Roundtable - Week 10
By FBG Staff
November 10th, 2011

Welcome to this edition of the 2011 Footballguys Roundtable. Feel free to eavesdrop as various staff members share their views on a range of topics in discussion format. This week, they touch on the following:

  • RB Situations: ATL, DAL, MIA, WAS, NO, CAR, IND
  • WR Situations: TEN, DAL, DEN, MIN, PIT, OAK
  • Flying under the radar?
  • Week 10 matchups
  • RB Situations: ATL, DAL, MIA, WAS, NO, CAR, IND

    In Atlanta, Jacquizz Rodgers and Jason Snelling combined for 18 carries last week. Are they going to continue to cut into Michael Turner's production? Where would you rank Turner among fantasy RBs going forward?

    MATT WALDMAN: Turner will lose the occasional third-down carries to them, yes, but don't bump him down your list because of it. Turner is the engine to this offense. When the Falcons tried to open things up and play Greatest Show on Turf football, they learned that without a shadow of a doubt the offensive line and Matt Ryan just aren't ready for that style of football. When they reverted to what worked last year, the team got a lot better, and quickly. Turner could lose carries down the stretch if Atlanta earns a playoff spot and can't change its destiny in the final weeks in terms of bye or location. If so, then Rodgers and Snelling will player Ahmad Bradshaw/Brandon Jacobs during the fantasy playoffs and I'd highly recommend Rodgers, who in my eyes has proven he has potential to become a lead back if the Falcons need to transition to him. He runs with fantastic balance, effort, and he's patient finding the cutback.

    WILL GRANT: Turner is still going to be the primary guy in Atlanta. Jacquizz Rodgers is special, but probably won't see more than 10-12 touches a game. I would Keep Turner as a high RB2.

    SIGMUND BLOOM: With a great schedule remaining against the run (especially during the fantasy playoffs) and the offense clicking as long as they ride Turner, he is definitely a strong RB2/borderline RB1 going forward. He only lost carries against the Colts because the game was safely won for the Falcons pretty early.

    ANDREW GARDA: I agree with Matt here in that the only carries Turner loses to anyone are third down and very occasional times where he could use a breather (such as when the game is out of hand as against Indy). As Matt also pointed out, he might see less time if they clinch a position. Between Jacquizz Rodgers and Jason Snelling, I like Rodgers as the guy to own, and was honestly shocked they re-signed Snelling to begin with. Rodgers is the more dynamic guy and he'll be the one to see more carries if Turner takes some time off. For what it's worth, I don't think the Falcons will be resting anyone or so far ahead they can relax.

    JEFF PASQUINO: Turner is a solid RB2 with RB1 upside. The issue is his lack of production in the passing game and minimal workload on third downs. When ATL has the lead he's a workhorse, but when they trail or have to throw he's off the field.

    Is Demarco Murray locked in as the Cowboys' featured RB the rest of the way, or will Felix Jones put a big dent in Murray's value once he returns?

    MATT WALDMAN: If the Cowboys were smart they'd ride Murray and use Felix Jones in a situational role. However, what we're going to have to watch is how Murray plays when Jones returns. If Murray continues to run strong with his initial carries before and after Jones sees a few reps, then I think they'll continue to use Murray as the lead runner. However, if Murray's production slows down the week of Jones' return, it could open the door for a split. I would still ride Murray. He's the better back. He's more versatile, and he carries his weight better. Jones should cut the weight again, accept the fact that he could be a great 5-8 carry, 5-8 reception, change of pace player and be the best he can be at it. But you try telling an NFL running back that's his upside. Ain't gonna happen.

    WILL GRANT: You would think that Murray has earned the right to be the feature back, but my guess is that isn't the case. Like Matt, I expect Jones to go back to that 'change of pace' back, getting 10-15 touches a game, mostly on receptions. It will keep him fresh and on the field. That probably moves Murray down the chart a bit, but still keeps him in the hunt for a 100 yard performance with a TD.

    SIGMUND BLOOM: Murray has to be a top 12-15 every-week starting back. The eye in the sky don't lie, he's running as well as any RB in the league right now. No one had gashed the Seahawks run D like Murray did last week.

    ANDREW GARDA: As Matt said, some of this will depend on how Murray fares when Jones is back. Still, I don't expect an implosion so he should retain at least half the carries perhaps more. Jones can't stay healthy anyway and I think by now we and the Cowboys know that he isn't sturdy enough to be the number one back. Murray will function as a RB2 and Jones is likely to be a flex play most weeks.

    JEFF PASQUINO: Murray is the guy. I continue to distrust Felix Jones to remain healthy, and now Murray has shown that he has the goods and ability to play as a feature back. It would be crazy not to continue to ride him while he is hot. Murray is a Top 15 RB right now, if not higher.

    In Miami, Daniel Thomas has had trouble staying on the field this season, but at times he's looked like a solid NFL RB1. With Thomas out the last two weeks, however, Reggie Bush has gained 120 and then 142 yards from scrimmage. Should Bush be considered the clear starter the rest of the way? Where does that leave Bush and Thomas from a fantasy standpoint?

    MATT WALDMAN: I think the Dolphins want to use Thomas in the red zone and short yardage. That's why we even saw Steve Slaton used in this role a couple of weeks ago, which is about as extreme of an example as you can get that they don't want to use Bush in that area of the field, because Steve Slaton is not that kind of short-yardage player. Bush will continue to see enough carries to remain a great flex-play and low-end RB2. He's more versatile and explosive than Thomas, and he's running with more discipline than any time in his career. I don't think Miami mucks this up.

    WILL GRANT: You have to ride Bush as long as you can now. He's an every week starter, especially in PPR leagues. Thomas may still see time near the end of the season, but for now, Bush is the guy to carry the load.

