Draft Slots Study - 14 Teams / Pick 1.14
By Chris Smith
August 8th, 2010

One of the most familiar discussions in terms of fantasy football leagues each season is on the positives and negatives for each of the draft slots. While I believe it is possible to win a league no matter where you draft from, it is obvious to the veteran fantasy owner that there is some advantage to drafting in certain positions. In addition, there are some pratfalls to avoid in certain situations of a fantasy draft.

This second series of draft slot articles will take an in-depth look at some of the fourteen draft positions in a 14-team, redraft fantasy football league and outline the positives and negatives of each slot. The 1st, 4th, 7th, 10th and 14th slots will be broken down trying to showcase the different challenges in certain slots. If you draft in the middle of these selections, read the articles before and after your own selection and you will get a very good idea how your draft will break down. In addition each separate article will showcase a mock draft compiled using the Draft Dominator.

After this series is complete, I will try to break down many other styles of leagues (16-team, 8-team, 10-team, FLEX options, PPR, etc. depending on time.)

This particular series is based on...

  • 14-team redraft league / 18-round fantasy draft
  • Must start 1 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, 1 TE
  • Scoring is as follows:
  • 1 point every 20 passing yards
  • 1 point every 10 rushing yards
  • 4 points per passing touchdown
  • 6 points per rushing / receiving touchdown
  • 3 points per field goal / 1 point per extra point
  • 2 points per interception, fumble recovery and safety
  • 1 point per sack
  • 6 points per defensive touchdown
  • 10 points per shutout
  • This study is performed using the mock draft function within our own Draft Dominator software. The program gives you the ability to draft for one team and have the other teams taken over by computer control using different ADP lists. For the purpose of this study, I will use David Dodds' projections found within the Dominator. The mock draft ability of the Dominator is a nice way to prepare for your fantasy draft. Running the same draft several times will help you to anticipate all possible scenarios when your own draft arrives. Check it out today.

    If you would like to see a particular study this season, please send me an e-mail at smith@footballguys.com, and I will do my best to cover your scoring rules, starting lineup requirements, etc. before the end of training camp.

    Let's get to it!

    Drafting 14th overall (14-team re-draft)

    There is both good and bad to drafting last in a large fantasy league. The great side of the coin is having back-to-back picks that can really influence the direction of the fantasy draft. The down sides however eclipse the small glimmer of positive. The problem with this draft pick is you'll be missing out on the top players at both the running back and receiver position so you'll definitely have to think outside the box. Unless you are very lucky with who is available, you will have to strongly consider going QB/WR or WR/WR to begin this draft. The good news is the decent running back options this season in the third through sixth rounds of your draft. The bad news is you'll be playing catchup through the rest of the draft.

    Possible strategies to incorporate into your draft

    As mentioned above, this is a challenging spot to draft from. In my mock draft that I will walk through shortly, I really didn't like any of the running back options available in this spot. If I had to pick two of the players available, it would be DeAngelo Williams and Shonn Green but they are further down the draft board. I can see starting a draft with those two though and doing very well this season. In a nutshell, take the best two players remaining on your draft board and you'll do fine.

    Examples

    1. League that goes RB heavy in first two rounds: Many leagues out there still feature running backs flying off the board in the first two rounds. In my mock draft I'll be breaking down, I began the draft with a QB and WR so I will look at a WR/WR combo here for something different.

    Possible squad through six rounds

  • RB Knowshon Moreno - 3.14
  • RB Ronnie Brown - 4.01
  • RB Marion Barber - 6.01
  • WR Roddy White - 1.14
  • WR Reggie Wayne - 2.01
  • WR Michael Crabtree - 5.14
  • This isn't a bad way to build a team at all as long as good running back options are still available in the 3rd through 6th rounds. Nice strength at receiver and the running back stable may be better than most would anticipate in this era of RBBC.

    2. League that has more flexibility in first two rounds: If your league has more flexibility in the top include the best quarterbacks and receivers off the board, then a more conventional approach is in order. My draft here is my likely strategy in a fantasy league this year if I were to draft 14th overall. For the actual mock draft in this article, I went QB/WR to showcase a different strategy and it worked out pretty well but this would be the most likely scenario for my own team. I dropped down to the 8th pick just to showcase about ½ of what the roster would be.

