Matchup Analysis: Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots

Vegas Prediction

Vegas says: Bills 16, Patriots 29

FBG Projections

TeamRushYardsTDCompAttPass YdTDINT
BUF291340.818322170.91.1
NE291181.124362731.80.8

Buffalo Bills Offense: overview

Points (vs AVG) (rank)Rush Yards (vs AVG) (rank)Pass Yards (vs AVG) (rank)
Bills Offense15.4 (-8.1) (31)125 (+9) (9)169 (-70) (31)
Patriots Defense22.1 (-1.3) (13)116 (+1) (17)257 (+16) (23)

New England Patriots Offense: overview

Points (vs AVG) (rank)Rush Yards (vs AVG) (rank)Pass Yards (vs AVG) (rank)
Patriots Offense26.7 (+3.3) (7)117 (+1) (15)278 (+38) (6)
Bills Defense23.8 (+0.3) (19)105 (-9) (10)187 (-52) (1)

Bills Rushing offense

Good matchup vs. the Patriots defense.

The Buffalo run game is sitting pretty in terms of raw numbers, producing the league’s ninth-most yards and 13th-most touchdowns on the ground. But those marks have been largely inflated by volume - they’re running the ball 30 times a game, fifth-most in the league - and by quarterback Josh Allen’s massive rushing totals over the last month. On the year, Buffalo running backs have managed just 3.6 yards per rush, and semi-explosive change-of-pace guy Marcus Murphy and his 4.8 average just landed on injured reserve. Whether LeSean McCoy can return for Week 16 or not, this projects to remain a low-efficiency, low-impact unit. The front line has been one of the league’s worst all year, struggling to provide any push at all for its mediocre runners. Neither McCoy, Chris Ivory, or Keith Ford project to create much, and Allen remains the Bills’ best hope for usable ground production. He was held in check last week, but found the end zone for the fourth time in 6 games, and recorded 99 yards or more in each of the previous three.

The Patriots have struggled all year to defend opposing run games, but it’s come to a head over the last three weeks. Over that span, running backs have produced an astounding 7.8 yards per carry, most in the league by a mile. Last Sunday, Steelers rookie Jaylen Samuels broke out as a runner, racking up 142 yards on just 19 attempts. Like many before him, Samuels consistently found success pushing onto the second level, where the Patriots are exceptionally light and inconsistent. These problems aren’t new: the Patriots have long been weak against the run, but a good enough team to jump to leads, control game flow, and diminish the overall effect. Runners would routinely pick up chunk gains early, but finish with relatively little volume and mediocre fantasy days. With the Patriots slipping noticeably all-around, though, there’s far less room for error. At this point, any runner of even decent volume can be projected to run efficiently and maximize whatever opportunity he’s given.

Bills Passing offense

Tough matchup vs. the Patriots defense.

Josh Allen continues to take baby steps as a rookie quarterback. He remains the league’s third-least productive passer, ahead of only by Cody Kessler and Josh Rosen, by completing just 52% of his throws at 4.09 adjusted net yards apiece. That factors in sacks, touchdowns, and interceptions, all of which have been weaknesses for the raw rookie. Still, Allen’s 2018 appeal has come from his instinct, athleticism, and playmaking mindset. He’s freezing defenses (from time to time) with his mobility and foot speed, and also showcasing an upper-tier NFL arm that looks truly special. Allen continues to find fellow rookie Robert Foster for huge plays - they’ve hooked up for gains of 75, 42, 38, 31, 28, and 27 yards over the last 3 weeks. Foster’s dynamism has been a godsend for the Bills’ beleaguered offense, which no longer has to force-feed targets to the low-impact Zay Jones. This is still a weak, mostly-irrelevant attack by fantasy standards. Only Allen and Foster even merit discussion, and neither boasts much volume or efficiency to speak of. But this unit has easily cleared its low bar from early in the year, and now they at least offer a hint of big-play ability.

