Matchup Analysis: Tennessee Titans at Oakland Raiders

Vegas Prediction

Vegas says: Titans 25, Raiders 22

FBG Projections

TeamRushYardsTDCompAttPass YdTDINT

Tennessee Titans Offense: overview

Points (vs AVG) (rank)Rush Yards (vs AVG) (rank)Pass Yards (vs AVG) (rank)
Titans Offense23.0 (+0.6) (15)125 (+14) (9)204 (-30) (27)
Raiders Defense27.0 (+4.6) (28)104 (-7) (11)258 (+23) (24)

Oakland Raiders Offense: overview

Points (vs AVG) (rank)Rush Yards (vs AVG) (rank)Pass Yards (vs AVG) (rank)
Raiders Offense19.8 (-2.7) (23)123 (+11) (11)232 (-2) (15)
Titans Defense19.5 (-2.9) (7)102 (-9) (10)260 (+25) (27)

Titans Rushing offense

Neutral matchup vs. the Raiders defense.

The Titans have one of the hottest rushing offenses in football over the past three weeks as they are simply rolling over opponents with an average of 201 rushing yards per game over that span. Derrick Henry has rushed for 149, 159, and 188 yards with five touchdowns in these past three games. He has broken at least one run of 30 or more yards in each of those games, but the big plays are only accentuating what has been a string of very dominant performances with consistently productive plays on behalf of Henry. He started the season as one of the least productive running backs on a per-carry basis, but Henry is yet again showing how he can excel late in the season as defenses are more worn down than they were to start the year. The Titans offensive line is playing tremendously as a run-blocking unit and ranks as one of the top tier offensive lines in the game according to Matt Bitonti of Footballguys.

The Raiders run defense has actually been a solid unit despite the shortcomings of their passing defense. They are giving up a below-average 4.0 yards per rush attempt and the 12th-fewest rushing yards per game (103.6). Running backs have struggled to be productive on a consistent basis against this defense, as only two running backs have cleared 50 rushing yards against Oakland in the past five weeks. However, this group has also given up four rushing touchdowns to running backs over that while allowing over 100 rushing yards to Melvin Gordon in Week 10. Both Johnathan Hankins and P.J. Hall are their top run-stoppers on the inside, but the linebacker position poses a liability here--especially considering the Titans offensive line should have the edge in the trenches while Derrick Henry requires elite tacklers to bring him down at the second level.

Titans Passing offense

Good matchup vs. the Raiders defense.

Ryan Tannehill continues to lead the red hot Titans to success despite what has been a pretty inconsistent passing offense from a fantasy perspective. While Tannehill has passed for two touchdowns in three straight games and has multiple passing touchdowns in five of his six starts, he has also failed to cross the 200-yard mark in half of his starts while virtually ignoring the wide receiver position at times. Since Tannehill took over in Week 7, no Titans wide receiver has exceeded 30 receiving yards or three receptions in back-to-back weeks. The closest any Titans pass-catcher has come to consistency was when Jonnu Smith put up 64 and 78 yards in Weeks 7 and 8. A.J. Brown has been a favorite target for Tannehill and certainly offers the most upside for this group. Beyond Brown (and even including Brown, to be honest), it should be easy to avoid this Titans passing offense for fantasy purposes.

The Raiders defense may have held Patrick Mahomes to just 175 passing yards and one passing touchdown last week, but that was not necessarily due to particularly strong play from this defense as the Chiefs offense was cruising due to the big lead built up by halftime. Looking at the season as a whole, the Raiders have been one of the worst teams in football against the pass with multiple touchdowns given up in eight of 12 games, including Week 12 against what has been a very poor Jets offense. Big plays have been a problem for this secondary, as they have allowed the second-most pass plays of 20 or more yards (56) and the third-most of 40 or more yards (13). They lack a true playmaking defensive back with mediocre safeties and just one decent coverage cornerback in Daryl Worley. All Titans receivers should have an advantage in their matchups this week, with Adam Humphries, in particular, seeing a bump due to the very poor play from slot cornerback Lamarcus Joyner. Jonnu Smith should also have a decent shot at finding the end zone against this defense that has allowed the second-most touchdowns (8) to opposing tight ends and gave up 90 yards to Travis Kelce last week.