    Possible squad through eight rounds

  • QB Carson Palmer - 7.14
  • RB Michael Turner - 1.14
  • RB DeAngelo Williams - 2.01
  • RB Knowshon Moreno - 3.14
  • WR Steve Smith - 4.01
  • WR Michael Crabtree - 5.14
  • WR Mike Sims-Walker - 6.01
  • WR Robert Meachem - 8.01
  • Looking at both this squad and the one above, it really does illustrate there are multiple ways to build your team. In this scenario, Turner happened to fall to my pick. If that weren't the case, I'd be just as happy starting with Shonn Greene and Williams with my first two picks. This is why it is important to simply sit back, let the draft unfold and take the best two players on your draft board. If you do that, you'll build a strong team. Just a note here, I think Palmer may leapfrog back into the top-six at the quarterback position this year so look for him starting in round seven.

    Positives of the draft slot

  • Back-to-back picks can really dictate the direction of the draft
  • Negatives of the draft slot

  • Likely missing out on the top talent at both RB and WR
  • Long, long wait between picks can prove disastrous with poor decisions in prior rounds
  • Final Draft Table

    Pick
    Pos
    Player Selected
    Team
    Selected By
    1.01
    RB1
    Chris Johnson
    Ten/9
    Consensus
    1.02
    RB2
    Adrian Peterson
    Min/4
    Consensus 2
    1.03
    RB3
    Maurice Jones-Drew
    Jac/9
    Expert
    1.04
    RB4
    Ray Rice
    Bal/8
    MFL 1
    1.05
    WR1
    Andre Johnson
    Hou/7
    FF Extreme
    1.06
    QB1
    Aaron Rodgers
    GB/10
    CBS Sportsline 1
    1.07
    RB5
    Frank Gore
    SF/9
    MAG 1
    1.08
    RB6
    Steven Jackson
    StL/9
    Mag average 2
    1.09
    WR2
    Larry Fitzgerald
    Ari/6
    CBS Sportsline 2
    1.10
    WR3
    Randy Moss
    NE/5
    FFX 2
    1.11
    RB7
    Michael Turner
    Atl/8
    My Fantasy League 2
    1.12
    WR4
    Miles Austin
    Dal/4
    Expert 2
    1.13
    QB2
    Drew Brees
    NO/10
    Expert 3
    1.14
    QB3
    Peyton Manning
    Ind/7
    Draft Slots Study 14.14
    2.01
    WR6
    Reggie Wayne
    Ind/7
    Draft Slots Study 14.14
    2.02
    WR5
    Roddy White
    Atl/8
    Expert 3
    2.03
    QB4
    Tony Romo
    Dal/4
    Expert 2
    2.04
    QB5
    Matt Schaub
    Hou/7
    My Fantasy League 2
    2.05
    QB6
    Tom Brady
    NE/5
    FFX 2
    2.06
    RB8
    Rashard Mendenhall
    Pit/5
    CBS Sportsline 2
    2.07
    WR7
    Greg Jennings
    GB/10
    Mag average 2
    2.08
    WR8
    Marques Colston
    NO/10
    MAG 1
    2.09
    RB9
    Ryan Grant
    GB/10
    CBS Sportsline 1
    2.10
    WR9
    Calvin Johnson
    Det/7
    FF Extreme
    2.11
    RB10
    Ryan Mathews
    SD/10
    MFL 1
    2.12
    WR10
    DeSean Jackson
    Phi/8
    Expert
    2.13
    WR11
    Chad Ochocinco
    Cin/6
    Consensus 2
    2.14
    RB11
    Chris Wells
    Ari/6
    Consensus
    3.01
    RB12
    DeAngelo Williams
    Car/6
    Consensus
    3.02
    RB13
    Pierre Thomas
    NO/10
    Consensus 2
    3.03
    RB14
    Jonathan Stewart
    Car/6
    Expert
    3.04
    RB15
    Shonn Greene
    NYJ/7
    MFL 1
    3.05
    RB16
    Jamaal Charles
    KC/4
    FF Extreme
    3.06
    RB17
    Cedric Benson
    Cin/6
    CBS Sportsline 1
    3.07
    WR12
    Brandon Marshall
    Mia/5
    MAG 1
