Matchup Analysis: Tennessee Titans at Carolina Panthers

Vegas Prediction

Vegas says: Titans 19, Panthers 22

FBG Projections

TeamRushYardsTDCompAttPass YdTDINT

Tennessee Titans Offense: overview

Points (vs AVG) (rank)Rush Yards (vs AVG) (rank)Pass Yards (vs AVG) (rank)
Titans Offense18.5 (-3.9) (26)98 (-12) (20)201 (-38) (28)
Panthers Defense26.3 (+3.9) (24)135 (+24) (27)215 (-24) (5)

Carolina Panthers Offense: overview

Points (vs AVG) (rank)Rush Yards (vs AVG) (rank)Pass Yards (vs AVG) (rank)
Panthers Offense25.6 (+3.1) (13)130 (+18) (10)206 (-33) (25)
Titans Defense16.9 (-5.6) (4)96 (-14) (12)239 (+0) (16)

Titans Rushing offense

Good matchup vs. the Panthers defense.

The Titans rushing offense has been far from an efficient unit this season, averaging just 3.7 yards per attempt as a team and now ranking slightly below average on the season with a total of 98.3 rushing yards per game. Derrick Henry actually has more runs for negative yards than any other running back in the league. While he still has high volume and role security on his side, his lack of efficiency has certainly limited his fantasy ceiling through the first half of this season. The Titans offensive line certainly has played a big role in this though, as they have been an inconsistent unit struggling with injuries and the early suspension of Taylor Lewan. Right tackle Jack Conklin is battling through a quad injury, while Last week both Lewan and left guard Rodger Saffold had to leave the game with injuries. Saffold is in the league’s concussion protocol and will be questionable coming into Week 9.

This Panthers defense was ripped apart entirely by the 49ers last week as they gave up a staggering 51 points on the scoreboard. The 49ers running backs amassed 206 yards and four touchdowns on the ground as they had a field day against these Panthers linebackers and defensive line. The Panthers front seven actually has plenty of talent with names like Gerald McCoy and Luke Kuechly, but they have undoubtedly struggled against the run on more than one occasion and are now giving up the second-most rushing yards per attempt (5.0) and the league’s most rushing touchdowns (12). The past three games, in particular, have been rough as this group has given up the most fantasy points per game to running backs over that span--allowing the four touchdowns and over 200 yards last week, giving up two touchdowns to the bottom-tier Buccaneers rushing offense in Week 6, and coughing up 108 rushing yards and a touchdown to Leonard Fournette in Week 5. If the Titans offensive line can get its act together, this defense should allow Derrick Henry a decent opportunity to post some big numbers.

Titans Passing offense

Tough matchup vs. the Panthers defense.

Ryan Tannehill had another serviceable start as he led the Titans to their second win in a row with Tannehill as the starter. He threw for three touchdowns last week, but Tannehill focused on short dink-and-dunk passes as he averaged just 5.8 yards per pass attempt while Titans wide receivers amassed only 62 combined receiving yards. Tannehill still remains an upgrade over Marcus Mariota as he is more decisive and takes more productive risks with the football, but he still was seen holding on to the ball far too long last week as he missed a few opportunities and took three sacks behind shaky offensive line play. It has been boom or bust for Titans wideouts this season, but mostly bust as this group has really struggled to consistently produce given the inconsistent play from both their quarterbacks and offensive line. The offensive line really struggled again last week, given injuries and just sheer inconsistency, which was and will continue to be a contributing factor to the lack of downfield passing for this offense. Tight end Jonnu Smith did serve as a focal point last week given the absence of Delanie Walker (injury). Smith led the team with seven targets, converting six of them for 78 yards and a touchdown with a few long catches on the day. Walker is questionable coming into this week, so if he missed, Smith will serve as a viable option again at tight end this week.

The Panthers passing defense has been inconsistent in recent weeks as they allowed over 370 passing yards in two straight games before the Week 7 bye, but played well again last week limiting the 49ers to just 175 passing yards. Despite giving up 400 yards in Week 6, they racked up five interceptions in what actually was a strong showing. In reality, Week five was their only truly poor showing as this group had hend opposing quarterbacks to fewer than 210 yards in each of their first four games. A strong pass rush and solid play from their cornerbacks have been a big reason for their success. James Bradberry has been excellent in coverage and should be a tough matchup for Corey Davis. With Delanie Walker possibly sidelined again, Jonnu Smith is actually facing a favorable matchup with Panthers safety Eric Reid. Reid has contributed to Carolina giving up at least 60 yards to tight ends in each of the past three games, including a dominant performance from George Kittle as he caught six for 86 last week. The Titans offensive line has been in shambles for most of the season, especially against the pass rush as they have allowed at least three sacks in all but two games this season. Having guard Roger Saffold in the concussion protocol certainly doesn’t help this situation, as him missing this game would put this line at even more of a disadvantage than they already were at against a stout Panthers front seven accounting for the second-most sacks (30) in the league. Overall, this should be a difficult matchup for an already underwhelming passing offense.

