Matchup Analysis: Seattle Seahawks at Philadelphia Eagles

Vegas Prediction

Vegas says: Seahawks 24, Eagles 22

FBG Projections

TeamRushYardsTDCompAttPass YdTDINT

Seattle Seahawks Offense: overview

Points (vs AVG) (rank)Rush Yards (vs AVG) (rank)Pass Yards (vs AVG) (rank)
Seahawks Offense25.3 (+2.5) (9)138 (+24) (4)237 (+2) (14)
Eagles Defense22.1 (-0.7) (15)90 (-22) (3)242 (+7) (20)

Philadelphia Eagles Offense: overview

Points (vs AVG) (rank)Rush Yards (vs AVG) (rank)Pass Yards (vs AVG) (rank)
Eagles Offense24.1 (+1.2) (12)121 (+8) (11)240 (+4) (11)
Seahawks Defense24.9 (+2.1) (22)118 (+4) (22)264 (+29) (28)

Seahawks Rushing offense

Bad matchup vs. the Eagles defense.

The Seahawks rushing attack is decimated heading into the playoffs as Chris Carson, C.J. Prosise, and Rashaad Penny are all out for the season with an injury. The Seahawks relied on a tandem of Marshawn Lynch and Travis Homer last week as they split carries almost evenly. Marshawn Lynch showed that even though he has not run the ball in a year, he still has the power against the 49ers running for a touchdown after contact. Homer is going to play the speed back as he runs a 4.45 40-yard dash who will continue to see a significant number of touches due to his familiarity with the offense and his big-play cutback style of running. The offensive line remains a problem for the Seahawks as Matt Bitonti has them ranked as the 30th offensive line in football this year. Duane Brown remains out which is a major loss at left tackle, and Jamarco Jones struggled mightily trying to replace him last week in Jones’ first start which could lead to the Seahawks trying George Fant who has more left tackle experience.

The Eagles run defense, for the most part, this season has held up for most of the season as they are allowing the fifth-fewest fantasy points to opposing running backs this season and the fourth-fewest yards allowed. This is a unit that is led by their defensive line in Fletcher Cox and Brandon Graham, but if you can get past the defensive line, there are holes in the run defense particularly at the linebacker position after the loss of Zach Brown earlier this year. Nathan Gerry has attempted to fill in, but the second-year player has been vulnerable to mistakes in stopping the run that combined with Nigel Bradham being forced into a new role, has allowed for three running backs to rush for over 90 yards this season including Saquon Barkley last week who did most of his production on a 68-yard run. This is a defense however that if you are unable to break the long run is going to be difficult to consistently move the ball particularly for the Seahawks who have a poor offensive line and a rookie as their primary running back.

Seahawks Passing offense

Good matchup vs. the Eagles defense.

The Seahawks chances in the playoffs this season are going to firmly fall on the arm of Russell Wilson. While Wilson has not put up the eye-popping numbers this season as he only topped 300 yards three times, the Seahawks as we saw on Sunday Night are going to have to go with a more pass-heavy approach due to their lack of running backs on the team. Seattle threw the ball 40 times last week which was partially due to falling behind early, but also as they are trying to find something that works as they come into the playoffs having lost three of there last four games. The passing game continues to run through Tyler Lockett, but it may be looking to go back to DK Metcalf as he had 12 targets last week after having a total of five targets in the previous two games. At the tight end position, Jacob Hollister has been a possession receiver for this offense as he has 31 targets over his last five games and while he is nothing more than a catch and fall type of player with an average yard per catch of just 8.5, he is a guy who can provide another option for this offense. Finally, Travis Homer in his first start looked competent in the receiving game as he caught five passes as the Seahawks were playing from behind last week.

The Eagles secondary, in general, has a negative perception, but over the second half of the season has been much improved compared to early 2019 and 2018. Since Week 8, the Eagles have allowed 234 yards passing and 1.2 touchdowns which is the 8th fewest fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks and 10th fewest yards per game. Before Week 8, the Eagles allowed 288 yards passing 2.0 touchdowns per game and the 8th most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks and 5th most yards per game. A big reason for the improved play was Ronald Darby, who will miss this game with a hip injury which will force Rasul Douglas back into a meaningful role which is a cause for concern as Douglas has struggled for most of the year on the outside and will likely be matched up against DK Metcalk for a majority of the game. The other area of concern is Jalen Mills who injured his ankle against the Giants. If Mills is unable to go, this defense becomes the one that we saw early in the year with Rasul Douglas and Sidney Jones on the outside which is a major cause for concern. As of now, it is still a good matchup without Douglas as Daniel Jones threw for 301 yards against the Eagles with no Douglas, but if Mills is also out this becomes a great matchup.