    3.08
    WR13
    Steve Smith
    Car/6
    Mag average 2
    3.09
    RB18
    LeSean McCoy
    Phi/8
    CBS Sportsline 2
    3.10
    RB19
    Joseph Addai
    Ind/7
    FFX 2
    3.11
    RB20
    Jahvid Best
    Det/7
    My Fantasy League 2
    3.12
    WR14
    Sidney Rice
    Min/4
    Expert 2
    3.13
    TE1
    Antonio Gates
    SD/10
    Expert 3
    3.14
    RB21
    Knowshon Moreno
    Den/9
    Draft Slots Study 14.14
    4.01
    RB23
    Ronnie Brown
    Mia/5
    Draft Slots Study 14.14
    4.02
    RB22
    Felix Jones
    Dal/4
    Expert 3
    4.03
    WR15
    Hakeem Nicks
    NYG/8
    Expert 2
    4.04
    TE2
    Dallas Clark
    Ind/7
    My Fantasy League 2
    4.05
    WR16
    Hines Ward
    Pit/5
    FFX 2
    4.06
    QB7
    Kevin Kolb
    Phi/8
    CBS Sportsline 2
    4.07
    QB8
    Jay Cutler
    Chi/8
    Mag average 2
    4.08
    WR17
    Percy Harvin
    Min/4
    MAG 1
    4.09
    WR18
    Dwayne Bowe
    KC/4
    CBS Sportsline 1
    4.10
    QB9
    Philip Rivers
    SD/10
    FF Extreme
    4.11
    WR19
    Steve Smith
    NYG/8
    MFL 1
    4.12
    RB24
    Brandon Jacobs
    NYG/8
    Expert
    4.13
    RB25
    Reggie Bush
    NO/10
    Consensus 2
    4.14
    TE3
    Jermichael Finley
    GB/10
    Consensus
    5.01
    WR20
    Anquan Boldin
    Bal/8
    Consensus
    5.02
    TE4
    Vernon Davis
    SF/9
    Consensus 2
    5.03
    TE5
    Jason Witten
    Dal/4
    Expert
    5.04
    TE6
    Tony Gonzalez
    Atl/8
    MFL 1
    5.05
    RB26
    Jerome Harrison
    Cle/8
    FF Extreme
    5.06
    RB27
    Ricky Williams
    Mia/5
    CBS Sportsline 1
    5.07
    RB28
    Ahmad Bradshaw
    NYG/8
    MAG 1
    5.08
    RB29
    Fred Jackson
    Buf/6
    Mag average 2
    5.09
    RB30
    Michael Bush
    Oak/10
    CBS Sportsline 2
    5.10
    RB31
    Cadillac Williams
    TB/4
    FFX 2
    5.11
    RB32
    Justin Forsett
    Sea/5
    My Fantasy League 2
    5.12
    RB33
    Clinton Portis
    Was/9
    Expert 2
    5.13
    RB34
    Laurence Maroney
    NE/5
    Expert 3
    5.14
    WR21
    Michael Crabtree
    SF/9
    Draft Slots Study 14.14
    6.01
    RB39
    Marion Barber
    Dal/4
    Draft Slots Study 14.14
    6.02
    RB35
    C.J. Spiller
    Buf/6
    Expert 3
    6.03
    RB36
    Darren Sproles
    SD/10
    Expert 2
    6.04
    WR22
    Mike Wallace
    Pit/5
    My Fantasy League 2
    6.05
    RB37
    Correll Buckhalter
    Den/9
    FFX 2
    6.06
    RB38
    Tim Hightower
    Ari/6
    CBS Sportsline 2
    6.07
    RB40
    Matt Forte
    Chi/8
    Mag average 2
    6.08
    RB41
    Chester Taylor
    Chi/8
    MAG 1
    6.09
    WR23
    Mike Sims-Walker
    Jac/9
    CBS Sportsline 1
    6.10
    RB42
    LaDainian Tomlinson
    NYJ/7
    FF Extreme
    6.11
    WR24
    Santana Moss
    Was/9
    MFL 1
    6.12
    WR25
    Jeremy Maclin
    Phi/8
    Expert
    6.13
    WR26
    Terrell Owens
    Cin/6
    Consensus 2
    6.14
    WR27
    Wes Welker
    NE/5
    Consensus
    7.01
    QB10
    Eli Manning
    NYG/8
    Consensus
    7.02
    QB11
    Brett Favre
    Min/4
    Consensus 2
    7.03
    QB12
    Matt Ryan
    Atl/8
    Expert
    7.04
    QB13
    Donovan McNabb
    Was/9
    MFL 1
    7.05
    WR28
    Lee Evans
    Buf/6
    FF Extreme
    7.06
    WR29
    Malcom Floyd
    SD/10
