Matchup Analysis: Seattle Seahawks at Detroit Lions

Vegas Prediction

Vegas says: Seahawks 23, Lions 26

FBG Projections

TeamRushYardsTDCompAttPass YdTDINT

Seattle Seahawks Offense: overview

Points (vs AVG) (rank)Rush Yards (vs AVG) (rank)Pass Yards (vs AVG) (rank)
Seahawks Offense23.8 (-0.2) (17)128 (+17) (7)197 (-55) (28)
Lions Defense26.3 (+2.3) (24)139 (+28) (30)221 (-32) (7)

Detroit Lions Offense: overview

Points (vs AVG) (rank)Rush Yards (vs AVG) (rank)Pass Yards (vs AVG) (rank)
Lions Offense26.2 (+2.1) (12)122 (+11) (11)258 (+5) (17)
Seahawks Defense19.5 (-4.5) (5)121 (+10) (24)206 (-46) (3)

Seahawks Rushing offense

Good matchup vs. the Lions defense.

The Seahawks ground game has been effective to start the season, averaging just under 130 rushing yards per game and 4.3 yards per attempt leading into their bye last week--ranking them within the top-10 among rushing offenses. Chris Carson has led the backfield in each of his last three starts, rushing for over 100 yards in two of those outings. Mike Davis has mixed in ever since amassing 101 rushing yards in relief of Carson in Week 4, but his workload has decreased week over week, especially in Week 6 when Rashaad Penny made it back from injury to mix in for 20 percent of the snaps. While Carson appears to be the top option, this backfield still presents a high level of uncertainty as it appears the Seahawks are willing to mix in all three running backs at any given moment depending on the situation. What has been clear this season, however, is that Russell Wilson is not running as often as usual. Now six games into the season, Wilson is on pace for less than a third of his rushing yardage total from 2017 as he simply has not needed to scramble as often with a better backfield and improved offensive line.

The Lions rushing defense remains one of the most exploitable units in the league, giving up nearly 140 rushing yards per game and a league-leading 5.3 rushing yards per attempt. The Lions have allowed the league’s fewest rushing yards to opposing quarterbacks through six games this season. They kept Frank Gore of the Dolphins in check last week for most of the game, but Kenyan Drake was allowed to get loose for a 54-yard touchdown run where the linebackers showed poor vision to crash into the offensive line while Darius Slay took a terrible angle as Drake blew past him. The Lions did make a significant trade going and getting one of the best run-stopping defensive tackles in football in Damon Harrison. While a possible return of Ezekiel Ansah is not out of the question, even his presence would not move the needle to bump this run defense to an average unit based on what we have seen thus far.

Seahawks Passing offense

Tough matchup vs. the Lions defense.

Russell Wilson has kept the Seahawks passing offense relevant this season despite the mediocre yardage totals being posted. Seattle is one of only five teams to average fewer than 200 passing yards per game, but Wilson has amassed 13 passing touchdowns with just four interceptions. He has passed for multiple touchdowns in five of six games with three passing touchdowns in back to back outings. Tyler Lockett leads the team in targets, receiving yards, and touchdowns as he has scored in five of the team’s six games with over 50 receiving yards in all but his last outing. Lockett has been reliant on big plays, but Wilson has consistently looked for him throughout the season, especially with Doug Baldwin banged up for most of the season. Baldwin had a decent outing before the bye though, hauling in six of his team-leading eight targets for 91 yards as he took advantage of a great matchup against a weak slot cornerback. Baldwin will not have as cushy of a matchup this week though, so it will be interesting to see how he can perform against a decent secondary.

The Lions roll out a relatively respectable secondary that has allowed fewer than 260 passing yards to every quarterback faced not named Aaron Rodgers. While the turnovers have been scarce with just two interceptions (none in their last three games), this secondary still has the talent to lock down opposing wide receivers, limiting them to the sixth-fewest fantasy points per game in PPR scoring formats. Slot cornerback Nevin Lawson is a decent matchup for Doug Baldwin, while Darius Slay should see a few, but not the majority of snaps against Tyler Lockett. Lockett actually may see a positive matchup against Teez Tabor on most snaps, but he will still be tasked with dealing with a strong duo of safeties in Glover Quin and Quandre Diggs to guard against the essential big play for Lockett to have a solid outing. The Lions could also get back pass rusher Ezekiel Ansah this week, which would be an even further upgrade to this passing defense.

