Matchup Analysis: Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Rams

Vegas Prediction

Vegas says: Cardinals 16, Rams 29

FBG Projections

TeamRushYardsTDCompAttPass YdTDINT

Arizona Cardinals Offense: overview

Points (vs AVG) (rank)Rush Yards (vs AVG) (rank)Pass Yards (vs AVG) (rank)
Cardinals Offense6.0 (-17.9) (31)68 (-45) (29)145 (-92) (29)
Rams Defense13.0 (-10.9) (5)95 (-18) (11)300 (+62) (24)

Los Angeles Rams Offense: overview

Points (vs AVG) (rank)Rush Yards (vs AVG) (rank)Pass Yards (vs AVG) (rank)
Rams Offense33.0 (+9.1) (7)140 (+26) (8)225 (-12) (19)
Cardinals Defense24.0 (+0.1) (18)182 (+68) (32)247 (+9) (20)

Cardinals Rushing offense

Good matchup vs. the Rams defense.

The Cardinals rushing attack got off to a slow start to start the 2018 season as their running backs ran the ball just 13 times due to falling behind 21-0 in the first half. David Johnson saw just nine carries but was productive off of those carries averaging 4.1 yards per carry against a Redskins team that struggled in 2017 against the run but is looking much improved for 2018. The biggest issue for the Cardinals continues to be their offensive line which Footballguys’ Matt Bitonti has ranked as the 30th offensive line in football and giving them a D+ in terms of run blocking. The passing game for the Cardinals struggled and combining that with the team falling behind early led to a poor rushing game overall last week.

The Rams defensively did not live up to their hype with adding Ndamakong Suh alongside Aaron Donald and Michael Brockers. The Rams allowed the Raiders running backs to run for 4.3 yards per carry which while it was better than their 2017 average of 4.65 yards per carry still leaves a lot to be desired especially since it was to the Raiders who featured Marshawn Lynch who looked slow in this game. The Raiders also struggled to bring Lynch down on the goal line as the Raiders offensive lineman helped push Lynch into the end zone for the Raiders lone touchdown of the game. The issue for the Rams continues to be their linebacking group as they feature first-year player Cory Littleton and undersized linebacker Mark Barron is dealing with an Achilles injury which could once again force him to miss this week. If Barron is out, Ramik Wilson will once again be forced to start for the Rams. Wilson had a good 2016 but really struggled in limited playing time with the Chiefs in 2017. All in all, if the Cardinals offensive line can prevent the Rams defense from getting penetration, David Johnson could have a big game this week.

Cardinals Passing offense

Tough matchup vs. the Rams defense.

Sam Bradford got off to a very slow start as he was in a very tough matchup going up against a Redskins defense that had a tremendous game this past week. Bradford had very little time to throw the ball as the offensive line struggled, forcing him to take short underneath routes or just get rid of the ball to avoid a sack. Larry Fitzgerald was the one bright spot along with David Johnson as Fitzgerald had 10 targets in this game and was the focal point at the receiver position as the only other receiver to catch a pass was Christian Kirk who caught one pass. Other than Fitzgerald, the offense primarily went through the running backs and tight ends as David Johnson and Chase Edmund combined for eight receptions while Ricky Seals-Jones had three short receptions.

The Rams secondary appears like it is going to take a few weeks to come together. On paper, it is one of the best secondaries that we have seen in recent memory with Marcus Peters, Aqib Talib, and Nickell Robey-Coleman at corner and Lamarcus Joyner at safety. The issue that the Rams have as evidenced by their game last week was stopping the tight end position as Jared Cook dominated the Rams and in particular safety John Johnson. The Rams also struggled to stop the receiving running backs as Jalen Richard had nine receptions for 55 yards. The good news for the Rams is that their corners shut down the Raiders wide receivers as expected which could lead to problems for Larry Fitzgerald and the Cardinals receiving group this week. If the Cardinals are going to have any success it will have to be exploiting David Johnson and getting Ricky Seals-Jones involved similar to how the Raiders did last week.

Rams Rushing offense

Good matchup vs. the Cardinals defense.