    CBS Sportsline 1
    7.07
    QB14
    Joe Flacco
    Bal/8
    MAG 1
    7.08
    WR30
    T.J. Houshmandzadeh
    Sea/5
    Mag average 2
    7.09
    WR31
    Steve Breaston
    Ari/6
    CBS Sportsline 2
    7.10
    WR32
    Derrick Mason
    Bal/8
    FFX 2
    7.11
    WR33
    Jabar Gaffney
    Den/9
    My Fantasy League 2
    7.12
    RB43
    Leon Washington
    Sea/5
    Expert 2
    7.13
    WR34
    Devin Hester
    Chi/8
    Expert 3
    7.14
    WR37
    Donald Driver
    GB/10
    Draft Slots Study 14.14
    8.01
    WR35
    Robert Meachem
    NO/10
    Draft Slots Study 14.14
    8.02
    WR36
    Devin Thomas
    Was/9
    Expert 3
    8.03
    TE7
    Brent Celek
    Phi/8
    Expert 2
    8.04
    WR38
    Jerricho Cotchery
    NYJ/7
    My Fantasy League 2
    8.05
    TE8
    Zach Miller
    Oak/10
    FFX 2
    8.06
    TE9
    Kellen Winslow
    TB/4
    CBS Sportsline 2
    8.07
    TE10
    Heath Miller
    Pit/5
    Mag average 2
    8.08
    TE11
    Visanthe Shiancoe
    Min/4
    MAG 1
    8.09
    WR39
    Johnny Knox
    Chi/8
    CBS Sportsline 1
    8.10
    RB44
    Steve Slaton
    Hou/7
    FF Extreme
    8.11
    WR40
    Braylon Edwards
    NYJ/7
    MFL 1
    8.12
    WR41
    Eddie Royal
    Den/9
    Expert
    8.13
    WR42
    Kenny Britt
    Ten/9
    Consensus 2
    8.14
    RB45
    Arian Foster
    Hou/7
    Consensus
    9.01
    DEF1
    New York Jets
    NYJ/7
    Consensus
    9.02
    RB46
    Donald Brown
    Ind/7
    Consensus 2
    9.03
    RB47
    Montario Hardesty
    Cle/8
    Expert
    9.04
    RB48
    Darren McFadden
    Oak/10
    MFL 1
    9.05
    RB49
    Willis McGahee
    Bal/8
    FF Extreme
    9.06
    RB50
    Thomas Jones
    KC/4
    CBS Sportsline 1
    9.07
    QB15
    Carson Palmer
    Cin/6
    MAG 1
    9.08
    QB16
    Matthew Stafford
    Det/7
    Mag average 2
    9.09
    QB17
    David Garrard
    Jac/9
    CBS Sportsline 2
    9.10
    QB18
    Vince Young
    Ten/9
    FFX 2
    9.11
    QB19
    Alex Smith
    SF/9
    My Fantasy League 2
    9.12
    RB51
    Derrick Ward
    TB/4
    Expert 2
    9.13
    QB20
    Chad Henne
    Mia/5
    Expert 3
    9.14
    TE12
    Chris Cooley
    Was/9
    Draft Slots Study 14.14
    10.01
    WR47
    Santonio Holmes
    NYJ/7
    Draft Slots Study 14.14
    10.02
    RB52
    Larry Johnson
    Was/9
    Expert 3
    10.03
    RB53
    Kevin Faulk
    NE/5
    Expert 2
    10.04
    WR43
    Mike Williams
    TB/4
    My Fantasy League 2
    10.05
    RB54
    Toby Gerhart
    Min/4
    FFX 2
    10.06
    WR44
    Mario Manningham
    NYG/8
    CBS Sportsline 2
    10.07
    RB55
    Fred Taylor
    NE/5
    Mag average 2
    10.08
    RB56
    Ben Tate
    Hou/7
    MAG 1
    10.09
    QB21
    Matt Cassel
    KC/4
    CBS Sportsline 1
    10.10
    WR45
    Mohamed Massaquoi
    Cle/8
    FF Extreme
    10.11
    WR46
    Donnie Avery
    StL/9
    MFL 1
    10.12
    WR48
    Dez Bryant
    Dal/4
    Expert
    10.13
    WR49
    Nate Washington
    Ten/9
    Consensus 2
    10.14
    WR50
    Jacoby Jones
    Hou/7
    Consensus
    11.01
    WR51
    Nate Burleson
    Det/7
    Consensus
    11.02
    TE13
    Owen Daniels
    Hou/7
    Consensus 2
    11.03
    QB22
    Mark Sanchez
    NYJ/7
    Expert
    11.04
    TE14
    John Carlson
    Sea/5
    MFL 1
