Every week, the first step of your DFS homework should be to examine the opening Vegas odds on all the NFL games for that week. Through some fairly simple algebra, it is easy to derive a spreadsheet that predicts team totals for every game, thereby allowing you to develop a rudimentary gamescript to help narrow down your decisions for the week. Once the appealing (and unappealing) games have been highlighted, it becomes easier to focus upon those games to help build your core of players for that week; the caveat, however, is that the NFL is a dynamic league and anything is subject to change from Tuesday to Sunday...so keep that in mind as the week progresses and always monitor player injuries, weather conditions, and potential roster moves. Let's take a look.
Last Updated: Saturday 12/2, 8 PM (EST)
Team | Opponent | Away | Game Total | Team Total | Running | Pass | Team Defense |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LA Chargers | Cleveland | -14 | 44 | 29 | +++ | +++ | +++ |
New England | Buffalo | -9 | 48.5 | 28.75 | +++ | +++ | + |
New Orleans | Carolina | -5 | 48 | 26.5 | ++ | ++ | + |
Philadelphia | Seattle | -5 | 47 | 26 | ++ | ++ | |
LA Rams | Arizona | -7 | 44.5 | 25.75 | ++ | ++ | + |
Oakland | NY Giants | -8.5 | 41.5 | 25 | + | + | ++ |
Jacksonville | Indianapolis | -9.5 | 40.5 | 25 | + | + | +++ |
Tennessee | Houston | -7 | 43 | 25 | + | + | + |
Atlanta | Minnesota | -2.5 | 47 | 24.75 | + | + | |
Pittsburgh | Cincinnati | -5 | 43.5 | 24.25 | + | + | |
Washington | Dallas | -1 | 46.5 | 23.75 | |||
Green Bay | Tampa Bay | -2.5 | 45 | 23.75 | |||
Kansas City | NY Jets | -3 | 43.5 | 23.25 | |||
Baltimore | Detroit | -3 | 43.5 | 23.25 | |||
Dallas | Washington | 1 | 46.5 | 22.75 | |||
Minnesota | Atlanta | 2.5 | 47 | 22.25 | |||
Chicago | San Francisco | -3.5 | 41 | 22.25 | + | ||
Carolina | New Orleans | 5 | 48 | 21.5 | |||
Tampa Bay | Green Bay | 2.5 | 45 | 21.25 | |||
Seattle | Philadelphia | 5 | 47 | 21 | |||
Denver | Miami | -1.5 | 40 | 20.75 | + | ||
NY Jets | Kansas City | 3 | 43.5 | 20.25 | |||
Detroit | Baltimore | 3 | 43.5 | 20.25 | |||
Buffalo | New England | 9 | 48.5 | 19.75 | |||
Cincinnati | Pittsburgh | 5 | 43.5 | 19.25 | |||
Miami | Denver | 1.5 | 40 | 19.25 | |||
Arizona | LA Rams | 7 | 44.5 | 18.75 | |||
San Francisco | Chicago | 3.5 | 41 | 18.75 | |||
Houston | Tennessee | 7 | 43 | 18 | |||
NY Giants | Oakland | 8.5 | 41.5 | 16.5 | |||
Indianapolis | Jacksonville | 9.5 | 40.5 | 15.5 | |||
Cleveland | LA Chargers | 14 | 44 | 15 |
SUMMARY
3-STARS
- Quarterback: Philip Rivers (Chargers), Tom Brady (Patriots)
- Running Back: Dion Lewis/Rex Burkhead (Patriots), Melvin Gordon (Chargers)
- Receivers: Tyrell Williams/Travis Benjamin/Keenan Allen/Hunter Henry (Chargers), Brandin Cooks/Danny Amendola/Rob Gronkowski (Patriots)
- Defense: Chargers, Jaguars
2-STARS
- Quarterback: Drew Brees (Saints), Carson Wentz (Eagles), Jared Goff (Rams)
- Running Back: Mark Ingram/Alvin Kamara (Saints), LeGarrette Blount/Jay Ajayi (Eagles), Todd Gurley (Rams)
- Receivers: Michael Thomas/Willie Snead/Ted Ginn Jr/Coby Fleener (Saints), Alshon Jeffery/Nelson Agholor/Zach Ertz (Eagles), Sammy Watkins/Cooper Kupp/Josh Reynolds/Tyler Higbee (Rams)
- Defense: Raiders
1-STAR
- Quarterback: Derek Carr (Raiders), Blake Bortles (Jaguars), Marcus Mariota (Titans), Matt Ryan (Falcons), Ben Roethlisberger (Steelers)
- Running Back: Marshawn Lynch (Raiders), Leonard Fournette (Jaguars), DeMarco Murray/Derrick Henry (Titans), Devonta Freeman/Tevin Coleman (Falcons), LeVeon Bell (Steelers)
- Receivers: Cordarrelle Patterson/Seth Roberts/Johnny Holton/Jared Cook (Raiders), Marqise Lee/Dede Westbrook/Keelan Cole/Julius Thomas (Jaguars), Rishard Matthews/Corey Davis/Eric Decker/Delanie Walker (Titans), Julio Jones/Mohamed Sanu/Austin Hooper (Falcons), Antonio Brown/JuJu Smith-Schuster/Martavis Bryant (Steelers)
- Defense: Titans, Bears, Rams, Broncos, Steelers, Patriots