Matchup Analysis: Los Angeles Rams at Arizona Cardinals

Vegas Prediction

Vegas says: Rams 31, Cardinals 17

FBG Projections

TeamRushYardsTDCompAttPass YdTDINT

Los Angeles Rams Offense: overview

Points (vs AVG) (rank)Rush Yards (vs AVG) (rank)Pass Yards (vs AVG) (rank)
Rams Offense32.0 (+8.6) (3)129 (+14) (7)292 (+52) (4)
Cardinals Defense26.2 (+2.8) (25)145 (+30) (30)212 (-28) (5)

Arizona Cardinals Offense: overview

Points (vs AVG) (rank)Rush Yards (vs AVG) (rank)Pass Yards (vs AVG) (rank)
Cardinals Offense13.7 (-9.7) (32)82 (-32) (32)161 (-78) (32)
Rams Defense24.5 (+1.1) (20)123 (+8) (21)240 (+0) (17)

Rams Rushing offense

Great matchup vs. the Cardinals defense.

Todd Gurley had a rough day on the ground by his standards last week with just 40 yards, but he still managed to average a decent four yards per rush attempt with two rushing touchdowns while staying heavily involved in the passing offense. The game script played a part in Gurley only receiving 12 carries compared to 13 targets in the passing game as the Rams found themselves playing from behind--a rare occurrence this season. Gurley did suffer a knee injury that posed quite the scare as he was sidelined for one series during the second half, but he returned to the game and played through his injury. Reports indicate he is day to day with inflammation, so keep a very close eye on the practice reports to gauge his health. The Rams are still vying to lock up a first-round bye and home field advantage, so it is logical to believe Gurley will play even if slightly less than 100 percent. Should Gurley sit, it would be a huge opportunity for the likes of John Kelly and newly acquired C.J. Anderson. Running behind the top offensive line in football, all of the running backs for the Rams are set up for success this week.

The Rams are in a tremendous spot this week as they square off against one of the league’s statistically worst rushing defense this week that has allowed 4.7 yards per carry on the season and have allowed the most carries against. The Cardinals continue to be embarrassed by opposing running backs with Tevin Coleman racking up 145 rushing yards against them last week. The Falcons could have made it even worse had a long touchdown run from Coleman not been called back due to a penalty. Linebacker has been a challenging position for the Cardinals as they lost their top starter, Josh Bynes, a few weeks ago while Haasan Reddick has struggled to step up as a playmaker against the run. Part of the issue here is the effectiveness of Arizona’s pass defense to funnel teams towards the run. This group actually held Todd Gurley to one of his least productive games of the season in their Week 2 meeting, however, Gurley managed to find the end-zone three times in that outing and will be looking to once again find the end-zone in this one. The Cardinals allowing at least one rushing touchdown in four straight games and more rushing touchdowns than any other team this season.

Rams Passing offense

Neutral matchup vs. the Cardinals defense.

Jared Goff and this Rams passing offense have been trending in the wrong direction recently. Despite amassing 339 yards last week, the Rams have failed to find the end zone through the air in two straight games while Goff has thrown seven interceptions compared to just one touchdown in his last three games. Accuracy has been a huge issue for Goff, and it was on full display last week as he routinely sailed balls over his receivers while making poor decisions against what was a beatable Eagles secondary. Robert Woods continues to see a high volume of targets with at least nine in four straight games as he amasses solid, but not spectacular, numbers with just two touchdowns in his last 10 games. Brandin Cooks has been held to lackluster outings in three straight games as Josh Reynolds is earning an increased share of targets on the outside, finishing with a season-high 12 targets last week. Todd Gurley was one of the bright spots through the air last week though as he led the team in receptions and receiving yards to further display his versatility as their top player.

The Cardinals have been proficient against the pass thanks primarily to the spectacular play from top cornerback Patrick Peterson. Opposing passing offenses are averaging just 212 passing yards per game and 7.0 yards per pass attempt--both metrics well within the top-10 in the league. Quarterbacks have scored just the sixth-fewest fantasy points per game when facing the Cardinals as they are typically under duress from a stout pass rush combined with half of the field shut down from Peterson’s coverage. With Goff struggling to put the ball on the mark lately, a strong pass rush is the last thing he wants to face. Part of Arizona’s success against the pass must be attributed to game scripts though, as they have typically been playing from far behind while playing terribly against the run, leading to this being very much a funnel defense. Look for Patrick Peterson to assist in shutting down these outside receivers with opportunities for Robert Woods coming out of the slot along with Gurley to contribute through the air from the backfield.