Eagles Rushing offense

Neutral matchup vs. the Seahawks defense.

Jordan Howard was active last week but played just one snap against the Giants as we learned he was in an emergency role for the Eagles last week. Howard may be forced into a role this week as Miles Sanders suffered an ankle injury and did not practice on Wednesday. It would seem a long-shot for Sanders to play which would mean that Boston Scott would be the primary running back for the Eagles. While Scott was named the NFC Offensive Player of the Week, this was mostly due to his three touchdowns and his work as a receiver. As a running back, Scott struggled to consistently gain yardage as he averaged just 2.8 yards-per-carry which included a 15-yard run to increase that average. At 5’6’’ 203 pounds Scott is a guy who is better served in the Darren Sproles receiving role than a primary running back which could lead to Jordan Howard once again seeing significant snaps if he is healthy enough to go. The Eagles will also be without right guard Brandon Brooks who suffered a shoulder injury and the All-Pro guard will be lost for the year which is a major blow to the offensive line as most of their interior running plays are centered around Brooks.

The Seahawks run defense is starting to show weakness after a strong start to the season. Since Week 12, the Seahawks have allowed the seventh-most fantasy points to opposing running backs averaging allowing 95 yards and 1.5 touchdowns per game and have allowed eight rushing touchdowns over the last four weeks. The issue for the Seahawks has been the left side of their defensive line not keeping blockers off of the linebackers as Jarran Reed and Rasheem Green have both struggled to keep linemen from getting upfield as Mychal Kendricks has struggled to shed blocks which have put pressure on their safeties Bradley McDougald and Delano Hill both are coverage safeties. The good news for the Seahawks is that they expect to get Qandree Diggs back who while is a coverage safety as well, is better in run defense than Hill. This is a defense that is still led by Bobby Wagner and Jadeveon Clowney but outside of those two has lacked consistent playmakers stopping the run.

Eagles Passing offense

Neutral matchup vs. the Seahawks defense.

What Carson Wentz has been able to do has been nothing short of amazing over the last several weeks. In must-win games, the Eagles have had to rely on players such as Greg Ward Jr., Boston Scott, and Joshua Perkins due to all of the injuries that they have suffered over the last few weeks. Heading into this game, the Eagles are looking like they will be without Nelson Agholor, Miles Sanders, Zach Ertz, and DeSean Jackson which once again will force the Eagles into a similar situation as last week where they have no starting players from the beginning of the season and only Dallas Goedert was second on the depth chart to begin the season. Greg Ward has been a nice find as a possession receiver, Boston Scott has filled the Darren Sproles role admirably, and Joshua Perkins is trying to fill that critical role as a receiving tight end in this offense.

The Seahawks secondary is one that has been in the middle of the road for most of the season. This is a defense that the way to beat them is fairly simple it is the usage of running backs and tight ends as they have allowed the second-most fantasy points to tight ends and the fifth-most yards receiving to opposing running backs. The issue here is that the safeties and linebackers for the Seahawks are weak particularly K.J. Wright at linebacker, and Bradley McDougald has struggled at tight end. This is a unit that will be playing a critical role in the outcome of this game as they will once again be tested by a strong tight end and running back receiving group. On the outside, the Seahawks are strong led by Shaquill Griffin who has emerged to become a top-tier cornerback this season. The pass rush will also be key for the Seahawks as they have just 28 sacks on the year which is the second-lowest in the NFL which is surprising considering they feature one of the best pass rushers in Jadeveon Clowney in a system known for pressure.

