Matchup Analysis: Washington Redskins at New York Giants

Vegas Prediction

Vegas says: Redskins 22, Giants 21

FBG Projections

TeamRushYardsTDCompAttPass YdTDINT

Washington Redskins Offense: overview

Points (vs AVG) (rank)Rush Yards (vs AVG) (rank)Pass Yards (vs AVG) (rank)
Redskins Offense21.0 (-3.0) (25)119 (+8) (14)218 (-34) (26)
Giants Defense26.4 (+2.4) (26)114 (+3) (20)253 (+0) (14)

New York Giants Offense: overview

Points (vs AVG) (rank)Rush Yards (vs AVG) (rank)Pass Yards (vs AVG) (rank)
Giants Offense19.6 (-4.5) (27)84 (-26) (30)277 (+23) (12)
Redskins Defense20.2 (-3.9) (7)87 (-23) (3)238 (-14) (13)

Redskins Rushing offense

Great matchup vs. the Giants defense.

Adrian Peterson so far this season has been the MVP of the Redskins offense. Outside of two games in which the Redskins fell behind early and abandoned the run, Peterson has run for 96 yards or more in each of his four other four games. He remains a running back that will wear down your linebackers and secondary as the offensive line for the Redskins has been tremendous opening holes and allowing him to get down field. Trent Williams, Morgan Moses, and Brandon Scherff continue to lead this offensive line which Matt Bitonti has as a top-five offensive line this season.

The Giants rushing defense took a big hit as they traded Damon “Snacks” Harrison to Detroit this past week. While Harrison was not only their best run stopper he was one of the veterans on the defensive line which could have a crushing morale impact on the remaining defensive lineman of the Giants. Expect a bigger workload for B.J. Hill and Mario Edwards who will be the direct replacement for the Giants for Harrison. This is a big test for the Giants as if their defensive line allows the Redskins offensive line to get up field, it could cause issues for Alec Ogletree who has really struggled at the linebacking position which could lead to a big day for Adrian Peterson.

Redskins Passing offense

Good matchup vs. the Giants defense.

The Redskins passing offense is really struggling as Alex Smith has thrown for less than 180 yards in two consecutive weeks. The issue for the Redskins continues to be health, but they should get Paul Richardson back this week which will be helpful as he has been the best deep threat in this offense when healthy. The Redskins are still likely going to be without Chris Thompson and Jamison Crowder this week which ultimately means that the Redskins will continue to look for Josh Doctson to break out of his slow start as he has just 11 receptions on the season and has really struggled with consistency. Alex Smith has talked about timing in this offense and how they need to improve and at the moment it is not an offense that can be trusted.

The Giants are a team in disarray at the moment as they traded Eli Apple away to New Orleans who had been an up and down player but their most talented corner on the roster as Janoris Jenkins appears to have lost a step compared to where he once was. The move away from Apple leaves the Giants pretty weak at the corner position as B.W. Webb will need to play a more significant role on this defense which will also mean that Grant Haley who is an undrafted rookie will likely have to take on Paul Richardson out of the slot which if Richardson is able to go would be a big boost for the Redskins.

Giants Rushing offense

Tough matchup vs. the Redskins defense.

Saquon Barkley on the ground continues to be a boom or bust type running back as his running style combined with the poor offensive line play is that he has a lot of no gain type runs and then will pop a run for 20+ yards. Barkley has a run longer than 20 yards in five of his seven games so far this season and has struggled in the two games in which he did not accomplish this which we saw last week. The offensive line remains a big problem for the Giants as the right side of the line is with John Greco and Chad Wheeler have both struggled so far this year.

The Redskins rushing defense continues to be one of the most improved units in football this season and it showed in a big way last week against the Cowboys in which they held Ezekiel Elliott to just 33 yards. The Redskins have held running backs to just 63 total yards on the season which is the third fewest in the NFL this season and have not allowed a single running back to go for more than 61 yards. This is a unit that has held David Johnson to 37 yards, Alvin Kamara to 24 yards, Mark Ingram to 53 yards, Christian McCaffrey to 20 yards, and Elliott to 33 as mentioned earlier. This is a unit that has faced every test and succeeded as their front seven is one of the best in football led by defensive lineman Jonathan Allen, Daron Payne, and Matt Ioannidis.

Giants Passing offense

Great matchup vs. the Redskins defense.

Eli Manning had his best game of the season on Monday night going up against the Falcons as he threw for 399 yards and completed 71% including his first 8 passes. The issue for the Giants is that a lot of this success occurred in the second half as the Giants had fallen behind in the game. The good news for the Giants is that they got Evan Engram back and while he only had two receptions, he was on the field for 81% of the plays and showed some burst on a tight end screen pass. This passing offense continues to be based on how Odell Beckham performs and on Monday Night he was terrific, but consistency has remained an issue as he has four games so far this season with 109 yards or more and three games with 60 yards or less. With the Giants record now at 1-6, it remains to be seen how this offense will perform from a consistency standpoint.

