Matchup Analysis: Washington Redskins at Philadelphia Eagles

Vegas Prediction

Vegas says: Redskins 19, Eagles 25

FBG Projections

TeamRushYardsTDCompAttPass YdTDINT

Washington Redskins Offense: overview

Points (vs AVG) (rank)Rush Yards (vs AVG) (rank)Pass Yards (vs AVG) (rank)
Redskins Offense20.0 (-4.2) (27)118 (+4) (13)214 (-34) (25)
Eagles Defense23.0 (-1.2) (14)104 (-9) (11)276 (+28) (28)

Philadelphia Eagles Offense: overview

Points (vs AVG) (rank)Rush Yards (vs AVG) (rank)Pass Yards (vs AVG) (rank)
Eagles Offense20.9 (-3.2) (24)101 (-12) (24)253 (+5) (13)
Redskins Defense20.8 (-3.3) (7)100 (-13) (8)261 (+13) (23)

Redskins Rushing offense

Neutral matchup vs. the Eagles defense.

Adrian Peterson appears to be slowing down after a stellar start to the season he has been struggling as of late to consistently gain yardage as he is averaging just 3.1 yards per carry over his last four games. It’s not all Peterson’s fault however as the Redskins offensive line has been an absolute mess with Brandon Scherff and Shawn Lauvao out for the year and Trent Williams at far less than 100%. The good news for the Redskins is that they may get Chris Thompson back this week which would help with the rushing attack forcing the defense to defend the run laterally instead of Peterson’s between the tackle type running style.

For the third week in a row, the Eagles rushing attack is crumbling. Both Saquon Barkley and Wayne Gallman moved with ease through the Eagles front seven and ran for 126 yards against this Eagles front. Over the last three games, the Eagles have faced some tough competition (Dallas, New Orleans, and New York Giants) but have allowed the third most rushing yards per game and an average of 1.3 touchdowns per game. This remains a talented unit, but the issue is that the Dime defense that the Eagles have been running to hide their secondary issues have caused issues on the ground as effectively they are playing a 4-1-6 defense with Malcolm Jenkins sliding down to the box at the linebacker position. This is still a unit that has the talent on the defensive line to cause issues for the Redskins and all of the offensive line issues that they have.

Redskins Passing offense

Great matchup vs. the Eagles defense.

Colt McCoy looked like a different quarterback last week in his first start for the Redskins. Instead of being the typical game manager that we have seen throughout his career, McCoy took some chances against the Cowboys tough secondary and while McCoy did throw three interceptions it was good to see him take some chances down the field. The key players were the tight ends for the Redskins as both Jordan Reed and Vernon Davis had tremendous games along with Josh Doctson who had a career-high in receptions and a season-high in yards last week. The Redskins should get Chris Thompson back this week and possibly Jamison Crowder which will get the Redskins back to close to full health heading into this game against the Eagles.

The Eagles secondary is one that has fallen on hard times for most of the season but continues to unravel due to health issues. Rasul Douglas, Sidney Jones, Jalen Mills, and Avonte Maddox are all on injured reserve leaving the Eagles with very little in their secondary as they are rolling out undrafted Chandon Sullivan, and in-season free agent pickups Cre’Von LeBlanc and practice squad player De’Vante Bausby. This is a secondary who will play primarily Dime formation to get additional secondary on the field but are a unit that can be exploited.

Eagles Rushing offense

Neutral matchup vs. the Redskins defense.

Josh Adams has effectively taken over for the Eagles after a breakout performance that we had seen coming for some time. Adams has a tremendous combination of power and speed which is something that the Eagles have not had since Jay Ajayi went down with an injury. Adams snap counts have increased over the last three weeks significantly rising from 31% to 55% to 62% last week including getting 22 of the team’s 27 carries last week.

