Matchup Analysis: Miami Dolphins at Houston Texans

Vegas Prediction

Vegas says: Dolphins 18, Texans 26

FBG Projections

TeamRushYardsTDCompAttPass YdTDINT
MIA21870.521342351.31.1
HOU291220.822352701.81.2

Miami Dolphins Offense: overview

Points (vs AVG) (rank)Rush Yards (vs AVG) (rank)Pass Yards (vs AVG) (rank)
Dolphins Offense21.6 (-2.5) (24)107 (-3) (18)222 (-30) (25)
Texans Defense20.6 (-3.5) (8)92 (-18) (8)238 (-15) (12)

Houston Texans Offense: overview

Points (vs AVG) (rank)Rush Yards (vs AVG) (rank)Pass Yards (vs AVG) (rank)
Texans Offense22.1 (-1.9) (21)114 (+3) (15)258 (+5) (16)
Dolphins Defense25.3 (+1.2) (19)137 (+26) (29)269 (+15) (23)

Dolphins Rushing offense

Tough matchup vs. the Texans defense.

The Dolphins rushing attack continues to be a unit that has been productive over the last three games as they are averaging 132 yards per game in those three games. The issue for the Dolphins has been determining which running back will have the success as last week it was Kenyan Drake who had 72 yards on just six carries, while for much of the season it has been Frank Gore who has continued to get more volume in this offense and is averaging 4.6 yards per carry so far this season. The issue for the Dolphins has been the inconsistency of the offensive line as while Laremy Tunsil and Ja’Waun James at the tackle positions have played well, the interior of this line has really struggled with veteran Ted Larsen and Jesse Davis at the guard positions.

The Texans run defense is rounding into one of the best units in football this season as they have allowed just one rushing touchdown on the season and are only allowing 75 yards rushing to running backs per game which is the seventh best in football. J.J. Watt is once again having a tremendous season along with the outside linebackers in Jadeveon Clowney and Whitney Mercilus make it difficult to get outside which funnels the rushing up the middle to Brandon Dunn who is a space eating nose tackle. This is a tough unit that with no real flaws making it difficult to exploit the matchup and with the Dolphins weak spot on the offensive line being up the middle, this could lead to issues this week for the Dolphins running the ball consistently.

Dolphins Passing offense

Neutral matchup vs. the Texans defense.

Brock Osweiler for the second week in a row did not play horribly last week against the Lions. While it was not the performance that we saw against the Bears, Osweiler played a respectable game completing 71% of his passes against a good Lions secondary and most importantly did not turn the ball over. One of the key issues this week for the Dolphins however is that they will be without Albert Wilson who was put on injured reserve. The Dolphins do get back DeVante Parker this week and will look for him to play a significant role alongside Danny Amendola to solidify the Dolphins receiving group.

The Texans are a unit that statistically are going to grade well when you look at their last three weeks as they shut down the Jaguars, Bills, Cowboys and also shut down Blaine Gabbert and the Titans earlier this season. While it is a good unit and Tyrann Mathieu has been a nice addition to the Texans, it remains a unit that at the corner position lacks talent. Johnson Bademosi continues to be a liability on the opposite side of the aging Johnathan Joseph who is having a career resurgence but as the season progresses you have to wonder how the 34 year old will hold up.

Texans Rushing offense

Great matchup vs. the Dolphins defense.

Lamar Miller and the Texans rushing offense is coming off of their best performance of the season as Miller broke the 100 yard mark for the first time in 2018 against a good Jaguars front seven. Miller has been the far more productive of the two backs as Alfred Blue has struggled so far this season as he is averaging just 3.4 yards per carry and only has two carries longer than ten yards so far this year. The offensive line continues to be an issue for the Texans although did play better last week and is a much better run blocking unit than a pass blocking unit.

The Dolphins run defense has struggled for most of the season and struggled once again last week allowing Kerryon Johnson to run for 158 yards. This is a unit that is still very inexperienced at the linebacking position in Raekwon McMillan and Jerome Baker who are playing alongside Kiko Alonso. The defensive line is primarily made up of pass rushers who have never been great at stopping the run in Cameron Wake and Robert Quinn. The one advantage that the Dolphins could have is if the Davon Godchaux who has improved over the last week can cause issues up the middle against the offensive line of the Texans it could cause issues this week.

