Matchup Analysis: Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals

Vegas Prediction

Vegas says: Ravens 22, Bengals 23

FBG Projections

TeamRushYardsTDCompAttPass YdTDINT
BAL291100.922362381.40.9
CIN23930.722332301.41.0

Baltimore Ravens Offense: overview

Points (vs AVG) (rank)Rush Yards (vs AVG) (rank)Pass Yards (vs AVG) (rank)
Ravens Offense47.0 (+23.1) (3)117 (+3) (14)252 (+14) (12)
Bengals Defense23.0 (-0.9) (17)75 (-38) (7)305 (+67) (27)

Cincinnati Bengals Offense: overview

Points (vs AVG) (rank)Rush Yards (vs AVG) (rank)Pass Yards (vs AVG) (rank)
Bengals Offense34.0 (+10.1) (6)101 (-12) (21)229 (-8) (16)
Ravens Defense3.0 (-20.9) (1)83 (-30) (8)70 (-167) (1)

Ravens Rushing offense

Good matchup vs. the Bengals defense.

There was little to glean from the Ravens’ Week 1 performance virtually anywhere on the field. In the midst of a 47-3 blowout win, Baltimore generally coasted along, scoring on short drives and pulling its starters early. As a result, starting back Alex Collins managed just 13 yards on 7 carries. But in a more typical game and matchup, he’ll be afforded a rhythm and more big-play chances. Collins was outstanding last year, ripping off 16 breakaway runs (15 yards or more), and he faces 2018 with road-grading guard Marshal Yanda back from injury. This offensive line isn’t perfect, and it’s not especially deep. But Yanda’s presence is both dominating and stabilizing which will help Collins who loves taking counter and stretch runs off his hip. Collins doesn’t boast some blue-ribbon pedigree, and it wouldn’t be earth-shattering if he were exposed as a ho-hum runner. But it doesn’t seem likely – especially after just one wonky game. He has better days ahead.

The Bengals run defense, which was tight and prohibitive in Week 1, remains a thoroughly average unit. They were stout in Week 1, allowing just 68 yards on 21 carries to Indianapolis backs. Still, they did so against a Colts attack that still lacks anything close to a featured back – and runs behind a shaky line to boot. And they did allow the league’s third-most ground yards in 2017. There’s some promise in this group, especially with nose tackle Andrew Billings blossoming into a penetrating, run-stuffing star. But they sorely need linebacker Vontaze Burfict back. Without him, there’s shockingly little dynamism in pursuit, and quick-footed backs are able to feast.

Ravens Passing offense

Neutral matchup vs. the Bengals defense.

Perhaps the Ravens drafting Lamar Jackson has inspired Joe Flacco to play for his job, or perhaps he’s simply back to optimal health. For whatever reasons, Flacco posted his best performance in two years last Sunday. Playing with a fire he’s lacked over the past few mediocre, injury-riddled seasons, Flacco methodically buried the Bills with touchdown after touchdown. Every time Buffalo gifted a turnover or a three-and-out, Flacco was in the zone and capitalizing. He was diverse, too, targeting nine different receivers. His 2018 supporting cast looks patchwork and uninspiring, but in Week 1 he looked fully capable of maximizing their talents. All three of his new wideout weapons caught touchdowns, and each caught a pass of 20 yards or more. And Flacco seems to have found a groove with rookie tight end Mark Andrews, who caught 3 balls for 31 yards. This unit isn’t exactly electrifying, but at least in positive game scripts, there’s reason to be optimistic about its pieces.

In Week 1, the Bengals faced a Colts offense unwilling to give its quarterback too much too soon. Andrew Luck checked down relentlessly, but Cincinnati tackled well enough and prevented anything from going too far – Colts wideouts only produced a single catch of more than 13 yards. Cornerbacks, Williams Jackson and Dre Kirkpatrick did a fine job keeping T.Y. Hilton (46 yards on 11 targets) from ripping the top off the defense. The most encouraging aspect was the tenacious pass rush, which feasted on the Colts’ so-so front more than the stat sheet suggests. Carlos Dunlap showed he’s still an under-the-radar beast with a huge sack that forced a missed field goal, while Geno Atkins’ interior pocket-pushing held its impact.

Bengals Rushing offense

Bad matchup vs. the Ravens defense.

