For Our Season Long Pro Subscribers IDP Matchups to Exploit and Avoid: Week 11

Dave Larkin - November 19, 2020

Dave Larkin breaks down the key clashes to target and fade for IDP production.

For Our Season Long Pro Subscribers Regression Alert: Week 11

Adam Harstad - November 19, 2020

Everything may regress, but not everything regresses enough to bother with.

For Our Season Long Pro or Daily Fantasy Pro Subscribers For The Win: Week 11

Dave Larkin - November 18, 2020

NFL picks against the Las Vegas lines.

For Our Season Long Pro or Daily Fantasy Pro Subscribers Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 11

Austin Lee - November 17, 2020

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

For Our Season Long Pro Subscribers 3 Lessons Learned After Week 9

Chris Allen - November 11, 2020

Chris Allen reviews three noteworthy performances coming out of Week 9 and provides some advice for fantasy managers on how to approach their situations going forward.

For Our Season Long Pro Subscribers IDP Matchups to Exploit and Avoid: Week 10

Dave Larkin - November 11, 2020

Dave Larkin breaks down the key clashes to target and fade for IDP production.

For Our Season Long Pro or Daily Fantasy Pro Subscribers For The Win: Week 10

Dave Larkin - November 11, 2020

NFL picks against the Las Vegas lines.

For Our Season Long Pro or Daily Fantasy Pro Subscribers Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 10

Austin Lee - November 10, 2020

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

For Our Season Long Pro Subscribers IDP Matchups to Exploit and Avoid: Week 9

Dave Larkin - November 5, 2020

Dave Larkin breaks down the key clashes to target and fade for IDP production.

For Our Season Long Pro Subscribers Regression Alert: Week 9

Adam Harstad - November 5, 2020

In redraft, it's bad to rely on players who are likely to regress negatively. In dynasty it's a different story.

For Our Season Long Pro or Daily Fantasy Pro Subscribers For The Win: Week 9

Dave Larkin - November 4, 2020

NFL picks against the Las Vegas lines.

For Our Season Long Pro or Daily Fantasy Pro Subscribers Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 9

Austin Lee - November 3, 2020

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

For Our Season Long Pro Subscribers IDP Matchups to Exploit and Avoid: Week 8

Dave Larkin - October 29, 2020

Dave Larkin breaks down the key clashes to target and fade for IDP production.

For Our Season Long Pro Subscribers Regression Alert: Week 8

Adam Harstad - October 29, 2020

When given the choice between a broad measure and a detailed one, favor the detailed one.

For Our Season Long Pro Subscribers Fantasy Overview - Week 8

Jeff Haseley - October 28, 2020

Get yourself caught up on what's going on in the league as we enter Week 8 of the NFL season. Here's my take on the fantasy landscape around the league and how you can benefit. 

For Our Season Long Pro or Daily Fantasy Pro Subscribers For The Win: Week 8

Dave Larkin - October 28, 2020

NFL picks against the Las Vegas lines.

For Our Season Long Pro or Daily Fantasy Pro Subscribers Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 8

Austin Lee - October 27, 2020

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

For Our Season Long Pro Subscribers IDP Matchups to Exploit and Avoid: Week 7

Dave Larkin - October 22, 2020

Dave Larkin breaks down the key clashes to target and fade for IDP production.

For Our Season Long Pro or Daily Fantasy Pro Subscribers For The Win: Week 7

Dave Larkin - October 20, 2020

NFL picks against the Las Vegas lines.

For Our Season Long Pro or Daily Fantasy Pro Subscribers Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 7

Austin Lee - October 20, 2020

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

For Our Season Long Pro Subscribers IDP Matchups to Exploit and Avoid: Week 6

Dave Larkin - October 15, 2020

Dave Larkin breaks down the key clashes to target and fade for IDP production.

For Our Season Long Pro Subscribers Regression Alert: Week 6

Adam Harstad - October 15, 2020

How can you tell if a statistic will be especially prone to regression? It doesn't hurt to go with your gut.

For Our Season Long Pro or Daily Fantasy Pro Subscribers For The Win: Week 6

Dave Larkin - October 14, 2020

NFL picks against the Las Vegas lines.

For Our Season Long Pro or Daily Fantasy Pro Subscribers Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 6

Austin Lee - October 13, 2020

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

For Our Season Long Pro Subscribers IDP Matchups to Exploit and Avoid: Week 5

Dave Larkin - October 8, 2020

Dave Larkin breaks down the key clashes to target and fade for IDP production.

For Our Season Long Pro Subscribers Regression Alert: Week 5

Adam Harstad - October 8, 2020

Revisiting preseason expectations and seeing what we've learned.

For Our Season Long Pro or Daily Fantasy Pro Subscribers For The Win: Week 5

Dave Larkin - October 6, 2020

NFL picks against the Las Vegas lines.

For Our Season Long Pro or Daily Fantasy Pro Subscribers Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 5

Austin Lee - October 6, 2020

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

For Our Season Long Pro Subscribers Regression Alert: Week 4

Adam Harstad - October 1, 2020

Touchdowns follow yards (but yards don't follow back).

For Our Season Long Pro Subscribers IDP Matchups to Exploit and Avoid: Week 4

Dave Larkin - September 30, 2020

Dave Larkin breaks down the key clashes to target and fade for IDP production.

For Our Season Long Pro Subscribers Regression Alert: Week 3

Adam Harstad - September 24, 2020

If you want to demonstrate the power of regression to the mean in action, start with yards per carry.

For Our Season Long Pro Subscribers IDP Matchups to Exploit and Avoid: Week 3

Dave Larkin - September 23, 2020

Dave Larkin breaks down the key clashes to target and fade for IDP production.

For Our Season Long Pro or Daily Fantasy Pro Subscribers For The Win: Week 3

Dave Larkin - September 22, 2020

NFL picks against the Las Vegas lines.

For Our Season Long Pro Subscribers Regression Alert: Week 2

Adam Harstad - September 17, 2020

What is regression to the mean? And most importantly, how can it help you win at fantasy football?

For Our Season Long Pro Subscribers IDP Matchups to Exploit and Avoid: Week 2

Dave Larkin - September 16, 2020

Dave Larkin breaks down the key clashes to target and fade for IDP production.

For Our Season Long Pro Subscribers IDP Matchups to Exploit and Avoid: Week 1

Dave Larkin - September 8, 2020

Dave Larkin breaks down the key clashes to target and fade for IDP production.

For Our Footballguys Insiders You CAN Win Your League in the First Round

Adam Harstad - August 5, 2020

Conventional wisdom holds that you can't win your league in the first round, but you can lose it. Conventional wisdom is wrong.

For Our Footballguys Insiders Learning from History: Darren Waller

Adam Harstad - July 12, 2020

What can the past tell us about how Darren Waller's career is likely to turn out?

For Our Season Long Pro or Daily Fantasy Pro Subscribers For The Win: Super Bowl LIV

Dave Larkin - January 26, 2020

Dave Larkin makes his pick and recommends prop bets for Super Bowl LIV.

For Our Season Long Pro or Daily Fantasy Pro Subscribers Normalized Strength of Schedule: Super Bowl

Austin Lee - January 20, 2020

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

For Our Season Long Pro or Daily Fantasy Pro Subscribers For The Win: Championship Weekend

Dave Larkin - January 15, 2020

Dave Larkin makes his picks against the spread for the Conference Championship games.

For Our Season Long Pro or Daily Fantasy Pro Subscribers Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 20

Austin Lee - January 14, 2020

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

For Our Season Long Pro or Daily Fantasy Pro Subscribers For The Win: Divisional Weekend

Dave Larkin - January 7, 2020

Dave Larkin makes his picks against the Las Vegas lines for the second round of the playoffs.

For Our Season Long Pro or Daily Fantasy Pro Subscribers Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 19

Austin Lee - January 7, 2020

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

For Our Season Long Pro Subscribers Expected Playoff Games Played

Danny Tuccitto - January 3, 2020

Projected playoff fantasy points based on expected number of games played.