Raiders Rushing offense

Neutral matchup vs. the Titans defense.

Josh Jacobs has been one of the top stand-out rookie running backs this season, serving as a focal point of this Raiders rushing offense. Jacobs has been productive on the ground all season long, averaging at least 4.3 yards per rush attempt in all but two games, including 10 of his last 11 games. He has also cleared the 100-yard mark in five of his last eight outings, including last week where he rushed for 104 yards on 17 attempts. Jacobs has minimal competition for touches in this backfield and is seeing consistent volume with at least 15 carries in eight of his last nine games, including four games with over 20 carries during that span. While touchdowns have come sporadically for Jacobs due to the inconsistency of this offense, he is more than productive enough with his touches to serve as a viable RB1 in this offense. His offensive line is also helping tremendously, as they are playing as a top-notch run-blocking unit with an A+ grade, ranking them well within the top-10 according to Matt Bitonti of Footballguys.

The Titans had been stingy against the run for most of the season, but they have faltered in recent weeks as this group has dealt with injuries and overall poor play which has led to some productive outings for opposing running backs. Since Week 9, this defense has given up the fourth-most fantasy points per game (non-PPR) to running backs. Prior to Week 9, they had limited running backs to the ninth-fewest fantasy points per game. The defensive line for Tennessee is strong, led by Jurrell Casey and Daquan Jones as their top run-stoppers. Both have played very well this season, while rookie Jeffrey Simmons also continues to get better as this unit should pose a stiff challenge for the top-tier Raiders offensive line. The Titans linebackers have been decent against the run, but Jayon Brown has struggled with injuries since Week 6 and has yet to appear 100% healthy since then. All-Pro safety Kevin Byard is a stalwart run-defending safety though, playing as one of the best in the league as he offers great support over the top. Josh Jacobs should be in store for a decent challenge in this one.

Raiders Passing offense

Neutral matchup vs. the Titans defense.

Derek Carr has thrown at least one interception in three straight games and has only three passing touchdowns in his last four outings. He had been playing decent football earlier in the season, but Carr is certainly beginning to falter when it matters most for this offense competing for a playoff spot. Tight end Darren Waller had a bounceback game last week as he led the team in targets (9) while hauling in seven of those for 100 yards--his third 100-yard game of the season. Waller has been the most reliable and consistent receiving option for the Raiders, especially considering the back-to-back sub-20 yard outings from top wide receiver Tyrell Williams. Williams had quite the touchdown streak going to start the season, but he has been held out of the end zone in five straight games while clearing 50 receiving yards just once since Week 9.

The Titans defense continues to get hit with injuries, as it looks as if they will be without starting cornerback Adoree Jackson this week. Coming just a few weeks after losing their other outside cornerback, Malcolm Butler, this will be a tough loss for the Titans to absorb. They signed cornerback Tramaine Brock to add depth, but he had not played particularly well for a bottom-ranked Cardinals passing defense while the Titans’ other outside cornerbacks LeShaun Sims and Tye Smith have not been particularly effective. Slot man Logan Ryan has been playing well though, and safety Kevin Byard is continuing to have another Pro Bowl-caliber season--which should certainly help in coverage against Darren Waller when he is not looked after by Ryan. The Titans defensive line has found some recent consistency rushing the passer with at least three sacks in four of their last five games, but this Raiders offensive line is allowing pressure at one of the lowest rates in football while giving up the second-fewest sacks (18) this season. Even with that recent production on the defensive line, this Titans secondary looks depleted enough for the Raiders passing offense to have a decent shot at bouncing back from what has been a rough past few weeks.