Texans Passing offense

Good matchup vs. the Dolphins defense.

DeShaun Watson so far this year has been struggling the last two weeks and you have to wonder how many more hits he can take. Watson who had to ride a bus to and from Jacksonville due to concerns around being able to fly is still dealing with a chest injury. Making matters worse for the Texans is that they will be limited on offense due to injury as Keke Coutee and Ryan Griffin will be out limiting the check-down options. While the offense has fire power in Hopkins and Fuller, the issue continues to be the offensive line which is one of the worst in football and the inability to protect Watson.

The Dolphins passing defense is a unit in which has exceeded expectations so far this season after initial thoughts were that this would be one of the worst units in football. The Dolphins have been inconsistent at times as evidenced by allowing Sam Darnold to throw for 334 yards. Heading into the season, the perception was that the Dolphins would be Xavien Howard with little support around him, but so far this season Bobby McCain is playing at a high level. This is a defense that does not have any elite players as Xavien Howard is not playing up to the shut-down level that he was expected to, but at the same time, they do not have any players that you feel that they will easily be able to exploit.

Texans vs QB

STANDARDPPRFDDK
Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)13 (-1.5)13 (-1.6)12T (-1.6)11 (-2.0)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)14 (-1.0)13 (-1.0)12 (-1.4)12 (-1.4)
WEEKPLAYERoSNAPCMPATTYDTDINTRSHYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
4Andrew Luck90406246440311040.340.335.739.7
5Dak Prescott62182920812634015.815.813.713.7
6Josh Allen381017840042006.26.25.45.4
7Cody Kessler3821301561128011.611.610.010.0

Brock Osweiler (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

oSNAPCMPATTYDTDINTRSHYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
6vs CHI7828443803228029.829.828.031.0
7vs DET5622312392012020.220.217.817.8
8PROJ-Dodds21342351.31.1290.117.317.317.317.3
8PROJ-Tremblay21342371.31.13140.117.917.917.917.9
8PROJ-Bloom20331971.41.524014.314.314.314.3

Texans vs RB

STANDARDPPRFDDK
Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)13 (-3.0)13 (-2.3)13 (-2.6)11 (-2.9)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)3 (-5.5)9 (-3.9)6 (-4.6)8 (-4.5)
WEEKPLAYERoSNAPRSHYDTDTARGRECYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
4Nyheim Hines62410011963219.328.323.828.3
4Jordan Wilkins31816010001.61.61.61.6
5Ezekiel Elliott5020540773008.415.411.915.4
5Rod Smith11310000001.01.01.01.0
6LeSean McCoy4716730532109.412.410.912.4
6Chris Ivory1665011400.91.91.41.9
7T.J. Yeldon56122807540112.817.815.317.8
7Tommy Bohanon1000011500.51.51.01.5

Kenyan Drake (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

oSNAPRSHYDTDTARGRECYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
5@ CIN41646011769117.524.521.024.5
6vs CHI4913570642107.811.87.810.8
7vs DET3667218415014.718.716.718.7
8PROJ-Dodds8350.24310.18.412.410.412.4
8PROJ-Tremblay9350.25370.191411.514.0
8PROJ-Bloom9470.34180.29.513.511.513.5

Frank Gore (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

oSNAPRSHYDTDTARGRECYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
5@ CIN261263000006.36.36.36.3
6vs CHI301510101118011.912.912.415.9
7vs DET251029011403.34.33.84.3
8PROJ-Dodds11430.21706.27.26.77.2
8PROJ-Tremblay11430.21606.17.16.67.1
8PROJ-Bloom11400.21505.76.76.26.7

