Matchup Analysis: Chicago Bears at New York Giants

Vegas Prediction

Vegas says: Bears 2, Giants -1

FBG Projections

TeamRushYardsTDCompAttPass YdTDINT

Chicago Bears Offense: overview

Points (vs AVG) (rank)Rush Yards (vs AVG) (rank)Pass Yards (vs AVG) (rank)
Bears Offense28.8 (+4.7) (5)115 (+1) (15)234 (-13) (20)
Giants Defense26.2 (+2.0) (25)126 (+12) (26)252 (+4) (18)

New York Giants Offense: overview

Points (vs AVG) (rank)Rush Yards (vs AVG) (rank)Pass Yards (vs AVG) (rank)
Giants Offense21.5 (-2.6) (22)92 (-21) (29)260 (+11) (12)
Bears Defense19.2 (-5.0) (2)81 (-32) (2)235 (-12) (10)

Bears Rushing offense

Good matchup vs. the Giants defense.

The Bears rushing attack continues to be almost non-existent this season as last week the Bears were unable to move the ball rushing for just 38 yards last week against the Lions. The Bears all but abandoned the run last week as Jordan Howard who consistently has been ineffective the last few weeks has been unable to show a burst and with the offensive line issues that the Bears have had with Pro Bowl Guard Kyle Long being out, there is not much room for Howard and this offense to move the ball.

The Giants rushing defense has been a unit that has really struggled since the trade of Damon Harrison who was a leader on the defensive line for this team and made the lives of his fellow teammates significantly easier. Since the Harrison trade, the Giants have allowed every starting running back to score a touchdown and have allowed 98 yards per game to the starting running backs. The Giants have faced some fairly easy competition which complicates matters even more as they have faced Josh Adams, Peyton Barber, Matt Breida, Adrian Peterson, and Tevin Coleman over that five-game period. This is a unit that should not be feared and is one of the weaker units in the NFL. The big question will be whether the Bears can commit to the running game long enough to beat this Giants team.

Bears Passing offense

Neutral matchup vs. the Giants defense.

Chase Daniel at this point is looking likely to get another start for the Bears. The strategy for Daniel is simple, get the ball out quickly and avoid making mistakes. Last week in his first start as a Bears quarterback, Daniel threw the ball 37 times, but for an average of 6.2 yards per attempt. Daniel was the fastest quarterback release this past weekend at 2.55 seconds which is faster than any quarterbacks average in the NFL so far this season. The Bears have perfect weapons to get the ball out quickly as they will continue to rely on Taylor Gabriel and Tarik Cohen on short to intermediate routes.

The Giants are a middle of the road pass defense on the year. While it is a burnable unit that has allowed 300 yards or more in three of their games this season, they have also held opponents to 250 yards or less in seven games this year. Janoris Jenkins continues to be an up and down corner who looks great one week and a liability the next week. The one area that the Giants do struggle with is the tight end position which could lead to Trey Burton getting out of his slump as the Giants have allowed 7 receptions or more and 59 yards or more to opposing tight ends in each of their last four games.

Giants Rushing offense

Bad matchup vs. the Bears defense.

Saquon Barkley continues to dazzle each and every week. If there is a negative about Barkley it is that he still relies on the long run too much as he is consistently trying to find a hole in order to break the long one which has often left him with far too many negative rushes, but that is easily offset when looking at total yardage when he breaks a run over 20 yards as he has done in 7 of the teamís 11 games this season. The offensive line issues remain for the Giants but are a much better run blocking unit than a pass blocking unit and if they can get enough push against the Bears front 7, Barkley can once again have a chance to have a big day.

The Bears rushing defense had one of those games that makes you scratch your head last week as they allowed 88 yards and two touchdowns to LeGarrette Blount after being nearly perfect for the entire season. This was a unit that had allowed just two running backs to run over 51 yards on the season and both were in the 105 degree Miami heat in the same game. A large portion of the struggle last week could be attributed to the short turnaround in game times as it was the shortest in NFL history playing on Sunday Night and then having to play again at 12:30 PM on Thanksgiving Day. This remains a unit that is a dominant one led by Akiem Hicks, Eddie Goldman, and Khalil Mack which should make the Giants porous offensive line in for a long day this week.