    SIGMUND BLOOM: If it ain't broke... Perhaps Bush heard all of us doubting him, because he has run better in the last two weeks than he has in years. Thomas is just a backup right now and his hamstring doesn't seem to be close to 100% right now. Bush is an RB2/Flex with PPR upside and Thomas is barely rosterable.

    ANDREW GARDA: You hang onto Thomas because frankly Bush always gets hurt at some point this season and as it hasn't happened yet, he might be due. If you have room on your bench, it's not a bad idea to hold onto Thomas. Still, as long as he is healthy, Bush is playing well enough to serve as a RB2 or at least a flex on many teams. He's the lead back, but it's not like the team is good enough to make you feel this situation isn't volatile. Miami isn't a good team in almost any phase and Bush or Thomas could go south very quickly again because of it.

    JEFF PASQUINO: This team is a mess, and I cannot rank a guy on a bad team too high for fear that they will get swallowed up in a bad game - or two, or three. Bush is an effective player when used properly, but what took Miami so long? I can see him as a RB2 / flex with upside, especially in PPR since the Dolphins won't yank him off the field if they trail, but given the first six games it is difficult to rely heavily on him. As for Thomas - bench fodder at best.

    As Tim Hightower proved in the first month of the season, the starting RB in Washington may have the opportunity to put up decent fantasy numbers. Will Roy Helu be solid down the stretch, or will he stumble like Ryan Torain did. Does Tashard Choice have any upside here?

    MATT WALDMAN: It all depends whether Helu continues to rub Shanahan's bunions and bring the old coach those crullers he likes from Dunkin' Donuts. If he does, then Shanahan will reward him. However, if there's a hair on the cruller, Shanny's liable to bench him and see who delivers the donuts faster: Choice or Evan Royster. Unless of course, Torain gets his certificate in Swedish massage therapy and suddenly he's back in the mix. Seriously, why even try to count on a Redskins running back? If you're desperate, there's some merit to it but you just have to know what to expect and in this game, the RBs for Shanny get played out. Stick with Helu, but know that the Redskin's coach's allegiances are mercurial.

    WILL GRANT: The problem here is that you can't count on any of these from week to week. So you either add or trade for all three and roll the dice week to week or start the one you have and hope they play. Much easier from a fantasy perspective to avoid the situation.

    SIGMUND BLOOM: Roy Helu for this week. Next week? Well, ask me next week.

    ANDREW GARDA: Helu is a decent PPR play for now with Moss out, but aside from that as Matt so ably illustrated in a totally non-sarcastic way, who knows what Shanahan and his staff will be up to next week? I don't feel great about this group at all. Anyone can have value - we just may never know snap to snap who that is.

    JEFF PASQUINO: Helu is now PPR gold - or at least he looks that way. He was on the field for over 90% of Washington's offensive snaps last week (I think it was 64 of 68 plays) so that's a feature back for sure. Washington lacks for big time performers on offense, including the quarterback. No Santana Moss. No Chris Cooley. It is Jabar Gaffney at WR1 and Fred Davis at TE. Helu looks like a lock for 20+ touches a game until he slows down - if he does at all. Choice may see limited work, but unless Helu gets fumble-itis, he's the guy.

    Darren Sproles has been a terrific fantasy performer for the Saints so far, but with Pierre Thomas and Chris Ivory both getting more carries than Sproles over the past two weeks, and with Mark Ingram set to return soon, can Sproles maintain his status as a fantasy starter? Do any of the other Saints RBs have any fantasy value in redraft leagues?

    MATT WALDMAN: Sproles is more efficient with his carries than any back on the team. Ivory will take the back seat to Ingram and Thomas will see his role slightly diminished. Continue starting Sproles unless you tend to get lost studying the trees (attempt trends) when you should be studying the forest (Sproles big gains for TDs).

    WILL GRANT: Sproles is still the guy to have in this case. If you are holding any of Ingram, Thomas or Ivory on your roster, you're going to have to wait until Saturday or Sunday to set your lineup if possible. It's very hard to judge week to week who will be getting the bulk of the carries but one thing is very clear: When Sproles is involved, the Saints have the best chance to win. If I had to pick a second guy from that mix, I'd say Ingram when he's healthy with Thomas and Ivory filling in until then.

    SIGMUND BLOOM: Sproles is still on the same page as Drew Brees in the passing game, so he'll continue to be a strong RB2 in PPR leagues and a flex in non-PPR. His carries are the big variable, but the big plays are coming one way or the other in this productive offense. Ingram has had the misfortune of missing some of the best run matchups of the year on the Saints schedule, but he is worth holding because of his upside as the goal-line back. Pierre Thomas maintains his flex value in PPR leagues as he is running as hard as ever and staying fresh and healthy with the limited touches.

    ANDREW GARDA: I'm with the group on Sproles as the top dog here, doing his version of Reggie Bush better than Reggie ever did. I agree that when Ingram comes back, Thomas takes a little hit and Ivory fades into the background. Ingram is a great short yardage/goal line back and should perform well there, while Thomas is kind of a jack of all trades, master of none. He'll get you some points consistently but never enough to be more than a flex.

    JEFF PASQUINO: Sproles looks faster than anyone else on the field whenever he touches the ball, so why not continue to feed him? Sproles is the new Reggie Bush - but better - for the Saints. Strong PPR value and the ability to score any week either as a receiver or kick returner. Not a lock as a fantasy contributor, but solid upside and a modest RB2.

    Has Jonathan Stewart moved solidly ahead of DeAngelo Williams for good? Is he on the way to becoming a featured runner instead of just the lead in a committee, or will this be RBBC for the foreseeable future?

