Matchup Analysis: Washington Redskins at Tennessee Titans

Vegas Prediction

Vegas says: Redskins 13, Titans 24

FBG Projections

TeamRushYardsTDCompAttPass YdTDINT

Washington Redskins Offense: overview

Points (vs AVG) (rank)Rush Yards (vs AVG) (rank)Pass Yards (vs AVG) (rank)
Redskins Offense18.9 (-4.5) (28)114 (+0) (17)202 (-38) (26)
Titans Defense18.1 (-5.3) (2)110 (-4) (12)219 (-21) (6)

Tennessee Titans Offense: overview

Points (vs AVG) (rank)Rush Yards (vs AVG) (rank)Pass Yards (vs AVG) (rank)
Titans Offense19.1 (-4.3) (27)131 (+16) (5)187 (-52) (30)
Redskins Defense22.1 (-1.3) (14)117 (+1) (18)241 (+1) (18)

Redskins Rushing offense

Tough matchup vs. the Titans defense.

While Peterson has seen high volume at times this season, he has done little with that volume in recent weeks with fewer than four yards per rush attempt in six of his last seven games despite averaging just over 13 carries per game over that span. Last week was more of the same as Peterson had 19 carries but just 2.7 yards per carry as he was largely bottled up against the Jaguars. Game flow has influenced a high variability in the workload allotted to Peterson, as he has seen single-digit carries in games where the Redskins are losing, while Peterson has approached 20 carries in game scripts more favorable to relying on the ground game. Quarterback Josh Johnson is Peterson’s only competition for carries as he has now rushed for at least 45 yards in both games he has played. The Redskins offensive line continues to be a weakness for the run game. Their starting lineup has been different nearly every week due to constant injury woes and a lack of standout, healthy talent at any position as they grade out as a below average unit.

The Redskins patchwork offensive line should have trouble against this Titans defensive front that has defended very well against the run this season. The Titans are coming off back-to-back impressive outings in which they held both Saquon Barkley and Leonard Fournette to below 40 rushing yards and fewer than 2.6 yards per rush attempt. This unit has allowed just three running backs to exceed 70 rushing yards through 14 games this season, however, committee backfields have still found some success to bring their ranking down to 12th-fewest rushing yards allowed per game. This group still has exhibited an unwillingness to allow big plays on the ground while their red zone defense has been superb, especially against running backs as they are tied for third-fewest rushing touchdowns allowed this season. The defensive line is healthy with Jurrell Casey playing at a Pro Bowl level while rookie linebacker Rashaan Evans and second-year linebacker Jayon Brown have shown spectacular development as the season has progressed. Overall, the Titans should present a challenge for this high volume Redskins rushing attack led by both Adrian Peterson and Josh Johnson.

Redskins Passing offense

Neutral matchup vs. the Titans defense.

With Josh Johnson at the helm, Washington’s passing offense is better than it had been under Mark Sanchez.. However, this remains a low volume, underwhelming passing attack despite their victory last week. Johnson did just enough as he passed for a touchdown and took care of the ball with no turnovers, but the Redskins are clearly trying to limit pass attempts with a focus on their ground game given the weakness at quarterback. Ten different players were targeted last week as Jamison Crowder came out on top due in part to a flukey 33-yard reception from a deflected ball. Josh Doctson just barely cleared the concussion protocol prior to last week’s game, but he was held catch-less after posting a season-high 84 receiving yards in the week prior. Jordan Reed’s status remains in doubt with multiple foot injuries, leading to Vernon Davis taking back over at tight end in his absence. Davis played well in last week’s game, but he did suffer a neck injury from which he quickly returned to the game. All in all, the Redskins remain thin in terms of pass-catchers while this passing offense should not be expected to generate enough volume to support any level of consistency for anyone involved.

