Matchup Analysis: Washington Redskins at Philadelphia Eagles

Vegas Prediction

Vegas says: Redskins 17, Eagles 28

FBG Projections

TeamRushYardsTDCompAttPass YdTDINT

Redskins Rushing offense

Tough matchup vs. the Eagles defense.

The Redskins lost Derrius Guice to a torn ACL in the preseason last year, which led to a rushing attack spearheaded by Adrian Peterson throughout the year. Peterson led the Redskins in rushing in 2018 with 1,042 yards on 4.2 yards-per-carry, and while head coach Jay Gruden has made it clear that Peterson will still be a factor in the team's 2019 ground game, Guice is expected to be the top-dog in this backfield. Washington's offensive line has shifted around a few pieces entering week one. Ereck Flowers has been inserted at left guard, where FootballGuys' offensive line analyst Matt Bitonti has noted he looks much more comfortable. Most notably, 36-year-old Donald Penn will be starting at left tackle in place of holdout Trent Williams. Penn's run blocking is slightly weaker than his pass blocking, but it is still serviceable. Washington's success on the ground will be heavily dependent upon the chemistry of this offensive line. The team will be introducing two brand new starters into the fold this season while they also reintegrate Brandon Scherff into the offense following a torn pectoral that forced him to miss half of the 2018 season. For Derrius Guice and Adrian Peterson to establish the run in week one, this offensive line will need to play well above expectation.

The Philadelphia Eagles run defense, led by Fletcher Cox, allowed the seventh-fewest rushing yards per game in 2018. In 2019, they will be without several key contributors from last season, but the replacements brought in can certainly hold their own. The addition of Malik Jackson to an already impressive defensive line should provide the Eagles with one of the league's most impressive defensive tackle duos. At linebacker, Jordan Hicks left in free agency to sign with the Arizona Cardinals, but his replacement Zach Brown was one of the few linebackers in the NFL to outshine Hicks in run support last season. In the secondary, the Eagles bring back Malcolm Jenkins, the team's co-leading tackler from last season with 97 total tackles. Jenkins has historically been one of the league's best safeties in run support, and there is no reason to expect that to change this season. Philadelphia sports a well-rounded defense with depth and talent at critical positions necessary to smother opposing rushing attacks.

Redskins Passing offense

Neutral matchup vs. the Eagles defense.

The Redskins signed Case Keenum over the offseason to help address one of the league's worst quarterback situations. Following a gruesome leg injury to Alex Smith in 2018, the team turned to Colt McCoy, who subsequently suffered a broken leg that he has yet to recover from. Aside from a shockingly-strong 2017 campaign, Keenum has failed to prove he is ready to lead a successful aerial attack in the NFL. The 2019 season, especially to start, will be an exceptionally tough test for Keenum. The Redskins enter the season with just two of their top six receivers from 2018 currently on the roster. Jordan Reed led the team with a meager 558 receiving yards in 2018. The second-leading returning receiver is running back Chris Thompson, who compiled just 268 receiving yards over 10 games last year. The turnover in this unit is unmatched, and its success will largely hinge on the play of young and unproven wide receivers Trey Quinn, Paul Richardson, and Robert Davis. Washington's offensive line is serviceable, but not impressive. The well-documented rift between Trent Williams and Redskins management is ongoing, and he will not be with the team to start the season. In his place will be veteran Donald Penn. Penn is a serviceable left tackle in the NFL, but his production pales in comparison to the protection provided by All-Pro Trent Williams. A clean pocket has proven to be one of the most important factors in a successful passing attack, and without exceptional performance up front, Washington will likely struggle to move the ball through the air.

