Matchup Analysis: Oakland Raiders at Los Angeles Chargers

Vegas Prediction

Vegas says: Raiders 20, Chargers 26

FBG Projections

TeamRushYardsTDCompAttPass YdTDINT

Oakland Raiders Offense: overview

Points (vs AVG) (rank)Rush Yards (vs AVG) (rank)Pass Yards (vs AVG) (rank)
Raiders Offense19.6 (-3.2) (24)121 (+8) (12)234 (-1) (15)
Chargers Defense20.7 (-2.0) (13)110 (-1) (17)197 (-38) (4)

Los Angeles Chargers Offense: overview

Points (vs AVG) (rank)Rush Yards (vs AVG) (rank)Pass Yards (vs AVG) (rank)
Chargers Offense21.4 (-1.4) (20)95 (-17) (23)279 (+43) (5)
Raiders Defense27.6 (+4.8) (28)106 (-6) (14)262 (+26) (27)

Raiders Rushing offense

Tough matchup vs. the Chargers defense.

The Raiders rushing offense bounced back last week with their most rushing yards since Week 9, amassing 128 yards on the ground against the Jaguars defense. This has been an above-average rushing offense all season on the heels of a spectacular rookie year from Josh Jacobs, who they welcomed back with open arms after a one-game absence. Jacobs showed no signs of injury last week as he shouldered a heavy workload with 26 carries--the sixth time this season he has exceeded 20 carries in a game. Jacobs has been a focal point of this Raiders offense throughout the year, and he did have some success with a touchdown and 71 rushing yards (4.4 yards per carry) in his last game against the Chargers. The Raiders offensive line has been without starting right tackle Trent Brown for the past two weeks, so keep an eye on his status leading into this week. Another absence from Brown would be a big blow to what would otherwise be an above-average offensive line.

The Chargers run defense has looked much better through the second half of the season as this group has gotten healthier. Since Week 9, they are allowing third-fewest rushing yards per game (71) and fourth-fewest yards per carry (3.55) to opposing running backs. A healthy interior defensive line and the return of their duo of solid run-defending safeties have made a big impact on this defense. Linebacker Denzel Perryman also made it back on to the field last week after a one-week absence, so this Chargers defense should be at full strength coming into this week. With two of the best defensive ends in football with Joey Bosa and Melvin Ingram, Raiders tackles will have their hands full on the line--especially if right tackle Trent Brown is out again. The Chargers did limit this Raiders offense to just 78 rushing yards in their Week 10 meeting, but that was down one starting defensive linemen and both safeties. This week should be a different story as this Chargers defense is in much better shape for the home matchup.

Raiders Passing offense

Tough matchup vs. the Chargers defense.

The Raiders passing offense has been a pedestrian group over the second half of the season as Derek Carr has topped 270 passing yards just once in his six games while throwing for more than one touchdown in just one of six games as well. Carr strung together some nice games in the early part of the year, but this recent tapering off has really done a number on the Raiders offense as a whole as they enter this week on a four-game losing streak. Tight end Darren Waller remains the go-to option for this offense as he comes into this week ranking as the third-best fantasy tight end in football, having become just the second tight end this season to exceed 1,000 receiving yards. Waller has found the end zone in just two games this season, but he has exceeded 70 yards in three straight games and saw triple the targets of any other pass-catcher for the Raiders last week. Wide receiver Hunter Renfrow aims to return this week after a three-game absence. His presence will certainly help Carr while enabling more three-receiver sets, but Renfrow is tough to rely upon for any fantasy production. Tyrell Williams scored again last week, his sixth touchdown of the season, but he has been targeted four or fewer times in four of his last five games--not the volume anyone would want from a teamís supposed WR1.