Todd Gurley continued to show that he has emerged as an elite running back in the NFL as evidenced by his 5.4 yards per carry against the Raiders last week. The Rams offensive line continue to prove that it is an elite unit as predicted by Footballguys Matt Bitonti who has the Rams as his fifth-best offensive line this season. This is an elite unit led by Pro Bowler Andrew Whitworth at left tackle and second-team All-Pro Rodger Saffold. This is a line that dominated the Raiders up-front giving plenty of room for the Rams Week 1.

The Cardinals defense was one of the top units in 2017 allowing just 89.6 yards per game which was 6th in the NFL in terms of fewest yards allowed. Last week, the Redskins ran all over the Cardinals as they ran the ball 42 times for 182 yards including allowing Adrian Peterson to run for 96 yards and Chris Thompson to run for 65 yards on just five carries. The biggest issue for the Cardinals is that Deone Bucannon really struggled in run defense this past week which along with the defensive line not dominating like they did last year. Expect this running attack to improve and for Chandler Jones to get back to his normal self, but at the moment this looks like a defense that you should not be afraid of going up against like they were last season.

Rams Passing offense

Neutral matchup vs. the Cardinals defense.

The Rams and Jared Goff got off to a bit of a slow start to start the season as he completed just 54.5% of his passes on 33 attempts. One of the bright spots, however, was new addition Brandin Cooks as he provided the deep threat that the Rams had hoped that Sammy Watkins was going to bring, but didn’t as Cooks had 87 yards on just five receptions and opened up space for the entire offense. An interesting note is that the Rams did not have target Tyler Higbee in this game even though he was on the field for 95% of the teams plays this past week.

The Cardinals secondary heading into the season was expected to be an improved unit as they added Tre Boston and Jamar Taylor. It appears that it is going to take a few weeks for this unit to come together as they struggled against the Redskins in Week 1 allowing 255 yards passing, but Alex Smith was very efficient completing 21 of 30 passes and had open receivers for a lot of this game. The biggest areas that the Cardinals struggled with were against the running backs and tight ends as Adrian Peterson had 70 yards on 2 receptions, Chris Thompson had 63 yards on 6 receptions with a touchdown and Jordan Reed had 48 yards on 4 receptions with a touchdown. The Cardinals did an adequate job shutting down the receivers of the Redskins as they had just 63 yards total. This should provide plenty of opportunity for Todd Gurley to exploit this Cardinals defense if Deone Bucannon and Tre Boston do not improve in coverage.

Rams vs QB

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)7 (-7.7)7 (-7.8)7 (-8.0)10 (-5.9)
1Derek Carr7429403030321012.312.39.212.2

Sam Bradford (FanDuel: $6300, DraftKings: $4800)

1vs WAS532034153012707.
2PROJ-Dodds23372371.10.8140.116.516.516.5 (H=40)16.5 (H=53)
2PROJ-Tremblay24382661.10.7370.118.318.318.3 (H=48)18.3 (H=64)
2PROJ-Bloom19351360.91.21109.39.39.3 (H=15)9.3 (H=19)

Rams vs RB

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)20 (+0.8)26T (+8.2)24 (+4.8)26 (+7.7)
1Marshawn Lynch2711411228010.912.911.912.9
1Jalen Richard3752401195507.916.912.416.9

David Johnson (FanDuel: $8400, DraftKings: $8200)

1vs WAS3693719530012.717.715.217.7
2PROJ-Dodds16640.46570.215.721.718.7 (H=37)21.7 (H=50)
2PROJ-Tremblay14630.47680.216.723.720.2 (H=43)23.7 (H=58)
2PROJ-Bloom14580.46370.414.320.317.3 (H=33)20.3 (H=44)

Chase Edmonds (FanDuel: $5000, DraftKings: $4500)

1vs WAS174240442404.
2PROJ-Dodds4190.12120. (H=7)6.3 (H=10)
2PROJ-Tremblay6280.13250. (H=14)9.5 (H=21)
2PROJ-Bloom3130.121002.94.93.9 (H=4)4.9 (H=6)

Rams vs WR

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)1 (-17.1)1 (-24.2)1 (-21.2)1 (-26.2)
1Jordy Nelson72432300002.
1Amari Cooper6931901901.