It's looking like Quinton Dunbar will likely miss this game for the second straight week with a shin injury which is a significant loss for the Redskins as Josh Norman has remained on the right side of the defense which could allow the Giants to game plan around this and get Odell Beckham to face Greg Stroman who was a seventh round rookie out of Virginia Tech. The Redskins could also be without Fabian Moreau this week who is the slot corner on this team as he left last week’s game with an injury which would leave the Redskins decimated at corner and force undrafted rookie Danny Johnson into a more significant role.

Giants vs QB

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)15 (-1.0)15 (-0.8)16 (-0.5)16 (-0.9)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)12 (-1.1)14 (-0.9)13 (-0.7)14 (-1.3)
4Drew Brees701832217004-1010.810.88.68.6
5Cam Newton70213523722829020.820.818.418.4
6Carson Wentz71263627830214027.327.324.524.5
7Matt Ryan6531393791021023.123.119.322.3

Alex Smith (FanDuel: $7200, DraftKings: $5000)

5@ NO6123392750127119.519.514.715.7
6vs CAR70213616320613017.517.515.815.8
7vs DAL60142517810416014.514.512.712.7
8PROJ-Dodds21332401.40.85160.219.619.619.6 (H=48)19.6 (H=69)
8PROJ-Tremblay21332341.30.95130.218.518.518.5 (H=43)18.5 (H=62)
8PROJ-Bloom17262661.30.53130.119.919.919.9 (H=49)19.9 (H=71)

Giants vs RB

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)20 (+1.0)18 (+1.0)19 (+0.8)18 (+0.7)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)26 (+3.7)25 (+3.8)25 (+3.9)25 (+4.0)
4Alvin Kamara591913439547036.141.138.644.1
4Mike Gillislee526011901.
5Christian McCaffrey69175806535115.320.317.820.3
5C.J. Anderson849000000.
6Corey Clement26114313326012.915.914.415.9
6Wendell Smallwood441851021005.
7Tevin Coleman37115012232014.
7Ito Smith287160222904.

Adrian Peterson (FanDuel: $7000, DraftKings: $4900)

5@ NO13460323604.
6vs CAR371797010009.
7vs DAL3424990218010.711.711.211.7
8PROJ-Dodds16680.5216011.413.412.4 (H=22)13.4 (H=36)
8PROJ-Tremblay15650.4214010.312.311.3 (H=19)12.3 (H=31)
8PROJ-Bloom20840.518012.213.212.7 (H=23)13.2 (H=35)

Chris Thompson (FanDuel: $5900, DraftKings: $5500)

5@ NO408170864506.
7vs DAL00000000000.00.0
8PROJ-Dodds4200.14350.16.710.78.7 (H=14)10.7 (H=22)
8PROJ-Tremblay3160.14320.16108.0 (H=12)10.0 (H=19)
8PROJ-Bloom5210.14310.37.611.69.6 (H=17)11.6 (H=25)

Kapri Bibbs (FanDuel: $5300, DraftKings: $3600)

5@ NO849100006.
6vs CAR26211021601.
7vs DAL2321305443111.615.613.615.6
8PROJ-Dodds270.10001.31.31.3 (H=0)1.3 (H=0)
8PROJ-Tremblay280.11702.13.12.6 (H=1)3.1 (H=3)
8PROJ-Bloom000000000.0 (H=0)0.0 (H=0)

Giants vs WR

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)13 (-1.7)13 (-2.1)14 (-2.2)13 (-2.8)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)16T (-0.7)17 (-0.1)16 (-0.9)18 (-1.1)
4Michael Thomas66444700004.
4Cameron Meredith22433200003.
5Curtis Samuel12423710009.711.710.711.7
5D.J. Moore294449011806.710.78.710.7
6Alshon Jeffery5912874200019.427.423.427.4
6Nelson Agholor64539100009.112.110.612.1
7Marvin Hall123363100012.315.313.815.3
7Julio Jones49129104000010.419.412.921.4

Paul Richardson (FanDuel: $5900, DraftKings: $4000)

5@ NO4254500000597.09.0
6vs CAR52533111209.312.310.812.3
8PROJ-Dodds3340.20004.67.66.1 (H=7)7.6 (H=16)
8PROJ-Tremblay3340.20104.77.76.2 (H=7)7.7 (H=17)
8PROJ-Bloom000000000.0 (H=0)0.0 (H=0)

Josh Doctson (FanDuel: $4900, DraftKings: $3700)