The Titans continue to excel against opposing passing offenses with the caveat of playing against below average teams in what has been poor weather conditions in recent weeks. It has been over a month since the Titans have allowed more than 250 passing yards, and they have limited quarterbacks to no passing touchdowns in three of their last six games. This secondary may have lost two critical starters last week though, with cornerback Logan Ryan suffering a broken fibula that will sideline him for the rest of the season and safety Kenny Vaccaro suffering a concussion that has his status in question this week. Leshaun Sims will be a sharp downgrade from Ryan and should afford Jamison Crowder with an increased opportunity to get open. Play from both Malcolm Butler and Adoree Jackson has improved recently, so they stand to keep these Redskins outside receivers in check. The defensive line for Tennessee should also have an advantage over the injury-plagued Redskins offensive line that has allowed the ninth-most sacks this season.

Titans Rushing offense

Great matchup vs. the Redskins defense.

Derrick Henry was the focal point of the Titans offense for the second straight week as he rushed a career-high 33 times for 170 yards and two more goal-line touchdowns. Henry has now scored six rushing touchdowns while running for 408 yards from 50 carries in his last two games. Dion Lewis, on the other hand, has rushed just 17 times for 48 yards over that span as he is becoming an afterthought in this offense with single-digit carries in three of his last four games. The Titans offensive line has been blocking very well in recent weeks despite the loss of Jack Conklin, while Derrick Henry has been as close to unstoppable as a runner can get with his powerful running style and thunderous stiff-arms on full display. This is not a rushing offense the depleted Washington defense will look forward to facing.s

This Washington run defense started the season very strong with opposing running backs averaging a meager 60 rushing yards per game through Week 8--third-fewest in the league. That span of games included some impressive performances against top talent such as Christian McCaffrey, Ezekiel Elliott, and Saquon Barkley--holding them all to fewer than 40 rushing yards and no touchdowns. From Week 9 onwards, however, this defense has significantly regressed to one of the worst in football against running backs. They have allowed the second-most rushing yards per game (132) and eighth-most fantasy points per game to opposing running backs in standard scoring formats in their last seven games. Those impressive outings against Barkley and Elliott were flipped upside down as the pair put up 291 combined rushing yards and two touchdowns in their second crack at this defense. They are still loaded with relatively healthy talent on defense, especially in the trenches, but suspect play from their linebackers combined with what has been some very poor offensive showings in recent weeks contribute to these poor numbers against the run. The Redskins did look better against the Jaguars last week, but that was an offense that can make even the worst of defenses look impressive at this point. The Titans should pose more of a challenge here as their ground game has the upper hand coming into this one.

Titans Passing offense

Neutral matchup vs. the Redskins defense.

With the focus on the ground game in the past two outings, this Titans passing offense has hit rock bottom with virtually no production to speak of through the air. This has been one of the league’s worst passing offenses with just 187 yards per game (ranked 30th) along with a meager 14 passing touchdowns--also third-fewest in the league. Marcus Mariota has shown potential at times, but he simply has not needed to pass in recent weeks given the run-heavy game plan. Corey Davis continues to lead the team in targets, but he hasn’t seen enough volume to put up any resemblance of a WR1 stat line. The variability this season has been extreme for Davis, who has finished games with anywhere from 10 to 161 receiving yards. He has not cracked the 50-yard mark in three straight games though, and considering the run-heavy trend of this Titans offense, it is tough to expect success or reliability from Davis and the rest of these Titans receivers.

The Redskins defense looked great last week, but they were facing a reeling Jaguars offense led by Cody Kessler, which can make even a bottom tier defense seem elite. This passing defense has been struggling throughout the second half of the season with multiple touchdowns allowed in three games leading into last week while opposing passers have passed for more than 270 yards in eight of the last 11 games against the Redskins. The defensive line and pass rush have been a strength to note as they racked up six sacks last week to vault their ranking to ninth in sacks this season. Safety has also been a relatively strong position for the Redskins as the trade for Ha Ha Clinton-Dix earlier this season has worked out nicely while D.J. Swearinger is having another solid season at strong safety. Cornerback is the struggle for Washington, as Greg Norman has been showing his age while rookies Greg Stroman and Danny Johnson are not quite ready to be starting in the NFL. Stroman is allowing over two yards of separation per route covered in the slot, which bodes well for Tajae Sharpe if he can get open on a hobbled ankle. Corey Davis should have a decent matchup against Fabian Moreau, but Moreau has shown improvement as the season has progressed and could challenge Davis with his size.

