Player Points - T.J. Houshmandzadeh
By Chase Stuart
July 27th, 2010

Last year, Houshmandzadeh was the leading wide receiver on the most frequent passing team in the NFL. That's right: the 2009 Seahawks led the NFL with 609 pass attempts, but Seattle didn't convert many of those passes into big gains. In fact, Seattle ranked only 15th in passing yards; that's the worst passing yardage ranking by any team to lead the league in pass attempts in NFL history:

Year
Team
Rank
Year
Team
Rank
2009
SEA
15
1989
NWE
6
2008
NOR
1
1988
MIA
1
2007
NOR
3
1987
MIA
1
2006
GNB
9
1986
MIA
1
2005
ARI
1
1985
SDG
1
2004
GNB
5
1984
SDG
2
2003
NYG
9
1983
KAN
3
2002
STL
2
1982
SFO
2
2001
DET
3
1981
MIN
2
2000
NYJ
6
1980
SFO
6
1999
CHI
3
1979
SFO
6
1998
IND
9
1978
MIN
2
1997
SEA
1
1977
BUF
1
1996
NYJ
7
1976
SEA
7
1995
NWE
14
1975
PHI
10
1994
NWE
1
1974
PHI
8
1993
HOU
3
1973
PHI
1
1992
HOU
1
1972
NOR
4
1991
HOU
1
1971
NYG
2
1990
HOU
1
1970
HOU
7

While Houshmandzadeh wasn't catching passes from the league's top quarterbacks, he certainly had more than enough chances to turn in a big fantasy season. It's a bit surprising that on a team with 609 pass attempts, Houshmandzadeh couldn't even crack the 1,000 yard mark. It's not like he was competing with elite talents in the passing game:

Player
Rec
Yards
TDs
% Of Tm FP
T.J. Houshmandzadeh
79
911
3
21.8%
Nate Burleson
63
812
3
19.1%
John Carlson
51
574
7
18.3%
Deion Branch
45
437
2
11.4%
Justin Forsett
41
350
1
9.0%
Julius Jones
35
232
2
7.7%
Justin Griffith
19
118
1
4.0%
Deon Butler
15
175
0
3.7%
Others
24
162
1
5.0%
Total
372
3771
20
100.0%

In the off-season, Seattle drafted WR Golden Tate and TE Anthony McCoy, and added former Jets RB Leon Washington and TE Chris Baker. Houshmandzadeh's ADP is currently WR32; last year, he was the 33rd best WR in FP/G. I don't expect Seattle to pass as frequently in 2009, and I don't expect Houshmandzadeh to drastically increase the percentage of the receiving pie that he takes. Sure, Matt Hasselbeck might be a bit more efficient in 2009, but I just don't see much upside for Houshmandzadeh. Best case scenario is he does slightly better than he does last year. But there are 40 or so wide receivers with better upside than T.J. Houshmandzadeh this year. I won't be drafting him in non-PPR leagues unless his ADP drops significantly. In PPR leagues, he has some value as a relatively safe WR3, but he won't be the sort of pick that will help you win your championship. Houshmandzadeh will be 33 in September, and I think it's safe to say his best days are far behind him.

Questions, suggestions and comments are always welcome to stuart@footballguys.com.

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