The New England pass defense continues to improve as the season wears on, and over the past two months has been close to a shutdown unit. They’ve faced the likes of Aaron Rodgers, Ben Roethlisberger, and Kirk Cousins over that span, but allowed the trio just 5.7 yards per attempt and 232 per game. The cornerback play has improved tremendously of late, holding each of Davante Adams, Stefon Diggs, Adam Thielen, Antonio Brown, and JuJu Smith-Schuster under 50 yards. Stephon Gilmore and Jason McCourty have fought off early inconsistencies and now stand as one of fantasy’s more prohibitive matchups. There’s not much Week 16 worry against Buffalo’s air attack, but the Patriots’ inconsistent safeties can’t lose sight of speedy Robert Foster downfield. He’s averaged 25.8 yards per catch over the last 5 weeks and could easily turn a blown coverage or two into disaster.

Patriots Rushing offense

Neutral matchup vs. the Bills defense.

Sony Michel isn’t exactly a fantasy darling - he cedes a lot of snaps and touches to others, and he hasn’t found the end zone as often as we’re used to seeing in New England. But he’s at least been an extremely consistent lead runner for the Patriots, something they’ve lacked since Stevan Ridley’s brief heyday. Michel has averaged a solid 4.3 yards per carry on the year, using an impressive speed/power blend to help make up for a mediocre blocking front (currently graded C+ by our Matt Bitonti). He’s racked up 57 yards or more in each of his last 4 games, and 7 of his last 8, thanks to solid volume and efficiency. Of course, as a niche back, he’s always subject to game flow. He ran well last Sunday (4.5 per rush) against a decent Steelers unit, but was limited to just 13 attempts. He’s worked his way into a solid fantasy floor, but is fairly team-dependent for his overall production. When the Patriots aren’t dominating a game, Michel’s ceiling is always dinged by their deep backfield and variety of offensive looks. Neither Rex Burkhead nor James White is consistent in the run game, but they’ll always see a handful of opportunities and occasionally vulture production from Michel.

The Buffalo run defense is a bit of an enigma, and isn’t easy to project from week to week. The Bills are giving up just 105 total ground yards per game, good for tenth-best league-wide, and have only allowed 4 individual runners to top 60 yards. But they’ve been very fortunate in terms of schedule, and that number has been padded by dominant showings against the Jets, Dolphins, and Sony Michel-less Patriots. On the whole, this has been a rather inconsistent unit for much of the year. Quick-footed runners like Marlon Mack, Aaron Jones, Austin Ekeler, and Theo Riddick have found plenty of wiggle room against it. There are definite positives here, especially up front, where Kyle Williams remains a space-eating force inside. And edge man Lorenzo Alexander is enjoying a great season in terms of pursuit and playmaking. Still, with breakout linebacker Matt Milano on injured reserve, there’s not much to fear on the second level. Rookie Tremaine Edmunds, in particular, continues to struggle with down-to-down consistency. Michel is healthy for this rematch, and his explosiveness through a crease is exactly what’s given these Bills fits throughout the year. They may win this battle in the trenches, but still face a fairly tall task in the open field.

Patriots Passing offense

Tough matchup vs. the Bills defense.

Tom Brady is no longer a game-breaking fantasy quarterback, but he remains an eerily consistent one. He’s thrown for at least 274 yards in 11 of 14 games thus far, averaging a solid 7.8 per attempt overall, with 24 touchdowns. He just hasn’t flashed the wild Brady ceiling of yesteryear. The Patriots are going to need an additional receiver to step up this week as Josh Gordon has taken time away from the team. Making matters worse is Cordarrelle Patterson missed practice on Thursday which if he were unable to go would leave just Julian Edelman, Chris Hogan, and Phillip Dorsett as the healthy receivers for the Patriots. At the tight end position, Rob Gronkowski hasn’t exactly commanded the gameplan, either, averaging just 60 yards per game with a disappointing 3 touchdowns. He has his work cut out against the Bills, who have yet to allow a tight end to top 55 in a game. Brady continues to favor Julian Edelman and James White as high-percentage check-down targets underneath, and both always boast strong outlooks for volume. From a fantasy standpoint, they’re the backbone of this sanitized, flow-dependent passing attack.