    MATT WALDMAN: It remains a committee because Stewart's chronic issue with his Achilles and feet. However, for as long as Stewart remains healthy he'll be the lead in the committee that leans more to featured status. The reason is his excellent skill and effort in pass protection and his versatility as a receiver. Combine that with his physical, short-yardage presence and a back with Williams' feature back potential but limited size just can't compete with it. Few can. When healthy, only Adrian Peterson possesses the complete package of brute force, breakaway speed, and third down skills in the NFL.

    WILL GRANT: Williams was retained over the summer, but the Panthers were ready to let him go to free agency. I think Stewart is the guy to have and Williams will break your heart most weeks.

    SIGMUND BLOOM: Stewart won't be featured with Williams moving to a backup role, but he is the better fantasy RB to own right now. He is a very strong flex play with matchup RB2 upside. Williams is a guy you have to hold, but only play in desperation.

    ANDREW GARDA: Neither back is what they could be and Ron Rivera is content to run on occasion and usually with Cam Newton and as effective as Newton is, why not? Stewart appears to be the lead guy here for what that's worth and as Matt points out, he is battling injuries. Williams signed a huge contract and isn't performing. I don't know if it's the plays, him or the contract but he's paid a lot to not do anything. I don't think at this point he's even worth a bench spot save for Stewart's injury issues.

    JEFF PASQUINO: Stewart is the guy at RB for Carolina, without question. Unfortunately for DeAngelo fans - and I am one of them - he is just missing something this year. I don't know if he is just not healthy or getting the wrong play calls, but he does not look the same this year in a new offense. A change of scenery would do him good - perhaps something in Colorado....

    The situation in Indianapolis seems nearly impossible to figure out. Would you take Brown or Carter the rest of the way? Or will Addai sneak back into the top spot?

    MATT WALDMAN: Joseph Addai will find a way to get hurt again. He'll probably sprain a hangnail on a pitch play next week and sit out the rest of the season, wait for the team to cut him, and latch on to another team as a reasonably good backup, committee guy. Carter was benched due to his first-series fumble. He was just given a lesson by the coaching staff and they did it because the team is losing and the coach had to assert his authority to a young player that mistakes would not be tolerated. Carter is still the more promising back. Brown looks competent, but it's going to be the way it's been all year, a rotation. Stay away. If you must confront the Colts backfield and pick a player, take Carter and hope for the best. He's likely to see the most carries week-to-week.

    WILL GRANT: The fumbles by Carter make him a liability. It looks like Brown has the hot hand now, and Addai can't seem to get healthy enough to compete. As with Washington, you either roll the dice each week or fill the roster and guess which guy to start.

    SIGMUND BLOOM: They're all desperation plays at best. I feel like Addai is a vet trying to get out of training camp right now, except it's the regular season. Carter should get a chance to earn back some trust next week, but Brown is the back to own right now.

    ANDREW GARDA: Right now, Brown is the guy but I still don't trust him. Carter looked promising briefly but is struggling. I think that Addai will be the guy when he comes back healthy, as he seems to be the one who can be trusted to play well. On the other hand, he's so fragile, who knows how long this will last? So when Addai comes back, he's at least a flex but otherwise I am avoiding this if I can.

    JEFF PASQUINO: What a mess. Carter will continue to see work, but if he fumbles too much Donald Brown gets time. They really need Addai back, and that's the only RB the coaching staff seems to trust. When Addai is back to 100%, he will lead in playing time and touches.

    WR Situations: TEN, DAL, DEN, MIN, PIT, OAK

    Don't look now, but Lavelle Hawkins leads the Titans in targets over the past three weeks, with Damien Williams and Nate Washington close behind. Will one of these guys pull ahead of the others and start making a real fantasy impact?

    MATT WALDMAN: I don't believe in Lavelle Hawkins. He might continue to get enough targets to become a low-end bye-week option, but that touchdown last week was a blown coverage. Damian Williams makes the tougher plays and gets those one-on-one targets from Hasselbeck. I think his confidence continues to grow and the coaching staff has make it clear that they expect a lot from him. I don't think Williams will deliver to every-week starter standards, but he could approach a low-end WR3 for fantasy teams. Williams possesses strong skill at adjusting to the football and he's a good leaper like Hawkins. But he's also a better route runner than Hawkins and he has better hands in traffic. Washington is the primary option that teams tend to place their best guy on. Because none of these receivers have advanced their games to the level of matching up well with an opposing defense's top corner on a consistent basis, Washington is the odd man out.

    SIGMUND BLOOM: Stay away from this situation as the targets will continue to be split between Washington, Williams, and Hawkins, with TE Jared Cook, the RBs, and even Donnie Avery figuring in. Matt Hasselbeck has shown no tendency to zero in on any one of these guys and it should stay that way.

    ANDREW GARDA: I still like Williams quite a bit as he has been pretty well involved in the last few weeks but I do agree with Sig that Hasselbeck has no favorites. I think Williams will be a decent flex play most weeks in PPR leagues and Washington will have some good games but nobody will blow up in this offense. For what it's worth, I also second Waldman on Hawkins. I just don't believe he'll stay relevant.

    GREG RUSSELL: None of these receivers is that much better than the others to emerge based on talent. So it would come down to Hasselbeck locking in on one, and I don't see that happening. If a receiver emerge as the best option for a few games, they are likely to draw a little extra attention from opponents and fall back into the pack, especially if the Titans running game doesn't come alive and show some consistency.

    JEFF PASQUINO: No. Tennessee is a mess on offense right now, with no clear direction. Everyone seems transfixed over getting Chris Johnson right, but meanwhile no one in the passing game can take charge. With no real WR1 after Kenny Britt got hurt, it is Nate Washington and not much else.

    WILL GRANT: The Titans are struggling to run the ball, and to keep close in games, they have to pass. Matt Hasselbeck is on pace for his first 4000 yard passing game ever and his best year since 2007. But is the really going to continue through the rest of the season? And at some point, you'd expect to see Jake Locker under center. I think you roll the dice with these guys for now, but be ready to move if they start trending down.