In a complete turnaround from his inefficient rookie campaign, Joe Mixon shredded the Colts for 95 yards on 17 carries in Week 1, including a goal-line touchdown. Of course, running wild on the Colts is usually nothing to brag much about, but that’s a better unit than fantasy players are used to seeing (and targeting). In any event, after watching Mixon run into the backs of his linemen for most of 2017, it was a welcomed sight. The ultra-explosive runner (an elite 118.40-speed score last year) ran circles in Week 1, registering chunk gains up the middle and off tackle. Mixon shed weight this offseason but remains plenty powerful in the lower body. Most importantly, he’s working behind an offensive line that’s been completely revamped – particularly on the left side. The once-pitiful Bengals front now boasts an established run-blocking left tackle (Cordy Glenn), a steady left guard (Clint Boling), and a first-round center (Billy Price). The new anchor of the Cincinnati offense, Mixon’s arrow is pointing straight up, even in a much tougher Week 2 matchup.

Baltimore’s run defense, dominant as ever in 2017, had no difficulty erasing LeSean McCoy from the Bills’ Week 1 game plan. Some of that was due to the natural flow of a 47-3 game, but most should be credited to the Ravens’ swarming front, which left virtually nothing for McCoy to find. Lineman Brandon Williams, who plays up and down the line, is developing into run-stuffing star and is a big reason the team allowed just 84 ground yards per game after he returned to action in the middle of last year. With solid tacklers on the second and third levels, big plays – let alone big games – are hard to create in this matchup.

Bengals Passing offense

Tough matchup vs. the Ravens defense.

When his run game is worthwhile – and his weapons are in the lineup – Andy Dalton is a productive NFL quarterback. In the Week 1 win, Dalton generated 243 yards on 28 attempts and fired a pair of touchdowns. For fantasy purposes, when both A.J. Green and Tyler Eifert are healthy, he’s routinely a top-10 guy under the radar. He’s not an especially dynamic guy, of course, and when one or both his proven weapons are out there’s a notable drop-off. But that’s not the case right now: Eifert is playing, and Green was his usual dominant self in Week 1, turning 8 targets into 6 catches for 92 yards. Green also scorched two Colts defenders for a 38-yard touchdown showing he’s still a truly elite playmaker and touchdown specialist, and he elevates this passing game in untold ways. His connection with Dalton is strong, and even against the Ravens’ stout secondary, there’s a strong chance they’ll keep producing.

It’s probably not worthwhile to parse through the Ravens’ Week 1 performance in pass defense. Facing the utterly shell-shocked Nathan Peterman for the first half, then raw rookie Josh Allen in the second, Baltimore pounced and allowed virtually nothing. Bills passers completed just 11 of 33 passes for 96 yards, throwing a pair of interceptions and taking 6 sacks. This group isn’t bulletproof against better quarterbacking, and big plays happen against them – especially in the slot. But it’s still a difficult matchup across the board. Terrell Suggs remains the star of this unit and he’s still an edge-rushing force who absorbs extra blocking attention but harasses quarterbacks anyway. And the Ravens are thrilled to have built a borderline-dominant duo of man cornerbacks, even with Jimmy Smith out of town. Marlon Humphrey has opened his career fantastically – he allowed just 6 yards on 6 targets in Week 1 – and Brandon Carr is enjoying a career resurgence on the other side.

Bengals vs QB

STANDARDPPRFDDK
Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)22 (+3.7)22 (+3.6)22 (+3.2)24 (+5.3)
WEEKPLAYERoSNAPCMPATTYDTDINTRSHYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
1Andrew Luck8239533192117023.723.720.523.5

Joe Flacco (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

oSNAPCMPATTYDTDINTRSHYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
1vs BUF5425342363023024.124.121.721.7
2PROJ-Dodds21332221.30.8240.116.516.516.516.5
2PROJ-Tremblay21332071.30.9240.115.615.615.615.6
2PROJ-Bloom23352021.60.8110.116.416.416.416.4

Lamar Jackson (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

oSNAPCMPATTYDTDINTRSHYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
1vs BUF3114240073905.15.14.94.9
2PROJ-Dodds13160.10.14170.13.43.43.43.4
2PROJ-Tremblay24260.20.16220.25.45.45.45.4
2PROJ-Bloom12170.10.13140.13.23.23.23.2

Bengals vs RB

STANDARDPPRFDDK
Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)5 (-7.5)13 (-3.1)10 (-5.0)13 (-3.6)
WEEKPLAYERoSNAPRSHYDTDTARGRECYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
1Jordan Wilkins4614400332106.19.17.69.1
1Nyheim Hines375190973305.212.28.712.2

Alex Collins (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

oSNAPRSHYDTDTARGRECYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
1vs BUF27713111607.98.96.47.9
2PROJ-Dodds15650.5212010.712.711.712.7
2PROJ-Tremblay14630.42130101211.012.0
2PROJ-Bloom17660.5213010.912.911.912.9