Cardinals Rushing offense

Neutral matchup vs. the Rams defense.

David Johnson continues to underwhelm at the helm of the league’s worst rushing offense. The Cardinals offense is averaging a league-low 82.4 rushing yards per game while Johnson has averaged above four yards per rush attempt only three times this season. He did find the end zone last week for his seventh rushing touchdown, but Johnson saw his fewest carries since Week 1 with just 11 rush attempts for 33 yards. Chase Edmonds continues to be involved in the Cardinals offense, but the blowout in last week’s game led to Edmonds seeing his season-high in carries with Johnson sitting on the sideline for most of the fourth quarter. Johnson remains the primary option for this offense as a whole, but the dysfunction of this unit combined with what may be the league’s worst offensive line (ranked 32nd by Footballguys offensive line guru Matt Bitonti) will continue to keep expectations for Johnson very low.

The woes against the run continue for this talented Rams defense as they coughed up three rushing touchdowns last week and have now allowed 100 or more rushing yards to running backs for the sixth time in their last seven games. Over that seven-game span, the Rams are giving up the sixth-most fantasy points per game to running backs in standard scoring formats, with the position averaging 118 yards per game against them. The Eagles did a good job double-teaming the unstoppable Aaron Donald to help neutralize him while play from Ndamukong Suh has been lackluster as the season has progressed. The Rams linebackers continue to disappoint as Mark Barron and Cory Littleton have been the big reason for the team’s struggles against the run. In order to beat the Rams against the run, you have to neutralize the strong defensive line for the Rams and this defensive line has a very clear talent advantage over the worst offensive line in football. The Rams had no problem with the Cardinals ground game in Week 2. With both game script and lack of talent in the trenches going against them, this matchup will not be a positive one for the Cardinals.

Cardinals Passing offense

Tough matchup vs. the Rams defense.

Josh Rosen’s dismal season continued last week with another multi-interception game while failing to find the end zone in his third straight outing. Rosan has now surpassed 150 passing yards just once in the last five weeks, and on the season is averaging only 170 passing yards per game with more interceptions than touchdowns. The offensive line has made it very tough on Rosen, leaving him under constant duress while allowing him to be sacked multiple times in eight of the last nine games. Rosen also has little talent within his receiving group and has been hamstrung by a coaching staff that has consistently refused to rely on David Johnson in the receiving game.. Johnson was finally used downfield in the passing game last week as he caught a 40-yard reception from the slot in addition to two more receptions totaling 68 receiving yards. However, that was an outlier for the season as Johnson has surpassed 41 receiving yards just twice on the year while averaging only three receptions per game. Larry Fitzgerald has had a tough year as well, on pace for the lowest receiving yard total of his career.

The Rams secondary had put together a couple nice games with top cornerback Aqib Talib back in the lineup, but they faltered last week as Alshon Jeffery ripped through this unit, including Talib who gave up a big 50-yard catch to Jeffery from a blown assignment. This week should pose few challenges for this group though, as the Cardinals lack the talent to match up against these talented defensive backs. Fitzgerald has a tough matchup against one of the top slot cornerbacks this season in Nickell Robey-Coleman. For as poorly as the Rams linebackers have played against the run, they have done a decent job in covering running backs as only one back (Jalen Richard in Week 1) has exceeded 50 receiving yards in a game against them. This is a strong statistic as they have faced some talented pass-catchers including the likes of Alvin Kamara, Kareem Hunt, and Tarik Cohen--while also limiting David Johnson to just one reception for three yards earlier in the season. A big reason for this is that the linebackers for the Rams are undersized but fast linebackers in Mark Barron and Cory Littleton. While the linebackers have struggled against the run, have been better in coverage this season. The defensive line for the Rams is also one of the most talented in football led by All-Pro Aaron Donald and should have no problem with this bottom-ranked Cardinals offensive line.

