Vegas Value Chart: Week 13

An early Vegas-based snapshot of the teams and positions to target in this week's DFS game slate.

Every week, the first step of your DFS homework should be to examine the opening Vegas odds on all the NFL games for that week.  Through some fairly simple algebra, it is easy to derive a spreadsheet that predicts team totals for every game, thereby allowing you to develop a rudimentary gamescript to help narrow down your decisions for the week.  Once the appealing (and unappealing) games have been highlighted, it becomes easier to focus upon those games to help build your core of players for that week; the caveat, however, is that the NFL is a dynamic league and anything is subject to change from Tuesday to Sunday...so keep that in mind as the week progresses and always monitor player injuries, weather conditions, and potential roster moves.  Let's take a look.

Last Updated: Saturday 12/2, 8 PM (EST)

TeamOpponentAwayGame TotalTeam TotalRunningPassTeam Defense
LA Chargers Cleveland -14 44 29 +++ +++ +++
New England Buffalo -9 48.5 28.75 +++ +++ +
New Orleans Carolina -5 48 26.5 ++ ++ +
Philadelphia Seattle -5 47 26 ++ ++  
LA Rams Arizona -7 44.5 25.75 ++ ++ +
Oakland NY Giants -8.5 41.5 25 + + ++
Jacksonville Indianapolis -9.5 40.5 25 + + +++
Tennessee Houston -7 43 25 + + +
Atlanta Minnesota -2.5 47 24.75 + +  
Pittsburgh Cincinnati -5 43.5 24.25 + +  
Washington Dallas -1 46.5 23.75      
Green Bay Tampa Bay -2.5 45 23.75      
Kansas City NY Jets -3 43.5 23.25      
Baltimore Detroit -3 43.5 23.25      
Dallas Washington 1 46.5 22.75      
Minnesota Atlanta 2.5 47 22.25      
Chicago San Francisco -3.5 41 22.25     +
Carolina New Orleans 5 48 21.5      
Tampa Bay Green Bay 2.5 45 21.25      
Seattle Philadelphia 5 47 21      
Denver Miami -1.5 40 20.75     +
NY Jets Kansas City 3 43.5 20.25      
Detroit Baltimore 3 43.5 20.25      
Buffalo New England 9 48.5 19.75      
Cincinnati Pittsburgh 5 43.5 19.25      
Miami Denver 1.5 40 19.25      
Arizona LA Rams 7 44.5 18.75      
San Francisco Chicago 3.5 41 18.75      
Houston Tennessee 7 43 18      
NY Giants Oakland 8.5 41.5 16.5      
Indianapolis Jacksonville 9.5 40.5 15.5      
Cleveland LA Chargers 14 44 15      

SUMMARY

3-STARS

2-STARS

1-STAR