Larry Fitzgerald (FanDuel: $7100, DraftKings: $6000)

1vs WAS521077600007.614.611.114.6
2PROJ-Dodds6670.30008.514.511.5 (H=19)14.5 (H=34)
2PROJ-Tremblay6670.30008.514.511.5 (H=19)14.5 (H=34)
2PROJ-Bloom5410.30005.910.98.4 (H=11)10.9 (H=20)

Chad Williams (FanDuel: $4500, DraftKings: $3200)

1vs WAS503000000000.00.0
2PROJ-Dodds2280.10003.45.44.4 (H=5)5.4 (H=11)
2PROJ-Tremblay2270.10003.35.34.3 (H=5)5.3 (H=11)
2PROJ-Bloom1900000.91.91.4 (H=0)1.9 (H=1)

Christian Kirk (FanDuel: $5400, DraftKings: $3600)

1vs WAS4521400000.
2PROJ-Dodds2220.10002.84.83.9 (H=3)4.9 (H=8)
2PROJ-Tremblay2210.10002.74.73.8 (H=3)4.8 (H=8)
2PROJ-Bloom1500000.51.51.1 (H=0)1.6 (H=1)

J.J. Nelson (FanDuel: $4600, DraftKings: $3300)

1vs WAS10000000000.00.0
2PROJ-Dodds11100001.12.11.6 (H=0)2.1 (H=2)
2PROJ-Tremblay1700000.71.71.2 (H=0)1.7 (H=1)
2PROJ-Bloom000000000.0 (H=0)0.0 (H=0)

Rams vs TE

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)32 (+13.8)32 (+20.6)32 (+17.3)32 (+23.4)
1Jared Cook67129180018.027.022.530.0

Ricky Seals-Jones (FanDuel: $5200, DraftKings: $2900)

1vs WAS49631901.
2PROJ-Dodds3320. (H=8)7.4 (H=22)
2PROJ-Tremblay4510.36.910.98.9 (H=16)10.9 (H=43)
2PROJ-Bloom4340. (H=10)8.6 (H=28)

Jermaine Gresham (FanDuel: $4400, DraftKings: $2600)

2PROJ-Dodds000000.0 (H=0)0.0 (H=0)
2PROJ-Tremblay000000.0 (H=0)0.0 (H=0)
2PROJ-Bloom000000.0 (H=0)0.0 (H=0)

Rams vs PK

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)16 (-0.2)16 (-0.2)15T (+0.1) (+0.0)
1Mike Nugent2211778.00.0

Phil Dawson (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

1vs WAS0000000.00.0

Rams vs TD

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)2T (-7.7)2T (-7.7)4 (-8.3)4 (-8.3)
1Oakland Raiders3336510000111.01.0

Arizona Cardinals (FanDuel: $3800, DraftKings: $2100)

1vs WAS24.0042930100555.05.0
2PROJ-Dodds28.3036620.80.600.3666.0 (H=11)6.0 (H=21)
2PROJ-Tremblay29.503642.10.80.500. (H=10)5.5 (H=18)

Cardinals vs QB

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)20 (+2.2)20 (+2.1)20 (+2.4)20 (+1.5)
1Alex Smith79213025520814022.222.219.619.6

Jared Goff (FanDuel: $7400, DraftKings: $6300)

1@ OAK631833233201-1019.619.617.217.2
2PROJ-Dodds21332621.80.8240.120.520.520.5 (H=50)20.5 (H=59)
2PROJ-Tremblay20322461.80.812018.918.918.9 (H=43)18.9 (H=51)
2PROJ-Bloom19312371.80.6110. (H=44)19.1 (H=52)

Cardinals vs RB

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)32 (+22.4)32 (+24.8)31 (+21.9)31 (+23.3)
1Adrian Peterson42269613270022.624.621.623.6
1Chris Thompson3356507663118.824.821.824.8

Todd Gurley (FanDuel: $8900, DraftKings: $9200)

1@ OAK592010805339120.723.722.226.7
2PROJ-Dodds20840.84390.318.922.920.9 (H=43)22.9 (H=49)
2PROJ-Tremblay24971.14340.321.525.523.5 (H=53)25.5 (H=59)
2PROJ-Bloom20910.93370.3202321.5 (H=45)23.0 (H=49)