    Laurent Robinson has been a very pleasant surprise in Dallas. Is there room for Bryant, Austin, and Robinson to all be worthwhile fantasy options, or will Robinson fade into the background when Austin is fully healthy? For as long as Austin is out, where would you rank Robinson as a fantasy WR?

    MATT WALDMAN: While Austin is out Robinson is solid fantasy WR3 with some WR2 upside. I thought it was pretty apparent from the beginning that he and Romo had a natural rapport, even as they were getting started and making some mistakes with communication of routes on the field. Robinson isn't athletically that much better than Kevin Ogletree and Ogletree has been in Dallas for a lot longer so you have to realize that Robinson and Romo must have clicked pretty well for him to leapfrog Ogletree after one game. They ironed out their issues pretty quickly overall and Robinson has made some nice plays as a result. Robinson is one of those dozens of players in the NFL with ability but injury, packed depth charts, or other situations bounce them around the league. When Austin returns, I think Robinson will remain a reasonably good gamble as a flex play because the Cowboys will use those three-receiver sets and teams will look to Witten and the outside guys first. Austin will also be slow to get back to normal heath. This is the second injury in a season and I think they'll be very cautious with him and get his conditioning in check for the playoffs.

    SIGMUND BLOOM: Robinson is clearly on the same page with Tony Romo and he should be a quality WR3 play until Miles Austin returns.

    ANDREW GARDA: If Austin is healthy, Robinson will become too inconsistent to trust. Remember, you also have Witten there so Robinson actually becomes the 4th option in the offense and that leaves him as a flex play, albeit one with upside. While Austin is out, I agree with Matt that he has WR3 written all over him.

    GREG RUSSELL: If it was just these three receivers I would say yes, they could all be worthwhile fantasy options. But not when you add Jason Witten into the mix as well. Start Robinson if you need him, otherwise I would look to trade him while he still has value before Austin returns.

    JEFF PASQUINO: L-Rob is a matchup beneficiary, only getting solid looks when the primary targets are taken away. Tony Romo is still going to look for Austin, Bryant and Witten whenever he can, so Robinson is only going to get a handful of chances each game. Against Philadelphia he beat a blown coverage and scampered for a long TD, but was relatively silent otherwise. That's a mercurial performance only worthy of a best ball roster spot.

    WILL GRANT: As others have pointed out, Robinson floats between the #3 and #4 receiving option behind Austin, Bryant and Witten. With Austin out, Bryant draws the double teams, leaving Witten and Robinson in single coverage and are open more often. With Austin out, I'd say Robinson is a high WR3 / Flex option. With Austin healthy, Robinson won't put up consistent enough numbers to be counted on in your fantasy roster.

    Demaryius Thomas got a lot of attention in Tebow's first start three weeks ago, and Eric Decker has made the biggest impression over the last two weeks. But Eddie Royal actually has the most total targets of any Bronco over the past three weeks. Will the run-heavy game-plan with Tebow at QB kill the Bronco WRs' fantasy value, or will one of these guys be a reliable fantasy starter down the stretch?

    MATT WALDMAN: Eric Decker remains the best starter in Denver. Eddie Royal just doesn't offer as many dimensions as Decker. He's not a big target and Tebow fairs better with bigger targets. He's not the best route runner from a conceptual standpoint, Decker is. He's also not the guy targeted as successfully in the red area as Decker. Quarterbacks remember that kind of thing. They hang onto the fact that a player produces in the red zone and Decker has been that guy. I wouldn't be surprised if Royal continues to see a lot of targets, but the most efficient targets will go Decker's way.

    SIGMUND BLOOM: Decker is a what-the-heck flex and that's about it. John Fox loves to run and he's not going to change his stripes now. Eddie Royal will take enough short targets to keep everyone impossible to trust week to week.

    ANDREW GARDA: I echo the sentiments of Sig and Matt. I've been waiting for Decker to pop since Cecil turned me on to him last year and from that point on when I felt like it was only a matter of time. It seems as though Tebow looks for him and that makes him the most (perhaps only) dependable wide receiver in Denver. I'm watching Royal and Thomas closely though, if just to try and get a sense of where things might go long term if Tebow stays.

    GREG RUSSELL: This will probably be another situation where each of the receivers will have a few games where they put up decent fantasy numbers, but guessing which it will be in a given week can be frustrating. I would lean toward Decker, but mostly I would suggest only playing them against poor defenses. A good pass defense can take advantage of Tebow's flaws as a quarterback much more effectively than they can take advantage of most other NFL quarterbacks.

    JEFF PASQUINO: Of all three, I'd most prefer Decker. He gets more solid targets than Royal, who seems to be the king of the dump-off / underneath route and not much room to run after the catch. Decker also gets solid Red Zone looks while Royal's big game of 13 targets in Week 8 had zero Red Zone chances. Denver spreads it around enough to keep you guessing, but Decker looks to be the primary guy to own, if only by a modest margin.

    WILL GRANT: In the game against Detroit, Decker was the guy that Tebow looked for and Royal's performance was almost all during garbage time. Now that doesn't mean he won't put up solid fantasy numbers, especially in PPR leagues, but it's important to understand where his production is coming from. Decker is the clear WR of choice, and Thomas is all but forgotten in this offense at this point with just five targets and two receptions over the last two weeks.

    In Minnesota, a different WR has led the group in targets in each of the past three weeks: Harvin, then Jenkins, then Aromashodu. Will Ponder spread the ball around too much for any WR to become a consistent fantasy starter?

