Matchup Analysis: Seattle Seahawks at Chicago Bears

Vegas Prediction

Vegas says: Seahawks 20, Bears 23

FBG Projections

TeamRushYardsTDCompAttPass YdTDINT
SEA25970.723352431.40.9
CHI261140.921322271.40.8

Seattle Seahawks Offense: overview

Points (vs AVG) (rank)Rush Yards (vs AVG) (rank)Pass Yards (vs AVG) (rank)
Seahawks Offense24.0 (+0.1) (14)64 (-49) (30)242 (+4) (14)
Bears Defense24.0 (+0.1) (20)69 (-44) (5)301 (+63) (26)

Chicago Bears Offense: overview

Points (vs AVG) (rank)Rush Yards (vs AVG) (rank)Pass Yards (vs AVG) (rank)
Bears Offense23.0 (-0.9) (17)139 (+25) (9)155 (-82) (26)
Seahawks Defense27.0 (+3.1) (24)146 (+32) (26)324 (+86) (29)

Seahawks Rushing offense

Tough matchup vs. the Bears defense.

The Seahawks rushing offense was as bad as advertised behind a bottom tier offensive line in Week 1. Only the Saints and Lions finished with fewer rushing yards than the Seahawks as the combination of Chris Carson and Rashaad Penny only managed 59 rushing yards with Russell Wilson scampering for a measly five yards. Carson got the start and was quite productive with his first two carries, but did not manage much on the ground after that. His first two rushes of 10 and 24 yards helped propel Carson to an inflated average of 7.3 yards per carry. Rashaad Penny was mixed in at a virtually even ratio with Carson with an equal seven carries, but he managed only one rush over three yards as Carson clearly looked superior rushing the ball. The offensive line struggled for most of this last game and will remain a bottom-tier unit overall.

The Bears rushing defense suffocated Green Bay in last week’s game, holding Packers’ running backs to only 54 yards on the ground while allowing one long run of 15 yards to Aaron Rodgers. Eddie Goldman played his expected role of clogging the interior with his size while Akiem Hicks routinely shut down anyone near his lane. The interior of this talented Bears defensive front stepped up in a big way to lead this unit to success against an equally talented Packers offensive line. While it may be tough to judge against a Packers team not noted for their effectiveness on the ground, this defensive line is loaded with talent with a secondary that has shown to be more than capable of chipping in against the run. Having Khalil Mack playing out of his mind on the outside certainly helps against the run as well, despite most of his plays being made against the pass in last week’s outing. The paltry Seahawks offensive line should be in for a long day.

Seahawks Passing offense

Neutral matchup vs. the Bears defense.

Russell Wilson worked his usual magic in Week 1 on his way to nearly 300 passing yards and three touchdowns with a couple interceptions added on to his stat line. Wilson was running for his life most of the afternoon while his receivers struggled in coverage, but he manufactured plays despite the tough defense to help keep the Seahawks in the game. Doug Baldwin was already injured to start the season, but his situation worsened as Baldwin suffered an MCL tear that forced him out of last week’s game. This injury will definitely keep Baldwin sidelined this week as he may take anywhere from two to four weeks to recover. Both Tyler Lockett and Brandon Marshall should benefit from Baldwin’s absence, both finishing with similar stat lines last week as Marshall led the team in targets with six. Lockett was basically a non-factor in this game outside of a deep ball that scored him a 51-yard touchdown. Marshall looks to have developed quick chemistry with Wilson and could have had a huge day if not for one of his touchdowns called back by penalty. Tight end Will Dissly was the unlikely leader of the Seahawks receiving group last week with over 100 yards and a touchdown. Dissly is primarily a blocking tight end though, so this level of production cannot be expected to continue.

The Bears passing defense was highlighted by the spectacular play of Khalil Mack on the defensive line. Mack made his presence felt in a big way, finishing with a sack, forced fumble with the recovery, an interception returned for a touchdown and a big-time pressure on Aaron Rodgers that set up yet another sack. The combination of Mack, Leonard Floyd, and the solid interior tackles makes for a very scary matchup for the weak Seahawks offensive line. From a coverage perspective, the Bears secondary played well for most of the night outside of a few miscues in the second half that ultimately signed their check. There are no clear weaknesses among these cornerbacks as Bryce Callahan should provide solid coverage from the slot while both Prince Amukamara and Kyle Fuller remain competent on the outside.

Bears Rushing offense

Good matchup vs. the Seahawks defense.