Giants Passing offense

Tough matchup vs. the Bears defense.

Eli Manning is undeservedly taking most of the blame for the Giants struggles this season. While the touchdowns have not been there for the Giants quarterback, he is on pace to set a career high in completion percentage and have the second most yards he has thrown in his career. The issue for the Giants has largely been their offensive line and the number of sacks that they have taken as a result of a poorly constructed offensive line. This is an offense that still has significant weapons around it in Saquon Barkley, Odell Beckham, Sterling Shepard, and Evan Engram continues to show signs of getting healthier.

The Bears secondary is by no means as good as their front seven and their run defense but it is still a tough unit to throw on consistently. The Bears have only allowed an opponent to throw above 300 yards twice this season, but have allowed two or more passing touchdowns in seven games this season. Prince Amukamara remains a gambling corner who takes a lot of chances which can leave him in bad positions at times including allowing Stefon Diggs to catch 13 receptions for 126 yards and a touchdown two weeks ago, but Kyle Fuller has developed nicely into a shut-down corner. The problem for the Bears is they do not move sides of their corners at all, so the Giants will likely avoid having Beckham on Fuller for much of this game switching him between the slot and the left side to match up against Amukamara.

Giants vs QB

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)9 (-1.5)9 (-1.5)10 (-1.2)8 (-1.8)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)12 (-1.1)12 (-1.1)12 (-1.1)9 (-2.1)
10Nick Mullens7327392501221014.614.612.112.1
11Jameis Winston30121619921516018.618.616.616.6
12Carson Wentz652028236102-2015.615.613.213.2

Chase Daniel (FanDuel: $6000, DraftKings: $4800)

12@ DET5827372302044020.721.718.919.4
13PROJ-Dodds22332451.613130.119.619.619.6 (H=57)19.6 (H=72)
13PROJ-Tremblay18291981.40.85180.217.717.717.7 (H=48)17.7 (H=60)
13PROJ-Bloom22312061.70.622016.716.716.7 (H=43)16.7 (H=54)

Mitchell Trubisky (FanDuel: $7900, DraftKings: $5700)

10vs DET57233035530318137.637.636.039.0
11vs MIN742031165121043014.614.616.916.9
13PROJ-Dodds00000000000.0 (H=0)0.0 (H=0)
13PROJ-Tremblay23240.20.11302.22.22.2 (H=0)2.2 (H=1)
13PROJ-Bloom00000000000.0 (H=0)0.0 (H=0)

Giants vs RB

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)23 (+2.0)21 (+1.2)22 (+1.7)22 (+1.8)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)22 (+2.3)17 (-0.0)23 (+2.6)23 (+2.6)
10Matt Breida441710114331125.228.226.731.2
10Alfred Morris14919010001.
11Peyton Barber48181061224017.
11Jacquizz Rodgers23315030001.
12Josh Adams4022841100014.414.416.416.4
12Corey Clement245450223107.69.610.611.6

Tarik Cohen (FanDuel: $6100, DraftKings: $5600)

10vs DET3171517629010.416.413.416.4
11vs MIN30727043230584.57.0
12@ DET2231408745111.918.915.418.9
13PROJ-Dodds8360.24390.29.913.912.0 (H=24)14.0 (H=34)
13PROJ-Tremblay6260.24360.28.612.610.7 (H=19)12.7 (H=29)
13PROJ-Bloom5210.24250.37.611.69.7 (H=16)11.7 (H=25)

Jordan Howard (FanDuel: $5700, DraftKings: $4000)