The Redskins will likely be without Matt Ioannidis this week which is a major blow to the Redskins defensive line this week as 5th round rookie Tim Settle who is a 5th round rookie will likely be forced into action this week. This makes for a very young defensive line for the Redskins as they’ll be running out rookies Daron Payne, Tim Settle and second-year play Jonathan Allen. It is a talented group as a whole but has been an up and down on the season. Zach Brown at middle linebacker remains one of the best in football and we’ve seen what the Redskins can do in shutting down Ezekiel Elliott (33 yards), Christian McCaffrey (20 yards), Mark Ingram and Alvin Kamara (77 total yards), Saquon Barkley (38 yards). However, over the last two weeks, they have shown a bit of fatigue allowing 121 yards to Ezekiel Elliott and 132 combined yards to Lamar Miller and Alfred Blue.

Eagles Passing offense

Great matchup vs. the Redskins defense.

The Eagles passing attack has struggled over the last two weeks after being a strength for a majority of the season. Golden Tate is still struggling to find his role in this offense and has hurt the Eagles passing attack as they are trying to work him into the offense as it has taken targets away from Zach Ertz and Alshon Jeffery. Carson Wentz has been taking more of a check down approach with the team having an increased emphasis on the run with new found running back Josh Adams in the mix.

The Redskins secondary is one of the worst in the NFL this season. The Redskins were absolutely torched by Amari Cooper last week on two deep throws. Josh Norman is a shell of his former self, Quinton Dunbar who started the season off tremendously has been dealing with health issues and looked hobbled in last week’s game and Fabian Moreau has struggled as of late in the slot. All in all, this is no longer the defense that it was to start the season and is averaging giving up 314 yards over their last five games which is the third worst in the NFL.

Eagles vs QB

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)24 (+1.5)24 (+1.5)25 (+1.4)24 (+1.5)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)26 (+4.2)26 (+4.1)27 (+3.8)26 (+3.9)
10Dak Prescott6926362701069124.424.421.721.7
11Drew Brees6522303634000034.234.230.533.5
12Eli Manning6226372971100017.917.914.914.9

Colt McCoy (FanDuel: $6800, DraftKings: $4900)

11vs HOU246125410535010.
12@ DAL63243826823528021.221.218.518.5
13PROJ-Dodds21342291.20.94190.117.917.917.9 (H=43)17.9 (H=60)
13PROJ-Tremblay21342351.21490. (H=40)17.1 (H=55)
13PROJ-Bloom20302031.50.75290.1191919.0 (H=48)19.0 (H=66)

Eagles vs RB

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)13 (-1.4)15 (-0.3)15 (-0.7)18 (+0.2)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)31 (+12.9)32 (+13.6)31 (+13.4)32 (+15.9)
10Ezekiel Elliott621915117636130.736.733.739.7
10Rod Smith10280111402.
11Mark Ingram30161032000022.322.322.325.3
11Alvin Kamara44137101137116.817.817.317.8
12Saquon Barkley481310118741126.233.229.736.2
12Wayne Gallman14525022-

Adrian Peterson (FanDuel: $6500, DraftKings: $5100)

10@ TB341968022106.
11vs HOU4216512000017.
12@ DAL271235022904.
13PROJ-Dodds15630.42130101211.0 (H=19)12.0 (H=29)
13PROJ-Tremblay14590.3213091110.0 (H=16)11.0 (H=24)
13PROJ-Bloom15490.22806.98.97.9 (H=11)8.9 (H=17)

Chris Thompson (FanDuel: $5600, DraftKings: $4500)

13PROJ-Dodds3140.14320.26.410.48.4 (H=14)10.4 (H=25)
13PROJ-Tremblay3130.12160. (H=6)6.1 (H=10)
13PROJ-Bloom3150.15310.26.411.48.9 (H=15)11.4 (H=30)

Kapri Bibbs (FanDuel: $4800, DraftKings: $3700)

10@ TB243280421304.
11vs HOU1610032600.
12@ DAL353171331909.612.611.112.6
13PROJ-Dodds270.11802.13.12.6 (H=2)3.1 (H=3)
13PROJ-Tremblay3110.111002.73.73.2 (H=3)3.7 (H=5)
13PROJ-Bloom000000000.0 (H=0)0.0 (H=0)

Eagles vs WR

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)31 (+4.1)31 (+6.9)31 (+5.4)31 (+7.0)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)25 (+5.1)26 (+7.8)25 (+6.5)25 (+7.9)
10Amari Cooper551067500007.513.510.513.5
10Allen Hurns15224000004.
11TreQuan Smith501310157100021.731.726.734.7
11Michael Thomas574492100015.
12Odell Beckham53958500008.513.511.013.5
12Sterling Shepard57643700003.