Panthers Rushing offense

Tough matchup vs. the Titans defense.

Christian McCaffrey continued to shine last week despite the poor overall performance from this Carolina Panthers team as they were blown out by San Francisco. McCaffrey ran just 14 times but amassed 117 rushing yards and a touchdown while also playing his usual big role in the passing game. Even with the 14 rushes being a season-low, McCaffrey still rushed for over 100 yards for the fourth time while finding the end zone in his fifth straight game. He ranks fourth in the NFL with 735 rushing yards and tied for second with eight rushing touchdowns despite having already passed his bye week. He has been and should continue to be the center of this offense, regardless of who is at quarterback. His offensive line is also getting better as the bye week allowed right guard Trai Turner to get back on the field to complete what is now a relatively complete unit that ranks in the top-third according to Matt Bitonti of Footballguys.

The Titans defense continues to play well against the run, limiting opposing running backs the eighth-fewest fantasy points per game (non-PPR scoring) through the first half of the season. They rightfully excelled last week against one of the league’s worst backfields, holding Tampa Bay running backs to just 2.4 yards per rush attempt--marking the second straight week in which they have held opposing running backs to fewer than 2.5 yards per carry. They have held lead running backs to fewer than 40 rushing yards in three of their last five games while giving up just one rushing touchdowns to such lead running backs over that span. The Titans did give up a few big runs to Jameis Winston last week, however, while also allowing at least 18 rushing yards by an opposing quarterback in four other games through their first seven outings. They shouldn’t have to worry about that problem with Kyle Allen this week, but they certainly must worry about Christian McCaffrey--as he is the best running back this Titans team has faced to date. The Titans defensive line matches up well with Carolina and should have the advantage in the trenches, but McCaffrey remains a dangerous threat with the ball in his hands.

Panthers Passing offense

Neutral matchup vs. the Titans defense.

The Panthers passing offense, still led by Kyle Allen, found themselves up against a stout challenge last week as they were routed by the 49ers. Allen had been serviceable in his four starts before the Week 7 bye, but he truly fell apart last week with just 158 yards, a 51.4 completion rate, no touchdowns, and three interceptions--his first picks of the season. The Panthers offensive line had a very rough game as they gave up a season-high seven sacks as they had been consistently average in pass protection up until that game. The duo of D.J. Moore and Curtis Samuel continue to be primary targets in this passing offense with Moore leading the charge in receptions through each of his last three games. Christian McCaffrey also continues to see a steady workload through the air, while Greg Olsen continues to be nearly ignored as he has now finished with fewer than 15 receiving yards in three of his last four games despite suiting up for an average of over 85 percent of snaps over that span. The Panthers coaching staff confirmed early in the week that Cam Newton will remain sidelined in this game, so Kyle Allen will indeed get a shot at redemption in what should be a better matchup against the Titans.

The Titans secondary looked terrible last week against the Buccaneers after what has been a decent start to the season. Mike Evans ripped through this group for nearly 200 yards and two touchdowns as he caught 11 of 12 targets. Inserting cornerback Leshaun Sims for the injured Adoree Jackson certainly played a part in this poor showing, as Sims is a significant downgrade and a desireable matchup for nearly any opposing wide receiver. Even with this showing, however, the Titans still have a very solid defense. Logan Ryan continues to play extremely well while Malcolm Butler even reeled in an interception last week. The pass rush could be better as they have just five sacks in their last three games, but they still have a very strong defensive line that has been bosted from the presence of rookie Jeffrey Simmons, adding depth and size to an already stout interior. The Panthers offensive line has allowed their fair share of pressure this season and should be at a disadvantage here. Outside receivers D.J. Moore and Curtis Samuel for the Panthers should be in a good spot though, especially if Jackson misses another game.