The Bears rushing attack looked strong in their Week 1 debut against the packers, amassing 139 yards and a touchdown. Jordan Howard averaged 5.5 yards per carry as he led the backfield, out-carrying Tarik Cohen 15-to-5. Howard was making plays both between and outside of the tackles, showing his versatility as he made the most of this 15 rushing attempts. With all early-down work and a decent amount of snaps on third down, Howard is the clear go-to option on the ground here. Mitchell Trubisky flashed his wheels last week as well with a few nice runs along with the only rushing touchdown of the game. Trubisky is an athletic quarterback who showed he can make plays with his legs throughout the 2017 season, rushing for over 20 yards in five of his 12 starts with a couple of 50+ rushing yard outings.

The Broncos ran all over Seattle last week to the tune of 146 rushing yards with both running backs averaging 4.7 yards per carry. The Seahawks are definitely feeling the absence of all-pro linebacker K.J. Wright, as the rookie Shaquem Griffin was terrible in Week 1. Even after getting benched, his replacement Austin Calitro did absolutely nothing in terms of playmaking to stop the run. The defensive line is decent, but nothing like what they used to be as the interior had a tough time even against a mediocre Broncos offensive line. The Seahawks still have Bobby Wagner and some solid run-defending safeties, but this defensive line may have a tough time holding up. The Bears offensive line is not elite, but Jordan Howard should pose even more of a threat to this Seahawks rushing defense than either Broncos running back did last week. Unless Wright somehow manages to suit up, the slight advantage goes to the Bears here.

Bears Passing offense

Good matchup vs. the Seahawks defense.

Mitchell Trubisky took a step in the right direction last week as he played relatively well in his first outing of the season with a particularly strong first half. While Trubisky finished with only 171 passing yards with no passing touchdowns, he took care of the ball while keeping plays alive with his legs. His offensive line was getting manhandled for most of the game, which had Trubisky moving all over the place in this backfield. Trubisky showed great chemistry with new receiver Allen Robinson, targeting him a team-high seven times as Robinson hauled in four of those for 61 yards to finish as the team’s leading receiver. Trubisky actually spread the ball around quite a bit with five players finishing with four or more targets, but none other than Robinson ended up with notably positive stat lines. Trey Burton had rather lofty expectations coming into the game, and he finished with the second-most targets behind Robinson, but Burton couldn’t do anything after hauling in his first target of the game for 15 yards. Burton was clearly not in sync with Trubisky, making multiple miscues on his routes throughout the evening. Tarik Cohen hauled in three receptions out of the backfield, but Jordan Howard was actually the more impactful pass-catcher out of the backfield as he hauled in five receptions for 25 receiving yards.

The Seahawks cornerbacks were absolutely toasted last week, with both Justin Coleman and Tre Flowers getting obliterated by Emmanuel Sanders from both the slot and outside. With Dontae Johnson placed on injured reserve until at least Week 8, Flowers should continue to start unless he is eventually benched for the continued poor play. While cornerbacks are a clear weakness, the Seahawks safeties really picked up the slack last week to combine for three interceptions. Earl Thomas has the proven pedigree while Bradley McDougald showed improvement in 2017 and certainly has promising prospects coming into the 2018 season on the heels of a multi-pick game. The Bears receivers ran a ton of short routes last week, which should bode well if continued against this Seahawks secondary. Allen Robinson sees the best matchup advantage as he should line up against Tre Flowers on most snaps.

Bears vs QB

STANDARDPPRFDDK
Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)28 (+9.6)28 (+9.5)26 (+6.9)26 (+7.0)
WEEKPLAYERoSNAPCMPATTYDTDINTRSHYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
1Aaron Rodgers46203028630115027.827.824.924.9

Russell Wilson (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

oSNAPCMPATTYDTDINTRSHYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
1@ DEN5719332983225025.425.422.422.4
2PROJ-Dodds23352431.40.95290.220.920.920.920.9
2PROJ-Tremblay23372561.415290.120.920.920.920.9
2PROJ-Bloom21362271.71.34210.220.220.220.220.2

Bears vs RB

STANDARDPPRFDDK
Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)3 (-12.2)3 (-15.8)3 (-13.7)3 (-16.3)
WEEKPLAYERoSNAPRSHYDTDTARGRECYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
1Jamaal Williams371547020004.74.74.74.7
1Ty Montgomery23270322102.84.83.84.8