Raiders vs QB

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)29 (+4.5)29 (+4.5)28 (+4.1)27 (+4.2)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)13 (-1.4)13 (-1.4)14 (-1.1)14 (-1.2)
10Philip Rivers7717312072300015.415.413.313.3
11Ryan Finley6313311150134709.
12Sam Darnold59202931520416131.431.428.231.2
13Patrick Mahomes66152917510325121.321.319.519.5

Ryan Tannehill (FanDuel: $7300, DraftKings: $5800)

12vs JAX531418259207402373732.433.4
13@ IND6017221822045017.617.613.814.8
14PROJ-Dodds19292301.60.94190. (H=49)20.1 (H=62)
14PROJ-Tremblay18282181.40.85190.319.419.419.4 (H=46)19.4 (H=58)
14PROJ-Bloom16241931.60.74250.420.320.320.3 (H=50)20.3 (H=63)

Raiders vs RB

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)21 (+1.5)21 (+1.8)22 (+1.9)22 (+1.7)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)27 (+5.8)26 (+4.7)27 (+5.4)27 (+4.8)
10Melvin Gordon482210811125019.320.319.823.3
10Austin Ekeler3561902229110.812.811.812.8
11Joe Mixon37158613117016.317.316.817.3
11Giovani Bernard333300311604.
12LeVeon Bell36124905559010.815.813.315.8
12Ty Montgomery12520212102.
13Darwin Thompson2411441000010.410.410.410.4
13LeSean McCoy245101332009.012.010.512.0

Derrick Henry (FanDuel: $9100, DraftKings: $8200)

12vs JAX4019159211.016029.530.528.032.5
13@ IND4526149133.017022.625.622.127.6
14PROJ-Dodds21980.82.0150.116.718.717.7 (H=31)18.7 (H=38)
14PROJ-Tremblay21920.81.7150.116.117.817.0 (H=29)17.8 (H=35)
14PROJ-Bloom2311112.0130.1192120.0 (H=39)21.0 (H=47)

Dion Lewis (FanDuel: $4700, DraftKings: $3500)

12vs JAX8521021.02404.
13@ IND1100011.0900.
14PROJ-Dodds3801.61001.83.42.6 (H=2)3.4 (H=4)
14PROJ-Tremblay2601.61201.83.42.6 (H=2)3.4 (H=4)
14PROJ-Bloom3110.10.0001.71.71.7 (H=1)1.7 (H=1)

Raiders vs WR

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)22 (+2.2)20 (+1.0)20 (+1.5)19 (+1.3)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)3 (-8.0)4 (-11.9)4 (-10.0)4 (-13.0)
10Keenan Allen6511868011808.616.612.616.6
10Mike Williams73325500005.
11Auden Tate48645600005.
11Tyler Boyd61310011001.
12Robby Anderson525486100014.618.616.618.6
12Braxton Berrios3116900006.
13Tyreek Hill54855501-405.110.17.610.1
13Mecole Hardman2600001900.

A.J. Brown (FanDuel: $5400, DraftKings: $5300)

12vs JAX3754.0135100019.523.521.526.5
13@ IND5443.04500004.
14PROJ-Dodds3.5570.30007.5119.3 (H=17)11.0 (H=24)
14PROJ-Tremblay3.1490.30006.79.88.3 (H=14)9.8 (H=19)
14PROJ-Bloom4.0650.50009.513.511.5 (H=25)13.5 (H=34)

Corey Davis (FanDuel: $5000, DraftKings: $3900)

12vs JAX3932.02900002.
13@ IND4121.02300002.
14PROJ-Dodds3.0420.20005.48.46.9 (H=11)8.4 (H=20)
14PROJ-Tremblay2.3320.20004.46.75.6 (H=7)6.7 (H=13)
14PROJ-Bloom4.0550.50008.512.510.5 (H=23)12.5 (H=40)

