Vegas Value Chart: Week 17

An early Vegas-based snapshot of the teams and positions to target in this week's DFS game slate.

Every week, the first step of your DFS homework should be to examine the opening Vegas odds on all the NFL games for that week.  Through some fairly simple algebra, it is easy to derive a spreadsheet that predicts team totals for every game, thereby allowing you to develop a rudimentary gamescript to help narrow down your decisions for the week.  Once the appealing (and unappealing) games have been highlighted, it becomes easier to focus upon those games to help build your core of players for that week; the caveat, however, is that the NFL is a dynamic league and anything is subject to change from Tuesday to Sunday...so keep that in mind as the week progresses and always monitor player injuries, weather conditions, and potential roster moves.  Let's take a look.

Updated Saturday 12/30 @ 6 PM (EST)

TeamOpponentAwayGame TotalTeam TotalRunningPassTeam Defense
New England NY Jets -15 43 29 +++ +++ +++
New Orleans Tampa Bay -6 49 27.5 ++ ++  
Minnesota Chicago -12 38 25 ++ + +++
Detroit Green Bay -7 43 25 + +
Baltimore Cincinnati -9.5 40 24.75 ++ + ++
LA Chargers Oakland -7 42 24.5 ++ + +
Atlanta Carolina -3.5 45 24.25 + +  
San Francisco LA Rams -4 43.5 23.75      
Seattle Arizona -9 38 23.5     ++
Indianapolis Houston -5.5 41 23.25    
Buffalo Miami -2.5 42.5 22.5      
Tennessee Jacksonville -2.5 41.5 22      
Washington NY Giants -3.5 39.5 21.5     +
Tampa Bay New Orleans 6 49 21.5      
Pittsburgh Cleveland -6 36.5 21.25     ++
Dallas Philadelphia -3.5 39 21.25    
Denver Kansas City -4 38 21     +
Carolina Atlanta 3.5 45 20.75      
Miami Buffalo 2.5 42.5 20      
LA Rams San Francisco 4 43.5 19.75      
Jacksonville Tennessee 2.5 41.5 19.5      
Green Bay Detroit 7 43 18      
NY Giants Washington 3.5 39.5 18      
Philadelphia Dallas 3.5 39 17.75      
Houston Indianapolis 5.5 41 17.75      
Oakland LA Chargers 7 42 17.5      
Kansas City Denver 4 38 17      
Cincinnati Baltimore 9.5 40 15.25      
Cleveland Pittsburgh 6 36.5 15.25      
Arizona Seattle 9 38 14.5      
NY Jets New England 15 43 14      
Chicago Minnesota 12 38 13      

SUMMARY

 

3-STARS

2-STARS

1-STAR


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