Vegas Value Chart: Week 6

An early Vegas-based snapshot of the teams and positions to target in this week's DFS game slate.

Every week, the first step of your DFS homework should be to examine the opening Vegas odds on all the NFL games for that week.  Through some fairly simple algebra, it is easy to derive a spreadsheet that predicts team totals for every game, thereby allowing you to develop a rudimentary gamescript to help narrow down your decisions for the week.  Once the appealing (and unappealing) games have been highlighted, it becomes easier to focus upon those games to help build your core of players for that week; the caveat, however, is that the NFL is a dynamic league and anything is subject to change from Tuesday to Sunday...so keep that in mind as the week progresses and always monitor player injuries, weather conditions, and potential roster moves.  Let's take a look.

TeamOpponentAwayGame TotalTeam TotalRunningPassTeam Defense
Atlanta Miami -11 47 29 +++ +++ +
New England NY Jets -9.5 47.5 28.5 +++ +++ +
Houston Cleveland -9.5 47 28.25 +++ +++ +
Washington San Francisco -9.5 46.5 28 +++ +++ +
New Orleans Detroit -5 50.5 27.75 ++ ++  
Denver NY Giants -12 40 26 +++ ++ +++
Oakland LA Chargers -3 48.5 25.75 + +  
Green Bay Minnesota -3.5 47 25.25 + +  
Kansas City Pittsburgh -4.5 46 25.25 + +  
Carolina Philadelphia -3.5 46 24.75 + +  
Tampa Bay Arizona -2.5 44.5 23.5      
Baltimore Chicago -6.5 40 23.25 +   ++
Detroit New Orleans 5 50.5 22.75      
LA Chargers Oakland 3 48.5 22.75      
Jacksonville LA Rams -2.5 43 22.75      
Minnesota Green Bay 3.5 47 21.75      
Philadelphia Carolina 3.5 46 21.25      
Arizona Tampa Bay 2.5 44.5 21      
Pittsburgh Kansas City 4.5 46 20.75      
LA Rams Jacksonville 2.5 43 20.25      
NY Jets New England 9.5 47.5 19      
Cleveland Houston 9.5 47 18.75      
San Francisco Washington 9.5 46.5 18.5      
Miami Atlanta 11 47 18      
Chicago Baltimore 6.5 40 16.75      
NY Giants Denver 12 40 14      

 

SUMMARY

3-STARS

2-STARS

1-STAR