Eagles vs QB

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)14 (-0.4)14 (-0.4)13 (-0.7)15 (-0.3)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)14 (-1.2)14 (-1.3)11 (-2.1)13 (-1.8)
14Eli Manning521530203202-1018.
15Dwayne Haskins53192826120426023.723.719.020.0
16Dak Prescott6225442650017014.014.011.311.3
17Daniel Jones0284730111326020.720.715.619.6

Russell Wilson (FanDuel: $7900, DraftKings: $6800)

15@ CAR672026286203-1022.222.219.319.3
16vs ARI5716311691022012.712.711.011.0
17vs SF0254023320829022.622.620.220.2
18PROJ-Dodds21332411.50.64190.220.520.520.5 (H=47)20.5 (H=55)
18PROJ-Tremblay20312311.50.75200. (H=45)20.1 (H=53)

Eagles vs RB

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)5 (-3.7)7 (-3.5)7 (-3.4)7 (-3.6)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)5 (-6.5)4 (-6.9)4 (-7.0)4 (-7.8)
14Saquon Barkley491766043106.
14Elijhaa Penny400000000.
15Adrian Peterson32166613325015.118.116.618.1
15Chris Thompson18000322602.
16Ezekiel Elliott6013470773708.415.411.915.4
16Tony Pollard420000000.00.0-2.0-1.0
17Saquon Barkley0179214325017.720.719.220.7
17Javorius Allen014021901.

Travis Homer (FanDuel: $6100, DraftKings: $5300)

15@ CAR627000.0000.
16vs ARI28516086.02604.
17vs SF01062055.03009.214.211.714.2
18PROJ-Dodds9380.23.0210.17.710.79.2 (H=15)10.7 (H=22)
18PROJ-Tremblay10400.33.2230.18.711.910.3 (H=18)11.9 (H=27)

Marshawn Lynch (FanDuel: $5900, DraftKings: $5200)

17vs SF01234100.0009.
18PROJ-Dodds12520.40.0007.67.67.6 (H=11)7.6 (H=12)
18PROJ-Tremblay12480.30.0006.66.66.6 (H=8)6.6 (H=10)

Eagles vs WR

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)30 (+5.2)29 (+5.3)29 (+5.3)29 (+6.2)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)27 (+5.3)27 (+6.9)27 (+6.0)27 (+7.4)
14Darius Slayton4285154200027.432.429.935.4
14Sterling Shepard48742801803.
15Terry McLaurin4755130100019.024.021.527.0
15Steven Sims3711545100010.515.513.015.5
16Michael Gallup561159800009.814.812.314.8
16Randall Cobb48757300007.312.39.812.3
17Golden Tate08568100012.817.815.317.8
17Darius Slayton0945000005.

Tyler Lockett (FanDuel: $7300, DraftKings: $7200)

15@ CAR5398.01201000182622.029.0
16vs ARI4881.01200001.
17vs SF076.051100011.
18PROJ-Dodds5.0650.40008.913.911.4 (H=18)13.9 (H=26)
18PROJ-Tremblay5.0660.400091411.5 (H=18)14.0 (H=26)

DK Metcalf (FanDuel: $6200, DraftKings: $6100)

15@ CAR5542.03610009.611.610.611.6
16vs ARI5610.000000000.00.0
17vs SF0126.081100014.
18PROJ-Dodds4.0580.40008.212.210.2 (H=18)12.2 (H=24)
18PROJ-Tremblay3.8570.40008.111.910.0 (H=17)11.9 (H=23)

David Moore (FanDuel: $5100, DraftKings: $3400)

15@ CAR1000.000000000.00.0
16vs ARI1021.02101190452.54.0
17vs SF022.0300000354.05.0
18PROJ-Dodds1.4240.11303.34.74.0 (H=4)4.7 (H=8)
18PROJ-Tremblay1.4210.113034.43.7 (H=3)4.4 (H=7)

Malik Turner (FanDuel: $4700, DraftKings: $3300)

15@ CAR2033.02600002.
16vs ARI2931.02300002.
17vs SF000.000000000.00.0
18PROJ-Dodds1.0120.10001.82.82.3 (H=1)2.8 (H=3)
18PROJ-Tremblay0.9130.10001.92.82.4 (H=1)2.8 (H=3)

Jaron Brown (FanDuel: $4600, DraftKings: $3000)

15@ CAR1111.0900000.
16vs ARI700.000000000.00.0
17vs SF020.000000000.00.0
18PROJ-Dodds0.000000000.0 (H=0)0.0 (H=0)
18PROJ-Tremblay0.000000000.0 (H=0)0.0 (H=0)

Eagles vs TE

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)6 (-1.8)5 (-2.4)5 (-2.2)5 (-2.7)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)3 (-4.5)5 (-5.6)4 (-5.0)5 (-5.8)
14Kaden Smith5052900.
15Jeremy Sprinkle43221301.
16Blake Jarwin19111401.
17Kaden Smith01189809.817.813.817.8