Javorius Allen (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

oSNAPRSHYDTDTARGRECYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
1vs BUF304171651509.214.211.714.2
2PROJ-Dodds7200.24240.16.210.28.210.2
2PROJ-Tremblay6230.15340.16.911.99.411.9
2PROJ-Bloom6190.44180.16.710.78.710.7

Bengals vs WR

STANDARDPPRFDDK
Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)16 (-2.2)21 (+2.7)19T (-0.3)19T (+0.7)
WEEKPLAYERoSNAPTARGRECYDTDRSHYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
1T.Y. Hilton8011546100010.615.613.115.6
1Ryan Grant65985900005.913.99.913.9

Michael Crabtree (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

oSNAPTARGRECYDTDRSHYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
1vs BUF53633810009.812.811.312.8
2PROJ-Dodds4590.40008.312.310.312.3
2PROJ-Tremblay4430.40006.710.78.710.7
2PROJ-Bloom4460.50007.611.69.611.6

John Brown (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

oSNAPTARGRECYDTDRSHYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
1vs BUF484344111010.513.512.013.5
2PROJ-Dodds3340.2140586.58.0
2PROJ-Tremblay2270.21504.46.45.46.4
2PROJ-Bloom4510.50008.112.110.112.1

Willie Snead (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

oSNAPTARGRECYDTDRSHYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
1vs BUF426449100010.914.912.914.9
2PROJ-Dodds3370.20004.97.96.47.9
2PROJ-Tremblay4440.20005.69.67.69.6
2PROJ-Bloom3340.30005.28.26.78.2

Chris Moore (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

oSNAPTARGRECYDTDRSHYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
1vs BUF1911500000.51.51.01.5
2PROJ-Dodds1800000.81.81.31.8
2PROJ-Tremblay1700000.71.71.21.7
2PROJ-Bloom000000000.00.0

Bengals vs TE

STANDARDPPRFDDK
Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)31 (+12.2)31 (+20.0)31 (+14.2)31 (+18.8)
WEEKPLAYERoSNAPTARGRECYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
1Eric Ebron375451111.115.113.115.1

Maxx Williams (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

oSNAPTARGRECYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
1vs BUF44333203.26.24.76.2
2PROJ-Dodds2150.22.74.73.74.7
2PROJ-Tremblay2140.1243.04.0
2PROJ-Bloom2170.12.34.33.34.3

Nick Boyle (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

oSNAPTARGRECYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
1vs BUF5463400475.57.0
2PROJ-Dodds2170.12.34.33.34.3
2PROJ-Tremblay3240.23.66.65.16.6
2PROJ-Bloom3230.12.95.94.45.9

Mark Andrews (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

oSNAPTARGRECYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
1vs BUF22433103.16.14.66.1
2PROJ-Dodds1160.12.23.22.73.2
2PROJ-Tremblay3270.23.96.95.46.9
2PROJ-Bloom2170.12.34.33.34.3

Bengals vs PK

STANDARDPPRFDDK
Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)27T (+3.8)27T (+3.8)30T (+5.1) (+0.0)
WEEKPLAYERFGFGAXPXPASTDPPRFDDK
1Adam Vinatieri3422111113.00.0

Justin Tucker (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

FGFGAXPXPASTDPPRFDDK
1vs BUF2255111112.00.0
2PROJ-Dodds1.82.22.22.37.67.68.98.9
2PROJ-Tremblay1.622.22.2778.18.1

Bengals vs TD

STANDARDPPRFDDK
Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)10T (-2.7)10T (-2.7)6T (-4.3)6T (-4.3)
WEEKPLAYERPTYDSACKINTFRSFTYTDSTDPPRFDDK
1Indianapolis Colts3433021100665.05.0

Baltimore Ravens (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

PTYDSACKINTFRSFTYTDSTDPPRFDDK
1vs BUF3.0015362000101017.017.0
2PROJ-Dodds20.803172.20.90.700.48.88.88.88.8
2PROJ-Tremblay22.0029420.90.700.58.98.98.98.9

Ravens vs QB

STANDARDPPRFDDK
Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)1 (-14.4)1 (-14.4)2 (-12.6)1 (-13.5)
WEEKPLAYERoSNAPCMPATTYDTDINTRSHYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
1Josh Allen32615740042606.36.35.65.6