Texans vs WR

STANDARDPPRFDDK
Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)6 (-3.9)9 (-3.9)6 (-4.2)8 (-4.4)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)9 (-3.5)12 (-2.9)11 (-3.2)11 (-3.4)
WEEKPLAYERoSNAPTARGRECYDTDRSHYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
4Zach Pascal4410656100011.617.614.617.6
4T.Y. Hilton4364115000011.515.513.518.5
5Allen Hurns3831310006.37.36.87.3
5Tavon Austin23314400004.45.44.95.4
6Zay Jones58833510009.512.511.012.5
6Kelvin Benjamin44624300004.36.35.36.3
7Donte Moncrief551077600007.614.611.114.6
7D.J. Chark30743100003.17.15.17.1

Danny Amendola (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

oSNAPTARGRECYDTDRSHYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
5@ CIN5343300000364.56.0
6vs CHI751185900005.913.99.913.9
7vs DET557684100014.420.417.420.4
8PROJ-Dodds6610.40008.514.511.614.6
8PROJ-Tremblay4520.30007119.111.1
8PROJ-Bloom5540.40007.812.810.412.9

Jakeem Grant (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

oSNAPTARGRECYDTDRSHYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
5@ CIN151000000006.06.0
6vs CHI31433200003.26.24.76.2
7vs DET39223200003.25.24.25.2
8PROJ-Dodds3430.30006.19.17.79.2
8PROJ-Tremblay3460.30106.59.58.19.6
8PROJ-Bloom4340.31405.69.67.79.7

DeVante Parker (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

oSNAPTARGRECYDTDRSHYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
6vs CHI41000000000.00.0
8PROJ-Dodds3340.20004.67.66.17.6
8PROJ-Tremblay3340.20004.67.66.17.6
8PROJ-Bloom3410.20005.38.36.88.3

Texans vs TE

STANDARDPPRFDDK
Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)22 (+0.5)13T (+0.3)21 (+0.1)20 (+0.3)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)11 (-1.4)13 (-1.6)13 (-1.5)14 (-1.8)
WEEKPLAYERoSNAPTARGRECYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
4Eric Ebron7510540110.015.012.515.0
5Geoff Swaim59335505.58.57.08.5
6Charles Clay44542002.06.04.06.0
7David Grinnage31221701.73.72.73.7

Mike Gesicki (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

oSNAPTARGRECYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
5@ CIN30532602.65.64.15.6
6vs CHI27211101.12.11.62.1
7vs DET16334404.47.45.97.4
8PROJ-Dodds2240.23.65.64.65.6
8PROJ-Tremblay2230.23.55.54.55.5
8PROJ-Bloom2240.1354.05.0

Nick OLeary (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

oSNAPTARGRECYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
6vs CHI524449110.914.912.914.9
7vs DET39322302.34.33.34.3
8PROJ-Dodds2220.23.45.44.45.4
8PROJ-Tremblay2220.23.45.44.45.4
8PROJ-Bloom2210.23.35.34.35.3

Texans vs PK

STANDARDPPRFDDK
Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)8T (+0.1)8T (+0.1)20 (+0.4) (+0.0)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)8T (-1.3)8T (-1.3)14 (-0.8) (+0.0)
WEEKPLAYERFGFGAXPXPASTDPPRFDDK
4Adam Vinatieri22228810.00.0
5Brett Maher3311101012.012.0
6Steve Hauschka2211779.09.0
7Josh Lambo0011111.01.0

Jason Sanders (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

FGFGAXPXPASTDPPRFDDK
5@ CIN1122556.06.0
6vs CHI3322111114.014.0
7vs DET0133333.03.0
8PROJ-Dodds1.41.71.926.16.17.17.1
8PROJ-Tremblay1.41.71.81.8667.07.0

Texans vs TD

STANDARDPPRFDDK
Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)16 (+0.1)16 (+0.1)18T (+0.5)18T (+0.5)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)16T (+0.2)16T (+0.2)19 (+0.7)19 (+0.7)
WEEKPLAYERPTYDSACKINTFRSFTYTDSTDPPRFDDK
4Indianapolis Colts3746671000998.08.0
5Dallas Cowboys1946211100556.06.0
6Buffalo Bills2021672100131314.014.0
7Jacksonville Jaguars2027210000112.02.0