Cardinals vs QB

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)6 (-2.4)7 (-2.3)6 (-2.4)6 (-2.6)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)18 (+0.5)18 (+0.4)19 (+0.5)18 (-0.0)
12Philip Rivers5628292593013025.325.320.721.7
13Aaron Rodgers76315023310320017.717.715.315.3
14Matthew Stafford601523101001705.
15Matt Ryan64223623120318127.427.425.025.0

Jared Goff (FanDuel: $8000, DraftKings: $6400)

13@ DET691733207112-2013.
14@ CHI632044180041505.
15vs PHI76355433902211016.116.112.715.7
16PROJ-Dodds23362631.90.9380. (H=49)21.2 (H=61)
16PROJ-Tremblay23362731.81380. (H=49)21.2 (H=61)
16PROJ-Bloom22292851.81250.121.521.521.5 (H=50)21.5 (H=63)

Cardinals vs RB

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)31 (+5.7)29 (+5.4)30 (+5.7)29 (+5.6)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)32 (+6.4)31 (+8.0)32 (+6.9)30 (+7.8)
12Melvin Gordon2710612225018.620.619.620.6
12Austin Ekeler255351111068016.326.321.326.3
13Aaron Jones39113614416011.
13Jamaal Williams387130441402.
14Zach Zenner1612541000011.411.411.411.4
14Theo Riddick256280443005.
15Tevin Coleman34111451100020.520.520.523.5
15Ito Smith29934032503.

Todd Gurley (FanDuel: $9600, DraftKings: $9200)

13@ DET652313225333028.531.530.034.5
14@ CHI6211280733005.
15vs PHI6312482131076024.434.429.434.4
16PROJ-Dodds17800.85400.2182320.5 (H=38)23.0 (H=49)
16PROJ-Tremblay19891.15390.220.625.623.1 (H=47)25.6 (H=59)
16PROJ-Bloom15710.85510. (H=39)23.2 (H=50)

John Kelly (FanDuel: $4500, DraftKings: $4000)

14@ CHI00000000000.00.0
15vs PHI724000000.
16PROJ-Dodds290.10001.51.51.5 (H=0)1.5 (H=1)
16PROJ-Tremblay270.10001.31.31.3 (H=0)1.3 (H=0)
16PROJ-Bloom3130.10001.91.91.9 (H=1)1.9 (H=1)

Justin Davis (FanDuel: $4500, DraftKings: $3000)

14@ CHI1119000001.
15vs PHI41000000000.00.0
16PROJ-Dodds1300000.30.30.3 (H=0)0.3 (H=0)
16PROJ-Tremblay270.10001.31.31.3 (H=0)1.3 (H=1)

C.J. Anderson (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)


Cardinals vs WR

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)9 (-1.0)11 (-0.1)11 (-0.6)11 (-0.4)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)21 (+3.0)23 (+5.3)22 (+4.2)21 (+4.6)
12Mike Williams634425200014.518.516.518.5
12Keenan Allen527772100013.220.216.720.2
13Davante Adams7213893100015.323.319.323.3
13Marquez Valdes-Scantling647219022904.
14Bruce Ellington27441700001.
14Andy Jones3721500000.
15Julio Jones328682100014.
15Justin Hardy10332910008.911.910.411.9

Robert Woods (FanDuel: $7500, DraftKings: $6600)

13@ DET6695671211013.818.816.318.8
14@ CHI631376100006.113.19.613.1
15vs PHI769774011909.316.312.816.3
16PROJ-Dodds6750.418010.716.713.7 (H=24)16.7 (H=39)
16PROJ-Tremblay6780.529011.717.714.7 (H=28)17.7 (H=43)
16PROJ-Bloom5680.6160111613.5 (H=24)16.0 (H=36)

Brandin Cooks (FanDuel: $7400, DraftKings: $6500)

13@ DET66646200006.
14@ CHI62732200002.
15vs PHI76765900005.911.98.911.9
16PROJ-Dodds6710.41309.815.812.8 (H=22)15.8 (H=36)
16PROJ-Tremblay5640.31308.513.511.0 (H=17)13.5 (H=27)
16PROJ-Bloom4720.300091311.0 (H=17)13.0 (H=26)

Josh Reynolds (FanDuel: $5300, DraftKings: $4600)

13@ DET67521900001.
14@ CHI63733600003.
15vs PHI751257000007129.512.0
16PROJ-Dodds4490.30006.710.78.7 (H=15)10.7 (H=26)
16PROJ-Tremblay4510.40007.511.59.5 (H=18)11.5 (H=29)
16PROJ-Bloom3510.50008.111.19.6 (H=18)11.1 (H=28)

Cardinals vs TE

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)2 (-2.4)4 (-3.3)3 (-2.8)4 (-3.4)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)5 (-3.8)5 (-5.0)5 (-4.3)5 (-5.1)
12Sean Culkin7112402.
13Jimmy Graham541185005.
14Levine Toilolo48222602.
15Austin Hooper3410000.