Andy Dalton (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

oSNAPCMPATTYDTDINTRSHYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
1@ IND55212824321280202017.517.5
2PROJ-Dodds22332301.41280.117.517.517.517.5
2PROJ-Tremblay19312091.50.9260.116.816.816.816.8
2PROJ-Bloom23382471.41.3270.117.917.917.917.9

Ravens vs RB

STANDARDPPRFDDK
Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)1 (-14.2)1 (-18.8)1 (-16.2)1 (-19.3)
WEEKPLAYERoSNAPRSHYDTDTARGRECYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
1Marcus Murphy23631020003.13.13.13.1
1LeSean McCoy34722031-102.13.12.63.1

Joe Mixon (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

oSNAPRSHYDTDTARGRECYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
1@ IND42179517554020.925.923.425.9
2PROJ-Dodds17690.54310.113.617.615.617.6
2PROJ-Tremblay18660.55370.113.918.916.418.9
2PROJ-Bloom17650.44380.113.317.315.317.3

Giovani Bernard (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

oSNAPRSHYDTDTARGRECYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
1@ IND141-20111100.91.91.41.9
2PROJ-Dodds4160.12130.14.16.15.16.1
2PROJ-Tremblay3130.12160.14.16.15.16.1
2PROJ-Bloom270.12180.13.75.74.75.7

Ravens vs WR

STANDARDPPRFDDK
Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)2 (-16.6)2 (-21.7)2 (-19.7)2 (-23.7)
WEEKPLAYERoSNAPTARGRECYDTDRSHYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
1Zay Jones60632600002.65.64.15.6
1Andre Holmes11111400001.42.41.92.4

A.J. Green (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

oSNAPTARGRECYDTDRSHYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
1@ IND528692100015.221.216.220.2
2PROJ-Dodds6730.40009.715.712.715.7
2PROJ-Tremblay5620.50009.214.211.714.2
2PROJ-Bloom6800.5000111714.017.0

Tyler Boyd (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

oSNAPTARGRECYDTDRSHYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
1@ IND48532600002.65.64.15.6
2PROJ-Dodds3300.20004.27.25.77.2
2PROJ-Tremblay3330.30005.18.16.68.1
2PROJ-Bloom3250.10003.16.14.66.1

John Ross (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

oSNAPTARGRECYDTDRSHYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
1@ IND3621310006.37.36.87.3
2PROJ-Dodds2270.20003.95.94.95.9
2PROJ-Tremblay2220.20003.45.44.45.4
2PROJ-Bloom2310.20004.36.35.36.3

Ravens vs TE

STANDARDPPRFDDK
Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)17 (-2.0)14 (-3.2)15T (-2.5)14 (-3.4)
WEEKPLAYERoSNAPTARGRECYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
1Logan Thomas18212402.43.42.93.4

Tyler Eifert (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

oSNAPTARGRECYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
1@ IND22334404.47.45.97.4
2PROJ-Dodds4350.35.39.37.39.3
2PROJ-Tremblay2260.34.46.45.46.4
2PROJ-Bloom4420.36108.010.0

Tyler Kroft (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

oSNAPTARGRECYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
1@ IND1711900.91.91.41.9
2PROJ-Dodds190.11.52.52.02.5
2PROJ-Tremblay170.11.32.31.82.3
2PROJ-Bloom170.11.32.31.82.3

C.J. Uzomah (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

oSNAPTARGRECYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
1@ IND3611400.41.40.91.4
2PROJ-Dodds1600.61.61.11.6
2PROJ-Tremblay1700.71.71.21.7
2PROJ-Bloom1400.41.40.91.4

Ravens vs PK

STANDARDPPRFDDK
Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)3T (-4.2)3T (-4.2)3T (-4.9) (+0.0)
WEEKPLAYERFGFGAXPXPASTDPPRFDDK
1Steve Hauschka1200333.00.0

Randy Bullock (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

FGFGAXPXPASTDPPRFDDK
1@ IND2244101011.00.0
2PROJ-Dodds1.61.92.12.26.96.98.08.0
2PROJ-Tremblay1.622.22.2778.18.1

Ravens vs TD

STANDARDPPRFDDK
Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)5 (-4.7)5 (-4.7)3 (-9.3)3 (-9.3)
WEEKPLAYERPTYDSACKINTFRSFTYTDSTDPPRFDDK
1Buffalo Bills4736920100440.00.0

Cincinnati Bengals (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

PTYDSACKINTFRSFTYTDSTDPPRFDDK
1@ IND23.0038021101181812.012.0
2PROJ-Dodds21.703492.30.90.600.48.48.48.48.4
2PROJ-Tremblay22.003492.410.700.48.98.98.98.9