Panthers vs QB

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)8 (-2.0)8 (-2.0)8 (-2.3)9 (-1.9)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)21 (+1.5)21 (+1.4)18 (-0.2)21 (+2.0)
5Gardner Minshew84264437420742030.930.921.227.2
6Jameis Winston8030544001511019.
8Jimmy Garoppolo6018221752100015.815.814.014.0

Ryan Tannehill (FanDuel: $7100, DraftKings: $5300)

6@ DEN301316144011606.
7vs LAC6423293122157023.323.320.223.2
8vs TB632133193304-3021.421.419.419.4
9PROJ-Dodds19302221.20.94100.116.616.616.6 (H=36)16.6 (H=48)
9PROJ-Tremblay18292041.10.95100.115.315.315.3 (H=31)15.3 (H=42)
9PROJ-Bloom18272111.61230.116.916.916.9 (H=37)16.9 (H=50)

Panthers vs RB

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)28 (+4.8)25 (+3.3)28 (+4.3)27 (+3.7)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)32 (+11.4)29 (+9.9)31 (+11.0)30 (+11.3)
5Leonard Fournette772310817429019.723.721.726.7
5Ryquell Armstead61-1011700.
6Dare Ogunbowale46131532208.511.510.011.5
6Ronald Jones II13410100007.
8Tevin Coleman321110532213135.837.836.840.8
8Raheem Mostert149601000012.

Derrick Henry (FanDuel: $6800, DraftKings: $5700)

6@ DEN371528031.0503.
7vs LAC482290111.018016.817.817.317.8
8vs TB421675011.0808.
9PROJ-Dodds21920.61.31201415.314.7 (H=30)15.3 (H=39)
9PROJ-Tremblay21890.51.613013.214.814.0 (H=28)14.8 (H=37)
9PROJ-Bloom22870.81.07014.215.214.7 (H=30)15.2 (H=39)

Dion Lewis (FanDuel: $4700, DraftKings: $3800)

6@ DEN291-1033.02001.
7vs LAC1712010.0000.
8vs TB2100011.0200.
9PROJ-Dodds3110.11.8120. (H=5)5.3 (H=9)
9PROJ-Tremblay1301.61001.32.92.1 (H=1)2.9 (H=3)
9PROJ-Bloom1200.0000.20.20.2 (H=0)0.2 (H=0)

Panthers vs WR

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)16 (+0.4)26 (+3.8)23 (+2.2)26 (+4.2)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)30 (+8.3)31 (+12.8)31 (+10.7)32 (+14.1)
5D.J. Chark68118164200028.436.432.439.4
5Dede Westbrook581178200008.215.211.715.2
6Chris Godwin771210151000015.
6Mike Evans731799600009.618.616.120.6
8Deebo Samuel4733190229110.813.812.313.8
8Emmanuel Sanders55542510008.512.510.512.5

Corey Davis (FanDuel: $5300, DraftKings: $4600)

6@ DEN6053.03600003.
7vs LAC4876.0801000142017.020.0
8vs TB3962.0900000.
9PROJ-Dodds3.4450.20005.79.17.4 (H=12)9.1 (H=19)
9PROJ-Tremblay3.0390.20005.18.16.6 (H=9)8.1 (H=16)
9PROJ-Bloom4.0530.40007.711.79.7 (H=19)11.7 (H=30)

A.J. Brown (FanDuel: $5500, DraftKings: $4400)

6@ DEN4042.02300002.
7vs LAC3986.06401-
8vs TB3932.01110007.
9PROJ-Dodds3.2420.20005.48.67.0 (H=10)8.6 (H=18)
9PROJ-Tremblay2.6360.20104.97.56.2 (H=8)7.5 (H=14)
9PROJ-Bloom4.0510.40007.511.59.5 (H=17)11.5 (H=31)

Adam Humphries (FanDuel: $5100, DraftKings: $3800)

6@ DEN4366.04700004.710.77.710.7
7vs LAC3144.0400000486.08.0
8vs TB2863.02400002.
9PROJ-Dodds3.2340.20004.67.86.3 (H=9)7.9 (H=18)
9PROJ-Tremblay3.0320.20104.57.56.1 (H=8)7.6 (H=17)
9PROJ-Bloom3.0260.10003.26.24.8 (H=5)6.3 (H=12)

Tajae Sharpe (FanDuel: $4700, DraftKings: $3500)

6@ DEN3010.000000000.00.0
7vs LAC2532.01910007.
8vs TB2333.01810007.810.89.310.8
9PROJ-Dodds1.7210.10002.74.43.6 (H=3)4.4 (H=7)
9PROJ-Tremblay1.1140.100023.12.6 (H=2)3.1 (H=4)
9PROJ-Bloom2.0150.30003.35.34.3 (H=5)5.3 (H=10)

Darius Jennings (FanDuel: $4500, DraftKings: $3000)