6vs CAR5963200000253.55.0
7vs DAL57634200004.
8PROJ-Dodds3320.20004.47.45.9 (H=8)7.4 (H=17)
8PROJ-Tremblay2310.20004.36.35.3 (H=7)6.3 (H=13)
8PROJ-Bloom3390.30005.78.77.2 (H=12)8.7 (H=22)

Jamison Crowder (FanDuel: $5700, DraftKings: $4400)

5@ NO52845500005.
8PROJ-Dodds2270.21404.36.35.4 (H=6)6.4 (H=11)
8PROJ-Tremblay2260.20304.16.15.2 (H=6)6.2 (H=10)
8PROJ-Bloom000000000.1 (H=0)0.1 (H=0)

Maurice Harris (FanDuel: $4900, DraftKings: $3300)

5@ NO49834700004.
6vs CAR44431301601.
7vs DAL36332200002.
8PROJ-Dodds2220.10002.84.83.8 (H=4)4.8 (H=9)
8PROJ-Tremblay2190.10102.64.63.6 (H=3)4.6 (H=8)
8PROJ-Bloom3240.20003.66.65.1 (H=6)6.6 (H=15)

Giants vs TE

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)9 (-1.5)9 (-2.3)9T (-1.9)9 (-2.5)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)16 (-0.5)16 (-0.4)16 (-0.4)16 (-0.6)
4Josh Hill43336306.
5Ian Thomas49633803.
6Zach Ertz719743110.317.313.817.3
7Austin Hooper56434804.

Jordan Reed (FanDuel: $5800, DraftKings: $4500)

5@ NO39212102.
6vs CAR47953603.
7vs DAL41424304.
8PROJ-Dodds4470.36.510.58.5 (H=14)10.5 (H=26)
8PROJ-Tremblay4450.36.310.38.3 (H=13)10.3 (H=25)
8PROJ-Bloom4430. (H=12)10.1 (H=24)

Vernon Davis (FanDuel: $4800, DraftKings: $2800)

5@ NO26321501.
6vs CAR363348110.813.812.313.8
7vs DAL270000000.00.0
8PROJ-Dodds2190. (H=3)4.5 (H=9)
8PROJ-Tremblay1150. (H=2)3.1 (H=5)
8PROJ-Bloom2210. (H=5)5.3 (H=12)

Giants vs PK

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)32 (+3.7)32 (+3.7)32 (+4.5) (+0.0)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)32 (+4.9)32 (+4.9)32 (+6.5) (+0.0)
4Wil Lutz4433151516.00.0
5Graham Gano4433151519.019.0
6Jake Elliott2344101010.010.0
7Giorgio Tavecchio3322111116.016.0

Dustin Hopkins (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

5@ NO2211779.09.0
6vs CAR3322111114.014.0
7vs DAL2222888.08.0

Giants vs TD

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)26 (+1.9)26 (+1.9)26 (+2.2)26 (+2.2)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)23T (+2.2)23T (+2.2)23 (+2.0)23 (+2.0)
4New Orleans Saints1829930200778.08.0
5Carolina Panthers3143212101191912.012.0
6Philadelphia Eagles13401410006610.010.0
7Atlanta Falcons2043340000445.05.0

Washington Redskins (FanDuel: $4100, DraftKings: $2700)

5@ NO43.0044720100440.00.0
6vs CAR17.0035011200778.08.0
7vs DAL17.0032340201202015.015.0
8PROJ-Dodds21.803552.51.10.800. (H=23)9.4 (H=35)
8PROJ-Tremblay20.503652.510.800.510.310.310.3 (H=27)10.3 (H=42)

Redskins vs QB

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)21 (+0.6)22 (+0.7)22 (+0.5)21 (+0.2)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)31 (+7.8)31 (+8.1)31 (+7.4)31 (+7.8)
5Drew Brees6326293633021030.431.427.230.7
6Cam Newton60274027521943025.125.124.324.3
7Dak Prescott66223527310633127.

Eli Manning (FanDuel: $6700, DraftKings: $4900)

5@ CAR5622363262212022.522.521.224.2
6vs PHI6524432810100013.
7@ ATL6427383991037024.724.720.723.7
8PROJ-Dodds25382571.51220181818.0 (H=44)18.0 (H=60)
8PROJ-Tremblay25382711.41240. (H=49)19.1 (H=67)
8PROJ-Bloom23382371.20.711016.116.116.1 (H=36)16.1 (H=50)

Redskins vs RB

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)6 (-4.8)10 (-4.2)8 (-4.4)9 (-4.8)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)2 (-7.9)2 (-8.4)2 (-8.0)2 (-9.0)
5Mark Ingram36165323220019.321.320.321.3
5Alvin Kamara316240431503.
6Christian McCaffrey608200874606.613.610.113.6
6C.J. Anderson100000000.
7Ezekiel Elliott661533062904.
7Rod Smith000000000.