Gerald Everett (FanDuel: $4800, DraftKings: $2900)

13@ DET2431700.
14@ CHI36742902.
15vs PHI34754604.
16PROJ-Dodds2220. (H=5)5.4 (H=12)
16PROJ-Tremblay2200. (H=5)5.2 (H=11)
16PROJ-Bloom3260. (H=6)6.2 (H=16)

Tyler Higbee (FanDuel: $4200, DraftKings: $2600)

13@ DET47321901.
14@ CHI2711900.
15vs PHI42221401.
16PROJ-Dodds2160. (H=3)4.2 (H=9)
16PROJ-Tremblay2150. (H=3)4.1 (H=8)
16PROJ-Bloom2170. (H=3)4.3 (H=9)

Cardinals vs PK

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)16T (-0.1)16T (-0.1)19T (-0.1) (+0.0)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)21 (+0.6)21 (+0.6)19 (+0.1) (+0.0)
12Mike Badgley1166999.09.0
13Mason Crosby1222555.05.0
14Matt Prater1122556.06.0
15Matt Bryant2244101010.010.0

Greg Zuerlein (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

13@ DET3333121214.014.0
14@ CHI2300668.08.0
15vs PHI3322111112.012.0

Cardinals vs TD

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)28 (+2.2)28 (+2.2)31 (+4.7)31 (+4.7)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)30 (+3.0)30 (+3.0)32 (+5.2)32 (+5.2)
12Los Angeles Chargers1014921000448.08.0
13Green Bay Packers2031520000223.03.0
14Detroit Lions327931001111118.018.0
15Atlanta Falcons1425372101191920.020.0

Los Angeles Rams (FanDuel: $4900, DraftKings: $3200)

13@ DET16.0031041100889.09.0
14@ CHI15.00294130007711.011.0
15vs PHI30.0038101000221.01.0
16PROJ-Dodds16.202942.41.30.800.713.113.113.1 (H=35)13.1 (H=53)
16PROJ-Tremblay16.7530121. (H=31)12.2 (H=47)

Rams vs QB

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)17 (+0.4)17 (+0.4)16 (-0.1)17 (+0.3)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)3 (-6.3)3 (-6.3)2 (-6.5)2 (-6.9)
13Matthew Stafford7220332451112015.515.511.012.0
14Mitchell Trubisky7116301101362308.
15Nick Foles6424312700125013.013.010.310.3

Josh Rosen (FanDuel: $6400, DraftKings: $4500)

13@ GB62112614900232010.710.79.29.2
14vs DET7026412400123011.311.38.98.9
15@ ATL521322132022805.
16PROJ-Dodds19332131.11.328014.614.614.6 (H=32)14.6 (H=46)
16PROJ-Tremblay18302031.11.127014.214.214.2 (H=30)14.2 (H=44)
16PROJ-Bloom15291490.91.72209.59.59.5 (H=15)9.5 (H=21)

Rams vs RB

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)16 (-0.0)15 (-0.1)16 (-0.3)16 (-0.2)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)19 (+1.6)18 (+0.4)20 (+1.2)21 (+0.8)
13LeGarrette Blount301661010006.
13Theo Riddick388320432605.
14Jordan Howard39191010112010.311.310.814.3
14Tarik Cohen309690442008.912.910.912.9
15Wendell Smallwood2010482229017.719.718.719.7
15Josh Adams241528110008.

David Johnson (FanDuel: $7200, DraftKings: $6200)

13@ GB522069021307.
14vs DET62154901081206.
15@ ATL34113316368016.119.117.619.1
16PROJ-Dodds16670.44360.113.317.315.3 (H=31)17.3 (H=44)
16PROJ-Tremblay16690.44310.1131715.0 (H=30)17.0 (H=43)
16PROJ-Bloom15460.33160. (H=16)12.2 (H=24)

Chase Edmonds (FanDuel: $5200, DraftKings: $3800)

13@ GB1355322213018.620.619.620.6
14vs DET10314000001.
15@ ATL268220222204.
16PROJ-Dodds5230.11703.64.64.1 (H=4)4.6 (H=7)
16PROJ-Tremblay4180.11302.73.73.2 (H=2)3.7 (H=5)
16PROJ-Bloom3120.10001.81.81.8 (H=1)1.8 (H=1)

Rams vs WR

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)22 (+1.4)15 (+0.5)16 (+0.9)15 (+0.8)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)2 (-7.8)7 (-8.2)6 (-8.0)7 (-7.9)
13Kenny Golladay70835000005.
13Bruce Ellington381073500003.510.57.010.5
14Allen Robinson61854200004.
14Taylor Gabriel57732200002.
15Alshon Jeffery6488160000016.
15Golden Tate22554300004.