Josh Doctson (FanDuel: $5400, DraftKings: $4500)

10@ TB454446100010.614.612.614.6
11vs HOU64733200003.
12@ DAL591066600006.612.69.612.6
13PROJ-Dodds3360.20004.87.86.3 (H=8)7.8 (H=15)
13PROJ-Tremblay3380.2000586.5 (H=9)8.0 (H=16)
13PROJ-Bloom5580.40008.213.210.7 (H=22)13.2 (H=38)

Maurice Harris (FanDuel: $4700, DraftKings: $3800)

10@ TB38555201405.610.68.110.6
11vs HOU41411300001.
12@ DAL365000000000.00.0
13PROJ-Dodds3280.10003.46.44.9 (H=6)6.4 (H=13)
13PROJ-Tremblay2270.10103.45.44.4 (H=5)5.4 (H=9)
13PROJ-Bloom000000000.0 (H=0)0.0 (H=0)

Trey Quinn (FanDuel: $5200, DraftKings: $4200)

11vs HOU53444901004.
12@ DAL46652610008.613.611.113.6
13PROJ-Dodds2240.1000354.0 (H=4)5.0 (H=7)
13PROJ-Tremblay2200.10102.74.73.7 (H=3)4.7 (H=6)
13PROJ-Bloom3180.2000364.5 (H=5)6.0 (H=10)

Michael Floyd (FanDuel: $4500, DraftKings: $3000)

10@ TB31321500001.
11vs HOU33311800001.
12@ DAL260000000000.00.0
13PROJ-Dodds1110.10001.72.72.2 (H=1)2.7 (H=3)
13PROJ-Tremblay1120.10001.82.82.3 (H=1)2.8 (H=3)

Jamison Crowder (FanDuel: $5300, DraftKings: $4000)

13PROJ-Dodds000000000.0 (H=0)0.0 (H=0)
13PROJ-Tremblay2240.10103.15.14.1 (H=4)5.1 (H=8)
13PROJ-Bloom000000000.0 (H=0)0.0 (H=0)

Eagles vs TE

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)4 (-2.7)3 (-3.9)3 (-3.3)3 (-4.1)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)10 (-3.0)11 (-3.5)11 (-3.2)11 (-3.6)
10Dalton Schultz8222102.
11Josh Hill46422602.
12Rhett Ellison55647707.711.79.711.7

Jordan Reed (FanDuel: $6400, DraftKings: $5300)

10@ TB38645105.
11vs HOU5011771113.120.116.620.1
12@ DAL47867507.513.510.513.5
13PROJ-Dodds5500.36.811.89.3 (H=14)11.8 (H=27)
13PROJ-Tremblay5500.36.811.89.3 (H=14)11.8 (H=27)
13PROJ-Bloom5570.58.713.711.2 (H=20)13.7 (H=35)

Vernon Davis (FanDuel: $4900, DraftKings: $2900)

10@ TB271000000.00.0
11vs HOU282000000.00.0
12@ DAL264273113.315.314.315.3
13PROJ-Dodds2250. (H=4)5.1 (H=11)
13PROJ-Tremblay2210. (H=3)4.7 (H=10)
13PROJ-Bloom2310. (H=7)6.3 (H=16)

Eagles vs PK

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)26T (+1.0)26T (+1.0)27 (+1.1) (+0.0)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)32 (+3.6)32 (+3.6)31 (+3.5) (+0.0)
10Brett Maher2333999.09.0
11Wil Lutz2266121212.012.0
12Aldrick Rosas3311101012.012.0