The Chargers did a great job putting a lid on this Raiders passing offense back in Week 10, and they have been spectacular since then with no opposing quarterback exceeding 210 passing yards and no wide receiver exceeding 76 receiving yards in their last five games. This defense is just one of four teams to have kept opposing passing offenses to below an average of 200 yards per game. Having a pair of elite pass-rushers combined with one of the top cornerbacks in football--Casey Hayward--certainly helps keep t his passing defense in the conversation as one of the better groups in football. The return of both starting safeties, particularly Derwin James, also simply canít be stressed enough in terms of the positive impact it had on this defense. Wide receivers for the Raiders will be in a tough spot this week, and even tight end Darren Waller could have his hands full with pretty solid coverage by Rayshawn Jenkins. This defense did hold Waller to one of his worst games of the season back in Week 10 (3/40/0 stat line), but they have also allowed a touchdown to tight ends in three of their last four games. With Waller acting as the focal point of this Raiders passing offense, it is tough to count him out in any given week.

Chargers Rushing offense

Neutral matchup vs. the Raiders defense.

The Chargers offense stumbled along to just 62 rushing yards in a game plagued by turnovers last week. Melvin Gordon lost two fumbles while Austin Ekeler put the ball on the ground once (but recovered it). Neither Chargers running back was particularly productive as each carried just seven times, while Justin Jackson mixed in for 5 carries after Gordonís second fumble. Last weekís dismal performance aside, this Chargers backfield had actually been performing relatively well as Melvin Gordon had averaged at least 4.6 yards per carry with at least 55 rushing yards in four straight games leading into last week. Gordon and Ekeler continue to split snaps, but Gordon has typically been the primary rusher up until last week. While one would normally expect Gordon to continue shouldering the load, this recent fumbling issue certainly reduces the confidence one can have on Gordonís workload security. The Chargers offensive line was finally back in good shape with both starting tackles back on the field, but Russell Okung re-injured his groin before halftime last week and did not return. This injury sidelined him for a week earlier in the season, so his status will be worth monitoring as Okung is the best lineman on this team. His absence would certainly diminish the outlook for this rushing offense.

The Raiders run defense had a nice showing last week as they held Leonard Fournette to just 42 yards on 15 carries, with 17 of those yards coming on one play. Last week was not the first time this defense has suffocated opposing running backs, as they have held a teamís lead rusher to 50 or fewer rushing yards in three of their last four games and eight times on the season. Allowing an average of 4.1 yards per rush attempt and not a single run of longer than 30 yards, this defense has been a bend-not-break unit that has been surprisingly effective against the run considering their lack of elite talent up front. Both Johnathan Hankins and P.J. Hall are built purely to stop the run while linebacker Tahir Whitehead has played well enough in run defense to prop up the stats for this otherwise reeling Raiders defense. The Chargers offensive line may struggle to move these Oakland interior defensive linemen, but finding the edge on zone runs here and there could be the way to go for Chargers running backs if they are to have success against this Raiders defense.

Chargers Passing offense

Good matchup vs. the Raiders defense.

Poor play from Phillip Rivers continues to plague this Chargers passing offense, as he has now thrown for three or more interceptions in three of his last five games--totaling 11 interceptions to just nine touchdowns over that five-game streak. In true Rivers style, he continues to sling the ball all over the field as he has surpassed 300 yards in three of his last four games, but Rivers is simply being careless with the football and putting this team in terrible spots. Keenan Allen saw double-digit targets for the eighth time last week and has now amassed at least 68 receiving yards in five straight games. Allen is on pace to improve upon his 2018 campaign, but he has still underwhelmed compared to expectations as the ceiling games simply have not been there for him this season. Mike Williams has now scored in back-to-back weeks and has racked up more yards than Keenan Allen over the back half of the season despite seeing less than half the receptions than Allen. Williams is averaging a league-leading 27.4 yards per reception since Week 9 and is taking advantage of the deep balls Rivers continues to toss up on a weekly basis. Hunter Henry has seen his volume drop off a cliff in recent weeks with just two receptions per game over the past three weeks. Austin Ekeler seems to be overtaking those short-yardage targets from Henry, as he has been extremely involved in the passing offense with at least five receptions and over 50 receiving yards in four straight games.