Larry Fitzgerald (FanDuel: $6100, DraftKings: $5200)

13@ GB60634800004.
14vs DET67955500005.510.58.010.5
15@ ATL66878200008.215.211.715.2
16PROJ-Dodds4550.30007.311.39.3 (H=15)11.3 (H=25)
16PROJ-Tremblay4530.30007.111.19.1 (H=15)11.1 (H=24)
16PROJ-Bloom4410.30005.99.97.9 (H=11)9.9 (H=20)

Trent Sherfield (FanDuel: $4500, DraftKings: $3400)

13@ GB31312100002.
14vs DET65757700007.712.710.212.7
15@ ATL65531510007.510.59.010.5
16PROJ-Dodds3370.20004.97.96.4 (H=11)7.9 (H=21)
16PROJ-Tremblay3400.20005.28.26.7 (H=11)8.2 (H=22)
16PROJ-Bloom3380.2000586.5 (H=11)8.0 (H=21)

J.J. Nelson (FanDuel: $4600, DraftKings: $3200)

13@ GB120000000000.00.0
14vs DET48734301-503.
15@ ATL150000000000.00.0
16PROJ-Dodds1190.10002.53.53.0 (H=2)3.5 (H=5)
16PROJ-Tremblay2240.11303.35.34.3 (H=5)5.3 (H=11)
16PROJ-Bloom2310.10003.75.74.7 (H=6)5.7 (H=12)

Jalen Tolliver (FanDuel: $4500, DraftKings: $3000)

14vs DET12222200002.
15@ ATL431000000000.00.0
16PROJ-Dodds1900000.91.91.4 (H=0)1.9 (H=2)
16PROJ-Tremblay1100.10001.62.62.1 (H=1)2.6 (H=3)
16PROJ-Bloom000000000.0 (H=0)0.0 (H=0)

Chad Williams (FanDuel: $4500, DraftKings: $3000)

16PROJ-Dodds000000000.0 (H=0)0.0 (H=0)
16PROJ-Tremblay000000000.0 (H=0)0.0 (H=0)
16PROJ-Bloom000000000.0 (H=0)0.0 (H=0)

Rams vs TE

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)17 (+0.7)17 (+0.9)17 (+0.8)18 (+1.2)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)13 (-1.7)9 (-2.2)10 (-1.9)9 (-2.3)
13Levine Toilolo54649009.
14Trey Burton57522202.
15Zach Ertz59732202.

Ricky Seals-Jones (FanDuel: $4900, DraftKings: $2900)

13@ GB2231100121.52.0
14vs DET44533103.
15@ ATL57832202.
16PROJ-Dodds3310. (H=8)7.3 (H=21)
16PROJ-Tremblay3300. (H=8)7.2 (H=21)
16PROJ-Bloom2180. (H=3)4.4 (H=8)

Jermaine Gresham (FanDuel: $4200, DraftKings: $2500)

13@ GB440000000.00.0
14vs DET301000000.00.0
15@ ATL19111601.
16PROJ-Dodds1900.91.91.4 (H=0)1.9 (H=2)
16PROJ-Tremblay1600.61.61.1 (H=0)1.6 (H=1)
16PROJ-Bloom000000.0 (H=0)0.0 (H=0)

Rams vs PK

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)23 (+0.5)23 (+0.5)24 (+0.6) (+0.0)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)30 (+3.0)30 (+3.0)29 (+3.2) (+0.0)
13Matt Prater3311101010.010.0
14Cody Parkey2311777.07.0
15Jake Elliott3433121215.015.0

Zane Gonzalez (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

13@ GB22228810.010.0
14vs DET1200333.03.0
15@ ATL0022222.02.0

Rams vs TD

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)13 (-0.6)13 (-0.6)4 (-2.8)4 (-2.8)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)29 (+2.6)29 (+2.6)30 (+4.2)30 (+4.2)
13Detroit Lions3034421100665.05.0
14Chicago Bears621434010131320.020.0
15Philadelphia Eagles2341312100779.09.0

Arizona Cardinals (FanDuel: $2500, DraftKings: $2000)

13@ GB17.0032510000112.02.0
14vs DET17.0021810100337.07.0
15@ ATL40.0043520000221.01.0
16PROJ-Dodds30.703992.310. (H=17)5.9 (H=21)
16PROJ-Tremblay30.753972.310.500. (H=17)5.9 (H=21)