The Bills pass defense has been strong for most of 2018 - and dominant over the past 6 weeks. The last 6 quarterbacks they’ve faced have averaged just 152 yards, with just one topping 200 and one throwing multiple touchdowns. It’s worth noting how weak their schedule was over that span, but these Bills have been harassing and limiting strong passers as well, including Kirk Cousins (just 296 yards on 55 attempts), Aaron Rodgers (298 on 40), and Deshaun Watson (177 on 25). Armed with a pass rush that wins off the edges in a multitude of ways, this unit consistently disrupts throws and allows its playmaking secondary to excel. And shutdown cornerback Tre’Davious White continues to delete half the field from most opponents’ gameplans. White was beaten soundly last week by Detroit’s Kenny Golladay, but remains one of the NFL’s premier blanket-coverage guys. He’s the primary reason that only 6 wideouts have reached 70 yards in this matchup, and his Week 16 snaps across from Josh Gordon should make for seriously entertaining football.

Patriots vs QB

STANDARDPPRFDDK
Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)27 (+1.8)27 (+1.8)24 (+1.5)25 (+1.5)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)16 (+0.1)16 (+0.1)18 (+0.2)14 (-0.5)
WEEKPLAYERoSNAPCMPATTYDTDINTRSHYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
12Josh McCown64264527611325019.319.316.516.5
13Kirk Cousins6132442011200012.112.110.010.0
14Ryan Tannehill46141926530113026.626.623.923.9
15Ben Roethlisberger642234235222-3017.517.515.115.1

Josh Allen (FanDuel: $7700, DraftKings: $5800)

oSNAPCMPATTYDTDINTRSHYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
13@ MIA721833231229135031.131.130.733.7
14vs NYJ761836206029101124.424.420.324.3
15vs DET68132620410916121.821.819.819.8
16PROJ-Dodds18322170.91.18470.319.819.819.8 (H=45)19.8 (H=60)
16PROJ-Tremblay19322090.916400.318.818.818.8 (H=41)18.8 (H=55)
16PROJ-Bloom152717711.59490.519.219.219.2 (H=43)19.2 (H=57)

Patriots vs RB

STANDARDPPRFDDK
Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)18 (+0.1)16 (+0.5)18 (+0.2)17 (+0.4)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)18 (+1.5)22 (+1.5)21 (+1.7)22 (+1.7)
WEEKPLAYERoSNAPRSHYDTDTARGRECYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
12Isaiah Crowell266300433006.09.07.59.0
12Elijah McGuire35619031702.63.63.13.6
13Dalvin Cook47984010822010.618.614.618.6
13Latavius Murray12411022301.43.42.43.4
14Brandon Bolden42602110018.019.018.519.0
14Kenyan Drake2462401155113.914.914.414.9
15Jaylen Samuels391914202230017.219.218.222.2
15Stevan Ridley6316000001.61.61.61.6

LeSean McCoy (FanDuel: $5500, DraftKings: $4800)

oSNAPRSHYDTDTARGRECYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
13@ MIA5415520441206.410.48.410.4
14vs NYJ921010000.10.10.10.1
16PROJ-Dodds11440.321908.110.19.1 (H=16)10.1 (H=22)
16PROJ-Tremblay7290.131905.48.46.9 (H=10)8.4 (H=16)
16PROJ-Bloom8280.12170.15.77.76.7 (H=9)7.7 (H=14)

Chris Ivory (FanDuel: $4500, DraftKings: $3900)

oSNAPRSHYDTDTARGRECYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
13@ MIA1264000000.40.40.40.4
14vs NYJ271242010004.24.24.24.2
16PROJ-Dodds5210.11603.34.33.8 (H=4)4.3 (H=6)
16PROJ-Tremblay8320.11404.25.24.7 (H=6)5.2 (H=8)
16PROJ-Bloom000000000.0 (H=0)0.0 (H=0)

Keith Ford (FanDuel: $5300, DraftKings: $3400)

oSNAPRSHYDTDTARGRECYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
15vs DET411446011705.36.35.86.3
16PROJ-Dodds3130.11602.53.53.0 (H=2)3.5 (H=5)
16PROJ-Tremblay6260.11403.64.64.1 (H=4)4.6 (H=8)
16PROJ-Bloom7240.1000333.0 (H=2)3.0 (H=3)