The Raiders have struggled against the pass this season, giving up the third-most fantasy points per game to opposing quarterbacks, highlighted by 32 touchdowns allowed and a league-leading 8.5 yards per pass attempt. Their pass rush has been average this season, but certainly tapered off in recent weeks with just four sacks over their last four games as they lack a true pass-rushing specialist with any level of elite talent. The secondary has been one of the biggest problems for this group though, as they continue to allow chunk gains week in and week out, leading the league with 16 pass plays of 40 or more yards and 66 plays of 20 or more yards. They will look for top cornerback Daryl Worley to return from injury this week, but he should still have trouble defending the likes of Mike Williams. Slot guy Lamarcus Joyner also stands little chance against Keenan Allen from a matchup perspective. It is worth noting, however, that Oakland picked off Philip Rivers three times and sacked him five times in their last meeting six weeks ago. Based on the way the Rivers has been playing in recent weeks, a similar result is certainly not out of the question this week. But the Raiders will indeed offer him a chance to somewhat redeem himself.

Chargers vs QB

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)4 (-4.2)4 (-4.2)4 (-3.7)4 (-4.2)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)4 (-5.7)4 (-5.7)6 (-4.6)5 (-5.6)
13Drew Lock57182813421315015.215.213.913.9
14Gardner Minshew66243716210631015.215.213.613.6
15Kirk Cousins62192520711314014.814.812.712.7

Derek Carr (FanDuel: $7300, DraftKings: $5300)

13@ KC6020302221237013.813.811.611.6
14vs TEN63253426320217022.922.920.220.2
15vs JAX75223626710112018.618.615.915.9
16PROJ-Dodds22322361.40.7250.117.817.817.8 (H=40)17.8 (H=55)
16PROJ-Tremblay21322311.30.8250.1171717.0 (H=37)17.0 (H=51)
16PROJ-Bloom20332101.41280.116.516.516.5 (H=35)16.5 (H=48)

Chargers vs RB

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)20T (+1.2)22 (+1.5)22 (+1.7)22 (+1.7)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)6 (-4.6)8 (-4.5)7 (-4.3)8 (-5.0)
13Phillip Lindsay251758033406.
13Royce Freeman325110441302.
14Leonard Fournette5115500631306.
14Ryquell Armstead1527020000.
15Mike Boone2113562000017.617.617.617.6
15Dalvin Cook289270331604.

Josh Jacobs (FanDuel: $7600, DraftKings: $6700)

13@ KC3417104000.00010.410.410.413.4
14vs TEN000000.000000.00.0
15vs JAX432489032.020010.912.911.912.9
16PROJ-Dodds18820.51.713012.514.213.4 (H=23)14.2 (H=29)
16PROJ-Tremblay0000.000000.0 (H=0)0.0 (H=0)
16PROJ-Bloom0000.000000.0 (H=0)0.0 (H=0)

DeAndre Washington (FanDuel: $5600, DraftKings: $4000)

13@ KC1525033.04404.
14vs TEN401453176.043015.621.618.621.6
15vs JAX11616032.0602.
16PROJ-Dodds5180.11.61103.55.14.3 (H=4)5.1 (H=8)
16PROJ-Tremblay15560.41.81309.311.110.2 (H=19)11.1 (H=32)
16PROJ-Bloom14520.43.0200. (H=25)13.2 (H=43)

Jalen Richard (FanDuel: $5200, DraftKings: $3500)

13@ KC1212021.0600.
14vs TEN24728032.01804.
15vs JAX22111032.02503.
16PROJ-Dodds31002.31802.85.14.1 (H=4)5.2 (H=9)
16PROJ-Tremblay6240.23.1240. (H=15)9.8 (H=29)
16PROJ-Bloom52112.0180.110.512.511.6 (H=26)12.6 (H=46)

Chargers vs WR

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)2 (-5.8)3 (-7.0)3 (-6.4)3 (-7.9)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)5 (-6.6)8 (-7.4)6 (-7.1)7 (-8.6)
13Courtland Sutton565474200019.423.421.423.4
13DaeSean Hamilton37321200001.
14D.J. Chark581097500007.516.512.016.5
14Dede Westbrook44762500002.
15Stefon Diggs46647601408.
15Adam Thielen33332701303.