Jacob Hollister (FanDuel: $5700, DraftKings: $4300)

15@ CAR4633.02302.
16vs ARI4365.06406.411.48.911.4
17vs SF084.02502.
18PROJ-Dodds4.2380. (H=12)9.8 (H=24)
18PROJ-Tremblay4.2370. (H=11)9.7 (H=23)

Eagles vs PK

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)15T (-0.2)15T (-0.2)18 (+0.2) (+0.0)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)15T (-0.1)15T (-0.1)19 (+0.3) (+0.0)
14Aldrick Rosas1122555.05.0
15Dustin Hopkins22339912.012.0
16Kai Forbath33009911.011.0
17Aldrick Rosas1122555.05.0

Jason Myers (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

15@ CAR1134666.06.0
16vs ARI2211779.09.0
17vs SF0033333.03.0

Eagles vs TD

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)2T (-1.1)2T (-1.1)11 (-0.9)11 (-0.9)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)2T (-3.4)2T (-3.4)4 (-3.9)4 (-3.9)
14New York Giants2341830100555.05.0
15Washington Redskins3741520100443.03.0
16Dallas Cowboys1743110000112.02.0
17New York Giants3440010000110.00.0

Seattle Seahawks (FanDuel: $3600, DraftKings: $2800)

15@ CAR24.0041413000777.07.0
16vs ARI27.0041220000224.04.0
17vs SF26.0039820000222.02.0
18PROJ-Dodds22.303702.20.80.900. (H=23)8.7 (H=30)
18PROJ-Tremblay22.253872.50.90.700. (H=24)8.8 (H=30)

Seahawks vs QB

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)17 (+0.3)17 (+0.3)17 (-0.2)17 (+0.2)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)12 (-2.1)12 (-2.1)12 (-1.9)11 (-2.9)
14Jared Goff7022312932224021.
15Kyle Allen72254127713525017.417.414.614.6
16Kyler Murray37111811810640013.913.912.712.7
17Jimmy Garoppolo018222850024014.714.711.811.8

Carson Wentz (FanDuel: $7900, DraftKings: $6200)

15@ WAS7730432663039026.226.221.522.5
16vs DAL72314031910622022.
17@ NYG02340289103150202017.117.1
18PROJ-Dodds24382581.60.74150.120.720.720.7 (H=48)20.7 (H=61)
18PROJ-Tremblay25392651.60.94160.1212121.0 (H=49)21.0 (H=62)

Seahawks vs RB

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)22 (+1.7)21 (+1.8)21 (+1.3)19 (+1.3)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)28 (+8.7)29 (+8.3)28 (+8.7)28 (+8.4)
14Todd Gurley56237914434017.321.319.321.3
14Malcolm Brown14521100008.
15Christian McCaffrey721987210888029.537.533.537.5
15Reggie Bonnafon000000000.
16Kenyan Drake562416624318030.433.431.936.4
16David Johnson1523011400.
17Raheem Mostert0105722116019.320.319.820.3
17Kyle Juszczyk0000114904.

Boston Scott (FanDuel: $6600, DraftKings: $5800)

15@ WAS35626077.03906.513.510.013.5
16vs DAL20312066.0701.
17@ NYG01954364.084031.835.833.835.8
18PROJ-Dodds10410.33.0220.18.711.710.2 (H=16)11.7 (H=24)
18PROJ-Tremblay6290.21.71305.47.16.3 (H=7)7.1 (H=10)

Miles Sanders (FanDuel: $7000, DraftKings: $6200)

15@ WAS5519122166.050129.
16vs DAL592079165.077021.626.624.126.6
17@ NYG0952053.0-
18PROJ-Dodds8320.23.0240.17.410.48.9 (H=12)10.4 (H=18)
18PROJ-Tremblay14650.34.0370.112.616.614.6 (H=29)16.6 (H=41)

Jordan Howard (FanDuel: $5600, DraftKings: $4900)

15@ WAS000000.000000.00.0
16vs DAL000000.000000.00.0
17@ NYG000000.000000.00.0
18PROJ-Dodds4160.10.4302.52.92.7 (H=1)2.9 (H=2)
18PROJ-Tremblay3120.10.5402.22.72.5 (H=1)2.7 (H=2)

Seahawks vs WR

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)16 (-0.3)20T (+0.1)17 (+0.1)20T (+0.8)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)23 (+2.1)20 (+0.8)22 (+1.4)20 (+1.3)
14Robert Woods6997981229018.725.722.225.7
14Cooper Kupp204445100010.514.512.514.5
15D.J. Moore701281130110012.320.316.323.3
15Curtis Samuel6685311423011.416.413.916.4
16Larry Fitzgerald607448100010.814.812.814.8
16Pharoh Cooper21221400001.
17Deebo Samuel0551020233119.524.522.027.5
17Emmanuel Sanders0432500002.