Adam Humphries (FanDuel: $5400, DraftKings: $3800)

12vs JAX1233.0200000253.55.0
13@ IND2321.01310007.
14PROJ-Dodds3.0320.20004.47.46.0 (H=8)7.5 (H=17)
14PROJ-Tremblay2.4280.200046.45.3 (H=6)6.5 (H=13)
14PROJ-Bloom2.0240.20003.65.64.7 (H=5)5.7 (H=10)

Kalif Raymond (FanDuel: $5100, DraftKings: $3400)

12vs JAX1011.01401-500.
13@ IND1711.0401000101110.511.0
14PROJ-Dodds1.1170.10002.33.42.9 (H=2)3.5 (H=5)
14PROJ-Tremblay0.7100.10101.72.42.1 (H=1)2.5 (H=2)

Tajae Sharpe (FanDuel: $4700, DraftKings: $3000)

12vs JAX900.000000000.00.0
13@ IND000.000000000.00.0
14PROJ-Dodds0.000000000.0 (H=0)0.0 (H=0)
14PROJ-Tremblay0.8110.10001.72.52.1 (H=1)2.5 (H=3)
14PROJ-Bloom0.000000000.0 (H=0)0.0 (H=0)

Raiders vs TE

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)28 (+2.3)27 (+2.3)27 (+2.3)27 (+2.3)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)16 (-0.5)16 (-1.0)16 (-0.8)16 (-1.2)
10Hunter Henry62743019.
11Tyler Eifert23432102.
12Ryan Griffin55331317.310.38.810.3
13Travis Kelce61959009.014.011.514.0

Jonnu Smith (FanDuel: $4900, DraftKings: $3100)

12vs JAX5000.0000.
13@ IND5222.000021.02.0
14PROJ-Dodds2.6280.246.65.3 (H=7)6.6 (H=16)
14PROJ-Tremblay2.8320. (H=8)7.2 (H=19)
14PROJ-Bloom2.0130. (H=3)4.5 (H=8)

Anthony Firkser (FanDuel: $5000, DraftKings: $2700)

12vs JAX1600.000000.00.0
13@ IND1943.02202.
14PROJ-Dodds1.6190. (H=4)4.7 (H=10)
14PROJ-Tremblay1.8210. (H=4)5.1 (H=12)
14PROJ-Bloom2.0230. (H=4)4.9 (H=11)

Raiders vs PK

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)18 (+0.2)18 (+0.2)20T (-0.0) (+0.0)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)19T (+0.6)19T (+0.6)20 (+0.5) (+0.0)
10Mike Badgley1133666.06.0
11Randy Bullock1211445.05.0
12Sam Ficken2344101010.010.0
13Harrison Butker11558810.010.0

Ryan Succop (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

12vs JAX0066666.06.0
13@ IND1144777.07.0

Raiders vs TD

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)8 (-1.8)8 (-1.8)10 (-1.1)10 (-1.1)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)20 (+1.4)20 (+1.4)28T (+4.6)28T (+4.6)
10Los Angeles Chargers2627830000334.04.0
11Cincinnati Bengals1738631100778.08.0
12New York Jets320811101111118.018.0
13Kansas City Chiefs933222101141420.020.0

Tennessee Titans (FanDuel: $4400, DraftKings: $2600)

12vs JAX20.0036930100556.06.0
13@ IND17.00391321009920.020.0
14PROJ-Dodds21.403432.10.80.600. (H=17)8.3 (H=30)
14PROJ-Tremblay22.503422.10.90.600. (H=17)8.2 (H=29)

Titans vs QB

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)15 (-0.4)15 (-0.4)15 (-0.6)16 (-0.1)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)23 (+1.9)21 (+1.8)24 (+1.9)26 (+2.8)
10Patrick Mahomes8236504463000034.334.329.832.8
12Nick Foles86324827200320015.615.614.914.9
13Jacoby Brissett722540319121-1017.917.914.717.7