Tyrell Williams (FanDuel: $5600, DraftKings: $4900)

13@ KC5441.0900000.
14vs TEN5243.03500003.
15vs JAX7232.045100010.512.511.512.5
16PROJ-Dodds3.0430.30006.19.17.6 (H=11)9.1 (H=18)
16PROJ-Tremblay2.9410.30005.98.87.4 (H=11)8.8 (H=17)
16PROJ-Bloom3.0440.30006.29.27.7 (H=12)9.2 (H=19)

Hunter Renfrow (FanDuel: $5400, DraftKings: $3600)

13@ KC000.000000000.00.0
14vs TEN000.000000000.00.0
15vs JAX000.000000000.00.0
16PROJ-Dodds2.7310.20004.375.7 (H=7)7.0 (H=16)
16PROJ-Tremblay2.3270.20003.96.25.1 (H=6)6.2 (H=13)
16PROJ-Bloom4.0340.30005.29.27.2 (H=11)9.2 (H=25)

Zay Jones (FanDuel: $4600, DraftKings: $3000)

13@ KC4232.01400001.
14vs TEN5331.0500000.
15vs JAX5021.0500000.
16PROJ-Dodds2.0220.10002.84.83.8 (H=4)4.8 (H=10)
16PROJ-Tremblay1.8200.10202.84.63.7 (H=4)4.6 (H=9)
16PROJ-Bloom1.080.10001.42.41.9 (H=1)2.4 (H=3)

Keelan Doss (FanDuel: $4700, DraftKings: $3000)

13@ KC3311.01100001.
14vs TEN2833.02600002.
15vs JAX3521.01700001.
16PROJ-Dodds1.2150.10002.13.32.7 (H=2)3.3 (H=5)
16PROJ-Tremblay0.8110.10001.72.52.1 (H=1)2.5 (H=3)
16PROJ-Bloom2.0200.10002.64.63.6 (H=3)4.6 (H=9)

Chargers vs TE

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)13 (-0.5)8T (-1.3)12 (-0.9)8 (-1.5)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)18 (+0.4)17 (+0.3)18 (+0.5)16 (+0.1)
13Jeff Heuerman28531501.
14Nick OLeary45543019.
15Irv Smith4232816.

Darren Waller (FanDuel: $6500, DraftKings: $6100)

13@ KC5597.01000101713.520.0
14vs TEN6166.07307.313.38.312.3
15vs JAX66108.0122012.
16PROJ-Dodds6.3730.49.71612.9 (H=25)16.0 (H=39)
16PROJ-Tremblay6.4760.41016.413.2 (H=26)16.4 (H=41)
16PROJ-Bloom5.0660.491411.5 (H=21)14.0 (H=31)

Derek Carrier (FanDuel: $4000, DraftKings: $2500)

13@ KC922.0101798.09.0
14vs TEN800.000000.00.0
15vs JAX2321.0500.
16PROJ-Dodds1.1110. (H=2)2.8 (H=4)
16PROJ-Tremblay1.1110. (H=2)2.8 (H=4)

Chargers vs PK

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)10 (-0.4)10 (-0.4)11T (-0.2) (+0.0)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)31 (+3.1)31 (+3.1)31 (+4.0) (+0.0)
13Brandon McManus3322111115.015.0
14Josh Lambo1111444.04.0
15Dan Bailey4434151516.016.0

Daniel Carlson (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

13@ KC1201333.03.0
14vs TEN0033333.03.0
15vs JAX3411101010.010.0

Chargers vs TD

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)27 (+1.7)27 (+1.7)23T (+1.0)23T (+1.0)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)32 (+6.0)32 (+6.0)28 (+3.8)28 (+3.8)
13Denver Broncos2035931100778.08.0
14Jacksonville Jaguars455251000011-3.0-3.0
15Minnesota Vikings1034533401292927.027.0

Oakland Raiders (FanDuel: $3700, DraftKings: $2300)