Patriots vs WR

STANDARDPPRFDDK
Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)13 (+0.2)17 (+1.0)12 (+0.4)14 (+0.8)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)23 (+3.4)24 (+6.2)24 (+4.8)24 (+6.2)
WEEKPLAYERoSNAPTARGRECYDTDRSHYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
12Jermaine Kearse4012666100012.618.615.618.6
12Quincy Enunwa60447300007.311.39.311.3
13Adam Thielen611052810008.813.811.313.8
13Stefon Diggs47554900004.99.97.49.9
14Kenny Stills4098135100019.527.523.530.5
14Brice Butler19112310008.39.38.89.3
15Antonio Brown617449100010.914.912.914.9
15James Washington44436500006.59.58.09.5

Robert Foster (FanDuel: $6000, DraftKings: $4900)

oSNAPTARGRECYDTDRSHYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
13@ MIA35412700002.73.73.23.7
14vs NYJ7387104000010.417.413.920.4
15vs DET5754108100016.820.818.823.8
16PROJ-Dodds3590.20007.110.18.6 (H=13)10.1 (H=22)
16PROJ-Tremblay3480.2000697.5 (H=10)9.0 (H=18)
16PROJ-Bloom4620.40008.612.610.6 (H=19)12.6 (H=32)

Isaiah McKenzie (FanDuel: $5400, DraftKings: $3900)

oSNAPTARGRECYDTDRSHYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
13@ MIA35444600004.68.64.67.6
14vs NYJ5974470422112.916.914.916.9
15vs DET35765301405.711.78.711.7
16PROJ-Dodds4400.22906.110.18.2 (H=14)10.2 (H=28)
16PROJ-Tremblay3410.21505.88.87.4 (H=11)8.9 (H=22)
16PROJ-Bloom4450.11405.59.57.6 (H=12)9.6 (H=25)

Zay Jones (FanDuel: $4800, DraftKings: $3700)

oSNAPTARGRECYDTDRSHYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
13@ MIA669467200018.722.722.724.7
14vs NYJ69932200002.25.23.75.2
15vs DET66611100001.12.11.62.1
16PROJ-Dodds3410.20005.38.36.8 (H=11)8.3 (H=21)
16PROJ-Tremblay3390.20005.18.16.6 (H=10)8.1 (H=20)
16PROJ-Bloom3350.20004.77.76.2 (H=9)7.7 (H=18)

Deonte Thompson (FanDuel: $4600, DraftKings: $3000)

oSNAPTARGRECYDTDRSHYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
13@ MIA25111200001.22.21.72.2
14vs NYJ11211400001.42.41.92.4
15vs DET172000000000.00.0
16PROJ-Dodds11300001.32.31.8 (H=1)2.3 (H=2)
16PROJ-Tremblay11300001.32.31.8 (H=1)2.3 (H=2)
16PROJ-Bloom1130.10001.92.92.4 (H=1)2.9 (H=4)

Patriots vs TE

STANDARDPPRFDDK
Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)23 (+1.4)19 (+1.4)19T (+1.4)19 (+1.7)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)11 (-1.8)8 (-2.6)8 (-2.1)8 (-2.7)
WEEKPLAYERoSNAPTARGRECYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
12Chris Herndon51875705.712.79.212.7
13Kyle Rudolph60333803.86.85.36.8
14Durham Smythe2000000.00.00.00.0
15Vance McDonald23321317.39.38.39.3

Charles Clay (FanDuel: $4200, DraftKings: $2500)

oSNAPTARGRECYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
13@ MIA4521900.91.91.41.9
14vs NYJ4221600.61.61.11.6
15vs DET411000000.00.0
16PROJ-Dodds2170.12.34.33.3 (H=3)4.3 (H=10)
16PROJ-Tremblay2130.11.93.92.9 (H=3)3.9 (H=8)
16PROJ-Bloom000000.0 (H=0)0.0 (H=0)

Jason Croom (FanDuel: $4000, DraftKings: $2500)

oSNAPTARGRECYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
13@ MIA250000000.00.0
15vs DET32112502.53.53.03.5
16PROJ-Dodds1140.1232.5 (H=2)3.0 (H=5)
16PROJ-Tremblay1130.11.92.92.4 (H=2)2.9 (H=5)
16PROJ-Bloom150.11.12.11.6 (H=1)2.1 (H=2)