Derek Carr (FanDuel: $7000, DraftKings: $5000)

11vs CIN7025292921151123.723.720.820.8
12@ NYJ4315271270111106.
13@ KC6020302221237013.813.811.611.6
14PROJ-Dodds21332351.50.8250.1181818.0 (H=42)18.0 (H=59)
14PROJ-Tremblay21322361.50.9240.117.917.917.9 (H=42)17.9 (H=59)
14PROJ-Bloom18321871.20.9240.114.314.314.3 (H=28)14.3 (H=40)

Titans vs RB

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)20 (+0.4)20 (+1.5)20 (+0.9)20 (+1.3)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)24 (+1.9)25 (+3.5)24 (+2.2)24 (+2.5)
10Damien Williams60197705532010.915.911.414.9
10Darrel Williams1726011901.
12Leonard Fournette822497212962027.936.932.436.9
12Ryquell Armstead400010000.
13Nyheim Hines3142212218010.
13Jordan Wilkins321147032905.

Josh Jacobs (FanDuel: $7700, DraftKings: $6500)

11vs CIN4523112033.012012.415.411.917.4
12@ NYJ231034011.0203.
13@ KC3417104000.00010.410.410.413.4
14PROJ-Dodds18810.51.712012.31413.2 (H=22)14.0 (H=29)
14PROJ-Tremblay17770.51.512011.913.412.6 (H=20)13.4 (H=27)
14PROJ-Bloom16700. (H=16)11.5 (H=21)

Jalen Richard (FanDuel: $5000, DraftKings: $3900)

11vs CIN1620011.0700.
12@ NYJ2324076.04705.
13@ KC1212021.0600.
14PROJ-Dodds2702.6210.13.464.7 (H=5)6.0 (H=11)
14PROJ-Tremblay2702.2180. (H=4)5.3 (H=9)
14PROJ-Bloom1302.0170. (H=3)4.6 (H=7)

DeAndre Washington (FanDuel: $5000, DraftKings: $3000)

11vs CIN92-1022.01401.
12@ NYJ13619011.0001.
13@ KC1525033.04404.
14PROJ-Dodds3110.11.41202.94.33.6 (H=3)4.3 (H=8)
14PROJ-Tremblay3130.11.1902.83.93.4 (H=3)3.9 (H=7)
14PROJ-Bloom2502.0160. (H=3)4.7 (H=9)

Alec Ingold (FanDuel: $4500, DraftKings: $3000)

11vs CIN1713000.0000.
12@ NYJ910000.000000.00.0
13@ KC1014022.01301.
14PROJ-Dodds0000.000000.0 (H=0)0.0 (H=0)
14PROJ-Tremblay1300.3200.50.80.6 (H=0)0.8 (H=0)

Titans vs WR

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)17 (-0.1)18 (+0.8)17 (+0.6)18 (+1.0)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)25 (+5.1)29 (+10.8)28 (+7.9)29 (+12.0)
10Tyreek Hill691911157113022.033.027.536.0
10Mecole Hardman181163100012.313.312.813.3
12Dede Westbrook74986900006.914.910.914.9
12Chris Conley65944900004.
13Zach Pascal72107109000010.917.914.420.9
13Marcus Johnson67645500005.

Tyrell Williams (FanDuel: $5700, DraftKings: $5000)

11vs CIN5144.08200008.
12@ NYJ4562.01800001.
13@ KC5441.0900000.
14PROJ-Dodds3.3470.40007.110.48.8 (H=15)10.4 (H=23)
14PROJ-Tremblay3.0440.30006.29.27.7 (H=12)9.2 (H=18)
14PROJ-Bloom3.0440.30006.29.27.7 (H=12)9.2 (H=18)

Zay Jones (FanDuel: $4700, DraftKings: $3400)

