Matchup Analysis: Arizona Cardinals at Green Bay Packers

Vegas Prediction

Vegas says: Cardinals 15, Packers 29

FBG Projections

TeamRushYardsTDCompAttPass YdTDINT

Arizona Cardinals Offense: overview

Points (vs AVG) (rank)Rush Yards (vs AVG) (rank)Pass Yards (vs AVG) (rank)
Cardinals Offense14.1 (-10.1) (32)77 (-36) (32)155 (-92) (32)
Packers Defense24.3 (+0.1) (16)123 (+9) (23)232 (-15) (9)

Green Bay Packers Offense: overview

Points (vs AVG) (rank)Rush Yards (vs AVG) (rank)Pass Yards (vs AVG) (rank)
Packers Offense24.0 (-0.2) (17)106 (-6) (21)279 (+31) (8)
Cardinals Defense26.6 (+2.5) (26)145 (+31) (30)220 (-28) (4)

Cardinals Rushing offense

Neutral matchup vs. the Packers defense.

The heavy usage of David Johnson continues as he saw another 17 carries last week, but the type of carries are what seem to have held him back from having a better outing. The Cardinals own one of the worst offensive lines in football as the injury-laden unit tries to scrap together some level of cohesiveness with limited talent. Despite this obvious weakness, nearly all of Johnson’s carries last week went up the middle relying wholly on his offensive line instead of getting him into space, with all but three of those carries ending in fewer than five-yard gains. The coaching staff has certainly taken plenty of criticism this season, but taking last week’s outing aside, their usage of Johnson has improved while the volume continues to be there. While his productivity on the ground may not be the primary attraction, Johnson remains an elite talent that just needs the right playcalling to set him up for success. With that said, this remains one of the league’s worst rushing offenses and will continue to be limited on the ground by their poor offensive line play, a shaky quarterback situation, and comeback mentality required from negative game scripts.

The Packers run defense had a decent game last week limiting the Vikings running backs to only 62 rushing yards despite it being their first outing without a couple key pieces of their defensive front in Mike Daniels and Nick Perry. Middle linebacker Blake Martinez was all over the field, just as he has been all season, while Green Bay’s defensive front took advantage of a sub-par Vikings offensive line. Kenny Clark is showing he can put this defensive line on his back as he has been absolutely elite as one of the best at his position. Coming off a couple tough outings against the Seahawks and Colts, it was encouraging to see this defense have some success against the run, now ranked 23rd in rushing yards per game allowed. If this defense can have success against the Vikings offensive line, they certainly should have the upper hand this week against a clear bottom-five ranked Cardinals offensive line.

Cardinals Passing offense

Tough matchup vs. the Packers defense.

Josh Rosen turned in another ugly performance last week as he passed for a season-low 105 yards for just one touchdown and one interception. Rosen now has thrown 10 interceptions in his last six games while rarely completing more than 60 percent of his passes. This offense is handcuffed with Rosen under center playing as bad as he is, and the coaching staff seems to know it as they have begun limiting his pass attempts with just 20 and 19 in his last two outings compared to over 30 attempts in each of the previous four games. Larry Fitzgerald managed to score for his fifth time in as many games last week despite getting just two targets, but he has surpassed 50 receiving yards in a game just twice all year. David Johnson has seen only three targets in back to back games despite the upside he could bring to this offense. Both Fitzgerald and Johnson are the only viable fantasy players to consider in this offense, but neither bring much excitement given the low volume they are operating with.

Given the woes of the Cardinals passing offense, even the injury-laden the Packers defense should not have significant issues in this one. They did allow 342 yards and three touchdowns to Kirk Cousins last week, but this Packers defense had played relatively well in most prior outings as Cousins is the only quarterback to have passed for more than 300 yards in a game against them (has done it in both meetings). Rookie cornerback Jaire Alexander continues to play well on a weekly basis and should help with locking down Christian Kirk in this one. Larry Fitzgerald actually should have a positive matchup against Bashaud Breeland if Kevin King misses another game, but King did get in a limited practice at the end of last week, so keep an eye on his status. If King returns, this secondary is significantly upgraded. The Cardinals offensive line should be in for a challenge to keep Rosen upright against a Packers pass rush that has registered multiple sacks all but one game this season, tied with the third-most sacks in the league. That pressure combined with the above-average play from this Packers secondary should make it very difficult on the Cardinals come Sunday.

Packers Rushing offense

Great matchup vs. the Cardinals defense.