Dustin Hopkins (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

10@ TB3311101012.012.0
11vs HOU0133333.03.0
12@ DAL1123555.05.0

Eagles vs TD

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)21 (+0.7)21 (+0.7)20 (+0.7)20 (+0.7)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)15 (-0.6)15 (-0.6)20 (+1.0)20 (+1.0)
10Dallas Cowboys2042121000445.05.0
11New Orleans Saints7196330009913.013.0
12New York Giants2534130000333.03.0

Washington Redskins (FanDuel: $3400, DraftKings: $2300)

10@ TB3.0050122200101017.017.0
11vs HOU23.00320321009910.010.0
12@ DAL31.0040440000443.03.0
13PROJ-Dodds24.603752.610.600. (H=22)8.3 (H=33)
13PROJ-Tremblay25.253942.51.10.600. (H=23)8.4 (H=34)

Redskins vs QB

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)23 (+1.0)23 (+1.1)20 (+0.6)22 (+1.0)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)23 (+2.8)23 (+2.8)22 (+2.0)23 (+2.8)
9Matt Ryan6826383504100032.532.529.032.0
10Ryan Fitzpatrick69294140602835021.821.815.719.7
11Deshaun Watson6316242081237013.
12Dak Prescott70223128920618130.330.327.427.4

Carson Wentz (FanDuel: $7400, DraftKings: $5600)

10vs DAL6232443602127025.725.722.125.1
11@ NO511933156031605.
12vs NYG652028236102-2015.615.613.213.2
13PROJ-Dodds24372701.80.83110.121.621.621.6 (H=55)21.6 (H=73)
13PROJ-Tremblay25392841.81.13110.1222222.0 (H=57)22.0 (H=75)
13PROJ-Bloom21312221.60.83200.119.319.319.3 (H=45)19.3 (H=60)

Redskins vs RB

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)11 (-2.3)11 (-1.4)11 (-1.9)11 (-1.5)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)24 (+3.0)25 (+3.9)24 (+3.0)24 (+4.5)
9Tevin Coleman39138807568227.632.630.132.6
9Ito Smith2810601214012.413.412.913.4
10Jacquizz Rodgers2610088102010.
10Peyton Barber331361011506.
11Lamar Miller46208605322010.813.812.313.8
11Alfred Blue18846000004.
12Ezekiel Elliott652612116522020.325.322.828.3
12Jamize Olawale8000111001.

Josh Adams (FanDuel: $6100, DraftKings: $4700)

10vs DAL19747000004.
11@ NO2875316319013.216.214.716.2
12vs NYG4022841100014.414.416.416.4
13PROJ-Dodds17700.52150. (H=28)14.1 (H=41)
13PROJ-Tremblay18770.53240.113.716.715.2 (H=36)16.7 (H=55)
13PROJ-Bloom17710.700011.311.311.3 (H=21)11.3 (H=28)

Corey Clement (FanDuel: $5200, DraftKings: $3300)

10vs DAL18513021-500.
11@ NO14211022401.
12vs NYG245450223107.69.610.611.6
13PROJ-Dodds4170.121503.85.84.8 (H=5)5.8 (H=12)
13PROJ-Tremblay4170.121403.75.74.7 (H=5)5.7 (H=12)
13PROJ-Bloom5310.12210. (H=12)8.4 (H=24)

Redskins vs WR

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)25 (+2.8)25 (+3.7)24 (+2.5)25 (+3.5)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)29 (+7.2)27 (+9.5)27 (+7.9)28 (+10.5)
9Julio Jones55107121100018.125.121.628.1
9Calvin Ridley479671116013.719.716.719.7
10Chris Godwin3477103000010.317.313.820.3
10DeSean Jackson44856700006.711.79.211.7
11DeAndre Hopkins636556100011.616.612.115.6
11Keke Coutee42957700007.712.710.212.7
12Amari Cooper4798180200030.
12Noah Brown20212200002.