Titans vs QB

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)5 (-2.4)5 (-2.4)5 (-2.5)7 (-2.6)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)9 (-2.4)9 (-2.4)6 (-2.8)7 (-3.1)
12Deshaun Watson65192421020970131.531.529.429.4
13Josh McCown691730128011305.
14Cody Kessler71254324010517017.717.713.314.3
15Eli Manning6521442290100010.510.56.27.2

Josh Johnson (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $5100)

14vs NYG29111619511745123.323.325.325.3
15@ JAX68162515110949016.516.514.914.9
16PROJ-Dodds19322040.81.16270.115.615.615.615.6 (H=45)
16PROJ-Tremblay21342290.81.15210.116.316.316.316.3 (H=49)
16PROJ-Bloom162714611.28470.316.616.616.616.6 (H=50)

Titans vs RB

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)2 (-5.2)1 (-6.5)1 (-5.7)1 (-6.9)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)3 (-5.7)2 (-7.2)3 (-6.2)2 (-7.0)
12Lamar Miller40121621115022.723.723.226.7
12Alfred Blue2613490111306.
13Isaiah Crowell4421980549010.714.712.714.7
13Trenton Cannon9418011702.
14Leonard Fournette551436032504.
14T.J. Yeldon13170111001.
15Saquon Barkley65143101042505.
15Elijhaa Penny612000000.

Adrian Peterson (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $4200)

13@ PHI169981000015.815.815.815.8
14vs NYG191016011301.
15@ JAX3719510322007.
16PROJ-Dodds15550.31908. (H=22)
16PROJ-Tremblay15600.311108. (H=25)
16PROJ-Bloom15430.221206. (H=20)

Chris Thompson (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $4300)

13@ PHI29330531802.
14vs NYG253230531503.
15@ JAX2959021401.
16PROJ-Dodds4180.13200.1586.58.0 (H=17)
16PROJ-Tremblay4160.131703. (H=13)
16PROJ-Bloom390290. (H=6)

Byron Marshall (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $3000)

14vs NYG18140331301.
15@ JAX7000111701.
16PROJ-Dodds1301801. (H=2)
16PROJ-Tremblay12011001. (H=2)

Titans vs WR

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)23 (+1.5)23 (+2.2)26 (+2.1)25 (+2.9)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)12 (-2.3)13 (-2.7)13 (-2.5)13 (-3.4)
12Demaryius Thomas545438200015.819.817.819.8
12DeAndre Hopkins64657400007.412.49.912.4
13Robby Anderson50744800004.
13Andre Roberts111110011802.
14Dede Westbrook6510788100014.821.818.321.8
14Keelan Cole51735500005.
15Bennie Fowler46424300004.
15Sterling Shepard65923700003.

Jamison Crowder (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $4600)

13@ PHI29443601-503.
14vs NYG547287100014.716.715.716.7
15@ JAX42444600004.
16PROJ-Dodds4460.20005. (H=22)
16PROJ-Tremblay4500.20206.410.48.410.4 (H=25)
16PROJ-Bloom4450.40006.910.98.910.9 (H=27)

Josh Doctson (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $3600)

13@ PHI43535100005.
14vs NYG55548400008.412.410.412.4
15@ JAX562000000000.00.0
16PROJ-Dodds3360.10004. (H=16)
16PROJ-Tremblay3360.10004. (H=16)
16PROJ-Bloom2260.20003. (H=11)

Michael Floyd (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $3000)

13@ PHI1821900000.
14vs NYG312000000002.02.0
15@ JAX46321600001.
16PROJ-Dodds2170.10002. (H=8)
16PROJ-Tremblay2220.10002. (H=10)
16PROJ-Bloom1900000. (H=2)

Maurice Harris (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $3000)

13@ PHI281000000000.00.0
14vs NYG351000000000.00.0
15@ JAX30211300001.
16PROJ-Dodds21900001. (H=7)
16PROJ-Tremblay11200001. (H=2)
16PROJ-Bloom1110.10001. (H=3)