Logan Thomas (FanDuel: $4300, DraftKings: $2500)

oSNAPTARGRECYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
14vs NYJ3621500.51.51.01.5
16PROJ-Dodds000000.0 (H=0)0.0 (H=0)
16PROJ-Tremblay180.11.42.41.9 (H=1)2.4 (H=3)
16PROJ-Bloom000000.0 (H=0)0.0 (H=0)

Patriots vs PK

STANDARDPPRFDDK
Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)19 (+0.1)19 (+0.1)5T (+0.1) (+0.0)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)5 (-1.7)5 (-1.7)5T (-1.7) (+0.0)
WEEKPLAYERFGFGAXPXPASTDPPRFDDK
12Jason Myers2211779.09.0
13Dan Bailey1211444.04.0
14Jason Sanders0044444.04.0
15Chris Boswell1222556.06.0

Steve Hauschka (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

FGFGAXPXPASTDPPRFDDK
13@ MIA1201333.03.0
14vs NYJ3522111111.011.0
15vs DET0022222.02.0
16PROJ-Dodds1.41.71.61.75.85.86.86.8
16PROJ-Tremblay1.21.51.61.65.25.26.06.0

Patriots vs TD

STANDARDPPRFDDK
Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)1 (-2.9)1 (-2.9)3 (-3.6)3 (-3.6)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)1 (-4.3)1 (-4.3)3 (-4.6)3 (-4.6)
WEEKPLAYERPTYDSACKINTFRSFTYTDSTDPPRFDDK
12New York Jets2749800000000.00.0
13Minnesota Vikings2447101000222.02.0
14Miami Dolphins3342120000221.01.0
15Pittsburgh Steelers1036811000337.07.0

Buffalo Bills (FanDuel: $3000, DraftKings: $2200)

PTYDSACKINTFRSFTYTDSTDPPRFDDK
13@ MIA21.0017531000555.05.0
14vs NYJ27.0024801100444.04.0
15vs DET13.0031300000004.04.0
16PROJ-Dodds29.203862.10.80.60.10.35.95.95.9 (H=14)5.9 (H=19)
16PROJ-Tremblay28.753882.40.90.500.36.26.26.2 (H=15)6.2 (H=21)

Bills vs QB

STANDARDPPRFDDK
Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)1 (-4.9)1 (-5.0)1 (-4.7)1 (-5.3)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)4 (-4.6)4 (-4.6)5 (-3.6)5 (-4.4)
WEEKPLAYERoSNAPCMPATTYDTDINTRSHYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
12Blake Bortles70122312712639012.312.311.011.0
13Ryan Tannehill551624137313-5017.417.416.016.0
14Sam Darnold51162417011410012.512.510.810.8
15Matthew Stafford5722292081000014.414.412.312.3

Tom Brady (FanDuel: $7900, DraftKings: $5900)

oSNAPCMPATTYDTDINTRSHYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
13vs MIN7424323111125019.119.115.918.9
14@ MIA8227433583013030.230.226.629.6
15@ PIT62253627911000171714.214.2
16PROJ-Dodds24362731.80.8130.120.920.920.9 (H=48)20.9 (H=65)
16PROJ-Tremblay23362631.90.9240.120.820.820.8 (H=48)20.8 (H=65)
16PROJ-Bloom23322381.80.7110.119.119.119.1 (H=41)19.1 (H=56)

Bills vs RB

STANDARDPPRFDDK
Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)23 (+1.5)23 (+1.7)23 (+1.7)20 (+1.3)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)20 (+1.8)20 (+1.3)22 (+1.8)20 (+0.7)
WEEKPLAYERoSNAPRSHYDTDTARGRECYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
12Leonard Fournette31189523313022.825.824.325.8
12Carlos Hyde161033000003.33.33.33.3
13Kenyan Drake3073104213110.412.411.412.4
13Frank Gore208210111003.14.13.64.1
14Elijah McGuire40176014323014.317.315.817.3
14Trenton Cannon1853111406.77.77.27.7
15Zach Zenner2610451430010.513.512.013.5
15Theo Riddick25847032905.67.66.67.6

