Vegas Value Chart: Week 15

An early Vegas-based snapshot of the teams and positions to target in this week's DFS game slate.

Every week, the first step of your DFS homework should be to examine the opening Vegas odds on all the NFL games for that week.  Through some fairly simple algebra, it is easy to derive a spreadsheet that predicts team totals for every game, thereby allowing you to develop a rudimentary gamescript to help narrow down your decisions for the week.  Once the appealing (and unappealing) games have been highlighted, it becomes easier to focus upon those games to help build your core of players for that week; the caveat, however, is that the NFL is a dynamic league and anything is subject to change from Tuesday to Sunday...so keep that in mind as the week progresses and always monitor player injuries, weather conditions, and potential roster moves.  Let's take a look.

TeamOpponentOddsGame TotalTeam TotalPassRunDefense
New Orleans NY Jets -16 47 31.5 +++ +++ ++
New England Pittsburgh -3 53 28 +++ +++  
Atlanta Tampa Bay -6 48 27 ++ ++  
Minnesota Cincinnati -10.5 42 26.25 ++ +++ ++
Carolina Green Bay -3 47 25 + +  
Jacksonville Houston -11 39 25 + ++ +++
Pittsburgh New England 3 53 25 + +  
Detroit Chicago -5.5 44 24.75 + +  +
Seattle LA Rams -2 47.5 24.75 + +  
Dallas Oakland -3 46 24.5 + +  
Washington Arizona -4.5 43.5 24 + +  +
LA Chargers Kansas City -1.5 46 23.75      
Philadelphia NY Giants -7.5 40 23.75   + +
Baltimore Cleveland -7 40 23.5     +
San Francisco Tennessee -2 44 23      
LA Rams Seattle 2 47.5 22.75      
Kansas City LA Chargers 1.5 46 22.25      
Green Bay Carolina 3 47 22      
Denver Indianapolis -2.5 40.5 21.5     +
Oakland Dallas 3 46 21.5      
Tennessee San Francisco 2 44 21      
Tampa Bay Atlanta 6 48 21      
Miami Buffalo 0 41 20.5      
Buffalo Miami 0 41 20.5      
Arizona Washington 4.5 43.5 19.5      
Chicago Detroit 5.5 44 19.25      
Indianapolis Denver 2.5 40.5 19      
Cleveland Baltimore 7 40 16.5      
NY Giants Philadelphia 7.5 40 16.25      
Cincinnati Minnesota 10.5 42 15.75      
NY Jets New Orleans 16 47 15.5      
Houston Jacksonville 11 39 14      

 

SUMMARY

3-STARS

2-STARS

1-STAR