For Our Season Long Pro or Daily Fantasy Pro Subscribers For The Win: Wild Card Weekend

Dave Larkin - January 1, 2020

Dave Larkin makes his picks against the Las Vegas lines for the first round of the playoffs.

For Our Season Long Pro or Daily Fantasy Pro Subscribers Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 18

Austin Lee - December 31, 2019

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

For Our Season Long Pro Subscribers Regression Alert: Week 17

Adam Harstad - December 26, 2019

Looking back on the year's predictions

For Our Season Long Pro Subscribers IDP Matchups to Exploit and Avoid: Week 17

Dave Larkin - December 25, 2019

Dave Larkin breaks down the key clashes to target and fade for IDP production

For Our Season Long Pro or Daily Fantasy Pro Subscribers For The Win: Week 17

Dave Larkin - December 24, 2019

NFL picks against the Las Vegas lines.

For Our Season Long Pro or Daily Fantasy Pro Subscribers Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 17

Austin Lee - December 24, 2019

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

For Our Season Long Pro or Daily Fantasy Pro Subscribers #Trendspotting: Week 16

Ryan Hester - December 19, 2019

Examining player and team trends to identify valuable DFS options and start/sits in season-long leagues

For Our Season Long Pro Subscribers IDP Matchups to Exploit and Avoid: Week 16

Dave Larkin - December 18, 2019

Dave Larkin breaks down the key clashes to target and fade for IDP production

For Our Season Long Pro Subscribers Regression Alert: Week 16

Adam Harstad - December 18, 2019

In fantasy football, even more than in real football, skill lags and chance predominates. Never more so than when determining who wins the title.

For Our Season Long Pro or Daily Fantasy Pro Subscribers For The Win: Week 16

Dave Larkin - December 17, 2019

NFL picks against the Las Vegas lines.

For Our Season Long Pro or Daily Fantasy Pro Subscribers Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 16

Austin Lee - December 17, 2019

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

For Our Season Long Pro Subscribers Regression Alert: Week 15

Adam Harstad - December 12, 2019

Is "regression-proof" a thing? Is anyone special?

For Our Season Long Pro or Daily Fantasy Pro Subscribers #Trendspotting: Week 15

Ryan Hester - December 12, 2019

Examining player and team trends to identify valuable DFS options and start/sits in season-long leagues

For Our Season Long Pro Subscribers IDP Matchups to Exploit and Avoid: Week 15

Dave Larkin - December 11, 2019

Dave Larkin breaks down the key clashes to target and fade for IDP production

For Our Season Long Pro or Daily Fantasy Pro Subscribers For The Win: Week 15

Dave Larkin - December 10, 2019

NFL picks against the Las Vegas lines.

For Our Season Long Pro or Daily Fantasy Pro Subscribers Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 15

Austin Lee - December 10, 2019

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

For Our Season Long Pro or Daily Fantasy Pro Subscribers #Trendspotting: Week 14

Ryan Hester - December 5, 2019

Examining player and team trends to identify valuable DFS options and start/sits in season-long leagues

For Our Season Long Pro Subscribers IDP Matchups to Exploit and Avoid: Week 14

Dave Larkin - December 4, 2019

Dave Larkin breaks down the key clashes to target and fade for IDP production

For Our Season Long Pro Subscribers Regression Alert: Week 14

Adam Harstad - December 4, 2019

Luck does not regress, it is regression itself.

For Our Season Long Pro or Daily Fantasy Pro Subscribers For The Win: Week 14

Dave Larkin - December 3, 2019

NFL picks against the Las Vegas lines.

For Our Season Long Pro or Daily Fantasy Pro Subscribers Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 14

Austin Lee - December 3, 2019

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

For Our Season Long Pro or Daily Fantasy Pro Subscribers #Trendspotting: Week 13

Ryan Hester - November 28, 2019

Examining player and team trends to identify valuable DFS options and start/sits in season-long leagues

For Our Season Long Pro Subscribers IDP Matchups to Exploit and Avoid: Week 13

Dave Larkin - November 27, 2019

Dave Larkin breaks down the key clashes to target and fade for IDP production

For Our Season Long Pro or Daily Fantasy Pro Subscribers For The Win: Week 13

Dave Larkin - November 26, 2019

NFL picks against the Las Vegas lines.

For Our Season Long Pro or Daily Fantasy Pro Subscribers Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 13

Austin Lee - November 26, 2019

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

For Our Season Long Pro Subscribers Regression Alert: Week 13

Adam Harstad - November 26, 2019

There's a thing we judge quarterbacks harshly for but is actually mostly just bad luck.

For Our Season Long Pro or Daily Fantasy Pro Subscribers #Trendspotting: Week 12

Ryan Hester - November 21, 2019

Examining player and team trends to identify valuable DFS options and start/sits in season-long leagues

For Our Season Long Pro Subscribers IDP Matchups to Exploit and Avoid: Week 12

Dave Larkin - November 20, 2019

Dave Larkin breaks down the key clashes to target and fade for IDP production

For Our Season Long Pro Subscribers Regression Alert: Week 12

Adam Harstad - November 20, 2019

Players regress. Offenses and defenses are made up of players. Do offenses and defenses regress?

For Our Season Long Pro or Daily Fantasy Pro Subscribers For The Win: Week 12

Dave Larkin - November 19, 2019

NFL picks against the Las Vegas lines.

For Our Season Long Pro or Daily Fantasy Pro Subscribers Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 12

Austin Lee - November 19, 2019

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

For Our Season Long Pro Subscribers Regression Alert: Week 11

Adam Harstad - November 14, 2019

Individual players aren't all that regress.

For Our Season Long Pro or Daily Fantasy Pro Subscribers #Trendspotting: Week 11

Ryan Hester - November 14, 2019

Examining player and team trends to identify valuable DFS options and start/sits in season-long leagues

For Our Season Long Pro Subscribers IDP Matchups to Exploit and Avoid: Week 11

Dave Larkin - November 13, 2019

Dave Larkin breaks down the best and worst IDP match-ups on the Week 11 slate. 

For Our Season Long Pro or Daily Fantasy Pro Subscribers For The Win: Week 11

Dave Larkin - November 12, 2019

NFL picks against the Las Vegas lines.

For Our Season Long Pro or Daily Fantasy Pro Subscribers Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 11

Austin Lee - November 12, 2019

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

For Our Season Long Pro Subscribers IDP Matchups to Exploit and Avoid: Week 10

Dave Larkin - November 7, 2019

Dave Larkin breaks down the key clashes to target and fade for IDP production

For Our Season Long Pro Subscribers Regression Alert: Week 10

Adam Harstad - November 7, 2019

Introducing the "leaderboard test".

For Our Season Long Pro or Daily Fantasy Pro Subscribers #Trendspotting: Week 10

Ryan Hester - November 7, 2019

Examining player and team trends to identify valuable DFS options and start/sits in season-long leagues

For Our Season Long Pro or Daily Fantasy Pro Subscribers For The Win: Week 10

Dave Larkin - November 5, 2019

NFL picks against the Las Vegas lines.

For Our Season Long Pro or Daily Fantasy Pro Subscribers Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 10

Austin Lee - November 5, 2019

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

For Our Season Long Pro Subscribers Regression Alert: Week 9

Adam Harstad - October 31, 2019

Does yards per target regress? Sort of! It's... complicated.

For Our Season Long Pro or Daily Fantasy Pro Subscribers #Trendspotting: Week 9

Ryan Hester - October 31, 2019

Examining player and team trends to identify valuable DFS options and start/sits in season-long leagues

For Our Season Long Pro Subscribers IDP Matchups to Exploit and Avoid: Week 9

Dave Larkin - October 30, 2019

Dave Larkin breaks down the key clashes to target and fade for IDP production

For Our Season Long Pro or Daily Fantasy Pro Subscribers For The Win: Week 9

Dave Larkin - October 30, 2019

NFL picks against the Las Vegas lines.