Titans vs TE

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)1 (-3.6)1 (-4.1)1 (-3.8)1 (-4.1)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)12 (-1.7)15 (-0.8)14 (-1.2)15 (-0.9)
12Ryan Griffin43433803.
13Chris Herndon49623103.
14Blake Bell23221601.
15Evan Engram451287507.515.511.515.5

Vernon Davis (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $4200)

13@ PHI23221501.
14vs NYG49443103.
15@ JAX30321601.
16PROJ-Dodds2200. (H=6)
16PROJ-Tremblay4530.26.510.58.510.5 (H=27)
16PROJ-Bloom2150. (H=5)

Jeremy Sprinkle (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $2500)

13@ PHI80000000.00.0
14vs NYG160000000.00.0
15@ JAX41331917.910.99.410.9
16PROJ-Dodds2170. (H=10)
16PROJ-Tremblay2180. (H=10)
16PROJ-Bloom2190. (H=10)

Titans vs PK

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)9T (-0.6)9T (-0.6)8T (-0.7) (+0.0)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)19 (+0.1)19 (+0.1)21 (+0.6) (+0.0)
12Kaimi Fairbairn2244101012.012.0
13Jason Myers5511161619.019.0
14Josh Lambo0011111.01.0
15Aldrick Rosas0000000.00.0

Dustin Hopkins (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

13@ PHI2211779.09.0
14vs NYG0000000.00.0
15@ JAX3311101011.011.0

Titans vs TD

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)16 (-0.1)16 (-0.1)19T (+1.5)19T (+1.5)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)19T (+0.2)19T (+0.2)19 (+0.4)19 (+0.4)
12Houston Texans17365601008811.011.0
13New York Jets2640331001111113.013.0
14Jacksonville Jaguars3042611010554.04.0
15New York Giants1730110000112.02.0

Washington Redskins (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $2100)

13@ PHI28.0043601000221.01.0
14vs NYG40.0040221000443.03.0
15@ JAX13.0019261100101014.014.0
16PROJ-Dodds24.003512.30.80.600. (H=33)
16PROJ-Tremblay23.503531.80.80.600. (H=29)

Redskins vs QB

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)20 (+0.7)20 (+0.7)19 (+0.5)21 (+0.9)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)21T (+1.7)21T (+1.6)25 (+2.1)25 (+2.4)
12Dak Prescott70223128920618130.330.327.427.4
13Carson Wentz752739306214-4021.921.920.823.8
14Eli Manning4614221973000021.921.919.919.9
15Cody Kessler52917570166808.

Marcus Mariota (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $5500)

13vs NYJ67203528221443025.425.422.622.6
14vs JAX6018241620141308.
15@ NYG671220880021105.
16PROJ-Dodds19292101.20.85290.218.618.618.618.6 (H=57)
16PROJ-Tremblay18282061.10.85280.217.917.917.917.9 (H=53)
16PROJ-Bloom14221481.114250.214.514.514.514.5 (H=37)

Redskins vs RB

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)13 (-1.1)14 (-0.6)13 (-0.8)14 (-0.7)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)26 (+3.1)23 (+2.1)23 (+2.8)23 (+3.0)
12Ezekiel Elliott652612116522020.325.322.828.3
12Jamize Olawale8000111001.
13Josh Adams412085000008.
13Darren Sproles9422100008.
14Saquon Barkley311417015427025.729.727.732.7
14Wayne Gallman271438020003.
15Leonard Fournette2711460431806.
15David Williams8532000003.