13@ KC40.0025910000110.00.0
14vs TEN42.005520100022-2.0-2.0
15vs JAX20.0026220000223.03.0
16PROJ-Dodds25.703712.21.10.500.3777.0 (H=15)7.0 (H=25)
16PROJ-Tremblay26.753742.21.20.500.3777.0 (H=15)7.0 (H=25)

Raiders vs QB

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)30 (+4.6)30 (+4.6)31 (+4.2)30 (+4.4)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)31 (+5.8)31 (+5.7)31 (+5.8)30 (+6.4)
12Sam Darnold59202931520416131.431.428.231.2
13Patrick Mahomes66152917510325121.321.319.519.5
14Ryan Tannehill62212739131419032.532.528.531.5
15Gardner Minshew57172920120527020.820.818.718.7

Philip Rivers (FanDuel: $7500, DraftKings: $5700)

13@ DEN6620292652100020.320.317.617.6
14@ JAX4316223143010027.727.724.627.6
15vs MIN6228393071300016.416.411.315.3
16PROJ-Dodds22352791.81.1130.120.920.920.9 (H=51)20.9 (H=67)
16PROJ-Tremblay22352771.81.2140.120.820.820.8 (H=51)20.8 (H=67)
16PROJ-Bloom213226321.1000202020.0 (H=47)20.0 (H=62)

Raiders vs RB

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)20T (+1.2)21 (+1.3)21 (+1.5)21 (+1.4)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)20 (+1.8)19 (+1.9)19 (+2.1)19 (+2.1)
12LeVeon Bell36124905559010.815.813.315.8
12Ty Montgomery12520212102.
13Darwin Thompson2411441000010.410.410.410.4
13LeSean McCoy245101332009.012.010.512.0
14Derrick Henry37181032116022.923.923.426.9
14Khari Blasingame13000224704.
15Leonard Fournette5515420753107.312.39.812.3
15Ryquell Armstead211000000.

Austin Ekeler (FanDuel: $6800, DraftKings: $6100)

13@ DEN35916054.051112.716.714.716.7
14@ JAX318101054.0112127.331.329.337.3
15vs MIN30719075.06208.113.110.613.1
16PROJ-Dodds7320.34.1440.411.815.913.9 (H=28)15.9 (H=39)
16PROJ-Tremblay8320.33.8400.411.415.213.3 (H=26)15.2 (H=36)
16PROJ-Bloom7310.24.0560.613.517.515.5 (H=33)17.5 (H=46)

Melvin Gordon (FanDuel: $7000, DraftKings: $5600)

13@ DEN432099032.0110111312.013.0
14@ JAX291255155.029014.419.416.919.4
15vs MIN25728075.03606.411.44.99.4
16PROJ-Dodds12490.53.2260.111.114.312.7 (H=23)14.3 (H=35)
16PROJ-Tremblay10400.43.5280.19.813.311.6 (H=19)13.3 (H=31)
16PROJ-Bloom16680.53.0210.112.515.514.0 (H=27)15.5 (H=41)

Justin Jackson (FanDuel: $4500, DraftKings: $3000)

13@ DEN000000.000000.00.0
14@ JAX13325000.0002.
15vs MIN13515022.0201.
16PROJ-Dodds4150.20.9603.34.23.8 (H=4)4.2 (H=8)
16PROJ-Tremblay4170.20.6503.443.7 (H=4)4.0 (H=7)
16PROJ-Bloom0000.000000.0 (H=0)0.0 (H=0)

Raiders vs WR

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)26 (+3.1)21 (+2.0)21 (+2.5)21 (+2.4)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)21 (+2.0)18 (-0.3)20 (+0.8)17 (-0.7)
12Robby Anderson525486100014.618.616.618.6
12Braxton Berrios3116900006.
13Tyreek Hill54855501-405.110.17.610.1
13Mecole Hardman2600001900.
14A.J. Brown52751532113028.633.631.136.6
14Corey Davis47423400003.
15Chris Conley508449200016.920.918.920.9
15Keelan Cole43637600007.610.69.110.6