The Eagles suffered from some horrid injury luck in 2018 at the defensive back position which led to the Eagles allowing 269 yards per game which was the third-worst in the NFL last year. However, the secondary enters week one fully healthy with Ronald Darby, Sidney Jones, and Rodney McLeod all back in the mix. Darby and McLeod will almost certainly serve as improvements over their temporary replacements from last year, while Philadelphia hopes that Sidney Jones can reach his fullest potential in year three following his first healthy offseason. His performance on the field has been lackluster to this point, and unless he makes a significant jump this season, he will be the weak point of this secondary. The Philadelphia Eagles' pass rush in 2018 was one of the best in the league. The Eagles finished tied for 8th in the NFL in sacks, but led the NFL in quarterback hits with 133, 18 more than any other team. Generating pressure on opposing quarterbacks using a rotation of several defensive linemen has proven to be a successful strategy for Jim Schwartz's defense, but in 2019 there will be a few new faces in the mix. Vinny Curry and Malik Jackson will be asked to step in and contribute following the departures of Michael Bennett, Chris Long, and Haloti Ngata. There will likely be at least a minor drop off in production from the levels the 2018 defensive line reached, but this will likely remain one of the best in the NFL. This is a unit that should be significantly better than what we saw last season.

Eagles Rushing offense

Neutral matchup vs. the Redskins defense.

The Eagles used a second-round draft pick in the 2019 NFL Draft to select Miles Sanders, a running back from Penn State University. Sanders averaged 5.8 yards-per-carry in his lone season as a starter for the Nittany Lions before departing for the NFL. Throughout training camp, Sanders has impressed coaches, teammates, and beat writers alike with his performance throughout training camp, but he will likely be a part of a timeshare in the Eagles' backfield. Head coach Doug Pederson has long been a believer in a running-back-by-committee approach which utilizes multiple running backs of varying skillsets for different roles. Jordan Howard, another offseason acquisition, will likely see playing time in Philadelphia's backfield following a three-year stint with Chicago to start his career. Howard's profile as a primarily-north-and-south running back will likely get him on the field in short-yardage situations for the Eagles this season. The Eagles' offensive line is looking to get back on track this season with their run-blocking following a season in which Philadelphia only ran for 3.9 yards-per-carry. Entering the 2019 season fully healthy with additional depth (the team drafted offensive tackle Andre Dillard in the first round of the NFL draft,) is a fantastic starting point for a bounceback campaign. Look for the Eagles' rushing attack to rebound as one of the league's more efficient ground-games.

The Washington Redskins run defense allowed a middling 4.5 yards-per-carry on the ground in 2018, good enough for 16th in the NFL. In large part, the team's defensive line is to thank for the team's ability to contain opposing rushing attacks. Young linemen DaRon Payne and Jonathan Allen have both proven to be capable of clogging up the middle of the defense early in their respective careers. Both are still in the outset of their careers and expected to continue to develop and improve in coming years, which may mean trouble for opposing running backs. At the second level of the defense, Washington lost their top linebacker Zach Brown to free agency. Brown was one of the league's best run defenders last season, and replacing him is no small task. The Redskins have turned to Jon Bostic to fill this hole in the defense, but his production pales in comparison to what Brown provided the team. In week one, as well as throughout the entire 2019 season, the Redskins will turn towards the development of young starters to offset the loss of impact players elsewhere. To start the season, this defense profiles as neither one to attack nor avoid.

Eagles Passing offense

Good matchup vs. the Redskins defense.

Much to the dismay of the NFC East, Carson Wentz is returning to the starting lineup for Philadelphia after missing the final three games of the 2018 regular season due to a back injury. In 2019, Wentz will be flanked by a few new weapons in the backfield and at wide receiver. The Eagles acquired one of the league's most effective deep threats, DeSean Jackson, over the offseason in exchange for a late-round pick. Jackson's ability to stretch the field, as represented by his league-leading 18.9 yards-per-reception in 2018, is unmatched. The speedster will add a dimension to Doug Pederson's offense that has not been present in previous years. No receiver in an Eagles uniform has topped 14 yards-per-reception with at least 20 receptions over the last three years, but that will almost certainly change in 2019. Elsewhere, the Eagles return each of their top four receivers from last season, including record-breaking tight end Zach Ertz. Up front, the Eagles sport one of the league's most dominant offensive line units. FootballGuys' Matt Bitonti ranks this as the second-best offensive line in the NFL entering the 2019 season, in part due to a rare A+ pass-blocking grade. Keeping the pocket clean for Wentz to deliver the ball will be essential for the success of the Eagles' passing game, and it's tough to find a better unit for the job than the five starters Philadelphia will send out for week one.