Lions Rushing offense

Neutral matchup vs. the Seahawks defense.

The Lions rushing offense came alive in a big way last week with a 248-yard explosion against the Dolphins. Kerryon Johnson posted career highs in multiple categories last week, sparked by a big 71-yard run near the start of that game to set the tone for his 158-yard outing. Johnson has out-snapped LeGarrette Blount in nearly every game this season, but their workloads had been quite similar until last week where Johnson saw 19 carries compared to only 10 for Blount. Blount did look good last week with a season-high 5.0 yards per rush attempt while punching in another goal-line touchdown--his third in the past two games. Blount will remain involved as the primary goal-line option, but he has come nowhere near showing the explosiveness of Johnson.

Seattle’s run defense had a solid outing in a plus game script against the Raiders before their Week 7 bye, holding Oakland to just 79 rushing yards while limiting Marshawn Lynch to just 3.5 rushing yards per attempt. The Seahawks have held opposing starting running backs to 3.5 or fewer yards per rush attempt in three straight games now. Aside from the 127-yard outing from Ezekiel Elliott in Week 3, this defense has done a decent job against the run. With a lack of playmakers on the interior of this defensive line, they employed more of a rotation against the Raiders which proved to be effective to keep a fresh body on the field. The Seahawks did not, however, rotate out one of the best run-defending linebackers in the league as Bobby Wagner remains a force to be reckoned with. This defense still has some holes though, as their depth at linebacker behind Wagner is questionable, so the Lions’ revived ground game has a chance to hold its own here.

Lions Passing offense

Tough matchup vs. the Seahawks defense.

Matthew Stafford had another solid outing last week as he completed 82 percent of his season-low 22 pass attempts for 217 yards and two touchdowns. Stafford did not need to pass much as the Lions had a very effective rushing attack going, but when he did pass, he was extremely effective with 50 percent of his throws resulting in a first down or touchdown. With multiple passing touchdowns in five straight games and a clean sheet of no turnovers in three straight games, Stafford continues to be a consistently reliable option at quarterback. Golden Tate led the team in targets for the fifth time in six games last week, but he along with the rest of this wide receiver group had a slow day under tough coverage. Kenny Golladay had at least 50 receiving yards in every game until last week, but he now has just 10 receptions in his past three games. Marvin Jones has had a relatively quiet season kept afloat by three touchdowns as he has finished with fewer than five receptions and 70 yards in every game thus far. Tight end Michael Roberts found the end zone twice out of nowhere last week as he now owns a ridiculous 75 percent touchdown rate, hauling in three scores on just four receptions this season. He can’t be expected to remain involved in the passing attack.

Seahawks cornerbacks did a solid job against the Raiders’ wide receivers in their last game, allowing only 31 yards to Seth Roberts and no other wide receiver or tight end to exceed 20 receiving yards. This last game was the first time all season in which a wide receiver has failed to score a touchdown against the Seahawks though, as cornerback play has been relatively poor on the season. Where the Seahawks secondary has excelled is from outstanding play at safety along with the effectiveness of Bobby Wagner to help cover the middle of the field. Frank Clark has been a force on the defensive line as well, ranking T-11th in the league with 5.5 sacks. Opposing quarterbacks are averaging the second-fewest fantasy points per game against the Seahawks defense, and they are one of only two defenses in football to average more interceptions per game than passing touchdowns allowed. While the Lions receivers may be able to get open underneath, this is still a stout defense to square off against.

