Vegas Value Chart: Week 4

An early Vegas-based snapshot of the teams and positions to target in this week's DFS game slate.

Every week, the first step of your DFS homework should be to examine the opening Vegas odds on all the NFL games for that week.  Through some fairly simple algebra, it is easy to derive a spreadsheet that predicts team totals for every game, thereby allowing you to develop a rudimentary gamescript to help narrow down your decisions for the week.  Once the appealing (and unappealing) games have been highlighted, it becomes easier to focus upon those games to help build your core of players for that week; the caveat, however, is that the NFL is a dynamic league and anything is subject to change from Tuesday to Sunday...so keep that in mind as the week progresses and always monitor player injuries, weather conditions, and potential roster moves.  Let's take a look.

TeamOpponentAwayGame TotalTeam TotalRunningPassTeam Defense
New England Carolina -9 48.5 28.75 +++ +++  
Atlanta Buffalo -8 48.5 28.25 +++ +++  
Kansas City Washington -6.5 49.5 28 +++ +++  
Seattle Indianapolis -13 41.5 27.25 +++ +++ +++
Dallas LA Rams -6 47.5 26.75 ++ ++  
New Orleans Miami -3 49.5 26.25 ++ ++  
Green Bay Chicago -7 45 26 ++ ++  
Arizona San Francisco -7 44.5 25.75 + + +
Denver Oakland -3 47 25 + +  
LA Chargers Philadelphia -1 47.5 24.25 + +  
Tampa Bay NY Giants -3 44 23.5      
Miami New Orleans 3 49.5 23.25      
Philadelphia LA Chargers 1 47.5 23.25      
Tennessee Houston -1.5 44 22.75      
Pittsburgh Baltimore -3 42 22.5      
Minnesota Detroit -1 44 22.5      
Cincinnati Cleveland -3.5 41.5 22.5      
Oakland Denver 3 47 22      
Jacksonville NY Jets -3.5 39.5 21.5     ++
Washington Kansas City 6.5 49.5 21.5      
Detroit Minnesota 1 44 21.5      
Houston Tennessee 1.5 44 21.25      
LA Rams Dallas 6 47.5 20.75      
NY Giants Tampa Bay 3 44 20.5      
Buffalo Atlanta 8 48.5 20.25      
Carolina New England 9 48.5 19.75      
Baltimore Pittsburgh 3 42 19.5      
Cleveland Cincinnati 3.5 41.5 19     +
Chicago Green Bay 7 45 19      
San Francisco Arizona 7 44.5 18.75      
NY Jets Jacksonville 3.5 39.5 18      
Indianapolis Seattle 13 41.5 14.25      

SUMMARY

3-STARS

2-STARS

1-STAR


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