Derrick Henry (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $7300)

13vs NYJ2810401225010.512.511.512.5
14vs JAX24172384000047.847.847.850.8
15@ NYG49331702110029.330.329.733.2
16PROJ-Dodds19910.817014.615.615.115.6 (H=31)
16PROJ-Tremblay19870.917014.815.815.315.8 (H=32)
16PROJ-Bloom25950.7130141514.515.0 (H=29)

Dion Lewis (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $4600)

13vs NYJ40636032-
14vs JAX3810130553905.210.27.710.2
15@ NYG23735033904.
16PROJ-Dodds6240.24280.17119.011.0 (H=27)
16PROJ-Tremblay7280.24260. (H=28)
16PROJ-Bloom7260.23140. (H=18)

Redskins vs WR

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)25 (+2.1)22 (+2.1)25 (+2.1)23 (+2.4)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)22 (+3.0)18 (+0.9)21 (+4.0)20 (+2.9)
12Amari Cooper4798180200030.
12Noah Brown20212200002.
13Golden Tate367785100014.521.520.023.5
13Jordan Matthews2121410006.
14Sterling Shepard43621710007.
14Russell Shepard26411110007.
15Dede Westbrook435321012004.17.111.613.1
15Keelan Cole3900000000.

Corey Davis (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $6300)

13vs NYJ6573421112011.414.412.914.4
14vs JAX50322101002.
15@ NYG65633300003.
16PROJ-Dodds4540.30007. (H=20)
16PROJ-Tremblay3450.2130697.59.0 (H=14)
16PROJ-Bloom4630.50009.313.311.313.3 (H=28)

Taywan Taylor (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $3700)

13vs NYJ2953104000010.413.411.916.4
14vs JAX41765900005.911.98.911.9
15@ NYG54521700001.
16PROJ-Dodds3440.30006. (H=25)
16PROJ-Tremblay4480.30006.610.68.610.6 (H=32)
16PROJ-Bloom3400.20005. (H=20)

Tajae Sharpe (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $3200)

13vs NYJ53635100005.
14vs JAX204000000000.00.0
15@ NYG3911600000.
16PROJ-Dodds2250.20003. (H=12)
16PROJ-Tremblay2290.20004. (H=14)
16PROJ-Bloom170.10001. (H=2)

Cameron Batson (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $3000)

13vs NYJ2321700000.
14vs JAX70000000000.00.0
15@ NYG40000000000.00.0
16PROJ-Dodds000000000.00.0 (H=0)
16PROJ-Tremblay0500000. (H=0)
16PROJ-Bloom000000000.00.0 (H=0)

Redskins vs TE

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)7 (-1.9)9 (-2.2)9 (-2.0)9 (-2.4)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)9 (-1.9)10 (-2.2)9 (-2.0)10 (-2.3)
12Blake Jarwin35222502.
13Zach Ertz591098308.317.312.817.3
14Evan Engram33537707.710.79.210.7
15James OShaughnessy4111700.

Anthony Firkser (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $3500)

13vs NYJ193342110.213.211.713.2
14vs JAX24332702.
15@ NYG150000000.00.0
16PROJ-Dodds2210. (H=8)
16PROJ-Tremblay1160. (H=4)
16PROJ-Bloom2210. (H=10)

Luke Stocker (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $2500)

13vs NYJ240000000.00.0
14vs JAX3911700.
15@ NYG46222702.
16PROJ-Dodds2160. (H=9)
16PROJ-Tremblay1140.1232.53.0 (H=5)

Redskins vs PK

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)23T (-1.0)23T (-1.0)23T (-1.3) (+0.0)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)23 (+1.3)23 (+1.3)23 (+1.3) (+0.0)
12Brett Maher1144777.07.0
13Jake Elliott22228810.010.0
14Aldrick Rosas2245101010.010.0
15Kai Forbath2211778.08.0

Ryan Succop (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

13vs NYJ2223888.08.0
14vs JAX1134666.06.0
15@ NYG1222555.05.0

Redskins vs TD

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)14 (-0.5)14 (-0.5)18 (+0.5)18 (+0.5)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)27T (+2.5)27T (+2.5)31 (+4.4)31 (+4.4)
12Dallas Cowboys2333133000999.09.0
13Philadelphia Eagles1323531000559.09.0
14New York Giants1628853001171718.018.0
15Jacksonville Jaguars16245300013310.010.0

Tennessee Titans (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $3400)

13vs NYJ22.0028021000445.05.0
14vs JAX9.00255401006610.010.0
15@ NYG0.00260311007717.017.0
16PROJ-Dodds14.903262.41.10.900.713. (H=51)
16PROJ-Tremblay13.503322. (H=56)