Chris Carson (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

oSNAPRSHYDTDTARGRECYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
1@ DEN257510532807.910.97.49.9
2PROJ-Dodds13440.33230.19.112.110.612.1
2PROJ-Tremblay9360.24290.18.312.310.312.3
2PROJ-Bloom10390.33250.18.811.810.311.8

Rashaad Penny (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

oSNAPRSHYDTDTARGRECYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
1@ DEN25780543504.38.36.38.3
2PROJ-Dodds7240.22150.15.77.76.77.7
2PROJ-Tremblay9360.24290.18.312.310.312.3
2PROJ-Bloom9330.22150.16.68.67.68.6

Bears vs WR

STANDARDPPRFDDK
Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)31 (+25.6)31 (+32.5)31 (+28.5)31 (+33.5)
WEEKPLAYERoSNAPTARGRECYDTDRSHYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
1Randall Cobb52109142100020.229.224.732.2
1Davante Adams598588100014.819.817.319.8

Tyler Lockett (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

oSNAPTARGRECYDTDRSHYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
1@ DEN564359100011.914.913.414.9
2PROJ-Dodds5590.30007.712.710.412.9
2PROJ-Tremblay4510.30006.910.99.111.1
2PROJ-Bloom5630.40008.713.711.413.9

Brandon Marshall (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

oSNAPTARGRECYDTDRSHYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
1@ DEN376346100010.613.612.113.6
2PROJ-Dodds4500.30006.810.88.810.8
2PROJ-Tremblay3450.30006.39.37.89.3
2PROJ-Bloom5560.50008.613.611.113.6

Jaron Brown (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

oSNAPTARGRECYDTDRSHYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
1@ DEN3331700000.71.71.21.7
2PROJ-Dodds2320.20004.46.45.46.4
2PROJ-Tremblay2270.20003.95.94.95.9
2PROJ-Bloom2250.20003.75.74.75.7

David Moore (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

oSNAPTARGRECYDTDRSHYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
1@ DEN161000000000.00.0
2PROJ-Dodds1110.10001.72.72.22.7
2PROJ-Tremblay190.10001.52.52.02.5
2PROJ-Bloom1110.10001.72.72.22.7

Bears vs TE

STANDARDPPRFDDK
Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)7 (-4.1)7 (-5.3)7 (-4.6)7 (-5.5)
WEEKPLAYERoSNAPTARGRECYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
1Lance Kendricks19111301.32.31.82.3

Will Dissly (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

oSNAPTARGRECYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
1@ DEN3353105116.519.518.022.5
2PROJ-Dodds2260.23.85.84.85.8
2PROJ-Tremblay3370.35.58.57.08.5
2PROJ-Bloom2240.23.65.64.65.6

Nick Vannett (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

oSNAPTARGRECYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
1@ DEN35211101.12.11.62.1
2PROJ-Dodds2170.12.34.33.34.3
2PROJ-Tremblay2160.12.24.23.24.2
2PROJ-Bloom180.11.42.41.92.4

Bears vs PK

STANDARDPPRFDDK
Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)9T (-1.2)9T (-1.2)12T (-0.9) (+0.0)
WEEKPLAYERFGFGAXPXPASTDPPRFDDK
1Mason Crosby1133667.00.0

Sebastian Janikowski (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

FGFGAXPXPASTDPPRFDDK
1@ DEN1233666.00.0
2PROJ-Dodds1.51.822.16.56.57.67.6
2PROJ-Tremblay1.51.8226.56.57.67.6

Bears vs TD

STANDARDPPRFDDK
Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)10T (-2.7)10T (-2.7)10T (-2.3)10T (-2.3)
WEEKPLAYERPTYDSACKINTFRSFTYTDSTDPPRFDDK
1Green Bay Packers2329440100667.07.0

Seattle Seahawks (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

PTYDSACKINTFRSFTYTDSTDPPRFDDK
1@ DEN27.0047013000777.07.0
2PROJ-Dodds22.003252.20.80.700.48.38.38.38.3
2PROJ-Tremblay23.503061.80.80.700.58.18.18.18.1

Seahawks vs QB

STANDARDPPRFDDK
Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)25 (+5.5)25 (+5.4)23 (+4.9)27 (+7.0)
WEEKPLAYERoSNAPCMPATTYDTDINTRSHYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
1Case Keenum7425393293300025.525.522.225.2

Mitchell Trubisky (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

oSNAPCMPATTYDTDINTRSHYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
1@ GB70233517100732117.817.814.015.0
2PROJ-Dodds21322271.40.85210.219.419.419.419.4
2PROJ-Tremblay18301911.40.94230.217.717.717.717.7
2PROJ-Bloom21331931.40.75220.217.917.917.917.9

