Vegas Value Chart: Week 8

An early Vegas-based snapshot of the teams and positions to target in this week's DFS game slate.

Every week, the first step of your DFS homework should be to examine the opening Vegas odds on all the NFL games for that week.  Through some fairly simple algebra, it is easy to derive a spreadsheet that predicts team totals for every game, thereby allowing you to develop a rudimentary gamescript to help narrow down your decisions for the week.  Once the appealing (and unappealing) games have been highlighted, it becomes easier to focus upon those games to help build your core of players for that week; the caveat, however, is that the NFL is a dynamic league and anything is subject to change from Tuesday to Sunday...so keep that in mind as the week progresses and always monitor player injuries, weather conditions, and potential roster moves.  Let's take a look.

TeamOpponentAwayGame TotalTeam TotalRunningPassTeam Defense
Philadelphia San Francisco -13 47.5 30.25 +++ +++ +
New Orleans Chicago -9 47 28 +++ +++ +
New England LA Chargers -7.5 48.5 28 +++ +++  
Dallas Washington -2.5 50.5 26.5 ++ ++  
Cincinnati Indianapolis -10 41.5 25.75 +++ + ++
Atlanta NY Jets -4.5 46.5 25.5 + +  
Seattle Houston -5.5 45.5 25.5 + +  
Kansas City Denver -7.5 43 25.25 + + +
Buffalo Oakland -3 45.5 24.25 + +  
Pittsburgh Detroit -3 45 24 + +  
Washington Dallas 2.5 50.5 24   +  
Minnesota Cleveland -9.5 37.5 23.5     +++
Tampa Bay Carolina -2 44.5 23.25      
Carolina Tampa Bay 2 44.5 21.25      
Oakland Buffalo 3 45.5 21.25      
NY Jets Atlanta 4.5 46.5 21      
Detroit Pittsburgh 3 45 21      
LA Chargers New England 7.5 48.5 20.5      
Baltimore Miami -3.5 37.5 20.5     +
Houston Seattle 5.5 45.5 20      
Chicago New Orleans 9 47 19      
Denver Kansas City 7.5 43 17.75      
San Francisco Philadelphia 13 47.5 17.25      
Miami Baltimore 3.5 37.5 17      
Indianapolis Cincinnati 10 41.5 15.75      
Cleveland Minnesota 9.5 37.5 14      

 

SUMMARY

3-STARS

2-STARS

1-STAR


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