Miami Dolphins (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

PTYDSACKINTFRSFTYTDSTDPPRFDDK
5@ CIN27.00332210014413.013.0
6vs CHI28.0046721200887.07.0
7vs DET32.0045710000110.00.0
8PROJ-Dodds26.003792.410.600.47.87.87.87.8
8PROJ-Tremblay25.753722.210.600.47.67.67.67.6

Dolphins vs QB

STANDARDPPRFDDK
Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)10 (-2.2)10 (-2.2)11 (-2.0)12 (-2.0)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)18 (+0.5)18 (+0.4)20 (+1.0)17 (+0.2)
WEEKPLAYERoSNAPCMPATTYDTDINTRSHYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
4Tom Brady7723352743200023.723.721.021.0
5Andy Dalton60203024811410016.416.413.913.9
6Mitchell Trubisky70223131631847031.531.528.331.3
7Matthew Stafford6418222172049019.819.817.617.6

Deshaun Watson (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

oSNAPCMPATTYDTDINTRSHYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
5vs DAL803344375111040025.825.822.025.0
6vs BUF6115251771222011.111.17.38.3
7@ JAX64122413910713012.312.310.910.9
8PROJ-Dodds22352701.81.25260.223.323.323.323.3
8PROJ-Tremblay21342571.714200.121.321.321.321.3
8PROJ-Bloom16251981.40.55250.218.718.718.718.7

Dolphins vs RB

STANDARDPPRFDDK
Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)31 (+6.7)30 (+7.9)30 (+6.9)29 (+7.9)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)31 (+9.6)32 (+10.2)31 (+9.0)32 (+10.6)
WEEKPLAYERoSNAPRSHYDTDTARGRECYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
4James White40844110868123.231.227.231.2
4Sony Michel33251121000017.217.217.220.2
5Joe Mixon47229304322117.520.519.020.5
5Mark Walton1200032300.32.31.32.3
6Tarik Cohen3453119790018.125.119.624.1
6Jordan Howard361469010006.96.94.95.9
7Kerryon Johnson381915803221017.919.918.922.9
7LeGarrette Blount2110501000011.011.011.011.0

Lamar Miller (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

oSNAPRSHYDTDTARGRECYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
6vs BUF4115460322507.19.18.19.1
7@ JAX4522100131-1015.916.916.419.9
8PROJ-Dodds16640.42180.111.213.212.213.2
8PROJ-Tremblay16660.52170.111.913.912.913.9
8PROJ-Bloom19700.42100.1111312.013.0

Alfred Blue (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

oSNAPRSHYDTDTARGRECYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
5vs DAL79204608873011.919.915.919.9
6vs BUF257260321704.36.35.36.3
7@ JAX27828000002.82.82.82.8
8PROJ-Dodds7280.21804.85.85.35.8
8PROJ-Tremblay8300.2180565.56.0
8PROJ-Bloom11410.31606.57.57.07.5

Tyler Ervin (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

oSNAPRSHYDTDTARGRECYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
5vs DAL30001000000.00.0
6vs BUF00000000000.00.0
7@ JAX22000111901.92.92.42.9
8PROJ-Dodds1401110.12.13.12.73.2
8PROJ-Tremblay0000200.20.20.30.3

Dolphins vs WR

STANDARDPPRFDDK
Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)9 (-2.5)8 (-4.5)10 (-2.9)9 (-3.9)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)14 (-0.8)11 (-3.1)12 (-2.0)12 (-3.1)
WEEKPLAYERoSNAPTARGRECYDTDRSHYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
4Cordarrelle Patterson4153541111012.515.514.015.5
4Phillip Dorsett577455100011.515.513.515.5
5A.J. Green51106112000011.217.214.220.2
5Tyler Boyd45744400004.48.46.48.4
6Allen Robinson596564100012.417.414.917.4
6Taylor Gabriel4655110019011.916.914.419.9
7Golden Tate466436013006.610.68.610.6
7Kenny Golladay49223700003.75.74.75.7

DeAndre Hopkins (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

oSNAPTARGRECYDTDRSHYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
5vs DAL80139151000015.124.117.626.1
6vs BUF616563100012.317.314.817.3
7@ JAX6483501000111412.514.0
8PROJ-Dodds71000.700014.221.217.721.2
8PROJ-Tremblay6890.600012.518.515.518.5
8PROJ-Bloom5770.700011.916.914.416.9