For Our Season Long Pro or Daily Fantasy Pro Subscribers Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 9

Austin Lee - October 29, 2019

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

For Our Season Long Pro or Daily Fantasy Pro Subscribers #Trendspotting: Week 8

Ryan Hester - October 24, 2019

Examining player and team trends to identify valuable DFS options and start/sits in season-long leagues

For Our Season Long Pro Subscribers Fantasy Overview - Week 8

Jeff Haseley - October 23, 2019

Get yourself caught up on what's going on in the league as we enter Week 8 of the NFL season. Here's my take on the fantasy landscape around the league and how you can benefit. 

For Our Season Long Pro Subscribers IDP Matchups to Exploit and Avoid: Week 8

Dave Larkin - October 23, 2019

Dave Larkin identifies the best and worst match-ups to target and fade for IDP purposes.

For Our Season Long Pro or Daily Fantasy Pro Subscribers For The Win: Week 8

Dave Larkin - October 23, 2019

NFL picks against the Las Vegas lines.

For Our Season Long Pro Subscribers Regression Alert: Week 8

Adam Harstad - October 23, 2019

Surprisingly, even tight ends regress.

For Our Season Long Pro or Daily Fantasy Pro Subscribers Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 8

Austin Lee - October 22, 2019

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

For Our Season Long Pro Subscribers IDP Matchups to Exploit and Avoid: Week 7

Dave Larkin - October 17, 2019

Dave Larkin breaks down the key clashes to target and fade for IDP production.

For Our Season Long Pro Subscribers Regression Alert: Week 7

Adam Harstad - October 17, 2019

A deeper look at regression

For Our Season Long Pro or Daily Fantasy Pro Subscribers #Trendspotting: Week 7

Ryan Hester - October 17, 2019

Examining player and team trends to identify valuable DFS options and start/sits in season-long leagues

For Our Season Long Pro or Daily Fantasy Pro Subscribers For The Win: Week 7

Dave Larkin - October 16, 2019

Dave Larkin makes picks against the spread for this week's games

For Our Season Long Pro or Daily Fantasy Pro Subscribers Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 7

Austin Lee - October 15, 2019

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

For Our Season Long Pro Subscribers IDP Matchups to Exploit and Avoid: Week 6

Dave Larkin - October 10, 2019

Dave Larkin identifies the best and worst match-ups to target and fade for IDP purposes.

For Our Season Long Pro Subscribers Regression Alert: Week 6

Adam Harstad - October 10, 2019

Quarterbacks regress, too. Just not as much.

For Our Season Long Pro or Daily Fantasy Pro Subscribers #Trendspotting: Week 6

Ryan Hester - October 10, 2019

Examining player and team trends to identify valuable DFS options and start/sits in season-long leagues

For Our Season Long Pro or Daily Fantasy Pro Subscribers Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 6

Austin Lee - October 8, 2019

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

For Our Season Long Pro Subscribers IDP Matchups to Exploit and Avoid: Week 5

Dave Larkin - October 3, 2019

Dave Larkin identifies the best and worst match-ups to target and fade for IDP purposes.

For Our Season Long Pro or Daily Fantasy Pro Subscribers #Trendspotting: Week 5

Ryan Hester - October 3, 2019

Examining player and team trends to identify valuable DFS options and start/sits in season-long leagues

For Our Season Long Pro or Daily Fantasy Pro Subscribers Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 5

Austin Lee - October 1, 2019

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

For Our Season Long Pro Subscribers Regression Alert: Week 4

Adam Harstad - September 26, 2019

Touchdowns follow yards (but yards don't follow back).

For Our Season Long Pro or Daily Fantasy Pro Subscribers #Trendspotting: Week 4

Ryan Hester - September 26, 2019

Examining player and team trends to identify valuable DFS options and start/sits in season-long leagues

For Our Season Long Pro or Daily Fantasy Pro Subscribers For The Win: Week 4

Dave Larkin - September 24, 2019

NFL picks against the Las Vegas lines

For Our Season Long Pro Subscribers Regression Alert: Week 3

Adam Harstad - September 19, 2019

What is the easiest way to get maximum returns with minimum effort out of regression to the mean?

For Our Season Long Pro or Daily Fantasy Pro Subscribers #Trendspotting: Week 3

Ryan Hester - September 19, 2019

Examining player and team trends to identify valuable DFS options and start/sits in season-long leagues

For Our Season Long Pro or Daily Fantasy Pro Subscribers #Trendspotting: Week 2

Ryan Hester - September 12, 2019

Examining player and team trends to identify valuable DFS options and start/sits in season-long leagues

For Our Season Long Pro or Daily Fantasy Pro Subscribers For The Win: Week 2

Dave Larkin - September 11, 2019

NFL picks against the Las Vegas lines.

For Our Footballguys Insiders #Trendspotting: Week 1

Ryan Hester - September 5, 2019

Examining player and team trends to identify valuable DFS options and start/sits in season-long leagues

For Our Season Long Pro Subscribers Learning from History: O.J. Howard

Adam Harstad - July 27, 2019

What can the past tell us about how O.J. Howard's career is likely to turn out?

For Our Season Long Pro Subscribers Learning from History: Eric Ebron

Adam Harstad - July 26, 2019

What can the past tell us about how Eric Ebron's career is likely to turn out?

For Our Season Long Pro Subscribers Learning from History: Aaron Rodgers

Adam Harstad - July 16, 2019

What can the past tell us about how Aaron Rodgers' career is likely to turn out?

For Our Footballguys Insiders Quality Starts: Tight Ends

Jeff Pasquino - July 16, 2019

Quality starts for 2018 for tight ends using standard scoring

For Our Footballguys Insiders Quality Starts: Tight Ends (PPR)

Jeff Pasquino - July 16, 2019

Quality starts for 2018 for tight ends using PPR scoring

For Our Footballguys Insiders Learning from History: Travis Kelce

Adam Harstad - July 13, 2019

What can the past tell us about how Travis Kelce's career is likely to turn out?

Normalized Strength of Schedule: Super Bowl

Austin Lee - January 21, 2019

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

Normalized Strength of Schedule: Conference Championships

Austin Lee - January 15, 2019

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

Normalized Strength of Schedule: Divisional Weekend

Austin Lee - January 8, 2019

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

Normalized Strength of Schedule: Wild Card Weekend

Austin Lee - January 1, 2019

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

Projecting the Pros on DraftKings: Week 17

Danny Tuccitto - December 27, 2018

A guide to playing roster percentages like the pros.

Regression Alert: Week 17 - Footballguys

Adam Harstad - December 27, 2018

Revisiting every prediction and tracking how they've fared in the weeks since they've closed.

#Trendspotting: Week 17 - Footballguys

Ryan Hester - December 27, 2018

Examining player and team trends to identify valuable DFS options and start/sits in season-long leagues

Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 17

Austin Lee - December 25, 2018

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

Projecting the Pros on DraftKings: Week 16

Danny Tuccitto - December 21, 2018

A guide to playing roster percentages like the pros.

Regression Alert: Week 16 - Footballguys

Adam Harstad - December 20, 2018

Wishing the best to everyone still in the ultimate small-samples competition from the ultimate large-samples predictor.

#Trendspotting: Week 16 - Footballguys

Ryan Hester - December 20, 2018

Examining player and team trends to identify valuable DFS options and start/sits in season-long leagues

Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 16

Austin Lee - December 18, 2018

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

Projecting the Pros on DraftKings: Week 15

Danny Tuccitto - December 14, 2018

A guide to playing roster percentages like the pros.

#Trendspotting: Week 15 - Footballguys

Ryan Hester - December 13, 2018

Examining player and team trends to identify valuable DFS options and start/sits in season-long leagues

Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 15

Austin Lee - December 11, 2018

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

Regression Alert: Week 15 - Footballguys

Adam Harstad - December 11, 2018

Regression to the mean and hope for the hopeless.

Projecting the Pros on DraftKings: Week 14

Danny Tuccitto - December 6, 2018

A guide to playing roster percentages like the pros.

Regression Alert: Week 14 - Footballguys

Adam Harstad - December 6, 2018

Telling the dirty truth about Regression Alert and regression to the mean.