Sony Michel (FanDuel: $6800, DraftKings: $4900)

oSNAPRSHYDTDTARGRECYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
13vs MIN30176301170787.58.0
14@ MIA342057000005.75.75.75.7
15@ PIT231359000005.95.95.95.9
16PROJ-Dodds17680.615010.911.911.4 (H=19)11.9 (H=29)
16PROJ-Tremblay15610.50209.39.39.3 (H=13)9.3 (H=19)
16PROJ-Bloom15580.31508.19.18.6 (H=12)9.1 (H=18)

James White (FanDuel: $6500, DraftKings: $5200)

oSNAPRSHYDTDTARGRECYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
13vs MIN3362609792011.818.815.318.8
14@ MIA334130421502.84.83.84.8
15@ PIT252120752503.78.76.28.7
16PROJ-Dodds4170.25390.49.214.211.7 (H=21)14.2 (H=38)
16PROJ-Tremblay4150.15430.38.213.210.7 (H=18)13.2 (H=33)
16PROJ-Bloom3130.25390.48.813.811.3 (H=20)13.8 (H=36)

Rex Burkhead (FanDuel: $5000, DraftKings: $3300)

oSNAPRSHYDTDTARGRECYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
13vs MIN177200222104.16.15.16.1
14@ MIA1742021300.51.51.01.5
15@ PIT164250331804.37.35.87.3
16PROJ-Dodds5190.12130.14.46.45.4 (H=7)6.4 (H=15)
16PROJ-Tremblay4180.12140.14.46.45.4 (H=7)6.4 (H=15)
16PROJ-Bloom4130.12150.1465.0 (H=6)6.0 (H=13)

James Develin (FanDuel: $4800, DraftKings: $3000)

oSNAPRSHYDTDTARGRECYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
13vs MIN35452119013.414.413.914.4
14@ MIA3612100006.26.26.26.2
15@ PIT20000221801.83.82.83.8
16PROJ-Dodds000.1140121.5 (H=0)2.0 (H=2)
16PROJ-Tremblay160.11601.82.82.3 (H=1)2.8 (H=3)
16PROJ-Bloom000000000.0 (H=0)0.0 (H=0)

Bills vs WR

STANDARDPPRFDDK
Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)5 (-4.6)6 (-5.8)6 (-5.5)6 (-6.5)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)18 (-0.4)14 (-2.3)14 (-1.8)14 (-2.5)
WEEKPLAYERoSNAPTARGRECYDTDRSHYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
12Dede Westbrook5043441143014.717.716.217.7
12Donte Moncrief53412900002.93.93.43.9
13DeVante Parker467443100010.314.312.314.3
13Kenny Stills48643710009.713.711.713.7
14Robby Anderson387476100013.617.615.617.6
14Quincy Enunwa44432200002.25.23.75.2
15Kenny Golladay5287146000014.621.618.124.6
15Andy Jones4522910006.98.97.98.9

Julian Edelman (FanDuel: $7000, DraftKings: $7200)

oSNAPTARGRECYDTDRSHYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
13vs MIN66832502350697.59.0
14@ MIA7512986100014.623.619.123.6
15@ PIT5811790000091612.516.0
16PROJ-Dodds6670.516010.316.313.4 (H=25)16.4 (H=35)
16PROJ-Tremblay6700.515010.516.513.6 (H=26)16.6 (H=36)
16PROJ-Bloom6710.500010.116.113.2 (H=24)16.2 (H=34)

Chris Hogan (FanDuel: $5300, DraftKings: $3300)

oSNAPTARGRECYDTDRSHYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
13vs MIN3222200000243.04.0
14@ MIA341000000000.00.0
15@ PIT393268100012.814.813.814.8
16PROJ-Dodds3380.2000586.5 (H=9)8.0 (H=22)
16PROJ-Tremblay2330.20004.56.55.5 (H=7)6.5 (H=15)
16PROJ-Bloom2230.20003.55.54.5 (H=5)5.5 (H=11)