Saquon Barkley (FanDuel: $8900, DraftKings: $8800)

5@ CAR48154804481224.928.926.928.9
6vs PHI5013130112999028.937.933.440.9
7@ ATL591443110951015.424.421.926.4
8PROJ-Dodds17770.66480.217.323.320.3 (H=41)23.3 (H=53)
8PROJ-Tremblay18760.66500.217.423.420.4 (H=41)23.4 (H=53)
8PROJ-Bloom16570.76460.215.721.718.7 (H=35)21.7 (H=46)

Wayne Gallman (FanDuel: $4600, DraftKings: $3500)

5@ CAR80000000000.00.0
6vs PHI174170522504.
7@ ATL50000000000.00.0
8PROJ-Dodds3120.12120. (H=6)5.6 (H=11)
8PROJ-Tremblay28011101.92.92.4 (H=1)2.9 (H=3)
8PROJ-Bloom000000000.0 (H=0)0.0 (H=0)

Redskins vs WR

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)21 (+0.8)19 (+0.5)19 (-0.3)19 (-0.7)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)30 (+7.8)29 (+9.0)28 (+7.1)28 (+8.2)
5TreQuan Smith4433111200023.126.124.629.1
5Michael Thomas51547400007.411.49.411.4
6Devin Funchess588574100013.418.415.918.4
6Torrey Smith425543100010.315.314.817.3
7Michael Gallup565381100014.117.115.617.1
7Allen Hurns54657400007.412.49.912.4

Odell Beckham (FanDuel: $8500, DraftKings: $7500)

5@ CAR521481311000263427.435.4
6vs PHI631064400004.410.47.410.4
7@ ATL6111814311-1020.
8PROJ-Dodds7840.414011.218.214.8 (H=25)18.3 (H=40)
8PROJ-Tremblay7820.4140111814.6 (H=24)18.1 (H=40)
8PROJ-Bloom8920.500012.220.216.3 (H=29)20.3 (H=49)

Sterling Shepard (FanDuel: $6500, DraftKings: $5200)

5@ CAR56747500007.511.59.511.5
6vs PHI63733700003.
7@ ATL5985167000016.721.719.224.7
8PROJ-Dodds4530.30007.111.19.1 (H=14)11.1 (H=24)
8PROJ-Tremblay5630.30008.113.110.6 (H=18)13.1 (H=33)
8PROJ-Bloom5560.30007.412.49.9 (H=16)12.4 (H=30)

Russell Shepard (FanDuel: $4500, DraftKings: $3000)

5@ CAR32435200005.
8PROJ-Dodds1140.1000232.5 (H=2)3.0 (H=4)
8PROJ-Tremblay1140.1000232.5 (H=2)3.0 (H=4)

Redskins vs TE

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)11 (-1.1)14 (-1.0)13 (-1.1)14 (-1.2)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)14T (-0.5)19 (+0.2)17 (-0.1)19 (-0.0)
5Josh Hill38222418.410.49.410.4
6Greg Olsen59744804.
7Geoff Swaim47332502.

Evan Engram (FanDuel: $5800, DraftKings: $4300)

7@ ATL52421602.
8PROJ-Dodds4380. (H=11)9.6 (H=23)
8PROJ-Tremblay3260. (H=6)6.8 (H=12)
8PROJ-Bloom3350. (H=8)7.7 (H=15)

Rhett Ellison (FanDuel: $4400, DraftKings: $2500)

5@ CAR55321701.
7@ ATL32221101.
8PROJ-Dodds1100. (H=1)2.6 (H=4)
8PROJ-Tremblay180. (H=1)2.4 (H=3)
8PROJ-Bloom1800.81.81.3 (H=0)1.8 (H=2)

Redskins vs PK

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)1 (-3.5)1 (-3.5)1 (-3.9) (+0.0)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)2 (-2.8)2 (-2.8)2 (-3.1) (+0.0)
5Wil Lutz1145778.08.0
6Graham Gano1101333.03.0
7Brett Maher1222556.06.0

Aldrick Rosas (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

5@ CAR3322111114.014.0
6vs PHI2311777.07.0
7@ ATL2200666.06.0

Redskins vs TD

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)3 (-2.9)3 (-2.9)7 (-2.3)7 (-2.3)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)7 (-3.2)7 (-3.2)9 (-2.4)9 (-2.4)
5New Orleans Saints1928331100778.08.0
6Carolina Panthers2328830000333.03.0
7Dallas Cowboys2030510000112.02.0

New York Giants (FanDuel: $3400, DraftKings: $2400)

5@ CAR33.0035012000555.05.0
6vs PHI34.0037910000110.00.0
7@ ATL23.0042330100555.05.0
8PROJ-Dodds23.503562.10.90.700. (H=18)7.4 (H=26)
8PROJ-Tremblay21.503432.20.90.800. (H=27)9.3 (H=39)