#Trendspotting: Week 14 - Footballguys

Ryan Hester - December 6, 2018

Examining player and team trends to identify valuable DFS options and start/sits in season-long leagues

Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 14

Austin Lee - December 4, 2018

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

Projecting the Pros on DraftKings: Week 13

Danny Tuccitto - November 29, 2018

A guide to playing roster percentages like the pros.

Regression Alert: Week 13 - Footballguys

Adam Harstad - November 29, 2018

There's a thing we judge quarterbacks harshly for but is actually mostly just bad luck.

#Trendspotting: Week 13 - Footballguys

Ryan Hester - November 29, 2018

Examining player and team trends to identify valuable DFS options and start/sits in season-long leagues

Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 13

Austin Lee - November 27, 2018

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

Projecting the Pros on DraftKings: Week 12

Danny Tuccitto - November 24, 2018

A guide to playing roster percentages like the pros.

Regression Alert: Week 12 - Footballguys

Adam Harstad - November 21, 2018

Don't confuse returning to prior levels with being "due".

#Trendspotting: Week 12 - Footballguys

Ryan Hester - November 21, 2018

Examining player and team trends to identify valuable DFS options and start/sits in season-long leagues

Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 12

Austin Lee - November 20, 2018

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

Projecting the Pros on DraftKings: Week 11

Danny Tuccitto - November 16, 2018

A guide to playing roster percentages like the pros.

Offensive Line Rankings and Notes: Week 11 - Footballguys

Matt Bitonti - November 15, 2018

Offensive line related news, injuries and updates, prior to week eleven of the regular season.

Regression Alert: Week 11 - Footballguys

Adam Harstad - November 15, 2018

A quick and easy way to identify candidates for regression.

#Trendspotting: Week 11 - Footballguys

Ryan Hester - November 15, 2018

Examining player and team trends to identify valuable DFS options and start/sits in season-long leagues

Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 11

Austin Lee - November 13, 2018

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

True Fantasy Points: Week 10 Update

Danny Tuccitto - November 9, 2018

A stats-based guide for identifying buy-low and sell-high candidates.

Projecting the Pros on DraftKings: Week 10

Danny Tuccitto - November 8, 2018

A guide to playing roster percentages like the pros.

#Trendspotting: Week 10 - Footballguys

Ryan Hester - November 8, 2018

Examining player and team trends to identify valuable DFS options and start/sits in season-long leagues

Regression Alert: Week 10 - Footballguys

Adam Harstad - November 7, 2018

Why do we care about regression to the mean?

Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 10

Austin Lee - November 6, 2018

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

Regression Alert: Week 9 - Footballguys

Adam Harstad - November 2, 2018

Does Todd Gurley regress to the mean? I bet he does!

Projecting the Pros on DraftKings: Week 9

Danny Tuccitto - November 1, 2018

A guide to playing roster percentages like the pros.

#Trendspotting: Week 9 - Footballguys

Ryan Hester - November 1, 2018

Examining player and team trends to identify valuable DFS options and start/sits in season-long leagues

Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 9

Austin Lee - October 30, 2018

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

Projecting the Pros on DraftKings: Week 8

Danny Tuccitto - October 27, 2018

A guide to playing roster percentages like the pros.

Regression Alert: Week 8 - Footballguys

Adam Harstad - October 25, 2018

Anything that is subject to randomness is subject to regression, (including some surprising things you might not think of at first)

#Trendspotting: Week 8 - Footballguys

Ryan Hester - October 25, 2018

Examining player and team trends to identify valuable DFS options and start/sits in season-long leagues

Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 8

Austin Lee - October 23, 2018

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

Projecting the Pros on DraftKings: Week 7

Danny Tuccitto - October 19, 2018

A guide to playing roster percentages like the pros.

Regression Alert: Week 7 - Footballguys

Adam Harstad - October 18, 2018

When betting on regression to the mean, time is your strongest ally.

#Trendspotting: Week 7 - Footballguys

Ryan Hester - October 18, 2018

Examining player and team trends to identify valuable DFS options and start/sits in season-long leagues

Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 7

Austin Lee - October 16, 2018

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

Projecting the Pros on DraftKings: Week 6

Danny Tuccitto - October 12, 2018

A guide to playing roster percentages like the pros.

Regression Alert: Week 6 - Footballguys

Adam Harstad - October 11, 2018

50% of the variation in yards per target is explained by a player's yards per reception. The other 50% is prime territory for regression to the mean.

#Trendspotting: Week 6 - Footballguys

Ryan Hester - October 11, 2018

Examining player and team trends to identify valuable DFS options and start/sits in season-long leagues

Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 6

Austin Lee - October 9, 2018

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

Projecting the Pros on DraftKings: Week 5

Danny Tuccitto - October 5, 2018

A guide to playing roster percentages like the pros.

True Fantasy Points: Week 5 Update

Danny Tuccitto - October 5, 2018

A stats-based guide for identifying buy-low and sell-high candidates.

Regression Alert: Week 5 - Footballguys

Adam Harstad - October 4, 2018

Revisiting preseason expectations and seeing what we've learned.

#Trendspotting: Week 5 - Footballguys

Ryan Hester - October 4, 2018

Examining player and team trends to identify valuable DFS options and start/sits in season-long leagues

Offensive Line Rankings and Notes: Week 5 - Footballguys

Matt Bitonti - October 3, 2018

Offensive line related news, injuries and updates, prior to week five of the regular season.

Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 5

Austin Lee - October 2, 2018

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

Projecting the Pros on DraftKings: Week 4

Danny Tuccitto - September 28, 2018

A guide to playing roster percentages like the pros.

Regression Alert: Week 4 - Footballguys

Adam Harstad - September 27, 2018

Introducing a new mantra: touchdowns follow yards, (but yards don't follow back).

#Trendspotting: Week 4 - Footballguys

Ryan Hester - September 27, 2018

Examining player and team trends to identify valuable DFS options and start/sits in season-long leagues

Projecting the Pros

Danny Tuccitto - September 21, 2018

A guide to playing roster percentages like the pros.

Regression Alert: Week 3 - Footballguys

Adam Harstad - September 20, 2018

Thoughts on the least useful statistic.

#Trendspotting: Week 3 - Footballguys

Ryan Hester - September 20, 2018

Examining player and team trends to identify valuable DFS options and start/sits in season-long leagues

Projecting the Pros

Danny Tuccitto - September 15, 2018

A guide to playing roster percentages like the pros.

#Trendspotting: Week 2 - Footballguys

Ryan Hester - September 13, 2018

Examining player and team trends to identify valuable DFS options and start/sits in season-long leagues

Regression Alert: Week 2 - Footballguys

Adam Harstad - September 12, 2018

What is regression to the mean? And most importantly, how can it help you win at fantasy football?

Projecting the Pros

Danny Tuccitto - September 7, 2018

A guide to playing roster percentages like the pros.

#Trendspotting: Week 1 - Footballguys

Ryan Hester - September 4, 2018

Examining player and team trends to identify valuable DFS options and start/sits in season-long leagues

True Fantasy Points: 2018 Wide Receiver Projections - Footballguys

Danny Tuccitto - August 31, 2018

A stats-based guide for separating skill from luck in wide receiver projections.

True Fantasy Points: 2018 Running Back Projections - Footballguys

Danny Tuccitto - August 29, 2018

A stats-based guide for separating skill from luck in running back projections.

True Fantasy Points: 2018 Quarterback Projections - Footballguys

Danny Tuccitto - August 27, 2018

A stats-based guide for separating skill from luck in quarterback projections.

Projection Reflections: Preseason Week 2 Adjustments - Footballguys

Jason Wood - August 25, 2018

A look at the key projections changes after the second week of the preseason

Fantasy, in Theory 14: Intelligent Life and Player Upside - Footballguys

Adam Harstad - June 9, 2018

The search for extraterrestrial life, projecting Josh Gordon, and why it's so important to account for uncertainty.

Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 21

Austin Lee - January 23, 2018

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 20

Austin Lee - January 15, 2018

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 19

Austin Lee - January 8, 2018

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

Expected Playoff Games Played

Danny Tuccitto - January 4, 2018

Projected playoff fantasy points based on expected number of games played.

Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 18

Austin Lee - January 1, 2018

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

Regression Alert: Longer Timescales

Adam Harstad - December 30, 2017

I've said often that regression operates best over longer timescales. Let's see that in action.

#Trendspotting: Week 17 - Hyde and Seek

Ryan Hester - December 28, 2017

Examining player and team trends to identify valuable DFS options and start/sits in season-long leagues

Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 17

Austin Lee - December 26, 2017

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

Regression Alert: Do Quarterbacks Regress?

Adam Harstad - December 23, 2017

After a poor showing this year, I'm forced to ask... are quarterbacks immune to the forces of regression?

#Trendspotting: Week 16 - Deep in the Woods

Ryan Hester - December 21, 2017

Examining player and team trends to identify valuable DFS options and start/sits in season-long leagues

Beyond the Stats Week 16

Jeff Haseley - December 20, 2017

Each week I uncover some interesting stats, tidbits and information that you may not know. 

Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 16

Austin Lee - December 19, 2017

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

Regression Alert: A Temporary Reprieve

Adam Harstad - December 16, 2017

Beginning to close the books as the season winds down.

#Trendspotting: Week 15 - Don't Fear the Passing Game in a Blowout

Ryan Hester - December 14, 2017

Examining player and team trends to identify valuable DFS options and start/sits in season-long leagues

Beyond the Stats Week 15

Jeff Haseley - December 13, 2017

Each week I uncover some interesting stats, tidbits and information that you may not know. 

Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 15

Austin Lee - December 12, 2017

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

Regression Alert: Special Players

Adam Harstad - December 9, 2017

Does regression really come for everyone eventually? Or are some players immune?

#Trendspotting: Week 14 - Hope You Stashed Flash

Ryan Hester - December 7, 2017

Examining player and team trends to identify valuable DFS options and start/sits in season-long leagues

In The Trenches: Matchups for Week 14

Matt Bitonti - December 7, 2017

Co-written by Matt Bitonti and Justis Mosqueda. Comparing offensive and defensive lines to find the best matchups for the week.

Beyond the Stats Week 14

Jeff Haseley - December 6, 2017

Each week I uncover some interesting stats, tidbits and information that you may not know. 

Offensive Line Rankings and Notes: Week 14

Matt Bitonti - December 6, 2017

Offensive line related news, injuries and updates, prior to week fourteen of the regular season.

Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 14

Austin Lee - December 5, 2017

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

Regression Alert: Massive Samples

Adam Harstad - December 2, 2017

Regression operates more consistently the more chances you give it. So let's give it a ton of chances and see what happens.

#Trendspotting: Week 13 - Cooking Up Fantasy Goodness

Ryan Hester - November 30, 2017

Examining player and team trends to identify valuable DFS options and start/sits in season-long leagues

In The Trenches: Matchups for Week 13

Matt Bitonti - November 30, 2017

Co-written by Matt Bitonti and Justis Mosqueda. Comparing offensive and defensive lines to find the best matchups for the week.

Beyond the Stats Week 13

Jeff Haseley - November 29, 2017

Each week I uncover some interesting stats, tidbits and information that you may not know. 

Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 13

Austin Lee - November 28, 2017

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

Regression Alert: Betting Against Wentz

Adam Harstad - November 25, 2017

Regression Alert revisits the site of its greatest defeat in search of redemption.

#Trendspotting: Week 12 - It's Finally Happening

Ryan Hester - November 23, 2017

Examining player and team trends to identify valuable DFS options and start/sits in season-long leagues

Beyond the Stats Week 12

Jeff Haseley - November 22, 2017

Each week I uncover some interesting stats, tidbits and information that you may not know. 

Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 12

Austin Lee - November 21, 2017

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

Regression Alert: Weighted Coins

Adam Harstad - November 18, 2017

You know what fantasy football needs? More coin-flip analogies!

#Trendspotting: Week 11 - The Skeleton Key

Ryan Hester - November 17, 2017

Examining player and team trends to identify valuable DFS options and start/sits in season-long leagues

In The Trenches: Matchups for Week 11

Matt Bitonti - November 16, 2017

Co-written by Matt Bitonti and Justis Mosqueda. Comparing offensive and defensive lines to find the best matchups for the week.

Beyond the Stats Week 11

Jeff Haseley - November 15, 2017

Each week I uncover some interesting stats, tidbits and information that you may know.

Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 11

Austin Lee - November 14, 2017

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

Regression Alert: Picking Up the Pieces

Adam Harstad - November 11, 2017

What does it mean when things go wrong?

#Trendspotting: Week 10 - A Smash Spot

Ryan Hester - November 9, 2017

Examining player and team trends to identify valuable DFS options and start/sits in season-long leagues

Beyond the Stats Week 10

Jeff Haseley - November 8, 2017

Each week I uncover some interesting stats, tidbits and information that you may not know. 

Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 10

Austin Lee - November 7, 2017

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

Regression Alert: Once More Unto The Breach

Adam Harstad - November 4, 2017

Yards per touchdown ratios. I'm pretty sure they're meaningful despite early evidence to the contrary!

#Trendspotting: Week 9 - Buying Low

Ryan Hester - November 2, 2017

Examining player and team trends to identify valuable DFS options and start/sits in season-long leagues

Beyond the Stats Week 9

Jeff Haseley - November 1, 2017

Each week I uncover some interesting stats, tidbits and information that you may not know. 

Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 9

Austin Lee - October 31, 2017

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

Regression Alert: Still Wary of Yards Per Carry

Adam Harstad - October 28, 2017

Has nearly half a season given yards per carry time to stabilize a little bit? I bet not!

Beyond the Stats Week 8

Jeff Haseley - October 26, 2017

Each week I uncover some interesting stats, tidbits and information that you may not know.

#Trendspotting: Week 8 - The Forgotten Elite

Ryan Hester - October 26, 2017

Examining player and team trends to identify valuable DFS options and start/sits in season-long leagues

Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 8

Austin Lee - October 24, 2017

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

True Fantasy Points: Week 7 Update

Danny Tuccitto - October 19, 2017

A stats-based guide for identifying buy-low and sell-high candidates.

#Trendspotting: Week 7 - Delanie Chalker?

Ryan Hester - October 19, 2017

Examining player and team trends to identify valuable DFS options and start/sits in season-long leagues

In The Trenches: Matchups for Week 7

Matt Bitonti - October 19, 2017

Co-written by Matt Bitonti and Justis Mosqueda. Comparing offensive and defensive lines to find the best matchups for the week.

Beyond the Stats Week 7

Jeff Haseley - October 18, 2017

Each week I uncover some interesting stats, tidbits and information that you may not know. 

Regression Alert: Touch-Ups and Touchdowns

Adam Harstad - October 18, 2017

Regression affects everything, but it does not affect everything equally. This week: touchdowns follow yards, (but yards don't follow back).

Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 7

Austin Lee - October 17, 2017

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

Regression Alert: Passing Touchdowns, Too, Must Pass

Adam Harstad - October 14, 2017

Even Hall of Famers can only throw so many touchdowns per yard gained.

#Trendspotting: Week 6 - An RB1 Journey Begins

Ryan Hester - October 12, 2017

Examining player and team trends to identify valuable DFS options and start/sits in season-long leagues

IDP Matchups to Exploit and Avoid: Week 6

Dave Larkin - October 12, 2017

Dave Larkin breaks down the best and worst IDP matchups on the Week 6 slate of games. 

Beyond the Stats Week 6

Jeff Haseley - October 11, 2017

Each week I uncover some interesting stats, tidbits and information that you may not know.

Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 6

Austin Lee - October 10, 2017

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

Regression Alert: Revisiting Preseason Expectations

Adam Harstad - October 7, 2017

At what point should we stop caring about what we thought about players before the season began?

#Trendspotting: Week 5 - Smoothing the Tension

Ryan Hester - October 5, 2017

Examining player and team trends to identify valuable DFS options

Beyond the Stats Week 5

Jeff Haseley - October 4, 2017

Each week I uncover some interesting stats, tidbits and information that you may not know.