10vs DET3011210111103.
11vs MIN481863011206.
12@ DET35713021201.
13PROJ-Dodds15590.41709109.5 (H=17)10.0 (H=26)
13PROJ-Tremblay14510.51608.79.79.2 (H=16)9.7 (H=25)
13PROJ-Bloom14550.51308.89.89.3 (H=16)9.8 (H=26)

Taquan Mizzell (FanDuel: $4700, DraftKings: $3100)

10vs DET81000000000.00.0
11vs MIN11-100000-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1
12@ DET9170322118.810.89.810.8
13PROJ-Dodds1301600.91.91.4 (H=0)1.9 (H=1)
13PROJ-Tremblay130170121.5 (H=0)2.0 (H=2)

Giants vs WR

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)9 (-2.3)10 (-2.7)9 (-2.7)9 (-3.3)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)16 (-0.6)15 (-0.2)16 (-0.3)14 (-0.1)
10Marquise Goodwin61546900006.910.98.910.9
10Kendrick Bourne69743300003.
11Mike Evans6576120100124.
11Adam Humphries495360100012.015.013.515.0
12Alshon Jeffery64333900003.
12Golden Tate39843000003.

Allen Robinson (FanDuel: $6500, DraftKings: $5700)

10vs DET5486133200025.331.328.334.3
11vs MIN67733900003.
12@ DET51423700003.
13PROJ-Dodds4530.40007.711.79.7 (H=15)11.7 (H=24)
13PROJ-Tremblay4500.40007.411.49.4 (H=14)11.4 (H=23)
13PROJ-Bloom4610.50009.113.111.1 (H=19)13.1 (H=30)

Taylor Gabriel (FanDuel: $5300, DraftKings: $4200)

10vs DET463000000000.00.0
11vs MIN559752021706.913.910.413.9
12@ DET47874900004.911.98.411.9
13PROJ-Dodds4460.31406.810.88.8 (H=16)10.8 (H=29)
13PROJ-Tremblay4430.31506.610.68.6 (H=15)10.6 (H=28)
13PROJ-Bloom5360.11404.69.67.1 (H=11)9.6 (H=23)

Anthony Miller (FanDuel: $5300, DraftKings: $4500)

10vs DET4265122100018.223.220.726.2
11vs MIN60322511-108.410.49.410.4
12@ DET33434100004.
13PROJ-Dodds3420.3000697.5 (H=12)9.0 (H=19)
13PROJ-Tremblay2320.30105.17.16.1 (H=8)7.1 (H=13)
13PROJ-Bloom4470.40007.111.19.1 (H=17)11.1 (H=28)

Josh Bellamy (FanDuel: $4500, DraftKings: $3000)

10vs DET60000000000.00.0
11vs MIN13321100001.
12@ DET1811700000.
13PROJ-Dodds1110.10001.72.72.2 (H=1)2.7 (H=3)
13PROJ-Tremblay190.10001.52.52.0 (H=1)2.5 (H=3)
13PROJ-Bloom000000000.0 (H=0)0.0 (H=0)

Giants vs TE

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)16 (-0.1)17 (+0.8)16 (+0.4)27T (+0.6)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)26 (+3.6)28T (+7.4)27 (+5.6)27 (+7.4)
10George Kittle711098308.317.312.817.3
11O.J. Howard51657807.812.810.312.8
12Zach Ertz528791115.122.118.622.1

Trey Burton (FanDuel: $5800, DraftKings: $3800)

10vs DET4344400488.010.0
11vs MIN5911900.
12@ DET55742802.
13PROJ-Dodds3390. (H=10)8.7 (H=22)
13PROJ-Tremblay3340. (H=9)8.2 (H=20)
13PROJ-Bloom4340. (H=12)9.8 (H=27)

Giants vs PK

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)25T (+2.9)25T (+2.9)32 (+3.7) (+0.0)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)25 (+1.6)25 (+1.6)27 (+2.1) (+0.0)
10Robbie Gould3322111113.013.0
11Cairo Santos0055555.05.0
12Jake Elliott33009911.011.0