Keenan Allen (FanDuel: $6700, DraftKings: $6300)

13@ DEN6366.068100012.818.815.818.8
14@ JAX4265.08300008.313.310.813.3
15vs MIN58109.09900009.918.914.418.9
16PROJ-Dodds5.9740.500010.416.313.4 (H=26)16.3 (H=39)
16PROJ-Tremblay6.0770.500010.716.713.7 (H=27)16.7 (H=41)
16PROJ-Bloom7.0810.400010.517.514.0 (H=28)17.5 (H=45)

Mike Williams (FanDuel: $6500, DraftKings: $5000)

13@ DEN5875.0117000011.716.714.219.7
14@ JAX4532.063100012.314.313.314.3
15vs MIN5294.071100013.
16PROJ-Dodds3.5630.30008.111.69.9 (H=16)11.6 (H=27)
16PROJ-Tremblay3.7640.30008.211.910.1 (H=16)11.9 (H=29)
16PROJ-Bloom4.0700.5000101412.0 (H=22)14.0 (H=38)

Andre Patton (FanDuel: $4500, DraftKings: $3000)

13@ DEN4121.0800000.
14@ JAX3600.000000000.00.0
15vs MIN4611.0800000.
16PROJ-Dodds0.8100.10001.62.42.0 (H=1)2.4 (H=3)
16PROJ-Tremblay0.690.10001.52.11.8 (H=1)2.1 (H=2)

Raiders vs TE

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)20T (+2.1)27 (+1.9)30 (+2.0)26 (+1.9)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)20 (+1.4)18 (+0.4)19 (+1.0)17 (+0.2)
12Ryan Griffin55331317.310.38.810.3
13Travis Kelce61959009.014.011.514.0
14Jonnu Smith49432918.911.910.411.9
15Seth DeValve29222302.

Hunter Henry (FanDuel: $6100, DraftKings: $4700)

13@ DEN5032.0100132.03.0
14@ JAX3842.03919.911.910.911.9
15vs MIN4322.02902.
16PROJ-Dodds3.8480.36.610.48.5 (H=13)10.4 (H=24)
16PROJ-Tremblay3.3420.369.37.7 (H=11)9.3 (H=20)
16PROJ-Bloom3.0350. (H=10)8.9 (H=18)

Virgil Green (FanDuel: $4000, DraftKings: $2500)

13@ DEN2310.000000.00.0
14@ JAX2411.01417.
15vs MIN2300.000000.00.0
16PROJ-Dodds0.570. (H=1)1.8 (H=2)
16PROJ-Tremblay0.560. (H=1)1.7 (H=2)
16PROJ-Bloom0.000000.0 (H=0)0.0 (H=0)

Raiders vs PK

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)19T (+0.2)19T (+0.2)20T (-0.1) (+0.0)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)21 (+1.1)21 (+1.1)20T (+1.1) (+0.0)
12Sam Ficken2344101010.010.0
13Harrison Butker11558810.010.0
14Ryan Succop0166666.06.0
15Josh Lambo2222889.09.0

Mike Badgley (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

13@ DEN2322889.09.0
14@ JAX11669910.010.0
15vs MIN1111445.05.0

Raiders vs TD

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)8T (-1.0)8T (-1.0)9 (-0.8)9 (-0.8)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)30 (+4.9)30 (+4.9)31 (+6.4)31 (+6.4)
12New York Jets320811101111118.018.0
13Kansas City Chiefs933222101141420.020.0
14Tennessee Titans2135620101161610.010.0
15Jacksonville Jaguars1636440000445.05.0

Los Angeles Chargers (FanDuel: $4000, DraftKings: $3100)

13@ DEN23.0021801000222.02.0
14@ JAX10.0025220000226.06.0
15vs MIN39.0034401000221.01.0
16PROJ-Dodds21.003512.20.80.600. (H=19)8.4 (H=25)
16PROJ-Tremblay20.253382.10.80.700. (H=23)9.3 (H=30)