Greg Ward (FanDuel: $5600, DraftKings: $5200)

15@ WAS5897.061100012.119.115.619.1
16vs DAL5154.07101507.611.69.611.6
17@ NYG076.04300004.310.37.310.3
18PROJ-Dodds4.9540.30007.212.19.7 (H=18)12.1 (H=28)
18PROJ-Tremblay3.4410.20205.58.97.2 (H=10)8.9 (H=16)

Deontay Burnett (FanDuel: $5200, DraftKings: $3100)

17@ NYG042.04800004.
18PROJ-Dodds1.9280.200045.95.0 (H=6)5.9 (H=13)
18PROJ-Tremblay0.000000000.0 (H=0)0.0 (H=0)

J.J. Arcega-Whiteside (FanDuel: $5300, DraftKings: $3300)

15@ WAS7120.000000000.00.0
16vs DAL4522.03900003.
17@ NYG000.000000000.00.0
18PROJ-Dodds1.6260.10003.24.84.0 (H=4)4.8 (H=9)
18PROJ-Tremblay2.4320.20004.46.85.6 (H=7)6.8 (H=16)

Robert Davis (FanDuel: $4500, DraftKings: $3200)

15@ WAS1600.000000000.00.0
16vs DAL2911.0600000.
17@ NYG020.000000000.00.0
18PROJ-Dodds1.3180.10002.43.73.1 (H=3)3.7 (H=6)
18PROJ-Tremblay1.6220.10002.84.43.6 (H=4)4.4 (H=8)

Seahawks vs TE

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)30 (+1.6)31 (+3.0)31 (+2.3)31 (+3.2)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)15 (-0.6)15 (-0.5)16 (-0.5)18 (+0.1)
14Tyler Higbee68117116011.618.615.121.6
15Ian Thomas69422302.
16Maxx Williams45223603.
17George Kittle0778609.316.312.816.3

Dallas Goedert (FanDuel: $6700, DraftKings: $5200)

15@ WAS6565.05505.510.58.010.5
16vs DAL65129.091115.124.119.624.1
17@ NYG0104.06506.510.58.510.5
18PROJ-Dodds5.8570.48.113.911.0 (H=18)13.9 (H=36)
18PROJ-Tremblay5.5560.4813.510.8 (H=18)13.5 (H=34)

Josh Perkins (FanDuel: $5500, DraftKings: $2900)

15@ WAS1600.000000.00.0
16vs DAL2820.000000.00.0
17@ NYG064.0501111513.015.0
18PROJ-Dodds2.0210. (H=3)4.7 (H=10)
18PROJ-Tremblay1.4150. (H=2)3.5 (H=6)

Seahawks vs PK

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)9T (-0.5)9T (-0.5)11T (-0.6) (+0.0)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)11T (-0.3)11T (-0.3)11T (-0.2) (+0.0)
14Greg Zuerlein0144444.04.0
15Joey Slye1133668.08.0
16Zane Gonzalez23339910.010.0
17Robbie Gould2222889.09.0

Jake Elliott (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

15@ WAS1144777.07.0
16vs DAL1322555.05.0
17@ NYG2244101012.012.0

Seahawks vs TD

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)12T (+1.9)12T (+1.9)19 (+0.6)19 (+0.6)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)12 (-1.4)12 (-1.4)22 (+0.9)22 (+0.9)
14Los Angeles Rams12308510007714.014.0
15Carolina Panthers3042821000443.03.0
16Arizona Cardinals13224501007711.011.0
17San Francisco 49ers2134810000111.01.0

Philadelphia Eagles (FanDuel: $3700, DraftKings: $2900)

15@ WAS27.003620010114148.08.0
16vs DAL9.0031120100448.08.0
17@ NYG17.0039741100889.09.0
18PROJ-Dodds23.403622.50.70.600.4888.0 (H=19)8.0 (H=25)
18PROJ-Tremblay23.7535020.70.600. (H=16)7.3 (H=21)