The Washington Redskins sported a league-average passing defense throughout the 2018 season. The team returns all three defensive linemen as well as one edge rusher for the 2019 season. Ryan Kerrigan has built a strong reputation as one of the league's top pass rushers, and the numbers back that up. With 13 sacks and 19 quarterback hits, Kerrigan was one of the league's best at applying pressure to opposing quarterbacks. In the secondary, the Redskins still have the aging Josh Norman who is no longer the lock down corner he once was, but the real problem this week will be that the Redskins will be without Fabian Moreau who will be replaced by Greg Stroman or Jimmy Moreland and both are liabilities at corner. The Redskins also lose HaHa Clinton-Dix who had his best coverage season of his of his career, but he has since left the team to join the Chicago Bears. Stepping in for Clinton-Dix at safety will be three-time Pro Bowler Landon Collins. Collins has been strong in coverage since his second season in the NFL, and his performance as the last line of defense for Washington will be crucial to the team's success or failure defending the pass.

Derrius Guice (FanDuel: $5900, DraftKings: $4400)

1PROJ-Dodds16630.52.1150.111.413.512.5 (H=26)13.5 (H=41)
1PROJ-Tremblay11490.32.3170.1911.310.2 (H=18)11.3 (H=30)
1PROJ-Bloom18700.52.017011.713.712.7 (H=27)13.7 (H=42)

Peyton Barber (FanDuel: $5500, DraftKings: $4000)

1PROJ-Dodds13490. (H=17)10 (H=26)
1PROJ-Tremblay12450.31.070787.5 (H=11)8 (H=18)
1PROJ-Bloom11350. (H=11)7.7 (H=17)

J.D. McKissic (FanDuel: $4500, DraftKings: $3100)

1PROJ-Dodds0000.000000 (H=0)0 (H=0)
1PROJ-Tremblay0000.000000 (H=0)0 (H=0)

Josh Ferguson (FanDuel: $4500, DraftKings: $3200)

1PROJ-Dodds0000.000000 (H=0)0 (H=0)
1PROJ-Tremblay0000.000000 (H=0)0 (H=0)

Adrian Peterson (FanDuel: $5600, DraftKings: $3700)

1PROJ-Dodds0000.000000 (H=0)0 (H=0)
1PROJ-Tremblay0000.000000 (H=0)0 (H=0)
1PROJ-Bloom0000.000000 (H=0)0 (H=0)

Trey Quinn (FanDuel: $4900, DraftKings: $3400)

1PROJ-Dodds3.7440.20005.69.37.5 (H=13)9.3 (H=27)
1PROJ-Tremblay3.5450.20105.89.37.6 (H=13)9.3 (H=27)
1PROJ-Bloom5.0440.20005.610.68.1 (H=15)10.6 (H=35)

Terry McLaurin (FanDuel: $4500, DraftKings: $3300)

1PROJ-Dodds3.0380.2000586.5 (H=11)8 (H=22)
1PROJ-Tremblay2.7350.20104.87.56.2 (H=10)7.5 (H=19)
1PROJ-Bloom2.0220.10002.84.83.8 (H=4)4.8 (H=9)

Cody Latimer (FanDuel: $5500, DraftKings: $3300)

1PROJ-Dodds1.7250.20003.75.44.6 (H=5)5.5 (H=11)
1PROJ-Tremblay2.1290.20004.16.25.2 (H=6)6.3 (H=14)
1PROJ-Bloom2.0220.10002.84.83.9 (H=3)4.9 (H=9)

Dustin Hopkins (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)


Washington Football Team (FanDuel: $3500, DraftKings: $2500)

