Vegas Value Chart: Week 7

An early Vegas-based snapshot of the teams and positions to target in this week's DFS game slate.

Every week, the first step of your DFS homework should be to examine the opening Vegas odds on all the NFL games for that week.  Through some fairly simple algebra, it is easy to derive a spreadsheet that predicts team totals for every game, thereby allowing you to develop a rudimentary gamescript to help narrow down your decisions for the week.  Once the appealing (and unappealing) games have been highlighted, it becomes easier to focus upon those games to help build your core of players for that week; the caveat, however, is that the NFL is a dynamic league and anything is subject to change from Tuesday to Sunday...so keep that in mind as the week progresses and always monitor player injuries, weather conditions, and potential roster moves.  Let's take a look.

TeamOpponentAwayGame TotalTeam TotalRunningPassTeam Defense
New England Atlanta -3.5 55 29.25 +++ +++  
Dallas San Francisco -6 47 26.5 ++ ++  
Philadelphia Washington -4.5 48.5 26.5 ++ ++  
New Orleans Green Bay -5.5 47 26.25 ++ ++  
Tennessee Cleveland -5.5 46.5 26 ++ ++  
Atlanta New England 3.5 55 25.75 + +  
LA Rams Arizona -3.5 47.5 25.5 + +  
Kansas City Oakland -3 47 25 + +  
Jacksonville Indianapolis -3.5 43.5 23.5      
Pittsburgh Cincinnati -5.5 41 23.25     ++
Minnesota Baltimore -5.5 39.5 22.5     ++
Seattle NY Giants -6 38.5 22.25     +++
Arizona LA Rams 3.5 47.5 22      
Washington Philadelphia 4.5 48.5 22      
Oakland Kansas City 3 47 22      
Carolina Chicago -3 40.5 21.75     +
LA Chargers Denver -1.5 42 21.75      
Miami NY Jets -3.5 38.5 21     ++
Buffalo Tampa Bay -3.5 38 20.75     ++
Green Bay New Orleans 5.5 47 20.75      
Cleveland Tennessee 5.5 46.5 20.5      
San Francisco Dallas 6 47 20.5      
Denver LA Chargers 1.5 42 20.25      
Indianapolis Jacksonville 3.5 43.5 20      
Chicago Carolina 3 40.5 18.75      
Cincinnati Pittsburgh 5.5 41 17.75      
NY Jets Miami 3.5 38.5 17.5      
Tampa Bay Buffalo 3.5 38 17.25      
Baltimore Minnesota 5.5 39.5 17      
NY Giants Seattle 6 38.5 16.25      

 

SUMMARY

3-STARS

2-STARS

1-STAR