6@ DEN920.000000000.00.0
7vs LAC700.000000000.00.0
8vs TB000.000000000.00.0
9PROJ-Dodds0.000000000.1 (H=0)0.1 (H=0)
9PROJ-Tremblay0.4600000.610.9 (H=0)1.1 (H=0)

Panthers vs TE

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)12 (-1.1)10 (-2.0)10 (-1.6)8 (-2.2)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)22 (+2.4)22 (+2.6)22 (+2.5)22 (+2.5)
5James OShaughnessy38435705.
6Cameron Brate304247110.712.711.712.7
8George Kittle56768608.614.611.614.6

Jonnu Smith (FanDuel: $5500, DraftKings: $3800)

6@ DEN3021.0800.
7vs LAC5333.06406.
8vs TB4676.078113.819.816.819.8
9PROJ-Dodds3.2380.258.26.6 (H=9)8.2 (H=20)
9PROJ-Tremblay2.7320. (H=7)7.1 (H=15)
9PROJ-Bloom3.0430. (H=12)9.1 (H=24)

Anthony Firkser (FanDuel: $4700, DraftKings: $2500)

6@ DEN511.02502.
7vs LAC1511.02702.
8vs TB3653.04304.
9PROJ-Dodds1.21501.52.72.1 (H=1)2.7 (H=4)
9PROJ-Tremblay1.0110. (H=1)2.7 (H=4)
9PROJ-Bloom1.0160. (H=2)3.2 (H=5)

Delanie Walker (FanDuel: $5400, DraftKings: $3900)

6@ DEN4063.04304.
7vs LAC500.000000.00.0
8vs TB000.000000.00.0
9PROJ-Dodds0.000000.0 (H=0)0.0 (H=0)
9PROJ-Tremblay1.1100. (H=1)2.7 (H=2)
9PROJ-Bloom0.000000.0 (H=0)0.0 (H=0)

Panthers vs PK

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)25 (+1.1)25 (+1.1)18T (+1.4) (+0.0)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)19 (+0.6)19 (+0.6)18T (+0.5) (+0.0)
5Josh Lambo2233999.09.0
6Matt Gay1111446.06.0
8Robbie Gould1166999.09.0

Cody Parkey (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

6@ DEN0000000.00.0
7vs LAC1123556.06.0
8vs TB22339912.012.0

Panthers vs TD

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)22 (+0.6)22 (+0.6)18 (-0.5)18 (-0.5)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)20T (+0.4)20T (+0.4)17 (-0.5)17 (-0.5)
5Jacksonville Jaguars3444530000334.04.0
6Tampa Bay Buccaneers3726820100440.00.0
8San Francisco 49ers1323073010151517.017.0

Tennessee Titans (FanDuel: $4400, DraftKings: $2600)

6@ DEN16.0027011000334.04.0
7vs LAC20.0036510100334.04.0
8vs TB23.0038932200111111.011.0
9PROJ-Dodds22.003522. (H=17)8.3 (H=30)
9PROJ-Tremblay22.753602.310.600. (H=18)8.4 (H=30)

Titans vs QB

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)13 (-0.9)13 (-0.9)13 (-1.3)14 (-0.9)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)17 (-0.5)17 (-0.6)16 (-0.8)18 (+0.1)
5Josh Allen652332219211027020.720.718.518.5
6Joe Flacco621828177014-
7Philip Rivers6424383292000024.524.521.224.2
8Jameis Winston83214330122853026.426.421.326.3

Kyle Allen (FanDuel: $6800, DraftKings: $5200)

6@ TB6620322272033019.719.717.417.4
8@ SF691937158030004.
9PROJ-Dodds21342321.30.9260. (H=40)17.1 (H=52)
9PROJ-Tremblay22352461.41270. (H=44)18.2 (H=58)
9PROJ-Bloom20332001.2100013.813.813.8 (H=27)13.8 (H=36)

Titans vs RB

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)9 (-2.4)11 (-1.2)10 (-1.8)11 (-1.4)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)14 (-2.5)16 (-1.2)16 (-2.0)16 (-1.3)
5Frank Gore331460022906.
5T.J. Yeldon322150541302.
6Phillip Lindsay2915701325013.515.514.515.5
6Royce Freeman3811340554207.612.610.112.6
7Austin Ekeler3857087118118.525.522.028.5
7Melvin Gordon341632032-318.910.97.99.9
8Ronald Jones II2211350411705.
8Peyton Barber291020031802.