    MATT WALDMAN: I think Harvin is still the guy to own. Ponder has been forced to spread the ball around for a few reasons. Harvin got hurt in one game, then aggravated the injury in the second game. Jenkins had to take over in one of those outings as the primary guy, and Aromashodu is simply a fluke. I haven't looked at his targets, but I bet that total is lower than usual for an NFL receiver third on his depth chart in targets over a three-week period. Visanthe Shiancoe and Adrian Peterson are better guys for you to mention than Aromashodu, but I understand that you're talking about wide receivers. Harvin is the guy to own of the corps because he's also used in the backfield as a runner and if you didn't know better, you'd think they got a scat back that can pound the ball up the middle. I've said this before, but Harvin could play running back in the NFL. He wouldn't be a guy you use to pound it up the middle 15 times a game every week, but he could do what Reggie Bush is doing in Miami. He's a fantastic player, but the injuries and inconsistent QB play has kept his true value depressed. I think that changes if he, Ponder, and Peterson stay healthy.

    SIGMUND BLOOM: Harvin is the only WR I want on my roster from this team, but I need to see he is over his rib problems before I trust him in my lineup.

    ANDREW GARDA: Yeah, Harvin is the guy and his ability to break a big play is the attraction: or would be if he was healthy. I do think Ponder will spread the ball around and I have never been a Aromashodu believer or a Jenkins guy. Harvin will be able to do something special more frequently with minimal touches than the other two. If he could only stay healthy.....

    GREG RUSSELL: Harvin is a special player who can change how a defense plays against you if given a chance. All it takes is giving him enough opportunities and he can make it tough on a team wishing to stack the box against Adrian Peterson. Ponder and the Vikings coaching staff should be making him a larger part of the offense going forward.

    JEFF PASQUINO: Ponder has shown no favoritism aside from giving the ball to Adrian Peterson and then targeting the open guy - exactly what a quarterback should do. That's not music to a fantasy owner's ears, but it should make Vikings fans happy. The most consistently targeted receiver in Minnesota is TE Visanthe Shiancoe, who has 19 targets over the past three weeks. A big target over the middle is a rookie quarterback's best friend.

    WILL GRANT: When Percy Harvin is healthy, the Vikings are going to get him the ball. Period. They'll pitch it to him in the backfield, run him up the middle, swing it to him in the flat or whatever it takes. He's their best option to score after Adrian Peterson. Jenkins is their #2 guy - you see him catch a few balls because the play action works so well with ADP. Ponder will roll away from the defense and hit Jenkins in the flat. Aromashodu is more of a deep possession receiver - he is their #3 guy, but will sometimes catch a long ball or two. His problem is that he loses concentration at times and suffers too many drops. With Bernard Berrian finally out of the way, I think Harvin is a must start, Jenkins is a possible start in deeper leagues, or PPR leagues.

    Mike Wallace has been one of this year's fantasy darlings, but over the past three weeks, Antonio Brown has more catches for more yards. Is Brown's recent production sustainable, or will he take a back seat to Wallace again over the next 6-7 games?

    MATT WALDMAN: Brown's production is definitely sustainable because as much as people like to say that Mike Wallace is more than a big play weapon as a receiver, it's like say lemonade is more than sugar. Take away the sugar and you're not too happy with the drink. Take away Mike Wallace's plays of 50-70 yards and you have Heath Miller on a pretty good day for him. Wallace stretches the field and Brown works under that. Brown is also a better runner after the catch than Wallace. This isn't taking anything away from Wallace, he's very good. It's just that teams would rather force the Steelers to drive down the field than give up that one big play. I think Brown is a good WR3 with WR2 upside. The biggest reason is the Steelers transitioning to more of a pass-first offense, which according to Bloom, they were using all summer.

    SIGMUND BLOOM: Roethlisberger has liked throwing to Brown all season, even when he was the #3 receiver. The go-ahead TD that Wallace caught vs. Baltimore was even actually targeted for Brown. He has just as much value in PPR leagues right now.

    ANDREW GARDA: I love Antonio Brown and he will definitely keep his production up, especially with Emmanuel Sanders down. Wallace will get his and maybe this evens out a bit more (or hews back to the mean, you decide which you like more and roll with it) but Brown is here to stay. I agree, he's a WR3 easily during many weeks.

    GREG RUSSELL: I think both will be solid fantasy options going forward. The Steelers are a better passing team than they are a running team this year, and there will be enough balls for both Wallace and Brown to be solid starters.

    JEFF PASQUINO: Brown is benefiting from Hines Ward's rapid aging and the loss of Emmanuel Sanders. Brown showed great ability in the past 2-3 games for route running, which was seen as Sanders' forte. With Brown demonstrating, speed, good hands and agility in routes, the sky is the limit as he takes the stranglehold as the Pittsburgh WR2. Ward will still see time in the slot, but Brown should push Wallace for targets most weeks and remain highly productive.

    WILL GRANT: As others have pointed out, I think Brown is seeing time due to the injuries of the folks in front of him. That being said, he's proven himself and I think he'll continue to produce at a solid level, even when folks are back to full strength.

    Can anyone figure the Raiders' passing game out? In just one week, it looks like DHB has gone from the team's #1 WR to an afterthought. Denarius Moore and Jacoby Ford reemerged last week, and T.J. Houshmandzadeh got some looks (reunited with Carson Palmer) as well. Should fantasy owners be dropping DHB? Are Moore and Ford going to be solid fantasy WRs down the stretch?

