Vegas Value Chart: Week 14

An early Vegas-based snapshot of the teams and positions to target in this week's DFS game slate.

Every week, the first step of your DFS homework should be to examine the opening Vegas odds on all the NFL games for that week.  Through some fairly simple algebra, it is easy to derive a spreadsheet that predicts team totals for every game, thereby allowing you to develop a rudimentary gamescript to help narrow down your decisions for the week.  Once the appealing (and unappealing) games have been highlighted, it becomes easier to focus upon those games to help build your core of players for that week; the caveat, however, is that the NFL is a dynamic league and anything is subject to change from Tuesday to Sunday...so keep that in mind as the week progresses and always monitor player injuries, weather conditions, and potential roster moves.  Let's take a look.

Last Updated: Sunday, 12/10 @ 8 AM (EST)

TeamOpponentAwayGame TotalTeam TotalRunningPassTeam Defense
New England Miami -11 47.5 29.25 +++ +++ +
Atlanta New Orleans -2.5 51.5 27 ++ ++  
Kansas City Oakland -4 48.5 26.25 ++ ++  
LA Chargers Washington -6 46.5 26.25 ++ ++  
New Orleans Atlanta 2.5 51.5 24.5 + ++  
LA Rams Philadelphia 0 48 24 + +  
Pittsburgh Baltimore -4.5 43.5 24 + + +
Philadelphia LA Rams 0 48 24  +  +  
Detroit Tampa Bay -3 45 24  +  
Houston San Francisco -2.5 45 23.75      
Tennessee Arizona -2.5 43 22.75      
Cincinnati Chicago -6.5 39 22.75     ++
Dallas NY Giants -3.5 41.5 22.5     +
Oakland Kansas City 4 48.5 22.25      
Minnesota Carolina -3 40 21.5     +
Green Bay Cleveland -3 39.5 21.25     +
Buffalo Indianapolis -3 39.5 21.25     +
NY Jets Denver -1 41.5 21.25      
Jacksonville Seattle -2.5 40 21.25     +
San Francisco Houston 2.5 45 21.25      
Tampa Bay Detroit 3 45 21      
Arizona Tennessee 2.5 43 20.25      
Denver NY Jets 1 41.5 20.25      
Washington LA Chargers 6 46.5 20.25      
Baltimore Pittsburgh 4.5 43.5 19.5      
NY Giants Dallas 3.5 41.5 19      
Seattle Jacksonville 2.5 40 18.75      
Carolina Minnesota 3 40 18.5      
Indianapolis Buffalo 3 39.5 18.25      
Cleveland Green Bay 3 39.5 18.25      
Miami New England 11 47.5 18.25      
Chicago Cincinnati 6.5 39 16.25      


SUMMARY

3-STARS

2-STARS

1-STAR