    11.05
    TE15
    Jeremy Shockey
    NO/10
    FF Extreme
    11.06
    TE16
    Dustin Keller
    NYJ/7
    CBS Sportsline 1
    11.07
    RB57
    Jason Snelling
    Atl/8
    MAG 1
    11.08
    WR52
    Mike Thomas
    Jac/9
    Mag average 2
    11.09
    WR53
    Bernard Berrian
    Min/4
    CBS Sportsline 2
    11.10
    RB58
    Mike Bell
    Phi/8
    FFX 2
    11.11
    WR54
    James Jones
    GB/10
    My Fantasy League 2
    11.12
    WR55
    Chris Chambers
    KC/4
    Expert 2
    11.13
    WR56
    Pierre Garcon
    Ind/7
    Expert 3
    11.14
    WR61
    Vincent Jackson
    SD/10
    Draft Slots Study 14.14
    12.01
    DEF3
    Baltimore
    Bal/8
    Draft Slots Study 14.14
    12.02
    DEF2
    Philadelphia
    Phi/8
    Expert 3
    12.03
    DEF4
    San Francisco
    SF/9
    Expert 2
    12.04
    DEF5
    Minnesota
    Min/4
    My Fantasy League 2
    12.05
    WR57
    Roy Williams
    Dal/4
    FFX 2
    12.06
    WR58
    Devin Aromashodu
    Chi/8
    CBS Sportsline 2
    12.07
    DEF6
    Miami
    Mia/5
    Mag average 2
    12.08
    WR59
    Darrius Heyward-Bey
    Oak/10
    MAG 1
    12.09
    WR60
    Anthony Gonzalez
    Ind/7
    CBS Sportsline 1
    12.10
    QB23
    Matt Hasselbeck
    Sea/5
    FF Extreme
    12.11
    WR62
    Josh Cribbs
    Cle/8
    MFL 1
    12.12
    WR63
    Dexter McCluster
    KC/4
    Expert
    12.13
    WR64
    Kevin Walter
    Hou/7
    Consensus 2
    12.14
    WR65
    Golden Tate
    Sea/5
    Consensus
    13.01
    TE17
    Greg Olsen
    Chi/8
    Consensus
    13.02
    WR66
    Laurent Robinson
    StL/9
    Consensus 2
    13.03
    WR67
    Josh Morgan
    SF/9
    Expert
    13.04
    WR68
    Early Doucet
    Ari/6
    MFL 1
    13.05
    WR69
    Demaryius Thomas
    Den/9
    FF Extreme
    13.06
    DEF7
    Chicago
    Chi/8
    CBS Sportsline 1
    13.07
    DEF8
    Dallas
    Dal/4
    MAG 1
    13.08
    WR70
    Brian Robiskie
    Cle/8
    Mag average 2
    13.09
    WR71
    Brian Hartline
    Mia/5
    CBS Sportsline 2
    13.10
    WR72
    Legedu Naanee
    SD/10
    FFX 2
    13.11
    WR73
    Austin Collie
    Ind/7
    My Fantasy League 2
    13.12
    WR74
    Chaz Schilens
    Oak/10
    Expert 2
    13.13
    WR75
    Devery Henderson
    NO/10
    Expert 3
    13.14
    QB25
    Matt Leinart
    Ari/6
    Draft Slots Study 14.14
    14.01
    RB61
    Kevin Smith
    Det/7
    Draft Slots Study 14.14
    14.02
    RB59
    Javon Ringer
    Ten/9
    Expert 3
    14.03
    RB60
    Bernard Scott
    Cin/6
    Expert 2
    14.04
    RB62
    Leonard Weaver
    Phi/8
    My Fantasy League 2
    14.05
    RB63
    Tashard Choice
    Dal/4
    FFX 2
    14.06
    PK1
    Mason Crosby
    GB/10
    CBS Sportsline 2
    14.07
    RB64
    Jerious Norwood
    Atl/8
    Mag average 2
    14.08
    RB65
    Brandon Jackson
    GB/10
    MAG 1
    14.09
    PK2
    Nate Kaeding
    SD/10
    CBS Sportsline 1
    14.10
    QB24
    Josh Freeman
    TB/4
    FF Extreme
    14.11
    QB26
    Jason Campbell
    Oak/10
    MFL 1
    14.12
    QB27
    Kyle Orton
    Den/9
    Expert
    14.13
    QB28
    Ben Roethlisberger
    Pit/5
    Consensus 2
    14.14
    WR76
    Michael Jenkins
    Atl/8
    Consensus
    15.01
    PK3
    Stephen Gostkowski
    NE/5
    Consensus
    15.02
    PK4