11vs CIN4833.02500002.
12@ NYJ5322.0500000.
13@ KC4232.01400001.
14PROJ-Dodds2.5250.20003.76.25.0 (H=6)6.2 (H=13)
14PROJ-Tremblay2.3280.20204.26.55.4 (H=7)6.5 (H=15)
14PROJ-Bloom3.0220.10002.85.84.3 (H=5)5.8 (H=12)

Keelan Doss (FanDuel: $4600, DraftKings: $3000)

11vs CIN000.000000000.00.0
12@ NYJ000.000000000.00.0
13@ KC3311.01100001.
14PROJ-Dodds1.3160.10002.23.52.9 (H=2)3.5 (H=5)
14PROJ-Tremblay1.4190.10002.53.93.2 (H=3)3.9 (H=7)
14PROJ-Bloom1.01100001.12.11.6 (H=0)2.1 (H=2)

Marcell Ateman (FanDuel: $4500, DraftKings: $3000)

11vs CIN500.000000000.00.0
12@ NYJ810.000000000.00.0
13@ KC400.000000000.00.0
14PROJ-Dodds0.81100001.11.91.5 (H=0)1.9 (H=2)
14PROJ-Tremblay1.4180.10002.43.83.1 (H=3)3.8 (H=6)

Titans vs TE

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)27 (+1.3)26 (+1.6)26 (+1.3)25 (+1.6)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)28 (+3.9)27 (+5.8)26 (+4.2)26 (+5.3)
10Travis Kelce787775113.520.517.020.5
12Nick OLeary45443603.
13Jack Doyle6811673113.319.316.319.3

Darren Waller (FanDuel: $6200, DraftKings: $5800)

11vs CIN6675.07807.612.610.112.6
12@ NYJ5363.04104.
13@ KC5597.01000101713.520.0
14PROJ-Dodds5.5650.48.914.411.7 (H=22)14.4 (H=34)
14PROJ-Tremblay5.4650.48.914.311.6 (H=22)14.3 (H=34)
14PROJ-Bloom5.0630.48.713.711.2 (H=21)13.7 (H=32)

Foster Moreau (FanDuel: $4700, DraftKings: $2500)

11vs CIN4122.0816.
12@ NYJ1911.0300.
13@ KC2911.01501.
14PROJ-Dodds1.4120. (H=3)3.8 (H=8)
14PROJ-Tremblay1.3120. (H=2)3.1 (H=5)
14PROJ-Bloom1. (H=1)2.4 (H=3)

Derek Carrier (FanDuel: $4000, DraftKings: $2600)

11vs CIN2000.000000.00.0
12@ NYJ710.000000.00.0
13@ KC922.0101798.09.0
14PROJ-Dodds0.870. (H=1)2.1 (H=2)
14PROJ-Tremblay0.780. (H=1)2.1 (H=2)

Titans vs PK

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)28T (-1.1)28T (-1.1)27T (-0.9) (+0.0)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)28 (+1.9)28 (+1.9)27 (+2.8) (+0.0)
10Harrison Butker4523141416.016.0
12Josh Lambo2200669.09.0
13Adam Vinatieri1422555.05.0

Daniel Carlson (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

11vs CIN1122555.05.0
12@ NYJ1200334.04.0
13@ KC1201333.03.0

Titans vs TD

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)16 (-0.2)16 (-0.2)8T (-0.1)8T (-0.1)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)16 (-0.3)16 (-0.3)8 (-2.9)8 (-2.9)
10Kansas City Chiefs3537140100665.05.0
12Jacksonville Jaguars4247110200551.01.0
13Indianapolis Colts312926020010109.09.0

Oakland Raiders (FanDuel: $3400, DraftKings: $2700)

11vs CIN10.00246511009913.013.0
12@ NYJ34.0040110100332.02.0
13@ KC40.0025910000110.00.0
14PROJ-Dodds24.303382. (H=21)7.9 (H=26)
14PROJ-Tremblay25.003361.80.80.600. (H=17)7.1 (H=22)