Aaron Jones is the face of this rushing offense as the Packers are leaning heavily on him and no other running back. Jones has played at least 74 percent of the snaps in three straight games, leading this backfield in snaps in five straight games since their Week 7 bye. Over that five-game period since the bye week, Jones has rushed 69 times compared to just 16 rushing attempts from Jamaal Williams, who has had just two rushes in the past two games. Jones continues to look great ad he is making the most out of his solid volume with five touchdowns in the last five weeks while still maintaining right at six yards per rush attempt on the season. Left tackle David Bakhtiari suffered two injuries to the same knee in last week’s game and is questionable coming into this week. This offensive line is a top-5 unit with Bakhtiari on the field, and he would certainly be missed if unable to suit up this week. However, this line should still grade out as an above average unit even without Bakhtiari. Jones has also shown great toughness to pick up yards after contact all season long, so he should still be a solid play even if his running lanes may be slightly thinner.

The Cardinals’ stretch of terrible games against the run continued last week as they allowed nearly 180 yards on the ground to the Chargers. This defense has allowed fewer than 100 rushing yards to running backs just twice in 11 games this season, fueling why they rank second-worst in the NFL in both rushing yards and fantasy points (non-PPR) allowed to running backs. Improvement is nowhere in sight for this unit as they just lost middle linebacker Josh Bynes for the season due to an injury sustained last week. Bynes has been one of the best players on this entire defense, and certainly was their top run defender in the middle. Gerald Hodges saw an uptick in snaps to replace Bynes last week, but he has no proven talent against the run and should continue contributing to one of the league’s worst run defenses that should allow ample running room for Jones and company this week.

Packers Passing offense

Neutral matchup vs. the Cardinals defense.

With hopes for the playoffs now gone, the Packers passing offense has to try and rebound from what was a very poor outing last week against the Vikings. Aaron Rodgers had his worst game of the season as the Packers offensive line fell victim to constant pressure while Rodgers struggled to find open receivers. Davante Adams remained the top target in this offense for the eighth straight game as he found the end zone despite tough coverage from Xavier Rhodes. Adams will get another difficult matchup this week, but he has managed to excel despite who is covering him with consistently elite production throughout the season. Marquez Valdez-Scantling was a non-factor for the second straight game, while Equanimeous St. Brown went down with an elbow injury last week and is questionable for this game. Randall Cobb may be back this week as he was close to returning in Week 12, so keep an eye on his status as he could slide right back into the lineup in lieu of St. Brown. Jimmy Graham played through a thumb injury but was, again, ineffective in the passing game and could be questionable going into Sunday depending on how he practices this week.

In the words of their coach Steve Wilks, the “wheels fell off” for the Cardinals last week. It was one of the worst games this passing defense has played all season as the Cardinals allowed Phillip Rivers to break the NFL record for most consecutive pass completions (25) to start a game. Had it not been a blowout, Rivers could have easily amassed over 300 passing yards as the statistics of this passing defense were yet again saved by the game script. Last week aside, this Cardinals pass defense has been anchored by a solid pass rush that has propelled the Cardinals to 37 sacks this season--second-most in the league. The Packers offensive line will be tested as they have not been the best in pass protection this season, giving up 36 sacks on the season--nine of which have come in the last two weeks. Arizona lost one of their top defenders last week though, as middle linebacker Josh Bynes went down with a thumb injury that will end his season. While the loss of Bynes should not have a significant impact on the Cardinals’ ability to bring pressure, he was a contributor in coverage and will certainly be missed. Patrick Peterson remains a solid cornerback who should contribute to making it tough on Davante Adams this week, but Adams has proven to be rather matchup-proof throughout this season, so even Peterson should have trouble shutting him down.

Packers vs QB

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)13 (-1.2)13 (-1.1)13 (-0.9)13 (-1.2)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)11 (-1.8)11 (-1.6)9 (-2.1)11 (-1.9)
9Tom Brady712235294105-1018.618.615.715.7
10Brock Osweiler682337213011009.
11Russell Wilson70213122520517019.920.918.118.6
12Kirk Cousins70293834230617030.830.827.430.4

Josh Rosen (FanDuel: $6500, DraftKings: $4900)

10@ KC732239208121-1012.312.310.210.2
11vs OAK549201363210016.816.815.415.4
12@ LAC471219105112-
13PROJ-Dodds193320711.2270.114.414.414.4 (H=31)14.4 (H=41)
13PROJ-Tremblay18301961115013.313.313.3 (H=27)13.3 (H=36)
13PROJ-Bloom15311411.31.500010.710.710.7 (H=18)10.7 (H=24)