Seahawks vs RB

STANDARDPPRFDDK
Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)26 (+5.1)24 (+3.5)23 (+4.6)22 (+3.0)
WEEKPLAYERoSNAPRSHYDTDTARGRECYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
1Phillip Lindsay26157103231116.218.217.218.2
1Royce Freeman291571000007.17.17.17.1

Jordan Howard (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

oSNAPRSHYDTDTARGRECYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
1@ GB50158205525010.715.713.215.7
2PROJ-Dodds16670.53180.112.115.113.615.1
2PROJ-Tremblay16670.63210.1131614.516.0
2PROJ-Bloom16710.53170.112.415.413.915.4

Tarik Cohen (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

oSNAPRSHYDTDTARGRECYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
1@ GB285250431604.17.15.67.1
2PROJ-Dodds5260.23250.16.99.98.510.0
2PROJ-Tremblay5220.22180.15.87.86.97.9
2PROJ-Bloom5240.13200.15.68.67.28.7

Seahawks vs WR

STANDARDPPRFDDK
Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)28 (+14.0)29 (+19.9)27 (+16.4)27 (+20.9)
WEEKPLAYERoSNAPTARGRECYDTDRSHYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
1Emmanuel Sanders641110135100019.529.524.532.5
1Demaryius Thomas5310663100012.318.315.318.3

Allen Robinson (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

oSNAPTARGRECYDTDRSHYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
1@ GB67746100006.110.18.110.1
2PROJ-Dodds4600.40008.412.410.412.4
2PROJ-Tremblay4520.40007.611.69.611.6
2PROJ-Bloom4580.40008.212.210.212.2

Taylor Gabriel (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

oSNAPTARGRECYDTDRSHYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
1@ GB60552500002.57.55.07.5
2PROJ-Dodds2310.20004.36.35.36.3
2PROJ-Tremblay2240.20003.65.64.65.6
2PROJ-Bloom4290.20004.18.16.18.1

Anthony Miller (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

oSNAPTARGRECYDTDRSHYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
1@ GB39321400001.43.42.43.4
2PROJ-Dodds2210.10002.74.73.74.7
2PROJ-Tremblay1180.10002.43.42.93.4
2PROJ-Bloom2190.20003.15.14.15.1

Kevin White (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

oSNAPTARGRECYDTDRSHYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
1@ GB120000000000.00.0
2PROJ-Dodds11200001.22.21.72.2
2PROJ-Tremblay000000000.00.0
2PROJ-Bloom000000000.00.0

Seahawks vs TE

STANDARDPPRFDDK
Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)18 (-1.8)15T (-3.0)17 (-2.3)15T (-3.2)
WEEKPLAYERoSNAPTARGRECYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
1Jake Butt36422902.94.93.94.9

Trey Burton (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

oSNAPTARGRECYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
1@ GB61611501.52.52.02.5
2PROJ-Dodds4410.46.510.58.510.5
2PROJ-Tremblay4390.56.910.98.910.9
2PROJ-Bloom4430.36.110.18.110.1

Dion Sims (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

oSNAPTARGRECYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
1@ GB2032900.92.91.92.9
2PROJ-Dodds1130.11.92.92.42.9
2PROJ-Tremblay1140.1232.53.0
2PROJ-Bloom170.11.32.31.82.3

Seahawks vs PK

STANDARDPPRFDDK
Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)21T (+1.8)21T (+1.8)30T (+5.1) (+0.0)
WEEKPLAYERFGFGAXPXPASTDPPRFDDK
1Brandon McManus22339913.00.0

Cody Parkey (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

FGFGAXPXPASTDPPRFDDK
1@ GB3322111111.00.0
2PROJ-Dodds1.722.32.47.47.48.68.6
2PROJ-Tremblay1.82.22.42.47.87.89.19.1

Seahawks vs TD

STANDARDPPRFDDK
Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)22T (+3.3)22T (+3.3)21T (+2.7)21T (+2.7)
WEEKPLAYERPTYDSACKINTFRSFTYTDSTDPPRFDDK
1Denver Broncos2430662100121212.012.0

Chicago Bears (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

PTYDSACKINTFRSFTYTDSTDPPRFDDK
1@ GB24.0037041101141414.014.0
2PROJ-Dodds19.903462.80.90.700.510.210.210.210.2
2PROJ-Tremblay20.003552.310.800.510.110.110.110.1