Will Fuller (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

oSNAPTARGRECYDTDRSHYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
5vs DAL77321500001.53.52.53.5
6vs BUF52323300003.35.34.35.3
7@ JAX52866800006.812.89.812.8
8PROJ-Dodds5690.50009.914.912.414.9
8PROJ-Tremblay6810.601011.817.814.817.8
8PROJ-Bloom5700.5000101512.515.0

Sammie Coates (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

oSNAPTARGRECYDTDRSHYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
5vs DAL00000000000.00.0
6vs BUF10000000000.00.0
7@ JAX00000000000.00.0
8PROJ-Dodds1180.10002.43.42.93.4
8PROJ-Tremblay1220.10002.83.83.33.8
8PROJ-Bloom11200001.22.21.72.2

Dolphins vs TE

STANDARDPPRFDDK
Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)20T (-0.1)16 (-0.3)18 (-0.2)16 (-0.6)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)20 (+0.8)18 (+0.2)18 (+0.5)18 (-0.0)
WEEKPLAYERoSNAPTARGRECYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
4Rob Gronkowski54744404.48.46.48.4
5C.J. Uzomah55224304.36.35.36.3
6Trey Burton51442318.312.310.312.3
7Michael Roberts193348216.819.818.319.8

Jordan Akins (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

oSNAPTARGRECYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
5vs DAL1821900.91.91.41.9
6vs BUF811600.61.61.11.6
7@ JAX300000000.00.0
8PROJ-Dodds2210.12.74.73.74.7
8PROJ-Tremblay2210.23.35.34.35.3
8PROJ-Bloom2230.12.94.93.94.9

Jordan Thomas (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

oSNAPTARGRECYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
5vs DAL29111101.12.11.62.1
6vs BUF210000000.00.0
7@ JAX551000000.00.0
8PROJ-Dodds1100.11.62.62.12.6
8PROJ-Tremblay2170.22.94.93.94.9
8PROJ-Bloom000000.00.0

Ryan Griffin (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

oSNAPTARGRECYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
5vs DAL57966506.512.59.512.5
6vs BUF515000000.00.0
8PROJ-Dodds000000.00.0
8PROJ-Tremblay000000.00.0
8PROJ-Bloom000000.00.0

Dolphins vs PK

STANDARDPPRFDDK
Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)24T (+0.8)24T (+0.8)28T (+1.7) (+0.0)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)23T (+0.9)23T (+0.9)22 (+1.0) (+0.0)
WEEKPLAYERFGFGAXPXPASTDPPRFDDK
4Stephen Gostkowski1155888.00.0
5Randy Bullock23339911.011.0
6Cody Parkey0144444.04.0
7Matt Prater4422141416.016.0

Kaimi Fairbairn (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

FGFGAXPXPASTDPPRFDDK
5vs DAL4511131313.013.0
6vs BUF2222888.08.0
7@ JAX22228810.010.0
8PROJ-Dodds22.42.62.78.68.610.010.0
8PROJ-Tremblay1.92.32.62.68.38.39.69.6

Dolphins vs TD

STANDARDPPRFDDK
Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)29T (+2.3)29T (+2.3)24 (+1.7)24 (+1.7)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)29 (+3.9)29 (+3.9)25 (+3.5)25 (+3.5)
WEEKPLAYERPTYDSACKINTFRSFTYTDSTDPPRFDDK
4New England Patriots7172211006610.010.0
5Cincinnati Bengals1729732102272722.022.0
6Chicago Bears3154102100665.05.0
7Detroit Lions2132240000444.04.0

Houston Texans (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

PTYDSACKINTFRSFTYTDSTDPPRFDDK
5vs DAL16.0029222000667.07.0
6vs BUF13.0022922101141420.020.0
7@ JAX7.0025941200101014.014.0
8PROJ-Dodds19.003212.31.10.800.510.610.610.610.6
8PROJ-Tremblay18.753322.21.10.90.10.611.311.311.311.3