Packers vs RB

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)17 (-0.2)12 (-1.3)14 (-0.8)12 (-1.4)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)15 (-0.8)14 (-1.6)14 (-1.6)11 (-2.6)
9James White56123127672022.328.325.328.3
9Kenjon Barner314000000.
10Frank Gore29139003212010.
10Kenyan Drake348270221103.
11Chris Carson2917831000014.314.312.313.3
11Mike Davis224260222405.
12Dalvin Cook41102903347113.616.615.116.6
12Latavius Murray281133000003.

David Johnson (FanDuel: $7500, DraftKings: $7400)

10@ KC56219819785130.337.333.837.3
11vs OAK432513703117015.416.415.919.4
12@ LAC3717630321607.
13PROJ-Dodds19750.44410. (H=36)19.2 (H=45)
13PROJ-Tremblay18720.44290. (H=29)17.1 (H=36)
13PROJ-Bloom17670.33220.211.914.913.4 (H=23)14.9 (H=29)

Chase Edmonds (FanDuel: $4500, DraftKings: $3800)

10@ KC1727000000.
11vs OAK11517000001.
12@ LAC95000000000.00.0
13PROJ-Dodds290.1150232.5 (H=2)3.0 (H=3)
13PROJ-Tremblay3130.10302.22.22.2 (H=1)2.2 (H=2)
13PROJ-Bloom3800000.80.80.8 (H=0)0.8 (H=0)

Packers vs WR

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)29 (+3.8)27 (+3.8)29 (+4.0)27 (+4.1)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)30 (+8.4)31 (+12.5)31 (+10.4)31 (+12.9)
9Josh Gordon57105130100019.024.021.527.0
9Cordarrelle Patterson1311701161112.813.813.313.8
10Danny Amendola661077200007.214.210.714.2
10DeVante Parker451154300004.
11Doug Baldwin6210752100011.218.214.718.2
11Tyler Lockett53557101107.212.29.712.2
12Adam Thielen6898125100018.526.522.529.5
12Stefon Diggs66118771112014.922.918.922.9

Larry Fitzgerald (FanDuel: $6400, DraftKings: $5100)

10@ KC701065000005118.011.0
11vs OAK504223200014.316.315.316.3
12@ LAC432230100091110.011.0
13PROJ-Dodds5500.30006.811.89.3 (H=14)11.8 (H=28)
13PROJ-Tremblay4460.30006.410.48.4 (H=12)10.4 (H=22)
13PROJ-Bloom4510.60008.712.710.7 (H=18)12.7 (H=32)

Christian Kirk (FanDuel: $5700, DraftKings: $4600)

10@ KC6562800000.
11vs OAK484377100013.716.715.216.7
12@ LAC43644100004.
13PROJ-Dodds4500.20006.210.28.3 (H=13)10.3 (H=24)
13PROJ-Tremblay4480.20106.110.18.2 (H=13)10.2 (H=24)
13PROJ-Bloom4420.40006.610.68.7 (H=14)10.7 (H=26)

J.J. Nelson (FanDuel: $4600, DraftKings: $3000)

10@ KC2010001-100-1-1-1.0-1.0
11vs OAK171000000000.00.0
12@ LAC180000000000.00.0
13PROJ-Dodds11100001.12.11.6 (H=0)2.1 (H=2)
13PROJ-Tremblay1900201.12.11.6 (H=0)2.1 (H=2)
13PROJ-Bloom000000000.0 (H=0)0.0 (H=0)

Chad Williams (FanDuel: $4500, DraftKings: $3000)

13PROJ-Dodds000000000.0 (H=0)0.0 (H=0)
13PROJ-Tremblay1160.10002.23.22.7 (H=2)3.2 (H=4)
13PROJ-Bloom000000000.0 (H=0)0.0 (H=0)

Packers vs TE

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)3 (-2.7)5 (-3.5)4 (-3.0)5 (-3.6)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)8 (-3.5)9 (-5.1)8 (-4.2)8 (-5.1)
9Dwayne Allen66112102.
10A.J. Derby30211301.
11Ed Dickson30111517.
12Kyle Rudolph64776306.313.39.813.3

Ricky Seals-Jones (FanDuel: $5200, DraftKings: $2900)