    David Akers
    Phi/8
    Consensus 2
    15.03
    PK5
    Garrett Hartley
    NO/10
    Expert
    15.04
    PK6
    Ryan Longwell
    Min/4
    MFL 1
    15.05
    DEF9
    Green Bay
    GB/10
    FF Extreme
    15.06
    RB66
    Lynell Hamilton
    NO/10
    CBS Sportsline 1
    15.07
    WR77
    Brandon Tate
    NE/5
    MAG 1
    15.08
    RB67
    Sammy Morris
    NE/5
    Mag average 2
    15.09
    WR78
    Louis Murphy
    Oak/10
    CBS Sportsline 2
    15.10
    WR79
    Brandon LaFell
    Car/6
    FFX 2
    15.11
    RB68
    Rashad Jennings
    Jac/9
    My Fantasy League 2
    15.12
    RB69
    Brian Westbrook
    FA
    Expert 2
    15.13
    WR80
    Arrelious Benn
    TB/4
    Expert 3
    15.14
    PK7
    Nick Folk
    NYJ/7
    Draft Slots Study 14.14
    16.01
    RB75
    Marshawn Lynch
    Buf/6
    Draft Slots Study 14.14
    16.02
    PK8
    Lawrence Tynes
    NYG/8
    Expert 3
    16.03
    PK9
    David Buehler
    Dal/4
    Expert 2
    16.04
    RB70
    Joe McKnight
    NYJ/7
    My Fantasy League 2
    16.05
    DEF10
    New York Giants
    NYG/8
    FFX 2
    16.06
    DEF11
    Tennessee
    Ten/9
    CBS Sportsline 2
    16.07
    DEF12
    Pittsburgh
    Pit/5
    Mag average 2
    16.08
    DEF13
    San Diego
    SD/10
    MAG 1
    16.09
    RB71
    Brian Leonard
    Cin/6
    CBS Sportsline 1
    16.10
    RB72
    Julius Jones
    Sea/5
    FF Extreme
    16.11
    WR81
    Lance Moore
    NO/10
    MFL 1
    16.12
    RB73
    Mewelde Moore
    Pit/5
    Expert
    16.13
    WR82
    Harry Douglas
    Atl/8
    Consensus 2
    16.14
    WR83
    Jason Avant
    Phi/8
    Consensus
    17.01
    QB29
    Matt Moore
    Car/6
    Consensus
    17.02
    DEF14
    Arizona
    Ari/6
    Consensus 2
    17.03
    DEF15
    Carolina
    Car/6
    Expert
    17.04
    DEF16
    New England
    NE/5
    MFL 1
    17.05
    DEF17
    Indianapolis
    Ind/7
    FF Extreme
    17.06
    TE18
    Todd Heap
    Bal/8
    CBS Sportsline 1
    17.07
    TE19
    Tony Scheffler
    Det/7
    MAG 1
    17.08
    RB74
    LeRon McClain
    Bal/8
    Mag average 2
    17.09
    RB76
    Jonathan Dwyer
    Pit/5
    CBS Sportsline 2
    17.10
    TE20
    Anthony Fasano
    Mia/5
    FFX 2
    17.11
    WR84
    Steve Johnson
    Buf/6
    My Fantasy League 2
    17.12
    TE21
    Kevin Boss
    NYG/8
    Expert 2
    17.13
    TE22
    Bo Scaife
    Ten/9
    Expert 3
    17.14
    DEF18
    Cincinnati
    Cin/6
    Draft Slots Study 14.14
    18.01
    RB77
    Glen Coffee
    SF/9
    Draft Slots Study 14.14
    18.02
    DEF19
    Tampa Bay
    TB/4
    Expert 3
    18.03
    DEF20
    Denver
    Den/9
    Expert 2
    18.04
    PK10
    Shayne Graham
    Bal/8
    My Fantasy League 2
    18.05
    PK11
    Robbie Gould
    Chi/8
    FFX 2
    18.06
    TE23
    Fred Davis
    Was/9
    CBS Sportsline 2
    18.07
    PK12
    Neil Rackers
    Hou/7
    Mag average 2
    18.08
    PK13
    Steve Hauschka
    Atl/8
    MAG 1
    18.09
    DEF21
    Houston
    Hou/7
    CBS Sportsline 1
    18.10
    PK14
    Dan Carpenter
    Mia/5
    FF Extreme
    18.11
    PK15
    Matt Prater
    Den/9
    MFL 1
    18.12
    PK16
    Rob Bironas
    Ten/9
    Expert
    18.13
    PK17
    Jeff Reed
    Pit/5
    Consensus 2
    18.14
    PK18
    Adam Vinatieri
    Ind/7
    Consensus