Lions vs QB

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)12 (-1.7)12 (-1.7)14 (-1.5)13 (-2.0)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)26 (+3.1)26 (+3.1)26 (+2.5)26 (+2.6)
4Dak Prescott6917272552032021.021.018.418.4
5Aaron Rodgers81325244230310035.135.128.733.7
7Brock Osweiler5622312392012020.220.217.817.8

Russell Wilson (FanDuel: $7400, DraftKings: $5900)

5vs LAR6013211983000021.921.919.919.9
6@ OAK64172322231620024.124.121.921.9
8PROJ-Dodds20312361.70.93140.119.719.719.7 (H=47)19.7 (H=59)
8PROJ-Tremblay20322341.61290.118.618.618.6 (H=42)18.6 (H=53)
8PROJ-Bloom17251831.80.64200.218.918.918.9 (H=43)18.9 (H=55)

Lions vs RB

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)29 (+5.5)27 (+5.3)27 (+5.9)27 (+6.5)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)22 (+2.4)21 (+2.3)23 (+3.2)23 (+3.4)
4Ezekiel Elliott532515204488130.
4Rod Smith13622011002.
5Aaron Jones227400321905.
5Jamaal Williams336330421905.
7Kenyan Drake3667218415014.718.716.718.7
7Frank Gore251029011403.

Chris Carson (FanDuel: $6300, DraftKings: $4300)

5vs LAR351911601111012.713.713.216.7
6@ OAK271459000005.
8PROJ-Dodds14630.42130101211.0 (H=20)12.0 (H=34)
8PROJ-Tremblay13610.411009.510.510.0 (H=17)10.5 (H=27)
8PROJ-Bloom14600.3160.19109.5 (H=15)10.0 (H=25)

Mike Davis (FanDuel: $5400, DraftKings: $3600)

5vs LAR2512681227013.515.514.515.5
6@ OAK23621031502.
8PROJ-Dodds5230.22140. (H=9)7.5 (H=18)
8PROJ-Tremblay5210.22160. (H=9)7.5 (H=18)
8PROJ-Bloom9400.32140. (H=16)9.8 (H=28)

Rashaad Penny (FanDuel: $4800, DraftKings: $3900)

5vs LAR00000000000.00.0
6@ OAK13943022270798.09.0
8PROJ-Dodds5200.11903.54.54.1 (H=4)4.6 (H=7)
8PROJ-Tremblay5220.111003.84.84.4 (H=5)4.9 (H=8)
8PROJ-Bloom4180.10002.42.42.5 (H=2)2.5 (H=2)

Lions vs WR

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)8 (-3.0)4 (-6.1)7 (-3.6)5 (-6.0)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)22 (+2.7)21 (+2.6)21 (+2.7)21 (+2.2)
4Cole Beasley38545300005.
4Michael Gallup40524500004.
5Davante Adams71129140100020.029.024.532.0
5Marquez Valdes-Scantling7710768100012.819.816.319.8
7Danny Amendola557684100014.420.417.420.4
7Kenny Stills4931510006.

Tyler Lockett (FanDuel: $6700, DraftKings: $5200)

5vs LAR525398116016.419.417.919.4
6@ OAK50431311708119.511.0
8PROJ-Dodds4540.41408.212.210.4 (H=17)12.4 (H=30)
8PROJ-Tremblay4510.40207.711.79.9 (H=15)11.9 (H=28)
8PROJ-Bloom3360.60007.210.28.9 (H=13)10.4 (H=22)

Doug Baldwin (FanDuel: $6400, DraftKings: $5500)

5vs LAR5311100000.
6@ OAK48869100009.
8PROJ-Dodds4540.30007.211.29.2 (H=14)11.2 (H=23)
8PROJ-Tremblay4540.40007.811.89.8 (H=16)11.8 (H=26)
8PROJ-Bloom7710.500010.117.113.6 (H=28)17.1 (H=49)

David Moore (FanDuel: $5400, DraftKings: $3600)

5vs LAR314338200015.818.817.318.8
6@ OAK303247115011.
8PROJ-Dodds2300.20004.26.25.2 (H=6)6.2 (H=13)
8PROJ-Tremblay2260.20103.95.94.9 (H=5)5.9 (H=12)
8PROJ-Bloom2350.30005.37.36.3 (H=8)7.3 (H=17)

Brandon Marshall (FanDuel: $4700, DraftKings: $3500)

5vs LAR71000000000.00.0
6@ OAK24111100001.
8PROJ-Dodds1160.10002.23.22.7 (H=2)3.2 (H=4)
8PROJ-Tremblay1140.1000232.5 (H=2)3.0 (H=3)
8PROJ-Bloom180.10001.42.41.9 (H=1)2.4 (H=2)

Lions vs TE

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)23 (+0.7)23 (+0.7)24 (+0.7)21 (+0.5)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)28 (+2.6)24 (+3.3)26T (+3.0)24 (+3.1)
4Geoff Swaim64533919.912.911.412.9
5Jimmy Graham661167607.613.610.613.6
7Mike Gesicki16334404.