Christian McCaffrey (FanDuel: $9700, DraftKings: $10000)

6@ TB642231154.026117.721.719.721.7
8@ SF5414117154.038021.525.525.530.5
9PROJ-Dodds21960.75.5460.219.625.122.3 (H=44)25.1 (H=53)
9PROJ-Tremblay21930.85.4430.219.62522.3 (H=44)25.0 (H=52)
9PROJ-Bloom20771.14.0330.319.423.421.4 (H=41)23.4 (H=47)

Reggie Bonnafon (FanDuel: $4500, DraftKings: $3700)

6@ TB300000.000000.00.0
8@ SF1214031.0300.
9PROJ-Dodds2600.0000.60.60.7 (H=0)0.7 (H=0)
9PROJ-Tremblay1500.4300.81.21.1 (H=0)1.3 (H=0)

Titans vs WR

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)10 (-2.3)10 (-2.8)10 (-2.1)9 (-3.2)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)14 (-1.3)13 (-2.0)13 (-1.0)13 (-1.7)
5Duke Williams51442910008.912.910.912.9
5John Brown53557500007.512.510.012.5
6Courtland Sutton58847600007.611.69.611.6
6DaeSean Hamilton40222500002.
7Keenan Allen601146100006.
7Mike Williams61644700004.
8Mike Evans761211198200031.842.837.345.8
8Chris Godwin82844300004.38.38.310.3

D.J. Moore (FanDuel: $5400, DraftKings: $4800)

6@ TB60107.073011308.615.612.115.6
8@ SF6495.03800003.
9PROJ-Dodds4.9620.41308.913.811.4 (H=25)13.8 (H=39)
9PROJ-Tremblay5.5700.40109.51512.3 (H=28)15.0 (H=45)
9PROJ-Bloom6.0670.30008.514.511.5 (H=25)14.5 (H=42)

Curtis Samuel (FanDuel: $5600, DraftKings: $4300)

6@ TB5364.070118119.823.821.823.8
8@ SF61114.04600004.
9PROJ-Dodds4.2530.31407.511.79.6 (H=17)11.7 (H=32)
9PROJ-Tremblay4.2550.31407.711.99.8 (H=18)11.9 (H=33)
9PROJ-Bloom4.0580.3150.18.712.710.7 (H=21)12.7 (H=37)

Jarius Wright (FanDuel: $4500, DraftKings: $3000)

6@ TB3131.0600000.
8@ SF4042.01200001.
9PROJ-Dodds2.0220.10002.84.83.8 (H=4)4.8 (H=10)
9PROJ-Tremblay1.9240.100034.94.0 (H=4)4.9 (H=10)
9PROJ-Bloom1.0700000.71.71.2 (H=0)1.7 (H=1)

Titans vs TE

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)23 (+0.9)20 (+0.8)22 (+0.9)21 (+1.0)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)15 (-1.4)11 (-2.1)13 (-1.7)11 (-2.2)
5Lee Smith2111816.
6Noah Fant40321601.
7Hunter Henry58869709.715.712.715.7
8Cameron Brate55633203.

Greg Olsen (FanDuel: $5300, DraftKings: $3500)

6@ TB6174.05205.
8@ SF5422.01301.
9PROJ-Dodds3.7420.369.77.9 (H=13)9.7 (H=29)
9PROJ-Tremblay3.6410. (H=12)9.5 (H=28)
9PROJ-Bloom3.0350. (H=10)8.3 (H=22)

Titans vs PK

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)5T (-2.2)5T (-2.2)9T (-2.1) (+0.0)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)5 (-1.5)5 (-1.5)9 (-1.2) (+0.0)
5Steve Hauschka0022222.02.0
6Brandon McManus3311101013.013.0
7Mike Badgley0000000.00.0
8Matt Gay33009910.010.0

Joey Slye (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

6@ TB3544131315.015.0
8@ SF1100334.04.0

Titans vs TD

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)15T (-0.7)15T (-0.7)22 (+0.4)22 (+0.4)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)17T (-0.2)17T (-0.2)26 (+3.2)26 (+3.2)
5Buffalo Bills7252500005511.011.0
6Denver Broncos020473000131323.023.0
7Los Angeles Chargers2340321000444.04.0
8Tampa Bay Buccaneers2724630100555.05.0

Carolina Panthers (FanDuel: $4000, DraftKings: $2800)

6@ TB26.0040775200212121.021.0
8@ SF51.0038831000553.03.0
9PROJ-Dodds18.903022. (H=26)10.0 (H=38)
9PROJ-Tremblay18.753111.90.90.800.610.410.410.4 (H=28)10.4 (H=41)