1PROJ-Dodds27.23812.40.80.600.2666 (H=12)6 (H=17)
1PROJ-Tremblay27.53852.410.600. (H=15)6.8 (H=22)

Carson Wentz (FanDuel: $7600, DraftKings: $5700)

1PROJ-Dodds24352791.80.83110.1222222 (H=55)22 (H=74)
1PROJ-Tremblay253828021380.122.422.422.4 (H=57)22.4 (H=76)
1PROJ-Bloom22302822.10.83130.123.623.623.6 (H=62)23.6 (H=83)

Miles Sanders (FanDuel: $6000, DraftKings: $3900)

1PROJ-Dodds10470.42.1160.19.311.410.4 (H=19)11.5 (H=35)
1PROJ-Tremblay10410.32.1160. (H=15)10.3 (H=29)
1PROJ-Bloom13610.41.090.1101110.6 (H=19)11.1 (H=33)

Corey Clement (FanDuel: $4500, DraftKings: $3200)

1PROJ-Dodds2800.6501.31.91.6 (H=1)1.9 (H=1)
1PROJ-Tremblay3130.10.8702.63.43 (H=2)3.4 (H=5)
1PROJ-Bloom0000.000000 (H=0)0 (H=0)

Alshon Jeffery (FanDuel: $6700, DraftKings: $5900)

1PROJ-Dodds3.9520.40007.611.59.6 (H=15)11.5 (H=23)
1PROJ-Tremblay3.5480.30006.610.18.4 (H=11)10.1 (H=18)
1PROJ-Bloom3.0470.40007.110.18.6 (H=12)10.1 (H=18)

DeSean Jackson (FanDuel: $5600, DraftKings: $4500)

1PROJ-Dodds2.8470.31206.79.58.1 (H=13)9.5 (H=21)
1PROJ-Tremblay2.4380.20105.17.56.3 (H=8)7.5 (H=14)
1PROJ-Bloom3.0510.30006.99.98.4 (H=14)9.9 (H=23)

Marquise Goodwin (FanDuel: $5400, DraftKings: $4000)

1PROJ-Dodds3.0400.20005.28.26.7 (H=9)8.2 (H=19)
1PROJ-Tremblay2.3330.20104.66.95.8 (H=7)6.9 (H=14)
1PROJ-Bloom3.0510.30006.99.98.4 (H=14)9.9 (H=26)

J.J. Arcega-Whiteside (FanDuel: $4800, DraftKings: $3400)

1PROJ-Dodds1.4200.10002.643.3 (H=3)4 (H=6)
1PROJ-Tremblay1.5210.10002.74.23.5 (H=3)4.2 (H=7)
1PROJ-Bloom2.0230.20003.55.54.5 (H=5)5.5 (H=11)

Deontay Burnett (FanDuel: $4500, DraftKings: $3000)

1PROJ-Dodds0.000000000 (H=0)0 (H=0)
1PROJ-Tremblay0.8110.10001.72.52.1 (H=1)2.5 (H=3)
1PROJ-Bloom0.000000000 (H=0)0 (H=0)

Zach Ertz (FanDuel: $7100, DraftKings: $6100)

1PROJ-Dodds5.8640.48.814.611.7 (H=19)14.6 (H=34)
1PROJ-Tremblay7.1730.610.91814.5 (H=28)18 (H=48)
1PROJ-Bloom5.0570. (H=16)13.1 (H=28)

Dallas Goedert (FanDuel: $5000, DraftKings: $2900)

1PROJ-Dodds2.5270.34.575.8 (H=8)7 (H=20)
1PROJ-Tremblay2.2230. (H=5)5.7 (H=14)
1PROJ-Bloom3.0430. (H=13)9.1 (H=31)

Jake Elliott (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)


Philadelphia Eagles (FanDuel: $4600, DraftKings: $3600)

1PROJ-Dodds19.23332.70.90.700. (H=22)9.8 (H=28)
1PROJ-Tremblay18.53302.10.90.900.6111111 (H=27)11 (H=35)