    Breaking down the mock draft from the 1.14 draft position

    Round 1.14: QB Peyton Manning

    Starting a draft with a quarterback is risky. There is no way around that. You can always find good value at quarterback later in a draft while the running back position will dry up quicker. However, in his era that RBBC is running wild across the NFL, it isn't nearly the same decision as it was in the past. Landing a Manning to lock away a top-three quarterback lets you focus squarely on stockpiling running backs and receivers for the next several rounds. It is a nice position to be in really as long as the running back position does not dry up. The only way it will however is if the owners go RB-crazy in the first four rounds and if they do, you'll have the best QB / starting receiver core in the league.

    Round 2.01: WR Reggie Wayne

    I gotta be honest, in a real, legitimate fantasy draft, I am likely to pick up a DeAngelo Williams or Shonn Greene here but that is because both players are higher on my own personal draft board and I find it difficult not to pick them up here. In the spirit of this though, they are further down the board and I do not like the running backs available in the spot. Having the QB/WR combo from a team is both very risky and very attractive. In the weeks that Manning goes off with massive stats, Wayne is almost certainly going to be awesome as well. Not a bad way to begin a draft as Wayne is a monster, consistent fantasy star.

    Round 3.14: RB Knowshon Moreno

    Having ignored running back in the first two rounds, the thinking here is simple and direct. Take two running backs unless exceptional value at receiver is present. If a Calvin Johnson, Marques Colston or Brandon Marshall fell to this spot, I would pick one of them up. However, that did not happen in this draft and Moreno is capable of greatly exceeding this draft position.

    Round 4.01: RB Ronnie Brown

    There are certainly risks in regards to having Moreno and Brown as your starting RB pair. However the upside is also there for both players to make the leap into the top-twelve at the position and both are serviceable fantasy starters.

    Round 5.14: WR Michael Crabtree

    Being only a 2nd-year talent, there is a risk associated with selecting him as your WR2. However his talent and potential alone make him a steal as a 70th pick in the fantasy draft and he could emerge as a fantasy monster. He is a pretty easy decision here.

    Round 6.01: RB Marion Barber

    I love picking up a Marion Barber in the sixth round in 2010 and everybody should scoop him up if available. He is in the best shape he's been in and is almost the forgotten man in Dallas with Felix Jones getting the hype. Barber will get more touches than Jones and put together a very good fantasy season.

    Round 7.14: WR Donald Driver

    With three good running backs on board now, the draft philosophy for me shifts here. Now my thought process is to take two receivers unless exceptional running back talent is available. If C.J. Spiller or Chester Taylor is available here, I may take a fourth running back but with the running backs left to draft, it is an easy decision to take two receivers. Driver is getting long in the tooth but is in a dynamic passing offense and will put up good WR3 numbers.

    Round 8.01: WR Robert Meachem

    I look at Driver / Meachem as a combination WR3 for my fantasy team. I will likely play the options with a pair like this and together they may be an elite option as a third receiver. Meachem is capable of putting up big fantasy numbers.