10@ KC46955105.110.17.610.1
11vs OAK2131500.
12@ LAC1921500.
13PROJ-Dodds3290. (H=7)7.1 (H=20)
13PROJ-Tremblay3290. (H=7)7.1 (H=20)
13PROJ-Bloom2140.1243.0 (H=2)4.0 (H=7)

Jermaine Gresham (FanDuel: $4200, DraftKings: $2500)

10@ KC290000000.00.0
11vs OAK3921800.
12@ LAC3111200.
13PROJ-Dodds1100121.5 (H=0)2.0 (H=2)
13PROJ-Tremblay1700.71.71.2 (H=0)1.7 (H=2)
13PROJ-Bloom1500.51.51.0 (H=0)1.5 (H=1)

Packers vs PK

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)27T (+0.2)27T (+0.2)19 (+0.0) (+0.0)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)27 (+1.8)27 (+1.8)25 (+1.7) (+0.0)
9Stephen Gostkowski1144777.07.0
10Jason Sanders4400121214.014.0
11Sebastian Janikowski22339910.010.0
12Dan Bailey1333666.06.0

Zane Gonzalez (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)


Packers vs TD

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)15 (-0.2)15 (-0.2)17 (-0.3)17 (-0.3)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)10T (-1.4)10T (-1.4)14T (-0.7)14T (-0.7)
9New England Patriots1736810100334.04.0
10Miami Dolphins3137720100445.05.0
11Seattle Seahawks2435950000555.05.0
12Minnesota Vikings1725440100667.07.0

Arizona Cardinals (FanDuel: $2800, DraftKings: $2000)

10@ KC26.0033050000555.05.0
11vs OAK23.0032540000444.04.0
12@ LAC45.0041440100662.02.0
13PROJ-Dodds29.103972.50.70.600. (H=16)6.1 (H=22)
13PROJ-Tremblay29.253892.40.80.500.3666.0 (H=15)6.0 (H=22)

Cardinals vs QB

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)4 (-2.8)4 (-2.8)2 (-3.0)3 (-3.1)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)19 (+0.5)19 (+0.4)17 (+0.2)17 (-0.4)
10Patrick Mahomes59212824920421022.622.620.120.1
11Derek Carr6819311922000017.617.615.715.7
12Philip Rivers5628292593013025.325.320.721.7

Aaron Rodgers (FanDuel: $8300, DraftKings: $6200)

10vs MIA57192819920621020.
11@ SEA4921303322013024.924.921.624.6
12@ MIN5317281981000013.913.911.911.9
13PROJ-Dodds23362752.10.53160.123.823.823.8 (H=58)23.8 (H=78)
13PROJ-Tremblay223627320.83140.122.822.822.8 (H=54)22.8 (H=72)
13PROJ-Bloom19252242.10.5270.120.420.420.4 (H=44)20.4 (H=59)

Cardinals vs RB

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)31 (+6.9)29 (+6.5)30 (+7.0)29 (+6.8)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)28 (+5.4)29 (+6.7)29 (+6.2)27 (+6.1)
10Kareem Hunt4316710222509.611.610.611.6
10Spencer Ware2026111707.
11Jalen Richard3211610433209.312.310.812.3
11Doug Martin141052011605.
12Melvin Gordon2710612225018.620.619.620.6
12Austin Ekeler255351111068016.326.321.326.3

Aaron Jones (FanDuel: $7600, DraftKings: $6700)

10vs MIA421514525327029.232.230.735.2
11@ SEA44114016563122.327.324.827.3
12@ MIN40177215321015.318.316.818.3
13PROJ-Dodds19940.94290.118.322.320.3 (H=48)22.3 (H=64)
13PROJ-Tremblay17840.84320.1172119.0 (H=43)21.0 (H=58)
13PROJ-Bloom18911.13240.118.721.720.2 (H=47)21.7 (H=61)

Jamaal Williams (FanDuel: $4800, DraftKings: $3500)

10vs MIA1433000000.
11@ SEA415000000.
12@ MIN1315000000.
13PROJ-Dodds4150.11502.63.63.1 (H=2)3.6 (H=5)
13PROJ-Tremblay4150.10302.42.42.4 (H=1)2.4 (H=2)
13PROJ-Bloom6180.10002.42.42.4 (H=1)2.4 (H=2)

