
23.8
19.4
Minnesota
21.7
18.4
19.8
26.6
18.6
21.4
25.4
18.4
New England
25.4
27.9
18.4
20.7
21.6
24.6
27.3
25.1
New Orleans
27.5
-
21.6
24.5
26.5
22.3
26.6
19.8
NY Giants
19.4
-
27.5
27.3
25.1
24.5
25.5
20.7
NY Jets
27.9
21.6
25.1
25.4
24.6
20.4
19.4
27.9
Oakland
25.5
22.3
24.6
25.5
18.4
18.4
20.4
25.5
Philadelphia
25.1
26.5
22.3
19.4
27.9
18.6
27.5
25.4
Pittsburgh
21.9
-
26.6
23.8
24.6
18.4
20.6
21.9
San Diego
-
25.5
26.6
18.4
25.5
25.1
21.7
18.4
San Francisco
-
26.6
18.6
21.4
21.9
24.6
22.3
28.3
Seattle
18.6
25.5
22.9
25.5
20.6
21.9
28.3
18.6
St. Louis
21.4
20.6
24.6
18.6
22.3
26.5
26.6
25.5
Tampa Bay
20.4
20.7
23.8
19.8
22.0
28.3
21.4
24.5
Tennessee
24.5
26.6
21.7
26.6
27.3
19.4
21.6
23.8
Washington
22.0
24.5
25.4
20.4
21.4
27.9
20.7
20.4
Average
23.4
23.3
23.3
23.3
23.3
23.3
23.3
23.3

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