Cordarrelle Patterson (FanDuel: $5000, DraftKings: $3200)

oSNAPTARGRECYDTDRSHYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
13vs MIN8225301605.97.96.97.9
14@ MIA183251100011.113.112.113.1
15@ PIT533200000253.55.0
16PROJ-Dodds2230.2150465.1 (H=6)6.1 (H=14)
16PROJ-Tremblay3340.331406.69.68.2 (H=15)9.7 (H=31)
16PROJ-Bloom3410.20005.38.36.9 (H=11)8.4 (H=24)

Phillip Dorsett (FanDuel: $4600, DraftKings: $3000)

oSNAPTARGRECYDTDRSHYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
13vs MIN160000000000.00.0
14@ MIA70000000000.00.0
15@ PIT20000000000.00.0
16PROJ-Dodds2250.10003.15.14.1 (H=5)5.1 (H=11)
16PROJ-Tremblay1150.10002.13.12.6 (H=2)3.1 (H=4)
16PROJ-Bloom000000000.0 (H=0)0.0 (H=0)

Josh Gordon (FanDuel: $6600, DraftKings: $6100)

oSNAPTARGRECYDTDRSHYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
13vs MIN483358100011.814.813.314.8
14@ MIA71859600009.614.612.114.6
15@ PIT57211900001.92.92.42.9
16PROJ-Dodds000000000.0 (H=0)0.0 (H=0)
16PROJ-Tremblay000000000.0 (H=0)0.0 (H=0)
16PROJ-Bloom000000000.0 (H=0)0.0 (H=0)

Bills vs TE

STANDARDPPRFDDK
Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)3 (-2.4)2 (-3.8)2 (-3.0)2 (-3.9)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)1 (-5.1)1 (-7.6)1 (-6.3)1 (-7.7)
WEEKPLAYERoSNAPTARGRECYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
12Blake Bell1611500.51.51.01.5
13Nick OLeary3211900.91.91.41.9
14Chris Herndon41211401.42.41.92.4
15Levine Toilolo40442802.86.84.86.8

Rob Gronkowski (FanDuel: $6600, DraftKings: $5600)

oSNAPTARGRECYDTDSTDPPRFDDK
13vs MIN73432602.65.64.15.6
14@ MIA7888107116.724.720.727.7
15@ PIT62522102.14.13.14.1
16PROJ-Dodds4530.47.711.79.7 (H=15)11.7 (H=25)
16PROJ-Tremblay4470.36.510.58.5 (H=12)10.5 (H=20)
16PROJ-Bloom3440.46.89.88.3 (H=11)9.8 (H=18)

Bills vs PK

STANDARDPPRFDDK
Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)3T (-0.1)3T (-0.1)18T (+0.1) (+0.0)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)3 (-2.7)3 (-2.7)3 (-3.2) (+0.0)
WEEKPLAYERFGFGAXPXPASTDPPRFDDK
12Josh Lambo0133333.03.0
13Jason Sanders0033333.03.0
14Jason Myers22339910.010.0
15Matt Prater0111111.01.0

Stephen Gostkowski (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

FGFGAXPXPASTDPPRFDDK
13vs MIN1233666.06.0
14@ MIA2334999.09.0
15@ PIT1111444.04.0
16PROJ-Dodds2.22.62.93.19.59.511.011.0
16PROJ-Tremblay2.22.72.92.99.59.511.011.0

Bills vs TD

STANDARDPPRFDDK
Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)7T (+2.6)7T (+2.6)9T (+5.0)9T (+5.0)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)7T (-1.5)7T (-1.5)9 (-1.6)9 (-1.6)
WEEKPLAYERPTYDSACKINTFRSFTYTDSTDPPRFDDK
12Jacksonville Jaguars2432700000000.00.0
13Miami Dolphins1741522100889.09.0
14New York Jets23368321009911.011.0
15Detroit Lions1431210000112.02.0

New England Patriots (FanDuel: $4300, DraftKings: $2500)

PTYDSACKINTFRSFTYTDSTDPPRFDDK
13vs MIN10.00278220006610.010.0
14@ MIA34.0041250000556.06.0
15@ PIT17.0037622000667.07.0
16PROJ-Dodds16.203302.41.20.800.612.312.312.3 (H=35)12.3 (H=61)
16PROJ-Tremblay16.253442.1110.10.6121212.0 (H=34)12.0 (H=59)