Cardinals vs WR

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)10 (-1.5)14 (-0.9)13 (-1.2)14 (-1.1)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)24 (+4.6)22 (+4.3)23 (+4.5)22 (+4.4)
10Tyreek Hill541071172120025.732.729.235.7
10Demarcus Robinson43433000003.
11Brandon LaFell37322910008.910.99.910.9
11Marcell Ateman65545000005.
12Mike Williams634425200014.518.516.518.5
12Keenan Allen527772100013.220.216.720.2

Davante Adams (FanDuel: $8500, DraftKings: $7900)

10vs MIA537457200017.721.719.721.7
11@ SEA461210166000016.626.621.629.6
12@ MIN538569100012.917.915.417.9
13PROJ-Dodds7840.800013.220.216.7 (H=30)20.2 (H=46)
13PROJ-Tremblay7890.800013.720.717.2 (H=32)20.7 (H=48)
13PROJ-Bloom6690.900012.318.315.3 (H=26)18.3 (H=38)

Marquez Valdes-Scantling (FanDuel: $5200, DraftKings: $5200)

10vs MIA54764400004.410.47.410.4
11@ SEA4831800000.
12@ MIN4421300000.
13PROJ-Dodds3450.30006.39.37.8 (H=13)9.3 (H=18)
13PROJ-Tremblay3440.30006.29.27.7 (H=13)9.2 (H=17)
13PROJ-Bloom2310.20004.36.35.3 (H=6)6.3 (H=9)

Equanimeous St. Brown (FanDuel: $4500, DraftKings: $3300)

10vs MIA3332300000.
11@ SEA43411600001.
12@ MIN36535301505.
13PROJ-Dodds2360.20004.86.85.8 (H=9)6.8 (H=16)
13PROJ-Tremblay3380.20105.18.16.6 (H=11)8.1 (H=22)
13PROJ-Bloom3480.30006.69.68.1 (H=16)9.6 (H=30)

Randall Cobb (FanDuel: $5300, DraftKings: $4500)

13PROJ-Dodds2270.20003.95.94.9 (H=5)5.9 (H=9)
13PROJ-Tremblay1130.10001.92.92.4 (H=1)2.9 (H=2)
13PROJ-Bloom000000000.0 (H=0)0.0 (H=0)

Cardinals vs TE

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)6 (-2.0)8 (-3.0)6 (-2.5)8 (-3.2)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)13 (-2.3)14 (-2.8)14 (-2.5)14 (-2.8)
10Travis Kelce58764604.610.67.610.6
11Jared Cook39633119.112.110.612.1
12Sean Culkin7112402.

Jimmy Graham (FanDuel: $5800, DraftKings: $4000)

10vs MIA39111401.
11@ SEA21111301.
12@ MIN22423403.
13PROJ-Dodds3410. (H=11)8.9 (H=22)
13PROJ-Tremblay3320. (H=7)7.4 (H=16)
13PROJ-Bloom2310. (H=6)6.3 (H=12)

Lance Kendricks (FanDuel: $4100, DraftKings: $2600)

10vs MIA35222402.
11@ SEA26221201.
12@ MIN22321401.
13PROJ-Dodds2120. (H=2)3.8 (H=7)
13PROJ-Tremblay2160. (H=4)4.8 (H=11)
13PROJ-Bloom2150. (H=3)4.1 (H=8)

Cardinals vs PK

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)18 (-0.1)18 (-0.1)16T (-0.1) (+0.0)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)30 (+2.6)30 (+2.6)30 (+2.8) (+0.0)
10Harrison Butker22228810.010.0
11Daniel Carlson3322111112.012.0
12Mike Badgley1166999.09.0

Mason Crosby (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

10vs MIA1144777.07.0
11@ SEA1233666.06.0
12@ MIN1122555.05.0

Cardinals vs TD

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)27T (+1.6)27T (+1.6)22T (+4.4)22T (+4.4)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)19T (+0.1)19T (+0.1)22 (+1.7)22 (+1.7)
10Kansas City Chiefs14260520009910.010.0
11Oakland Raiders2128212000555.05.0
12Los Angeles Chargers1014921000448.08.0

Green Bay Packers (FanDuel: $4400, DraftKings: $2800)

10vs MIA12.0029461100101014.014.0
11@ SEA27.0037830100555.05.0
12@ MIN24.0041620000222.02.0
13PROJ-Dodds15.703002.61.10.900.713.113.113.1 (H=39)13.1 (H=61)
13PROJ-Tremblay15.25289211.10.10.813.613.613.6 (H=41)13.6 (H=65)