John Kelly (FanDuel: $4500, DraftKings: $4500)

2PROJ-Dodds3130.10001.91.91.9 (H=1)1.9 (H=1)
2PROJ-Tremblay000000000.0 (H=0)0.0 (H=0)
2PROJ-Bloom000000000.0 (H=0)0.0 (H=0)

Malcolm Brown (FanDuel: $5000, DraftKings: $3500)

1@ OAK4150221802.
2PROJ-Dodds2801301.12.11.6 (H=0)2.1 (H=2)
2PROJ-Tremblay14011001.42.41.9 (H=1)2.4 (H=2)
2PROJ-Bloom7290.10003.53.53.5 (H=3)3.5 (H=5)

Cardinals vs WR

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)3 (-15.8)3 (-19.9)3 (-18.4)3 (-21.9)
1Jamison Crowder49433200003.
1Paul Richardson61642200002.

Brandin Cooks (FanDuel: $7000, DraftKings: $6100)

1@ OAK61858701609.314.311.814.3
2PROJ-Dodds4590.41308.612.610.6 (H=17)12.6 (H=26)
2PROJ-Tremblay4600.416091311.0 (H=18)13.0 (H=27)
2PROJ-Bloom5740.415010.315.312.8 (H=23)15.3 (H=36)

Cooper Kupp (FanDuel: $6300, DraftKings: $5500)

1@ OAK6195521216012.817.815.317.8
2PROJ-Dodds4560.30007.411.49.4 (H=15)11.4 (H=24)
2PROJ-Tremblay4580.40008.212.210.2 (H=17)12.2 (H=27)
2PROJ-Bloom5540.51709.114.111.6 (H=22)14.1 (H=35)

Robert Woods (FanDuel: $6500, DraftKings: $5900)

1@ OAK61933701604.
2PROJ-Dodds4540.30007.211.29.2 (H=14)11.2 (H=22)
2PROJ-Tremblay4580.41608.812.810.8 (H=18)12.8 (H=28)
2PROJ-Bloom4520.40007.611.69.6 (H=15)11.6 (H=23)

Josh Reynolds (FanDuel: $4500, DraftKings: $3000)

1@ OAK20000000000.00.0
2PROJ-Dodds190.10001.52.52.0 (H=1)2.5 (H=3)
2PROJ-Tremblay000000000.0 (H=0)0.0 (H=0)
2PROJ-Bloom000000000.0 (H=0)0.0 (H=0)

Cardinals vs TE

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)28 (+5.5)26 (+6.3)27 (+6.0)26 (+6.1)
1Jordan Reed415448110.814.812.814.8

Gerald Everett (FanDuel: $4500, DraftKings: $2500)

1@ OAK50000000.00.0
2PROJ-Dodds1170. (H=3)3.9 (H=8)
2PROJ-Tremblay1140.1232.5 (H=2)3.0 (H=5)
2PROJ-Bloom1130. (H=2)2.9 (H=5)

Tyler Higbee (FanDuel: $4200, DraftKings: $2800)

1@ OAK600000000.00.0
2PROJ-Dodds2170. (H=3)4.3 (H=8)
2PROJ-Tremblay1130. (H=2)2.9 (H=4)
2PROJ-Bloom170. (H=1)2.3 (H=3)

Cardinals vs PK

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)9T (-1.2)9T (-1.2)9T (-1.9) (+0.0)
1Dustin Hopkins1133666.00.0

Greg Zuerlein (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

1@ OAK4533151517.00.0

Cardinals vs TD

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)10T (-2.7)10T (-2.7)24T (+3.7)24T (+3.7)
1Washington Redskins6213211006613.013.0

Los Angeles Rams (FanDuel: $4800, DraftKings: $3700)

1@ OAK13.0039513001131317.017.0
2PROJ-Dodds16.703372.80.80.700.510.810.810.8 (H=25)10.8 (H=33)
2PROJ-Tremblay17.003642.50.70.900.510.710.710.7 (H=25)10.7 (H=32)