Nick Vannett (FanDuel: $4600, DraftKings: $2900)

5vs LAR50434304.
8PROJ-Dodds2200. (H=5)5.2 (H=11)
8PROJ-Tremblay2190. (H=5)5.1 (H=11)
8PROJ-Bloom000000.0 (H=0)0.0 (H=0)

Ed Dickson (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $2500)

8PROJ-Dodds2190. (H=13)
8PROJ-Tremblay1190. (H=7)

Lions vs PK

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)22T (+0.7)22T (+0.7)9T (+0.5) (+0.0)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)11 (-1.2)11 (-1.2)9 (-1.5) (+0.0)
4Brett Maher4422141415.00.0
5Mason Crosby1501334.04.0
7Jason Sanders0133333.03.0

Sebastian Janikowski (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

5vs LAR1144779.09.0
6@ OAK22339910.010.0

Lions vs TD

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)8T (-1.7)8T (-1.7)12T (-0.6)12T (-0.6)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)1T (-4.5)1T (-4.5)6 (-5.1)6 (-5.1)
4Dallas Cowboys2438230000333.03.0
5Green Bay Packers3126430000332.02.0
7Miami Dolphins3245710000110.00.0

Seattle Seahawks (FanDuel: $4000, DraftKings: $2300)

5vs LAR33.0046812000554.04.0
6@ OAK3.0018560200101017.017.0
8PROJ-Dodds24.903452.310.600.4888.0 (H=18)8.0 (H=31)
8PROJ-Tremblay26.253472.310.600. (H=17)7.7 (H=29)

Seahawks vs QB

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)2 (-5.2)2 (-5.3)1 (-5.2)2 (-5.1)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)1 (-7.6)1 (-7.6)1 (-8.0)1 (-7.8)
4Josh Rosen60152718010213014.314.312.512.5
5Jared Goff66233232112515019.619.616.319.3
6Derek Carr60233114200431010.

Matthew Stafford (FanDuel: $7300, DraftKings: $5600)

5vs GB621426183201-1017.
7@ MIA6418222172049019.819.817.617.6
8PROJ-Dodds23362531.80.9270. (H=49)20.2 (H=65)
8PROJ-Tremblay22352451.91260.1202020.0 (H=49)20.0 (H=64)
8PROJ-Bloom192822220.6170.119.819.819.8 (H=48)19.8 (H=62)

Seahawks vs RB

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)14T (-0.9)15 (-1.4)15 (-1.7)15 (-1.8)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)18 (+0.4)19 (+1.6)17 (+0.5)18 (+0.7)
4David Johnson55227114341017.220.216.719.2
4Derrick Coleman400011500.
5Todd Gurley66227735436029.333.331.333.3
5Malcolm Brown000000000.
6Marshawn Lynch3013450531405.
6Jalen Richard24230874805.112.18.612.1

Kerryon Johnson (FanDuel: $6900, DraftKings: $5300)

5vs GB2912700221508.510.59.510.5
7@ MIA381915803221017.919.918.922.9
8PROJ-Dodds14640.53170.111.714.713.2 (H=25)14.7 (H=39)
8PROJ-Tremblay12580.44240. (H=25)15.2 (H=42)
8PROJ-Bloom17810.32180.112.314.313.3 (H=25)14.3 (H=37)

LeGarrette Blount (FanDuel: $5600, DraftKings: $3500)

5vs GB1812222000014.
7@ MIA21105010000111111.011.0
8PROJ-Dodds7300.30004.84.84.8 (H=5)4.8 (H=8)
8PROJ-Tremblay8330.30305.45.45.4 (H=6)5.4 (H=10)
8PROJ-Bloom10440.6000888.0 (H=13)8.0 (H=20)

Theo Riddick (FanDuel: $5200, DraftKings: $3800)

5vs GB19330322002.
8PROJ-Dodds000000000.0 (H=0)0.0 (H=0)
8PROJ-Tremblay0202130. (H=2)4.1 (H=6)
8PROJ-Bloom000000000.0 (H=0)0.0 (H=0)

Seahawks vs WR

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)11 (-2.4)11 (-2.4)13 (-2.4)11 (-3.3)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)6 (-6.0)5 (-8.4)6 (-7.2)4 (-9.8)
4Chad Williams51312210008.
4Christian Kirk40542801703.
5Cooper Kupp369690100015.
5Robert Woods6675920253014.519.517.019.5
6Seth Roberts44653100003.
6Martavis Bryant43321800001.