Alshon Jeffery (FanDuel: $7000, DraftKings: $5400)

10vs DAL60844800004.
11@ NO51543300003.
12vs NYG64333900003.
13PROJ-Dodds4490.40007.311.39.3 (H=13)11.3 (H=24)
13PROJ-Tremblay3420.3000697.5 (H=9)9.0 (H=16)
13PROJ-Bloom5610.50009.114.111.6 (H=19)14.1 (H=36)

Golden Tate (FanDuel: $6100, DraftKings: $4600)

10vs DAL18421900001.
11@ NO36854801-80496.59.0
12vs NYG3984300000375.07.0
13PROJ-Dodds4470.30006.510.58.5 (H=13)10.5 (H=25)
13PROJ-Tremblay4480.30206.810.88.8 (H=14)10.8 (H=26)
13PROJ-Bloom4340.20004.68.66.6 (H=8)8.6 (H=18)

Nelson Agholor (FanDuel: $5300, DraftKings: $3700)

10vs DAL55758300008.313.310.813.3
11@ NO442000000000.00.0
12vs NYG47111200001.
13PROJ-Dodds2310.10003.75.74.7 (H=5)5.7 (H=11)
13PROJ-Tremblay2240.1000354.0 (H=4)5.0 (H=8)
13PROJ-Bloom1140.1000232.5 (H=1)3.0 (H=3)

Jordan Matthews (FanDuel: $4600, DraftKings: $3000)

10vs DAL3733400000475.57.0
11@ NO14433700003.
12vs NYG141000000000.00.0
13PROJ-Dodds000000000.0 (H=0)0.0 (H=0)
13PROJ-Tremblay2240.1000354.0 (H=4)5.0 (H=10)
13PROJ-Bloom000000000.0 (H=0)0.0 (H=0)

Redskins vs TE

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)5 (-2.2)9 (-2.8)2T (-2.5)9 (-3.0)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)4 (-4.8)1 (-6.9)2 (-5.8)1 (-6.9)
9Austin Hooper54334104.
10O.J. Howard45211501.
11Jordan Akins18224204.
12Blake Jarwin35222502.

Zach Ertz (FanDuel: $7600, DraftKings: $6600)

10vs DAL621614145226.540.533.543.5
11@ NO47321501.
12vs NYG528791115.122.118.622.1
13PROJ-Dodds7810.611.718.715.2 (H=29)18.7 (H=48)
13PROJ-Tremblay8900.612.620.616.6 (H=34)20.6 (H=57)
13PROJ-Bloom7650.610.117.113.6 (H=24)17.1 (H=41)

Dallas Goedert (FanDuel: $5100, DraftKings: $2500)

10vs DAL180000000.00.0
11@ NO161000000.00.0
12vs NYG36433303.
13PROJ-Dodds2160. (H=3)4.8 (H=12)
13PROJ-Tremblay2170. (H=4)4.9 (H=12)
13PROJ-Bloom2270. (H=4)5.3 (H=14)

Redskins vs PK

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)4 (-1.8)4 (-1.8)16T (-2.1) (+0.0)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)17T (+0.5)17T (+0.5)16 (+0.2) (+0.0)
9Giorgio Tavecchio1155888.08.0
10Chandler Catanzaro1300333.03.0
11Kaimi Fairbairn3522111113.013.0
12Brett Maher1144777.07.0

Jake Elliott (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

10vs DAL22228810.010.0
11@ NO0011111.01.0
12vs NYG33009911.011.0

Redskins vs TD

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)10 (-1.2)10 (-1.2)14 (-0.7)14 (-0.7)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)25 (+2.1)25 (+2.1)27 (+2.5)27 (+2.5)
9Atlanta Falcons1436631000556.06.0
10Tampa Bay Buccaneers1628630000334.04.0
11Houston Texans2127852001151515.015.0
12Dallas Cowboys2333133000999.09.0

Philadelphia Eagles (FanDuel: $4100, DraftKings: $2600)

10vs DAL27.0041040000444.04.0
11@ NO48.005460000000-4.0-4.0
12vs NYG22.0040221000444.04.0
13PROJ-Dodds19.003402.40.90.800.510.310.310.3 (H=27)10.3 (H=43)
13PROJ-Tremblay18.753342.210.900.611.111.111.1 (H=31)11.1 (H=49)