    MATT WALDMAN: The answer in my opinion is much simpler than it seems, but yes DHB is done. And yes, Jacoby Ford and Denarius Moore will be a fantasy WR2 and strong flex-play, respectively. Here's why. First, Ford was hurt the first half of the year and slow to return to form. Second, what we learned last week is that Denarius Moore wasn't the one that had a fluke game in Buffalo earlier this year. It was Jason Campbell that had a fluke game. Moore was good over the middle for Palmer this weekend and he would have had a couple more nice plays if he weren't interfered with. Ford and Moore are just as athletic as Heyward-Bey, have more consistent hands, adjust more effectively to the ball, and run a greater variety of routes. It was very clear that Palmer trusts Ford more. Heyward-Bey isn't as smart on fade routes adjusting to the football. When you watch him on a target, he consistently drops or has to re-catch the football. Frequently he's out of position and starts his routes in such a way that he puts himself in poor position for the quarterback to target him. Moore and Ford are much better in this regard. DHB will get a cameo appearance here and there and maybe re-catch a ball for a big play every game or two, but he's not going to receive the lion's share of the targets. Palmer throws the ball with more precision and is more confident about making the tight-window throws that Campbell wasn't. Just watch the seam route to Marcel Reese and the skinny post to T.J. Houshmandzadeh in last week's game and you can see evidence of that. Heyward-Bey is a perimeter receiver lacking that dimension of his game. He's essentially a Warren Wells, alley-oop, run fast in a straight line and hope for the best, kind of player.

    SIGMUND BLOOM: Both Ford and Moore are the real deal and they're not going anywhere. Drop DHB for Ford or Moore and you'll be happy.

    ANDREW GARDA: I think Palmer and Moore clicked and that will continue the rest of the way. I'm not the biggest Floyd fan but I agree with Sig and Matt on his value as well. Heyward-Bey looked like something clicked for him early but that was an illusion and yes, drop him like a bad habit. I think Housh is intriguing but I don't believe there is much there. If you have roster room and the waiver wire is picked clean, you could roster him but the games you can use him on are few and far between.

    GREG RUSSELL: One can read this a lot of ways. Is Heyward-Bey falling out of favor now that he doesn't have Al Davis' support keeping him on the field? It seems odd that he'd barely see the field after having become a solid contributor in the preceding weeks. If I had to gamble on a pair of receivers from the Raiders it would be Moore and Ford. In fact they were an option I was considering writing about for sleepers going forward. I believe they are the best receivers on the team, barring Houshmandzadeh returning to form that he hasn't had in several years now. I don't know that Palmer's history and chemistry with him will be enough to overcome the difference in physical ability at this point in his career.

    JEFF PASQUINO: Good luck here. With a change at quarterback to Carson Palmer, no one really knows where his allegiance likes. DHB got yanked last week and posted no catches, opening the door once again for Jacoby Ford. Can he step up? Will Moore do better, or will Housh get more attention from his ex-teammate? I'd try and avoid this situation in the near term until we see another game or two from Palmer.

    WILL GRANT: I think this is a case of wait and see. DHB has shown solid potential at times, and he's too talented for a guy like Palmer to overlook every week. Jacoby Ford is solid, but can't stay healthy and Moore seems to benefit when the others are struggling. I think we'll need to give Palmer more time to get into a rhythm before we can really determine who the winner of that three-headed monster is. I think Housh was more of an cheap insurance signing due to the string of injuries more than anything else. He and Palmer have not been together since 2008, and Housh is clearly not the receiver he was back then.

    Flying under the radar?

    Let's discuss a few players who haven't gotten much attention from the fantasy community thus far, but who could be on the verge of taking on a much larger role in his team's offense - if we were holding a draft today for the rest of the season, somebody you'd consider a sleeper. Sigmund, do you have someone in mind who fits that description?

    SIGMUND BLOOM: How about Jacquizz Rodgers? Rodgers has looked sharp and strong all year and he appears to be the #2 back behind Michael Turner and ahead of Jason Snelling in Atlanta. Atlanta is committed to the run and they have been mixing Rodgers in early in games, so he is not just a mere backup, he is complement to the starter. Atlanta also has a great schedule vs. the run, especially in the fantasy playoffs. Michael Turner broke down in 2009, and he had offseason groin surgery in 2010. It is not a stretch to say that he is one of the more likely starter RBs to falter physically down the stretch. Rodgers could be the key to many championships if things fall into place, and even if Turner stays completely healthy, teams love to get those fresh rookie legs more work as the season goes on.

    Greg, who's your guy?

    GREG RUSSELL: How about a tight end? The Philadelphia Eagles have been a team in transition since starting slow. One player who seems to be the beneficiary of the Eagles adjustments is TE Brent Celek. The Eagles have been working the middle of the field more in their last three games which is giving Celek more opportunities. He's led or been tied for the lead in targets on the Eagles with 9 targets in each of the three games, and has gotten into the end zone twice. In 1 point PPR leagues, Celek was the number three scoring TE in points per game over that span. Celek wasn't used much as a weapon last year by Mike Vick, but we might be seeing that change this year.

    So we've got a running back and a tight end so far. Jeff, can you give us a wide receiver?

    JEFF PASQUINO: Actually, I'll give you two WRs, simply because the first one was a big name that was seen to have tanked. Brandon Lloyd went from hero last year to zero with Denver this season, but since he's gone to the Rams he has had 12+ targets per week with St. Louis for the past three games and he is catching about 50% of them with modest quarterback play at best. If you went and drafted based on season-long WR play, Lloyd would be outside of the Top 30 wide receivers yet he has high WR2 upside.

    As for a true sleeper, I would go with Torrey Smith in Baltimore. The Ravens have been in need of someone to stretch the defense for the past several years, and now they have a speedster that can threaten the second level for 20+ yard catches. Smith still has catching issues, but Joe Flacco has shown confidence in him with nine targets the past two weeks even though he has only caught less than 50% of those chances. His touchdown reception to win the game over the Steelers last week should be the spark to get him in all lineups going forward as a big upside WR3.

    Anybody have a different selection?