Cody Parkey (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

10vs DET0224222.02.0
11vs MIN33009911.011.0
12@ DET1122556.06.0

Giants vs TD

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)5T (+0.9)5T (+0.9)21 (+1.3)21 (+1.3)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)5 (-2.9)5 (-2.9)6T (-3.3)6T (-3.3)
10San Francisco 49ers2727710000111.01.0
11Tampa Bay Buccaneers3835940000443.03.0
12Philadelphia Eagles2240221000444.04.0

Chicago Bears (FanDuel: $4800, DraftKings: $3300)

10vs DET22.0030562100121212.012.0
11vs MIN20.0026822101141415.015.0
12@ DET16.0033322001121213.013.0
13PROJ-Dodds20.203442.810.800.510.610.610.6 (H=24)10.6 (H=36)
13PROJ-Tremblay20.253682.510.800.510.310.310.3 (H=23)10.3 (H=34)

Bears vs QB

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)6T (-2.1)6T (-2.1)8 (-1.9)5 (-2.5)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)6 (-4.8)6 (-4.8)6 (-3.9)6 (-4.9)
9Nathan Peterman90314918903846117.
10Matthew Stafford7825422742229020.620.617.917.9
11Kirk Cousins6730462622215019.619.619.019.0
12Matthew Stafford662838236020009.

Eli Manning (FanDuel: $6500, DraftKings: $5000)

10@ SF5919311883000021.421.419.519.5
11vs TB531718231201-1019.519.517.117.1
12@ PHI6226372971100017.917.914.914.9
13PROJ-Dodds25382611.4113017.917.917.9 (H=45)17.9 (H=59)
13PROJ-Tremblay25382791.4112018.718.718.7 (H=49)18.7 (H=63)
13PROJ-Bloom22381911.51.5000141414.0 (H=29)14.0 (H=38)

Bears vs RB

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)4 (-5.0)5 (-4.5)10T (-5.3)5 (-5.2)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)11 (-3.4)18 (+0.0)10 (-2.6)16 (-1.2)
9Chris Ivory307360432005.
9LeSean McCoy3710100441902.
10Kerryon Johnson55145116638120.926.921.925.9
10Theo Riddick45000766006.
11Ameer Abdullah1000111001.
11Dalvin Cook59912033-
12LeGarrette Blount33198821115022.323.322.823.3
12Theo Riddick292120774806.013.09.513.0

Saquon Barkley (FanDuel: $8600, DraftKings: $7900)

10@ SF542067054330101412.014.0
11vs TB472714223210133.
12@ PHI481310118741126.233.229.736.2
13PROJ-Dodds18730.66470.317.423.420.4 (H=43)23.4 (H=59)
13PROJ-Tremblay18740.66480.2172320.0 (H=41)23.0 (H=57)
13PROJ-Bloom12500.56410.515.121.118.1 (H=35)21.1 (H=49)

Wayne Gallman (FanDuel: $4600, DraftKings: $3600)

10@ SF523010000.
11vs TB62110222403.
12@ PHI14525022-
13PROJ-Dodds21001701.72.72.2 (H=1)2.7 (H=3)
13PROJ-Tremblay2801801.62.62.1 (H=1)2.6 (H=2)
13PROJ-Bloom3130170232.5 (H=2)3.0 (H=3)

Bears vs WR

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)15 (-0.4)19 (+1.6)19 (+1.3)21 (+2.5)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)12 (-2.6)16 (+0.2)15 (-0.6)17 (+0.5)
9Kelvin Benjamin67944000004.
9Zay Jones79641801001.
10Kenny Golladay7413678100013.819.816.819.8
10Marvin Jones48735500005.
11Stefon Diggs621813126100018.631.625.134.6
11Aldrick Robinson8222410008.410.49.410.4
12Kenny Golladay65859000009.014.011.514.0
12Bruce Ellington54762801203.