Golden Tate (FanDuel: $7100, DraftKings: $6000)

5vs GB48754200004.
7@ MIA466436013006.610.68.610.6
8PROJ-Dodds6690.514010.316.313.3 (H=24)16.3 (H=41)
8PROJ-Tremblay6710.602010.916.913.9 (H=26)16.9 (H=44)
8PROJ-Bloom6540.50008.414.411.4 (H=19)14.4 (H=33)

Kenny Golladay (FanDuel: $6600, DraftKings: $5700)

5vs GB499498100015.819.817.819.8
7@ MIA49223700003.
8PROJ-Dodds5630.40008.713.711.2 (H=19)13.7 (H=32)
8PROJ-Tremblay4600.40008.412.410.4 (H=17)12.4 (H=27)
8PROJ-Bloom4650.600010.114.112.1 (H=22)14.1 (H=34)

Marvin Jones (FanDuel: $6000, DraftKings: $4800)

5vs GB5841810006.
7@ MIA56432900002.
8PROJ-Dodds3490.40007.310.38.8 (H=14)10.3 (H=23)
8PROJ-Tremblay3450.40006.99.98.4 (H=13)9.9 (H=22)
8PROJ-Bloom4550.50008.512.510.5 (H=19)12.5 (H=33)

T.J. Jones (FanDuel: $4500, DraftKings: $3000)

5vs GB90000000000.00.0
7@ MIA8112600002.
8PROJ-Dodds1700000.71.71.2 (H=0)1.7 (H=1)
8PROJ-Tremblay1700000.71.71.2 (H=0)1.7 (H=1)
8PROJ-Bloom000000000.0 (H=0)0.0 (H=0)

Seahawks vs TE

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)3 (-2.8)5 (-4.0)3 (-3.4)3 (-4.3)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)4 (-4.0)4 (-5.6)4 (-4.8)4 (-5.9)
4Ricky Seals-Jones39425205.
5Tyler Higbee53422602.
6Jared Cook51221001.

Luke Willson (FanDuel: $4400, DraftKings: $2500)

5vs GB340000000.00.0
7@ MIA4122800.
8PROJ-Dodds1100. (H=1)2.6 (H=4)
8PROJ-Tremblay190. (H=1)2.5 (H=3)
8PROJ-Bloom1500.51.51.0 (H=0)1.5 (H=1)

Michael Roberts (FanDuel: $5200, DraftKings: $2500)

7@ MIA193348216.819.818.319.8
8PROJ-Dodds190. (H=1)2.5 (H=3)
8PROJ-Tremblay170. (H=1)2.3 (H=3)
8PROJ-Bloom2250. (H=6)6.3 (H=19)

Seahawks vs PK

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)9 (-0.8)9 (-0.8)4T (-0.5) (+0.0)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)4 (-2.2)4 (-2.2)4 (-2.8) (+0.0)
4Phil Dawson1322555.00.0
5Cairo Santos2234999.09.0
6Matt McCrane1200334.04.0

Matt Prater (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

5vs GB1244777.07.0
7@ MIA4422141416.016.0

Seahawks vs TD

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)1T (-0.5)1T (-0.5)12T (-0.6)12T (-0.6)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)1T (-4.5)1T (-4.5)7 (-4.4)7 (-4.4)
4Arizona Cardinals2033120000223.03.0
5Los Angeles Rams3137320000221.01.0
6Oakland Raiders2736911000333.03.0

Detroit Lions (FanDuel: $3700, DraftKings: $2400)

5vs GB23.0052140300101010.010.0
7@ MIA21.0032240000444.04.0
8PROJ-Dodds24.203662.510.700. (H=22)8.6 (H=34)
8PROJ-Tremblay23.253522.110.700. (H=21)8.4 (H=33)