    Round 9.14: TE Chris Cooley / 10.01: WR Santonio Holmes

    The only player I consider here other than the two I draft is Larry Johnson who may have one last surge in there. However I see Cooley as a potential top-five tight end with Donovan McNabb throwing him the ball and Santonio Holmes is an incredible WR5 once he returns from suspension. Both will play a big part in my fantasy squad this season.

    At the halfway point of the draft, our team looks like this:

    Quarterbacks

  • Peyton Manning - 1.14
  • Running Backs

  • Knowshon Moreno - 3.14
  • Ronnie Brown - 4.01
  • Marion Barber - 6.01
  • Wide Receivers

  • Reggie Wayne - 2.01
  • Michael Crabtree - 5.14
  • Donald Driver - 7.14
  • Robert Meachem - 8.01
  • Santonio Holmes - 10.01
  • Tight Ends

  • Chris Cooley - 9.14
  • Place Kickers

  • none
  • Defenses

  • none
  • The biggest question through ten rounds is in regards to running back depth. The three running backs I do have are capable of putting up nice numbers but are also capable of losing time with injury. I'll have to address this situation in the 2nd half of the draft. My quarterback position is obviously a strength and also believe my tight end position is in great shape. However the strength of the team may be at the receiver position with five talented players vying for playing time.

    Rounds 11-14: WR Vincent Jackson / DEF Ravens / QB Matt Leinart / RB Kevin Smith

    Heading into round 11/12, I am sure I will be taking a running back here. However looking at the board, there is nothing I really must have on my team here while Vincent Jackson has massive upside and would give my team legitimate trade options if he signs with the Chargers. The Ravens defense is a nice luxury to pick up for a fantasy squad while Matt Leinart has upside and I'll only need him during Manning's bye week in all likelihood. I take a chance on Kevin Smith who has been a disappointment but still has time to turn his career around.

    Rounds 15-18: K Nick Folk, RB Marshawn Lynch, DEF Bengals, RB Glen Coffee

    Here is where you can flesh out the team. I get a great starting kicker, a good 2nd option for defense and a couple of young, talented running backs. Landing Marshawn Lynch could be a good move for my team or give me a player to release early on. The same goes with Glen Coffee with his boom and bust outlook for 2010. His potential is worth the selection.

    Final Roster (Draft Slot 1.14)

    Quarterbacks

  • Peyton Manning - 1.14
  • Matt Leinart - 13.14
  • Running Backs

  • Knowshon Moreno - 3.14
  • Ronnie Brown - 4.01
  • Marion Barber - 6.01
  • Kevin Smith - 14.01
  • Marshawn Lynch - 16.01
  • Glen Coffee - 18.01
  • Wide Receivers

  • Reggie Wayne - 2.01
  • Michael Crabtree - 5.14
  • Donald Driver - 7.14
  • Robert Meachem - 8.01
  • Santonio Holmes - 10.01
  • Vincent Jackson - 11.14
  • Tight Ends

  • Chris Cooley - 9.14
  • Place Kickers

  • Nick Folk - 15.14
  • Defenses

  • Ravens Defense - 12.01
  • Bengals Defense - 17.14
  • Final thoughts on this roster

    I really like the look of this team but wonder if perhaps I should have taken Donald Brown / Darren McFadden / Steve Slaton instead of my 8.01 pick, WR Robert Meachem. If I knew I could land Santonio Holmes AND Vincent Jackson later in the draft, I definitely would have taken the running back. If Jackson signs however, I will have strong trading options this season. My running back stable is capable of great things AND capable of crumbling around me. There is certainly potential there and I like the youth of the position. Quarterback and tight end I feel very good about although I still need to figure out my backup tight end in the first few weeks of the season. With good defenses and kicker on board as well, this team will have a real chance to compete for the title. If I did a re-do here, I would start the draft with QB Peyton Manning and RB Shonn Greene but I believe either way this team can compete.

    Last thoughts on the 1.14 draft slot

    Make no mistake about it, in a fourteen-team league, it is difficult to draft at the back of the round. The issue isn't the first two picks as you are blessed with two of the top fifteen players on your board. The issue is the long, long wait between picks. Make a wrong decision and you'll be in tough for the duration of the draft. However, stay calm, let the draft unfold and take the best players available, switching to draft needs when you need to and you'll be in good shape. I believe the ideal start is RB/RB but only if two players capable of being top-ten are there. If they are not, do not push the issue and simply start the draft WR/WR or QB/WR and adjust your thoughts from there.

    Good luck and happy drafting!

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