Offensive Line Rankings and Notes: Week 5

Matt Bitonti - October 4, 2017

Offensive line related news, injuries and updates, prior to week five of the regular season.

Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 5

Austin Lee - October 3, 2017

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

Regression Alert: When Yards Per Target is Off Target

Adam Harstad - September 30, 2017

A lot of the deviation in yards per target is explained by a receiver's role. Most of the rest of it is explained by random chance. That last bit is ripe for regression.

#Trendspotting: Week 4 - Keeping Up With the Jones

Ryan Hester - September 28, 2017

Examining player and team trends to identify valuable DFS options

Beyond the Stats Week 4

Jeff Haseley - September 27, 2017

Each week I uncover some interesting stats, tidbits and information that you may not know.

#Trendspotting: Week 3 - Ertz So Good

Ryan Hester - September 21, 2017

Examining player and team trends to identify valuable DFS options

Regression Alert: Be Very Wary of Yards per Carry

Adam Harstad - September 21, 2017

Yards per carry is one of the most-used stats when evaluating running backs. It... shouldn't be.

In The Trenches: Matchups for Week 3

Matt Bitonti - September 21, 2017

Co-written by Matt Bitonti and Justis Mosqueda. Comparing offensive and defensive lines to find the best matchups for the week.

Beyond the Stats Week 3

Jeff Haseley - September 20, 2017

Each week I uncover some interesting stats, tidbits and information that you may or may not know about. This week I take a look at which players are standing out after two weeks. 

IDP Matchups to Exploit and Avoid: Week 3

Dave Larkin - September 20, 2017

Dave Larkin breaks down the best and worst matchups in the IDP landscape this week. 

Regression Alert #1: Hunting for Outliers

Adam Harstad - September 15, 2017

Can we use a knowledge of history and statistics to sell high and buy low on players with minimal risk? We can. And we will.

#Trendspotting: Week 2 - The Full Monty

Ryan Hester - September 14, 2017

Examining player and team trends to identify valuable DFS options

Beyond The Stats - Week 2

Jeff Haseley - September 13, 2017

Each week I uncover some interesting stats, tidbits and information that you may or may not know about. This week I delve into what stands out from Week 1. 

Offensive Line Rankings and Notes: Week 2

Matt Bitonti - September 13, 2017

Offensive line related news, injuries and updates, prior to week two of the regular season.

Offensive Line Rankings and Notes: Week 1

Matt Bitonti - September 6, 2017

Offensive line related news, injuries and updates, prior to week one of the regular season.

True Fantasy Points: 2017 Tight End Projections

Danny Tuccitto - August 25, 2017

A stats-based guide for separating skill from luck in tight end projections.

True Fantasy Points: 2017 Wide Receiver Projections

Danny Tuccitto - August 24, 2017

A stats-based guide for separating skill from luck in wide receiver projections.

True Fantasy Points: 2017 Running Back Projections

Danny Tuccitto - August 23, 2017

A stats-based guide for separating skill from luck in running back projections.

True Fantasy Points: 2017 Quarterback Projections

Danny Tuccitto - August 21, 2017

A stats-based guide for separating skill from luck in quarterback projections.

The Gut Check No. 413: Crank Scores I

Matt Waldman - August 10, 2017

Matt Waldman reprises the Crank Score (consistency rankings) with two types of scores for PPR lineups with 1 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, 1 TE.

The Gut Check No. 414: Crank Scores II

Matt Waldman - August 10, 2017

Matt Waldman reprises the Crank Score (consistency rankings) with two types of scores for PPR lineups with 1 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, 1 TE, 1 Flex.

What if Jordan Howard was lost for the season?

Will Grant - August 8, 2017

What would happen to the Chicago Bears if Jordan Howad was lost for the season?

Did 2016 Kill the Zero-RB Movement?

Justin Howe - July 9, 2017

Early-round running backs enjoyed great success in 2016, while early-round receivers took a step backward. Does this signal a return to RB-centricity?

The Gut Check No. 401: TE Production Shares, ADP, and Consistency

Matt Waldman - June 26, 2017

Matt Waldman examines tight ends that quarterbacks lean on in the passing game, including the return of his consistency data. 

The Decade's Most Consistent Fantasy Running Backs

Matt Waldman - June 21, 2017

A list of the most consistently high-performing fantasy running backs since 2007 and its 2017 implications.

2017 Pre-Season Tight End Tier Rankings

Ari Ingel - June 9, 2017

Our Ari Ingel provides his 2017 pre-season tight end tier rankings for those currently playing MFL10s and for those of you looking to get an early jump on the upcoming 2017 season. 

Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 22

Austin Lee - February 5, 2017

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 21

Austin Lee - January 25, 2017

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 20

Austin Lee - January 18, 2017

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 19

Austin Lee - January 10, 2017

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

Expected Playoff Games Played

Danny Tuccitto - January 6, 2017

Projected playoff fantasy points based on expected number of games played.

Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 18

Austin Lee - January 4, 2017

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 17

Austin Lee - December 27, 2016

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

Trendspotting: Week 16

Ryan Hester - December 23, 2016

Examining player and team-based trends that could identify valuable DFS options

Beyond the Stats: Week 16

Jeff Haseley - December 21, 2016

Each week I uncover some interesting stats, tidbits and information that you may or may not know about.

Fantasy Overview: Week 16

Jeff Haseley - December 21, 2016

This week I help you prepare for your Week 16 matchups with 8 thoughts that could earn you the Championship trophy in your league. 

Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 16

Austin Lee - December 20, 2016

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

Trendspotting: Week 15

Ryan Hester - December 16, 2016

Examining player and team-based trends that could identify valuable DFS options

FanDuel Consensus Rankings Week 15

Will Grant - December 16, 2016

FanDuel Consensus Rankings

The Docket: Week 15

Ari Ingel - December 15, 2016

A rundown of all the matchups, including notes on all the best players to start, sit and stomach in Week 15. 

Beyond the Stats: Week 15

Jeff Haseley - December 14, 2016

Each week I uncover some interesting stats, tidbits and information that you may or may not know about.

Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 15

Austin Lee - December 13, 2016

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

Trendspotting: Week 14

Ryan Hester - December 9, 2016

Examining player and team-based trends that could identify valuable DFS options

Beyond the Stats: Week 14

Jeff Haseley - December 7, 2016

Each week I uncover some interesting stats, tidbits and information that you may or may not know about. This week I take a look at fantasy points by quarter, team reception leaders and red zone leaders.  

Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 14

Austin Lee - December 6, 2016

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

Trendspotting: Week 13

Ryan Hester - December 2, 2016

Examining player and team-based trends that could identify valuable DFS options

The Docket: Week 13

Ari Ingel - December 1, 2016

A rundown of all the matchups, including notes on all the best players to start, sit and stomach in Week 13. 

Beyond the Stats - Week 13

Jeff Haseley - November 30, 2016

Each week I uncover some interesting stats, tidbits and information that you may or may not know about. This week I take a look at frequency of big games by position. 

Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 13

Austin Lee - November 29, 2016

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

Trendspotting: Week 12

Ryan Hester - November 25, 2016

Examining player and team-based trends that could identify valuable DFS options

FanDuel Consensus Rankings: Week 12

Will Grant - November 24, 2016

FanDuel Consensus Rankings

Beyond the Stats: Week 12

Jeff Haseley - November 24, 2016

Each week I uncover some interesting stats, tidbits and information that you may or may not know about. 

Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 12

Austin Lee - November 22, 2016

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

Trendspotting: Week 11

Ryan Hester - November 18, 2016

Examining player and team-based trends that could identify valuable DFS options

DFS Narrative Street Week 11

Will Grant - November 18, 2016

Daily Fantasy Football #NarrativeStreet Game Script #DFS

FanDuel Consensus Rankings: Week 11

Will Grant - November 18, 2016

FanDuel Consensus Rankings

Beyond the Stats: Week 11

Jeff Haseley - November 16, 2016

Each week I uncover some interesting stats, tidbits and information that you may or may not know about. 

Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 11

Austin Lee - November 15, 2016

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

Trendspotting: Week 10

Ryan Hester - November 11, 2016

Examining player and team-based trends that could identify valuable DFS options

DFS Narrative Street Week 10

Will Grant - November 11, 2016

Daily Fantasy Football #NarrativeStreet Game Script #DFS

Beyond the Stats: Week 10

Jeff Haseley - November 9, 2016

Each week I uncover some interesting stats, tidbits and information that you may or may not know about. 

Fantasy Overview: Week 10

Jeff Haseley - November 9, 2016

Get yourself caught up on what's going on in the league as we enter Week 10 of the NFL season. Here's my take on the fantasy landscape around the league and how you can benefit. 

Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 10

Austin Lee - November 8, 2016

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

Trendspotting: Week 9

Ryan Hester - November 4, 2016

Examining player and team-based trends that could identify valuable DFS options

FanDuel Consensus Rankings Week 9

Will Grant - November 4, 2016

FanDuel Consensus Rankings

Fantasy Overview: Week 9

Jeff Haseley - November 3, 2016

Get yourself caught up on what's going on in the league as we enter Week 9 of the NFL season. Here's my take on the fantasy landscape around the league and how you can benefit. 

Week 9 DFS Short Yardage Outlooks

Justin Howe - November 3, 2016

A look into short-yardage (and touchdown) outlooks throughout the Week 8 DFS pool

Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 9

Austin Lee - November 2, 2016

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

Beyond the Stats: Week 9

Jeff Haseley - November 2, 2016

Each week I uncover some interesting stats, tidbits and information that you may or may not know about. 

Trendspotting: Week 8

Ryan Hester - October 28, 2016

Examining player and team-based trends that could identify valuable DFS options

Week 8 DFS Short Yardage Outlooks

Justin Howe - October 28, 2016

A look into short-yardage (and touchdown) outlooks throughout the Week 8 DFS pool

The Docket: Week 8

Ari Ingel - October 28, 2016

A rundown of all the matchups, including notes on all the best players to start, sit and stomach in Week 8. 

Beyond the Stats: Week 8

Jeff Haseley - October 26, 2016

Each week I uncover some interesting stats, tidbits and information that you may or may not know about. 

Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 8

Austin Lee - October 25, 2016

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

Trendspotting: Week 7

Ryan Hester - October 21, 2016

Examining player and team-based trends that could identify valuable DFS options

FanDuel Consensus Rankings Week 7

Will Grant - October 21, 2016

FanDuel Consensus Rankings

Beyond the Stats: Week 7

Jeff Haseley - October 20, 2016

Each week I uncover some interesting stats, tidbits and information that you may or may not know about. 

Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 7

Austin Lee - October 18, 2016

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

Trendspotting: Week 6

Ryan Hester - October 14, 2016

Examining player and team-based trends that could identify valuable DFS options

Fanduel Value-Play Rankings: Week 6

Will Grant - October 13, 2016

FanDuel Consensus Rankings

Week 6 DFS Short Yardage Outlooks

Justin Howe - October 13, 2016

A look into short-yardage (and touchdown) outlooks throughout the Week 6 DFS pool

Beyond the Stats: Week 6

Jeff Haseley - October 12, 2016

Each week I uncover some interesting stats, tidbits and information that you may or may not know about.

Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 6

Austin Lee - October 11, 2016

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

DFS Narrative Street

Will Grant - October 7, 2016

Daily Fantasy Football Narrative Street Game Script #DFS

FanDuel Consensus Rankings Week 5

Will Grant - October 7, 2016

FanDuel Consensus Rankings

Beyond the Stats: Week 5

Jeff Haseley - October 6, 2016

Each week I uncover some interesting stats, tidbits and information that you may or may not know about.

The Docket: Week 5

Ari Ingel - October 6, 2016

A rundown of all the matchups, including notes on all the best players to start, sit and stomach in Week 5. 

Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 5

Austin Lee - October 4, 2016

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

Trendspotting: Week 4

Ryan Hester - September 30, 2016

Examining player and team-based trends that could identify valuable DFS options

The Docket: Week 4

Ari Ingel - September 30, 2016

A rundown of all the matchups, including notes on all the best players to start, sit and stomach in Week 4. 

Beyond the Stats: Week 4

Jeff Haseley - September 29, 2016

Each week I uncover some interesting stats, tidbits and information that you may or may not know about.

Acing Aces

Danny Tuccitto - September 22, 2016

A weekly guide to finding value in Fantasy Aces contests.

Beyond the Stats - Week 3

Jeff Haseley - September 21, 2016

Each week I uncover some interesting stats, tidbits and information that you may or may not know about.

Trendspotting: Week 2

Ryan Hester - September 16, 2016

Examining player and team-based trends that could identify valuable DFS options

Beyond the Stats: Week 2

Jeff Haseley - September 15, 2016

Each week I uncover some interesting stats, tidbits and information that you may or may not know about. This week I delve into what stands out from Week 1. 

Acing Aces

Danny Tuccitto - September 15, 2016

A weekly guide to finding value in Fantasy Aces contests.

Week 2 DFS Short Yardage Outlooks

Justin Howe - September 14, 2016

A look into short-yardage (and touchdown) outlooks throughout the Week 2 DFS pool

Trendspotting: Week 1

Ryan Hester - September 9, 2016

Examining player and team-based trends that could identify valuable DFS options

Week 1 DFS Short Yardage Outlooks

Justin Howe - September 7, 2016

A look into short-yardage (and touchdown) outlooks throughout the Week 1 DFS pool

True Fantasy Points: 2016 Tight End Projections

Danny Tuccitto - September 2, 2016

A stats-based guide for separating skill from luck in tight end projections.

True Fantasy Points: 2016 Wide Receiver Projections

Danny Tuccitto - September 1, 2016

A stats-based guide for separating skill from luck in wide receiver projections.

True Fantasy Points: 2016 Running Back Projections

Danny Tuccitto - August 26, 2016

A stats-based guide for separating skill from luck in running back projections.

Training Camp 2016 Tier Rankings: Week 2

Ari Ingel - August 16, 2016

Our Ari Ingel provides his 2016 updated tier rankings two weeks into training camp.  

The Dark Zone: Mining for Touchdown Potential Inside the 10

Justin Howe - August 2, 2016

Examining 2015 wide receiver performance from inside the 10-yard line... and looking for 2016 conclusions to draw

True Fantasy Points: 2016 Quarterback Projections

Danny Tuccitto - August 2, 2016

A stats-based guide for separating skill from luck in quarterback projections.

Quarterback Regression: Touchdown and Interception Rates

Chad Parsons - May 25, 2016

Historical touchdown and interception rate regression and how it affects 2016 quarterbacks

Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 21

Austin Lee - January 26, 2016

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 20

Austin Lee - January 18, 2016

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 19

Austin Lee - January 12, 2016

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 18

Austin Lee - January 5, 2016

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 17

Austin Lee - December 31, 2015

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

Dynasty, in Practice: Ageification, Youthification

Adam Harstad - December 26, 2015

A long-term look at aging patterns at running back and wide receiver, and a discussion of expectations going forward.

Dynasty, in Theory: Random is Random

Adam Harstad - December 26, 2015

On Finding the Noise in the Signal

Contender/Rebuilder Dynasty Value Charts: Week 16

Adam Harstad - December 26, 2015

Dynasty Value Charts for PPR and Standard scoring for both likely and unlikely 2016 Playoff Teams

Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 16

Austin Lee - December 22, 2015

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

Dynasty, in Practice: If Not Streaming, Then What?

Adam Harstad - December 19, 2015

In real-world situations, playing matchups doesn't result in increased production. So what is the alternative?

Contender/Rebuilder Dynasty Value Charts: Week 15

Adam Harstad - December 19, 2015

Dynasty value charts for contenders, rebuilders, and balanced owners in both standard and PPR scoring.

Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread) Week 15

Will Grant - December 17, 2015

Weekly Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread)

Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 15

Austin Lee - December 15, 2015

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

Contender/Rebuilder Dynasty Value Charts: Week 14

Adam Harstad - December 11, 2015

Dynasty value charts for contenders, rebuilders, and balanced owners in both standard and PPR scoring.

Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 14

Austin Lee - December 8, 2015

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

Contender/Rebuilder Dynasty Value Charts: Week 13

Adam Harstad - December 5, 2015

Dynasty value charts for contenders, rebuilders, and balanced owners in both standard and PPR scoring.

Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 13

Austin Lee - December 1, 2015

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread) Week 12

Will Grant - November 25, 2015

Weekly Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread)

Beyond the Stats: Week 12

Jeff Haseley - November 25, 2015

Each week I uncover some interesting stats, tidbits and information that you may or may not know about. This week I take an in-depth look at some key team statistical numbers, courtesy of one of my favorite sites for statistics, sportingcharts.com

Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 12

Austin Lee - November 24, 2015

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

Contender/Rebuilder Dynasty Value Charts: Week 11

Adam Harstad - November 20, 2015

Dynasty value charts for contenders, rebuilders, and balanced owners in both standard and PPR scoring.

Beyond the Stats: Week 11

Jeff Haseley - November 18, 2015

Each week I uncover some interesting stats, tidbits and information that you may or may not know about. This week I take a look at which players are hot over the last four weeks. 

Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 11

Austin Lee - November 17, 2015

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

Dynasty, in Theory: Some Statistics are Better than Others

Adam Harstad - November 14, 2015

When evaluating player performance, it's only natural to emphasize some statistics over others. Let's make sure that we're emphasizing the right ones.

Contender/Rebuilder Dynasty Value Charts: Week 10

Adam Harstad - November 14, 2015

Dynasty value charts for contenders, rebuilders, and balanced owners in both standard and PPR scoring.

Beyond the Stats: Week 10

Jeff Haseley - November 11, 2015

Each week I uncover some interesting stats, tidbits and information that you may or may not know about. This week I take a look at team scoring stats, fantasy points allowed by position and your weekly dose of Did You Know? 

Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 10

Austin Lee - November 10, 2015

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

Dynasty, in Theory: Trash Money Records

Adam Harstad - November 7, 2015

A look at DeAndre Hopkins and other garbage-time superstars.

Beyond the Stats: Week 9

Jeff Haseley - November 5, 2015

Each week I uncover some interesting stats, tidbits and information that you may or may not know about. This week I take a look at red zone stats and which players are more efficient, plus your weekly dose of Did You Know and much more. 

Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 9

Austin Lee - November 3, 2015

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

Dynasty, in Practice: Touchdowns Really Do Follow Yards. (Yards Still Don't Follow Back.)

Adam Harstad - October 31, 2015

A re-examination of the hypothesis that touchdowns follow yards.

Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 8

Austin Lee - October 27, 2015

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

Beyond the Stats: Week 7

Jeff Haseley - October 21, 2015

Each week I uncover some interesting stats, tidbits and information that you may or may not know about. This week I take a look at consistent performers at running back and wide receiver, plus your weekly dose of Did You Know and much more. 

Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 7

Austin Lee - October 20, 2015

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

Dynasty, in Practice: Touchdowns Follow Yards, (But Yards Don't Follow Back)

Adam Harstad - October 17, 2015

A real-world example of "regression to the mean" at work.

Beyond the Stats: Week 6

Jeff Haseley - October 15, 2015

Each week I uncover some interesting stats, tidbits and information that you may or may not know about. This week I take a look home vs. road splits and explain why it's better to be a running back at home and a wide receiver on the road. Plus, much more. 

The Docket: Week 6

Ari Ingel - October 15, 2015

Overview of current rule and policy issues effecting players as well as crucial player strategy and tips for Week 6. 

Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 6

Austin Lee - October 13, 2015

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

Beyond the Stats: Week 5

Jeff Haseley - October 8, 2015

Each week I uncover some interesting stats, tidbits and information that you may or may not know about. This week I take a look at target numbers by team and your weekly dose of "Did You Know?" 

Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 5

Austin Lee - October 6, 2015

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

Beyond the Stats: Week 4

Jeff Haseley - October 1, 2015

Each week I uncover some interesting stats, tidbits and information that you may or may not know about. This week I take a look at which players are consistently finding the end zone, the love affair of Aaron Rodgers and his wide receivers, plus much more. 

Beyond the Stats: Week 3

Jeff Haseley - September 24, 2015

Each week I uncover some interesting stats, tidbits and information that you may or may not know about. This week I dive into yards per play leaders on both sides of the ball and explain which teams are rising to the occasion on defense. 

Beyond the Stats: Week 2

Jeff Haseley - September 17, 2015

Each week I uncover some interesting stats, tidbits and information that you may or may not know about. This week I take a look at key identifier stats from Week 1 and explain why Carlos Hyde is a good bet to finish in the Top 5. 

Fantasy Overview: Week 2

Jeff Haseley - September 16, 2015

Get yourself caught up on what's going on around the league. I share some stat-driven information and explore the fantasy landscape from each position.

 

True Fantasy Points: 2015 Wide Receiver Projections

Danny Tuccitto - August 27, 2015

A stats-based guide for identifying "true" wide receiver talent in fantasy drafts.

Receiving Turnover

Chase Stuart - August 24, 2015

Which teams are projected to have the greatest turnover in receiving weapons in 2015?

Rearview QB

Chase Stuart - August 13, 2015

Which quarterbacks faced the easiest schedules last year?  Which ones had to deal with the toughest defenses?

True Fantasy Points: 2015 Running Backs

Danny Tuccitto - August 13, 2015

A stats-based guide for identifying "true" running back talent in fantasy drafts.

We're Probably Thinking about Age the Wrong Way

Adam Harstad - August 10, 2015

Do current aging models accurately depict what really happens in the NFL? Is there perhaps a better way?

Change The Game: NFL Rule Changes And Their Effect on Fantasy

Ari Ingel - August 10, 2015

A look at the new defensive holding and illegal contact rules and their impact on your fantasy season.

How Much Does Tougher Coverage Impact a Receiver?

Adam Harstad - August 7, 2015

A look at how tougher coverages impact a receiver's production, with a special eye towards DeAndre Hopkins in the wake of the Arian Foster injury news.

Another Perspective on Running Back Workloads

Adam Harstad - August 6, 2015

Examining historical evidence to see if there's any hope for high-workload running backs going forward.

True Fantasy Points: 2015 QB Rushing Projections

Danny Tuccitto - August 5, 2015

A stats-based guide for identifying quarterbacks' "true" rushing talent.

Calculating New Positional Baselines

Adam Harstad - August 4, 2015

Taking real-world worst starter baselines and generalizing them to other league setups.

Dynasty, in Theory: Is PPR Scoring Suitable for Dynasty?

Adam Harstad - August 2, 2015

Does PPR scoring do a good job of rewarding good players at the expense of bad ones in dynasty leagues?

True Fantasy Points: 2015 Quarterback Projections

Danny Tuccitto - August 2, 2015

A stats-based guide for identifying "true" quarterback talent in fantasy drafts.

A Better Way to Determine VBD Baselines

Adam Harstad - July 31, 2015

A rigorous analysis of what, exactly, "worst starter" really means in actual fantasy leagues.

Rethinking VBD

Adam Harstad - July 29, 2015

Revisiting the method in which we calculate a player's value.

How to Project Receiving Yards in 2015

Chase Stuart - July 28, 2015

A method to come up with a starting point for your wide receiver projections in 2015.

Defending Reality: Team Defense Scoring

Jeff Pasquino - July 19, 2015

A deeper look at fantasy scoring for team defenses.  

Normalized Strength of Schedule for 2015

Austin Lee - April 30, 2015

Teams' offensive and defensive stats normalized based on past and future strength of schedule.

Lies, Damned Lies, and Big Receivers

Adam Harstad - April 8, 2015

Understanding statistical inference and applying that knowledge to the WR size debate.

It's Not the Size, (It's How You Use It)

Adam Harstad - March 4, 2015

Some opening thoughts on the importance of size when evaluating receivers.