    ANDREW GARDA: I'll point to Jets rookie Jeremy Kerley. Kerley is nowhere near as buried as he could and maybe should be, mostly because the Jets aren't using Santonio Holmes all that much. Even when they do, though, Kerley gets consistent targets and catches them. Kerley is a dangerous guy with the ball in his hands and has made some very tough grabs in tight spots. The more he plays, the more Sanchez seems to trust him to make plays and not make mistakes. Kerley is almost like a better version of Brad Smith in some ways - while not as shifty or fast, Kerley is a much better passer and a far better receiver. The Jets are only just finding ways to get him the ball since Derrick Mason was shipped off to Houston and I think that by years end he will be a solid WR4 or flex, perhaps even a WR3 in PPR leagues.

    Will, who's your choice?

    WILL GRANT: I'll stay at WR. I'm not sure how under the radar he is anymore, but Laurent Robinson was signed by Dallas because had some key WR injuries. He has done more than the Cowboys ever expected, and had secured the WR3 slot on the team behind Miles Austin and Dez Bryant. However, with Austin missing several weeks now due to his hamstring, you have to consider Robinson a solid sleeper from now to the end of the season. Robinson is developing real chemistry with Tony Romo, and he is a guy who has shown solid potential at different points throughout his career. Robinson is trying to bring his career back from a 'near death' experience - and Dallas may be just the ticket that he needs. I expect that Robinson will continue to see solid action between now and the end of the season. With Austin out for an extended period, Robinson will be a solid play from here on out.

    Matt, give us one final sleeper.

    MATT WALDMAN: I'm going to swing for the fences with Kevin Smith. According to Jim Schwartz, the Lions weren't even looking at running back (as hard as that may seem to believe) when they worked out a ton of players at other positions this week. However, Schwartz said, "Smith looked so good out there," they had to pull the trigger on him. Let's remember Smith was the same back they dropped like a hot potato so they obviously see something there. Smith was a good, if not very good RB prospect coming out of UCF and he nearly rushed for 1000 yards as a rookie. At just 24 years-old and in an offense that can clearly throw the ball, Smith could have a nice impact during the fantasy playoffs if he earns an opportunity. I think he'll have a few weeks to get into football shape with limited looks. If he grasps what the Lions want him to do, he could be a factor in Weeks 13-16. He's quick, cuts extremely well, and finishes well with decent balance.

    Week 10 matchups

    Let's look at a few of this week's NFL matchups from a fantasy standpoint.

    Starting with the Saints against the Falcons, Sigmund, what's your take on this game?

    SIGMUND BLOOM: It should be one of the games of the week. Both games between these teams last year were nail-biters and this tilt should be no different.

    On the New Orleans side, Robert Meachem was the star of one of the matchups last year among the receivers, and Lance Moore was in the other. Jimmy Graham was a non-factor in the first matchup, but he caught a touchdown in the week 16 game. Atlanta hasn't allowed a TE score since week 1, but the Seattle and Green Bay WR corps ran wild on their suspect secondary. The Falcons allowed 5-90-1 to Matt Forte as a receiver, the only RB that has the same caliber of skills as a pass catcher as Darren Sproles, so look for a big game from Sproles.

    On the Atlanta side, you have to assume the Falcons will load up a big dose of Michael Turner against a defense that has allowed over five yards a carry. Turner was held in check in the week 16 matchup last year, but had over 100 yards in the week 3 win and also had a highly successful 20-151-1 game vs. the Saints in 2009 before his ankle injuries. The harder issue for the Saints might be how to contain Julio Jones and Roddy White. The pass defense has given up long TDs to Steve Smith and Arrelious Benn in recent weeks, and Brandon Lloyd got behind their safeties multiple times in week 8, but AJ Feeley couldn't connect with him. Gonzo has had at least 6 and at least 50 in all but one of four matchups, expect good numbers from him.

    The Bears and Lions should give us a great game as well. Will, what's your run-down on that one?

    WILL GRANT: This is one of several games this week that has the potential to go either way. The Bears come off of a tough road win in Philly this week and have a short week to prepare for the Lions, who come to town having two weeks to prepare. The Lions are looking to keep pace with Green Bay, and a division sweep of the Bears is key to their post-season hopes. Chicago is looking for revenge after an embarrassing Monday night loss to the Lions back in week 5. This game has serious playoff considerations on both sides of the ball and both of these teams need to win this game to keep their post season hopes alive.

    On Detroit's side of the ball, Jahvid Best looks like he won't be playing again this week, so it's RBBC. It won't matter much as the Bears are allowing just over 110 rushing yards per game as a team. This means it will come down to the Detroit passing game and that always runs through Calvin Johnson. Johnson was quiet for some of the game in Detroit earlier this year, but blew up the secondary for a couple big plays as the game dragged on and ultimately finished with 130 yards and a TD. Expect the Bears to 'cover 2' Calvin all game, meaning guys like Titus Young and Brandon Pettigrew are really going to have to step up in this matchup. I still see Johnson having a solid game, but if the Bears can get pressure on Matthew Stafford, it could be an interesting matchup. Keep an eye on Kicker Jason Hanson who has not been practicing for some reason and the Lions are looking at bringing in a replacement for this week. Shayne Graham's name has come up but it's too early to tell.

    For the Bears, their offensive line will be tested. They have been holding their own, and Jay Cutler has only been sacked three times in the last three games. The Bears will be looking to continue that trend and redeem themselves from the previous meeting where the Detroit front four looked like they were inside Cutler's Jersey for most of the night. Cutler finally has all of his weapons back to full strength, but from a fantasy perspective, I don't know if I'd count on any of Devin Hester, Johnny Knox, Earl Bennett or Roy Williams to carry my team this week. This offense lives and dies with Matt Forte and despite the multiple fumbles last week, expect Forte to be involved for most of the game. If the Lions can figure out how to contain him (and they have had two weeks to come up with a plan), it could be a long game for Chicago again.

    The forecast for the game is mid 50s with possible rain, making passing that much more difficult.