Odell Beckham (FanDuel: $8200, DraftKings: $7800)

10@ SF5611473200019.323.321.323.3
11vs TB4644741111014.518.516.518.5
12@ PHI53958500008.513.511.013.5
13PROJ-Dodds7880.600012.419.416.0 (H=29)19.5 (H=43)
13PROJ-Tremblay7980.5020132016.6 (H=31)20.1 (H=46)
13PROJ-Bloom7810.700012.319.315.9 (H=29)19.4 (H=43)

Sterling Shepard (FanDuel: $5400, DraftKings: $4600)

10@ SF56329112709.611.610.611.6
11vs TB46222200002.
12@ PHI57643700003.
13PROJ-Dodds4450.20005.79.77.7 (H=12)9.7 (H=22)
13PROJ-Tremblay3440.20205.88.87.3 (H=11)8.8 (H=18)
13PROJ-Bloom4330.20004.58.56.5 (H=9)8.5 (H=17)

Bennie Fowler (FanDuel: $4600, DraftKings: $3000)

10@ SF261000000000.00.0
11vs TB1711100000121.52.0
12@ PHI27322300002.
13PROJ-Dodds1150.10002.13.12.6 (H=2)3.1 (H=4)
13PROJ-Tremblay1180.10002.43.42.9 (H=2)3.4 (H=5)

Corey Coleman (FanDuel: $4500, DraftKings: $3000)

10@ SF8111100001.
11vs TB511900000.
12@ PHI131000000000.00.0
13PROJ-Dodds1100000121.5 (H=0)2.0 (H=2)
13PROJ-Tremblay1110.10001.72.72.2 (H=1)2.7 (H=3)

Bears vs TE

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)10 (-1.6)10 (-2.7)10 (-2.3)10 (-2.9)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)2 (-5.1)6 (-5.4)4 (-5.7)6 (-5.7)
9Logan Thomas47874004.011.07.511.0
10Levine Toilolo38111601.
11Kyle Rudolph61521301.
12Michael Roberts23631601.

Rhett Ellison (FanDuel: $4700, DraftKings: $2600)

10@ SF3311600.
11vs TB40111201.
12@ PHI55647707.711.79.711.7
13PROJ-Dodds2250. (H=6)5.7 (H=15)
13PROJ-Tremblay2230. (H=5)5.5 (H=14)
13PROJ-Bloom4290. (H=8)7.5 (H=25)

Evan Engram (FanDuel: $5400, DraftKings: $3800)

10@ SF36544604.
11vs TB17226606.
13PROJ-Dodds000000.0 (H=0)0.0 (H=0)
13PROJ-Tremblay2200. (H=3)4.6 (H=7)
13PROJ-Bloom000000.0 (H=0)0.0 (H=0)

Bears vs PK

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)3T (-1.9)3T (-1.9)4 (-1.9) (+0.0)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)3 (-2.5)3 (-2.5)7 (-2.5) (+0.0)
9Steve Hauschka1100334.04.0
10Matt Prater1111446.06.0
11Dan Bailey2200666.06.0
12Matt Prater1111444.04.0

Aldrick Rosas (FanDuel: $--, DraftKings: $--)

10@ SF2233999.09.0
11vs TB11558810.010.0
12@ PHI3311101012.012.0

Bears vs TD

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)12T (-0.5)12T (-0.5)13 (-0.8)13 (-0.8)
Last 4 weeks FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)9 (-1.7)9 (-1.7)10 (-1.7)10 (-1.7)
9Buffalo Bills4119011000332.02.0
10Detroit Lions3440210000110.00.0
11Minnesota Vikings2530812100778.08.0
12Detroit Lions2326440100667.07.0

New York Giants (FanDuel: $3300, DraftKings: $2300)

10@ SF23.0037402000444.04.0
11vs TB35.0051014001151511.011.0
12@ PHI25.0034130000333.03.0
13PROJ-Dodds25.003662.10.90.700. (H=21)7.8 (H=30)
13PROJ-Tremblay24.753412.10.90.700. (H=21)7.9 (H=31)