    Let's move to an inter-conference game. Jeff, what's your impression of the Bills-Cowboys game this week?

    JEFF PASQUINO: Buffalo just got off of Revis Island, a vacation spot only opposing fantasy teams could love. Stevie Johnson and Fred Jackson have chances to rebound here against a Dallas defense with issues at linebacker (Sean Lee injury), corner and safety. The Bills have been a high performing offense all season long prior to this loss, but Fred Jackson should rebound nicely. On the other side, Dallas needs to put up another big game to keep pace with the Giants in the NFC East - the only likely path for the Cowboys to get to the postseason - but they will do so without Miles Austin. Dez Bryant has had tough matchups the past two weeks and now the Bills will try and blanket him and take their chances with Laurent Robinson at WR2.

    Tony Romo has to limit his mistakes and control the ball, not giving the Bills a short field. Much the same can be said for Ryan Fitzpatrick, but you can bet that he will look to go deep a few times to Stevie Johnson to both challenge the secondary and open things up underneath for Fred Jackson. DeMarco Murray and Jason Witten will likely be the fantasy stars for Dallas, while Buffalo has to find a WR2 option to compliment Jackson and Johnson.

    Over in the AFC West, we've got the Broncos and the Chiefs. Andrew, what's your analysis of that game?

    ANDREW GARDA: Let's cut to the chase here: Tebow made some improvement last week and head coach John Fox's move to a spread offense may seem risky, but is really a smart move. You have to keep Tebow moving and spread the defense out to get him a chance to make the smaller passes he does, stretching the field on occasion with a long toss. I'm not a Tebow acolyte by any means from a NFL standpoint, but fantasy-wise, he's done ok on the strength of pairs of touchdowns and rushing yards. Most importantly, he's been able to protect the ball. He has four fumbles, yes, but only lost one and has only tossed one interception. That's not shabby. Along with Tebow, Eric Decker has been very good especially the last two days. I like what Decker brings to the table and I believe he will see some success against the 21st ranked Chiefs pass defense. While Decker hurts KC through the air, Tebow will have company on the ground as Willis McGahee is healthy and back. He should have a good day against the 19th ranked who has given up a tasty eight touchdowns on the ground. I actually believe this is a good game for Denver to continue the momentum they got last week. KC's defense isn't very good and Tebow should have the opportunity to show some more improvement this week. Expect WR2/3 numbers from Decker, RB2 points from McGahee and while I wouldn't start Tebow unless I had to, he should be a middle of the road QB this week for fantasy purposes mostly because he is running the ball so well.

    Kansas City has to be rocked backwards a little at this point after losing to a terrible Miami team and barely leaving the soft part of their schedule at .500. They are staring down the barrel of a tough stretch and must be hoping to tromp the Broncos to gain a little momentum. I think they are going to come to play - I just wouldn't want to bet that they'll do it well.

    Matt Cassel is mediocre at best and turning the ball over way too often. Dwayne Bowe and Steve Breaston are getting yards but not seeing the end zone often enough even when Cassel is throwing for big yards. I think you play both receivers but you can't expect more than good yards from them, so a WR2 at best for Dwayne Bowe and a WR3 for Breaston.

    Jackie Battle had a few nice days but that appears to be over and I think even against a Broncos team which struggles a bit against the run, he will continue to disappoint. I say flex or nothing. Dexter McCluster is a flex play as well but his carries are increasing and he is more of a playmaker than Battle.

    Over all I think that most of the players in this game are lower tier at their positions but there is still some value here for this week.

    One more game. Matt, how do you see the Carolina-Tennessee game shaping up?

    MATT WALDMAN: Tennessee struggles defensively, especially against the pass and if they don't get pressure on the quarterback this secondary becomes one of the worst in the league very quick. Cam Newton will be a nightmare for Tennessee. Conversely, the Panthers defense is injury riddled and this could be another week where Chris Johnson flashes a little more of his old self (maybe we get three quarters instead of two versus the Bengals in Week 9?). The pass defense is also rough, so if Johnson starts hot, Matt Hasselbeck's job becomes easier and the Titans have a fighting chance to score 17-24 points and keep the game close.

    However, if the Panthers play reasonably well the Titans are no match for Carolina's offense. Look for Newton to throw for 280 yards, 2 TDs, including a long play to Steve Smith. Newton should also get 30-40 on the ground with a touchdown run in the red zone. Jonathan Stewart is going to earn 80-100 yards on the ground for a score and I think 50-60 and a score as a receiver, quite possibly on one huge screen play when the Titans get too aggressive rushing the pocket. Smith has 140 yards and a TD and probably on 6-8 catches. Greg Olsen earns another 40-60 over the middle.

    Tennessee needs to generate turnovers early and Chris Johnson to move the chains to have a fighting chance. Look for that glimmer of hope from Johnson to yield 75 yards and a touchdown on the ground. He'll break one play of 20-30 yards and maybe another like it through the air. Damien Williams will score, catching 4-5 balls for 70 yards. The score will come on a sideline fade or a post route off play action. Jared Cook will get his typical 40 yards and underwhelm and Nate Washington earns a score on a short route in the red zone. Maybe a third touchdown will come from one of the other tight ends on a play fake in the red zone. This means we'll see Matt Hasselbeck earn about 270 yards and 3 scores.

    Defensively, I like Captain Munnerlyn to pick off a pass due to the lack of great receiving in Tennessee and Munnerlyn benefits from a poorly run route or poor communication on a hot route. I think Greg Hardy and Charles Johnson each earn a sack. I don't think we'll see Newton take more than one sack and Tennessee's Cortland Finnegan and Steve Smith have a scuffle (shouldn't there be points for that?)

    I think Carolina wins this game 31-24.

    That will do it for this edition of the Roundtable. Enjoy the games this weekend, and we'll see you back here next week!

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